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2023 Horse & Jockey Hotel Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Jan 13, 8:06pm Last Updated: Jan 25, 12:38pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 263 Views

2023 Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase Preview

The Brae Chase is scheduled to take place in late January or early February of each year at the Thurles racecourse, this Grade 2 chase is run over a trip of two miles, four and a half furlongs in which fourteen fences are to be jumped.

Whilst for sponsorship purposes the race is known as the Horse & Jockey Hotel Chase it is more commonly known as the Brae Chase and is open to runners aged six or older where mares receive a 7lb allowance.

Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase Content:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Thurles Betting Picks on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 4:57.30 was set by Tout Est Permis in 2019, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Noel Meade and ridden by Sean Flanagan. The slowest winning time was set in 2009 when Cailin Alainn won in a time of 5:52.50, booked to ride was Niall P Madden on this C Byrnes trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2019 - Tout Est Permis (4:57.30)
  • 2017 - Sizing John (5:05.30)
  • 2020 - Real Steel (5:07.90)

How competitive is the Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2004 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase next time out then you would have back a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +11.02. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2023 Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase.

Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase Past Winners

Here are the Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
5:10.10
Allaho (FR)
8yo 11-12 4/11F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2021
5:33.80
Allaho (FR)
7yo 11-5 10/11F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2020
5:07.90
Real Steel (FR)
7yo 11-8 2/1
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2019
4:57.30
Tout Est Permis (FR)
6yo 11-3 13/8F
Sean Flanagan
Noel Meade (IRE)
2018
5:42.10
A Toi Phil (FR)
8yo 11-8 6/4
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2017
5:05.30
Sizing John (GB)
7yo 11-8 3/1
Robbie Power
Mrs John Harrington (IRE)
2016
5:30.90
Don Cossack (GER)
9yo 11-10 1/8F
B J Cooper
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2015
5:20.40
Don Cossack (GER)
8yo 11-10 6/4
B J Cooper
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2014
5:11.40
Texas Jack (IRE)
8yo 11-8 4/1
Paul Carberry
Noel Meade (IRE)
2013
5:35.80
Quito De La Roque (FR)
9yo 11-10 12/1
Paul Townend
C A Murphy (IRE)

Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Apt Approach (2012), Real Steel (2020), Allaho (2021) & Allaho (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase are Gordon Elliott (3 wins), Noel Meade (2 wins), A L T Moore (2 wins) & John Joseph Murphy (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
W P Mullins 21-4-9 -12.83 -8.59
Gordon Elliott 9-3-4 -2.87 -4.31
Noel Meade 7-2-3 +0.63 +1.77
A L T Moore 4-2-2 -1.42 -1.63
John Joseph Murphy 3-2-2 +9.50 +5.57
Mrs John Harrington 7-1-3 -3.00 -1.50
Michael Hourigan 4-1-2 +3.00 +1.60
Oliver McKiernan 2-1-2 +24.00 +15.19
C A Murphy 2-1-1 +11.00 +6.20
C Byrnes 1-1-1 +3.50 +2.10

Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Townend who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Quito De La Roque (2013), Real Steel (2020), Allaho (2021) & Allaho (2022). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase are Robbie Power (2 wins) & B J Cooper (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Paul Townend 7-4-5 +12.27 +7.69
Robbie Power 7-2-4 +3.00 +3.16
B J Cooper 4-2-2 -0.37 -2.00
Jack Kennedy 4-1-1 -1.50 -2.00
Sean Flanagan 3-1-1 -0.37 +0.02
Niall P Madden 2-1-1 +2.50 +1.10
Davy Russell 8-0-1 -8.00 -7.31
Mark Walsh 2-0-1 -2.00 -0.08
J J Slevin 2-0-1 -2.00 -0.75
Rachael Blackmore 2-0-0 -2.00 -1.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,1,1,4,1,3,2,2,3,1,2,3,F,1,2,2,1,2,1,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Held an OR of 135+
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Made 10-43 starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Carried 128-166lbs (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Beaten no more 26l (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Fewer than 15 starts (Further)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Furthest ran 2m4f - 3m5f
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Had 6-25 placings (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (80%) - Field of 4-11 (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (80%) - Placed in at least a Grade 2
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - Top 3 finish within last 3
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - Previously ran in a Grade 1
  • 19 / 20 (83%) - Had 4+ wins (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Fewer than 3 falls (Fences)
  • 19 / 20 (89%) - Had 7+ starts (Fences)
  • 18 / 20 (48%) - No bigger than 6/1
  • 18 / 20 (50%) - Within first 3 of the market
  • 18 / 20 (74%) - No more than 8l (Last Win)
  • 18 / 20 (76%) - Fewer than 4 DNFs (Career)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Thurles racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works? No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles too in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +27.57 is when runners had a highest class won of Class 1 (G1). The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career places in the class, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-21.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase is Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Leopardstown last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Punchestown, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Punchestown last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 117 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 6 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase:

  • Be My Native (3 Wins)
  • No Risk At All (2 Wins)
  • Norwich (2 Wins)
  • Sholokhov (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Follow The Plan in 2011 when winning for Oliver McKiernan at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Patrick Mangan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 9 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2023 Horse and Jockey Hotel Chase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

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