2023 Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis

In July 2015 it was announced that the Cheltenham Festival would be benefiting from a new novice hurdle race restricted to just mares and fillies. This Grade 2 race is run over 2m1f on the new course.

2023 Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle Preview

In July 2015 it was announced that the Cheltenham Festival would be benefiting from a new novice hurdle race restricted to just mares and fillies with the introduction of the Dawn Run Mares Novice Hurdle which for sponsorship purposes is known as the Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle.

This Grade 2 race is run over 2m1f on the new course and it is expected that Willie Mullins, who has dominated the Mares' Hurdle previously sponsored by OLBG, will be the trainer to follow, especially after winning the inaugural event with Limini and then the following four renewals with Let's Dance (2017), Laurina (2018), Eglantine Du Seuil (2019) and Concertista (2020).

Just seven renewals mean we have limited data regards any trends forming but nonetheless we have added some pointers below and our expert tipsters via the OLBG forum will add their take on the race. Be sure to head over to the Best Bookie for Cheltenham before placing any of your bets to make sure you get the most out of your betting.

Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle Content:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Cheltenham Betting Picks on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

When looking over the past 7 renewals, a time of 3:58.00 was set by Limini in 2016, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by W P Mullins and ridden by R Walsh. The slowest winning time was set in 2018 when Laurina won in a time of 4:15.40, booked to ride was Paul Townend on this W P Mullins trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle over the last 7 renewals:

  • 2016 - Limini (3:58.00)
  • 2017 - Lets Dance (4:02.00)
  • 2019 - Eglantine Du Seuil (4:02.74)

How competitive is the Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 7 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 120%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 133%, whilst on average over the last 7 renewals of the Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle, the over-round has been 126%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £126 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 7 if you had followed the winner of the Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle next time out then you would have back a total of 2 winners. Backing all 6 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -2.32. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2023 Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle.

Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle past winners for the last 7 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
4:08.26
Love Envoi (IRE)
6yo 11-7 15/2
Jonathan Burke
Harry Fry (GB)
2021
4:03.06
Telmesomethinggirl (IRE)
6yo 11-2 5/1
Rachael Blackmore
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2020
4:09.02
Concertista (FR)
6yo 11-2 9/2
Daryl Jacob
W P Mullins (IRE)
2019
4:02.74
Eglantine Du Seuil (FR)
5yo 11-2 50/1
Noel Fehily
W P Mullins (IRE)
2018
4:15.40
Laurina (FR)
5yo 11-7 4/7F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2017
4:02.00
Lets Dance (FR)
5yo 11-7 11/8F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2016
3:58.00
Limini (IRE)
5yo 11-7 8/11F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle have been based:

  • IRE: 6 winners with an additional 8 placings from 66 runners
  • GB: 1 winner with an additional 6 placings from 55 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners

Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle over the last 7 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race 5 times. Those 5 winners came from Limini (2016), Lets Dance (2017), Laurina (2018), Eglantine Du Seuil (2019) & Concertista (2020). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle, Nicky Henderson has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 7 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
W P Mullins 29-5-8 +33.18 +6.15
Henry De Bromhead 7-1-2 -1.00 -0.30
Harry Fry 2-1-1 +6.50 +2.75
Nicky Henderson 11-0-2 -11.00 -10.00
Gordon Elliott 8-0-2 -8.00 -7.00
Alan King 6-0-2 -6.00 -5.00
Dan Skelton 3-0-0 -3.00 -3.00
Joseph Patrick O'Brien 2-0-1 -2.00 -0.30
Stuart Edmunds 2-0-0 -2.00 -2.00
Nigel Twiston-Davies 2-0-0 -2.00 -2.00

Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle Jockey Statistics

Here are some of the top Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 7 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Paul Townend 6-1-2 -4.43 -4.16
Rachael Blackmore 5-1-1 +1.00 -1.00
Jonathan Burke 2-1-1 +6.50 +2.75
Daryl Jacob 2-1-1 +3.50 +1.25
Robbie Power 5-0-2 -5.00 -1.80
Danny Mullins 5-0-1 -5.00 -4.50
Harry Skelton 5-0-0 -5.00 -5.00
Nico de Boinville 4-0-1 -4.00 -3.50
B J Cooper 4-0-1 -4.00 -3.50
Mark Walsh 4-0-0 -4.00 -4.00

