Gimcrack Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

We look at the Group 2 Gimcrack Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 6f at York to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends can you use to find the winner of the Gimcrack Stakes.

Gimcrack Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis
Gimcrack Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Gimcrack Stakes Preview

Established in 1846, the Gimcrack Stakes is a Group 2 race that takes place on the third day of the York Ebor Festival in August of each year. Open to two-year-old colts and geldings, the race is run over a trip of six furlongs. The race is named after the horse Gimcrack who won 27 of his 36 career starts, surprisingly none of which were actually here at York!

Gimcrack Stakes Content:

Our dedicated York Betting Picks will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Gimcrack Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at York throughout the season so be sure to head over there.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2004 renewal when Tony James from Clive Brittain who under the guidance of Seb Sanders, won in a time of 1:14.30, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Blue Point, trained by Charlie Appleby and ridden by William Buick set the quickest time of 1:09.00 in the 2016 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Gimcrack Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2016 - Blue Point (1:09.00)
  • 2009 - Showcasing (1:09.28)
  • 2019 - Threat (1:09.62)

How competitive is the Gimcrack Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2022 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Gimcrack Stakes, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Gimcrack Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +9.08. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Gimcrack Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Gimcrack Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Gimcrack Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2022
1:10.51
Noble Style (GB)
2yo 9-2 (12 of 12) 3/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2021
1:10.13
Lusail (IRE)
2yo 9-3 (7 of 11) 7/2
Pat Dobbs
Richard Hannon (GB)
2020
1:11.21
Minzaal (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (4 of 9) 5/2F
Jim Crowley
Owen Burrows (GB)
2019
1:09.62
Threat (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (6 of 12) 11/10F
Oisin Murphy
Richard Hannon (GB)
2018
1:10.79
Emaraaty Ana (GB)
2yo 9-0 (6 of 9) 5/1
Frankie Dettori
Kevin Ryan (GB)
2017
1:11.16
Sands Of Mali (FR)
2yo 9-0 (4 of 10) 14/1
Paul Hanagan
Richard Fahey (GB)
2016
1:09.00
Blue Point (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (4 of 10) 11/8F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2015
1:10.84
Ajaya (GB)
2yo 9-0 (9 of 8) 7/2
Graham Gibbons
William Haggas (GB)
2014
1:10.52
Muhaarar (GB)
2yo 9-0 (5 of 9) 7/1
Paul Hanagan
Charles Hills (GB)
2013
1:13.72
Astaire (IRE)
2yo 8-12 (5 of 7) 5/1
Neil Callan
Kevin Ryan (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Gimcrack Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 34 placings from 181 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 4 placings from 8 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Gimcrack Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Gimcrack Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Kevin Ryan who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Amadeus Wolf (2005), Blaine (2012), Astaire (2013) & Emaraaty Ana (2018). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Gimcrack Stakes are William Haggas (3 wins), Richard Hannon (2 wins) & Charlie Appleby (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Gimcrack Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Kevin Ryan 21-4-8 +6.00 +1.71
William Haggas 12-3-6 +7.00 +5.51
Richard Hannon 6-2-2 +0.60 -1.24
Charlie Appleby 2-2-2 +4.38 +2.63
Richard Fahey 14-1-4 +1.00 +2.40
Mark Johnston 11-1-5 +6.00 +4.75
Charles Hills 6-1-1 +2.00 -0.80
John Gosden 3-1-2 +0.00 +1.15
James Fanshawe 1-1-1 +4.00 +2.40
Owen Burrows 1-1-1 +2.50 +1.50

Gimcrack Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Gimcrack Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of Neil Callan, Paul Hanagan & William Buick having all won the race 2 times. Neil Callan winners have been with Amadeus Wolf (2005) & Astaire (2013). Paul Hanagan winners have been with Muhaarar (2014) & Sands Of Mali (2017). William Buick winners have been with Blue Point (2016) & Noble Style (2022).

Here are some of the top Gimcrack Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Neil Callan 7-2-3 +7.00 +3.63
Paul Hanagan 6-2-4 +17.00 +11.75
William Buick 6-2-4 +0.38 +0.75
Jamie Spencer 9-1-2 -4.00 -3.70
Frankie Dettori 8-1-2 -2.00 -2.10
Jim Crowley 6-1-1 -2.50 -3.50
Oisin Murphy 4-1-2 -1.90 -0.44
Pat Dobbs 2-1-1 +2.50 +1.10
Ryan Moore 6-0-3 -6.00 -2.78
Daniel Tudhope 6-0-0 -6.00 -6.00

2023 Gimcrack Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,3,3,(2,10),5,3,7,1,4,2,8,3,9,7,1,(2,3,6),3,1,1,7,2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (73%) - Achieved a RPR of 85+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 16/1
  • 20 / 20 (74%) - Highest win not G3/LST/Cl2
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Beaten no more than 3l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Highest placed not G1/G3/Cl2
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Off a break of 12-48 days
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - A TS no less than 39 (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Not IRE/ITA/SCO/USA (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - A RPR no less than 64 (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 28/1 (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Previously ran over 5½f+
  • 20 / 20 (91%) - Were not geldings
  • 19 / 20 (67%) - Within first 6 of market
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Carried 9-0+ (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (86%) - No bigger than 14/1 (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (87%) - Carried 122-131lbs (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Gimcrack Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Gimcrack Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Gimcrack Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +13.88 is when runners had 1 career win with the jockey. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G3) last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-22.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2022: Winner in 12 (9,6) [12 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 7 (4,1) [11 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 4 (8,7) [9 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 6 (8,5) [12 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 6 (8,3) [9 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Gimcrack Stakes is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Gimcrack Stakes:

  • Oasis Dream (3 Wins)
  • Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
  • Mehmas (2 Wins)
  • Shamardal (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Gimcrack Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Acclamation (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Kodiac (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Dark Angel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Iffraaj (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Tony James in 2004 when winning for Clive Brittain at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Seb Sanders. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival

York Ebor festival races for Wednesday 23rd August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Thursday 24th August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Friday 25th August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Saturday 26th August 2023

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