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2027 Tramore New Year's Day Chase Preview
The New Year's Day Chase, which was upgraded to Grade 3 status in 2020, is scheduled to take place in January of each year on New Year's Day at the Tramore racecourse. It is run over a trip of two miles and five furlongs, and the runners will face a total of fifteen fences.
Tramore New Year's Day Chase Information:
- Tramore New Year's Day Chase Past Winners
- Tramore New Year's Day Chase Trainer Statistics
- Tramore New Year's Day Chase Jockey Statistics
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Tramore tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet?
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How competitive is the Tramore New Year's Day Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2006 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Tramore New Year's Day Chase, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Tramore New Year's Day Chase Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Tramore New Year's Day Chase Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Tramore New Year's Day Chase races over the last 20 renewals:
- Barker (5:20.20) in 2011
- Roi Du Mee (5:23.90) in 2013
- Kymandjen (5:24.30) in 2006
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Tramore New Year's Day Chase next time out, then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +14.23. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Tramore New Year's Day Chase, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 5:20.20 was set by Barker in 2011, trained by W P Mullins and ridden by D J Casey, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2024 when Jungle Boogie won in a time of 6:24.60 for trainer Henry De Bromhead, who booked Darragh O'Keeffe in the saddle.
Tramore New Year's Day Chase Past Winners
Here are the Tramore New Year's Day Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Tramore New Year's Day Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 5:54.20 | Heart Wood (FR) 8yo 11-6 2/1F | Darragh O'Keeffe Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
| 2025 6:17.07 | Embassy Gardens (GB) 9yo 11-6 9/1 | Michael O'Sullivan W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2024 6:24.60 | Jungle Boogie (IRE) 10yo 11-0 10/1 | Darragh O'Keeffe Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
| 2023 6:20.50 | Minella Indo (IRE) 10yo 11-0 7/4 | Rachael Blackmore Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
| 2022 6:19.80 | Al Boum Photo (FR) 10yo 11-10 1/6F | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2021 6:10.30 | Al Boum Photo (FR) 9yo 12-0 2/9F | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2020 5:54.20 | Al Boum Photo (FR) 8yo 11-12 4/7F | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2019 5:45.40 | Al Boum Photo (FR) 7yo 11-12 2/1F | R Walsh W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2018 6:01.80 | Bachasson (FR) 7yo 11-9 1/1F | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2017 5:45.80 | Champagne West (IRE) 9yo 11-2 2/1 | David Mullins Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
Tramore New Year's Day Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Tramore New Year's Day Chase over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins, who has won the race nine times, with those nine winners coming from Barker (2011), Apt Approach (2012), Marito (2014), Bachasson (2018), Al Boum Photo (2019, 2020, 2021 & 2022) and Embassy Gardens (2025). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Tramore New Year's Day Chase are Henry De Bromhead (4 wins) and C Byrnes (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Tramore New Year's Day Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| W P Mullins | 39-9-16 | -5.41 | -3.72 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 9-4-5 | +10.75 | +6.44 |
| C Byrnes | 4-2-2 | +4.00 | +1.76 |
| Gordon Elliott | 13-1-3 | -11.00 | -7.60 |
| Mrs John Harrington | 4-1-2 | -1.00 | -0.90 |
| Eoin Doyle | 3-1-2 | +10.00 | +8.20 |
| Paul Nolan | 2-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.40 |
| E J O'Grady | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -3.16 |
| E Sheehy | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -1.00 |
| R H Lalor | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | +0.50 |
Tramore New Year's Day Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Tramore New Year's Day Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Townend, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Marito (2014), Bachasson (2018) and Al Boum Photo (2020, 2021 & 2022). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Tramore New Year's Day Chase is Darragh O'Keeffe (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Tramore New Year's Day Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Townend | 8-5-6 | +0.59 | -0.24 |
| Darragh O'Keeffe | 3-2-2 | +11.00 | +6.50 |
| Rachael Blackmore | 4-1-2 | -1.25 | -0.31 |
| Michael O'Sullivan | 1-1-1 | +9.00 | +5.63 |
| Brian Hayes | 6-0-0 | -6.00 | -4.00 |
| Danny Mullins | 4-0-2 | -4.00 | -2.14 |
| Jack Kennedy | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -0.30 |
| Phillip Enright | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
| Mark Walsh | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
| Miss E A Lalor | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | +0.50 |
2027 Tramore New Year's Day Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, F, 2, F, 1, (3, 7), (4, PU), 5, 1, (1, 2), 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, (1, 5)
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (67%) - Within the first 4 of the market
- 20 / 20 (69%) - Ran in 1 - 11 races (Going)
- 20 / 20 (71%) - No bigger than 12/1
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Fewer than 3 races (Class)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Achieved an RPR of 139+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - No older than a 10yo
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Highest Placed is not G3/LST/Cl3
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Had 3 - 15 placings (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Held an OR of 132+
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Furthest ran 2m5f - 3m6f
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Had 3 - 10 wins (Career)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 50/1 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - No more than -10lbs (Vs Max Weight)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 65+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 25/1 (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Tramore racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Tramore New Year's Day Chase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Tramore New Year's Day Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
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Tramore New Year's Day Chase Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +14.42, is when runners had 1 career start over the trip.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 1 (G3), when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-21.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Tramore New Year's Day Chase is Punchestown; there have been a total of 9 winners of this race who ran at Punchestown last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 115 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 10 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Tramore New Year's Day Chase:
- Bucks Boum (4 Wins)
- Hubbly Bubbly (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Tramore New Year's Day Chase despite multiple attempts:
- Moscow Society (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Presenting (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was The Fonze in 2010, winning for Eoin Doyle at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of J R Barry. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 10 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2027 Tramore New Year's Day Chase, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Route to the Tramore New Year's Day Chase
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Tramore New Year's Day Chase. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Heart Wood Punchestown - 4th of 10 (10/1) | John Durkan Memorial Chase |
| 2025 - Embassy Gardens Punchestown - PU of 7 (7/2) | Punchestown Champion Novice Chase |
| 2024 - Jungle Boogie Cork - 4th of 6 (25/1) | Bar One Racing Hilly Way Chase |
| 2023 - Minella Indo Punchestown - PU of 9 (9/1) | Punchestown Gold Cup |
| 2022 - Al Boum Photo Punchestown - 2nd of 6 (6/4) | Punchestown Gold Cup |
| 2021 - Al Boum Photo Cheltenham - 1st of 12 (10/3) | Cheltenham Gold Cup |
| 2020 - Al Boum Photo Punchestown - 2nd of 8 (7/4) | Punchestown Gold Cup |
| 2019 - Al Boum Photo Punchestown - RO of 11 (11/2) | Punchestown Champion Novice Chase |
| 2018 - Bachasson Thurles - 1st of 4 (8/11) | Boomerang Animal Bedding And Boomerang Horse & Country Store Chase |
| 2017 - Champagne West Gowran Park - 3rd of 5 (7/2) | Gowran Park Thanks To All Our Customers In 2016 Chase |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Tramore New Year's Day Chase Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