2023 Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,1,1,9,18,9,9

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 7 / 7 (52%) - Not on SFT or GS (Last Win)
  • 7 / 7 (59%) - In a Class 2 or higher (LTO)
  • 7 / 7 (59%) - Beaten no more 3l (Debut)
  • 7 / 7 (61%) - Ran in FRA or IRE (Debut)
  • 7 / 7 (68%) - Made 2-6 starts (1 Year)
  • 6 / 7 (30%) - Placed in a G3 or better
  • 6 / 7 (50%) - Ran in Ireland (LTO)
  • 6 / 7 (52%) - Made 1-3 starts (180 Days)
  • 6 / 7 (54%) - Won in FR or IRE (Last Win)
  • 6 / 7 (56%) - Won at least a Class 3
  • 6 / 7 (75%) - Wearing no headgear

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.

Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 4+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +36.88 is when runners ran on Good ground when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran on Soft ground when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-46.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle is Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Leopardstown last time out.

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle despite multiple attempts:

  • Flemensfirth (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Getaway (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Martaline (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Midnight Legend (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Yeats (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 7 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Eglantine Du Seuil in 2019 when winning for W P Mullins at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Noel Fehily. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 7 renewals there has been a total of 3 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2023 Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today.

Schedule at the Cheltenham Festival

Have a look at our racing tipsters Cheltenham predictions for the Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle. Next up is the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup, head over to find trends and tips.

Cheltenham Festival races for Tuesday 14th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Supreme Novices Hurdle
Constitution Hill (GB)
5yo - 9/4
Nicky Henderson
Nico de Boinville
14:10 Cheltenham
Arkle Challenge Trophy
Edwardstone (GB)
8yo - 5/2
Alan King
Tom Cannon
14:50 Cheltenham
Ultima Handicap Chase
Corach Rambler (IRE)
8yo - 10/1
Lucinda Russell
Derek Fox
15:30 Cheltenham
Champion Hurdle
Honeysuckle (GB)
8yo - 8/11
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
16:10 Cheltenham
Close Brothers Mares Hurdle
Maries Rock (IRE)
7yo - 18/1
Nicky Henderson
Nico de Boinville
16:50 Cheltenham
Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle
Brazil (IRE)
4yo - 10/1
Padraig Roche
Mark Walsh
17:30 Cheltenham
National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup
Stattler (IRE)
7yo - 2/1
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins

Cheltenham Festival races for Wednesday 15th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Ballymore Novices Hurdle
Sir Gerhard (IRE)
7yo - 8/11
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:10 Cheltenham
Brown Advisory Novices Chase
LHomme Presse (FR)
7yo - 9/4
Venetia Williams
Charlie Deutsch
14:50 Cheltenham
Coral Cup (Link)
Commander Of Fleet (IRE)
8yo - 50/1
Gordon Elliott
Shane Fitzgerald
15:30 Cheltenham
Queen Mother Champion Chase
Energumene (FR)
8yo - 5/2
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
16:10 Cheltenham
Cross Country Chase
Delta Work (FR)
9yo - 5/2
Gordon Elliott
Jack Kennedy
16:50 Cheltenham
Johnny Henderson Grand Annual
Global Citizen (IRE)
10yo - 28/1
Ben Pauling
Kielan Woods
17:30 Cheltenham
Champion Bumper
Facile Vega (IRE)
5yo - 15/8
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins

Cheltenham Festival races for Thursday 16th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Turners Novices Chase
Bob Olinger (IRE)
7yo - 6/5
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
14:10 Cheltenham
Pertemps Network Final
Third Wind (GB)
8yo - 25/1
Hughie Morrison
Tom OBrien
14:50 Cheltenham
Ryanair Chase
Allaho (FR)
8yo - 4/7
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
15:30 Cheltenham
Stayers Hurdle
Flooring Porter (IRE)
7yo - 4/1
Gavin Cromwell
Danny Mullins
16:10 Cheltenham
Festival Plate
Coole Cody (IRE)
11yo - 22/1
Evan Williams
Adam Wedge
16:50 Cheltenham
Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle
Love Envoi (IRE)
6yo - 15/2
Harry Fry
Jonathan Burke
17:30 Cheltenham
Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup
Chambard (FR)
10yo - 40/1
Venetia Williams
Miss Lucy Turner

Cheltenham Festival races for Friday 17th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
JCB Triumph Hurdle
Vauban (FR)
4yo - 6/4
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:10 Cheltenham
County Handicap Hurdle
State Man (FR)
5yo - 11/4
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:50 Cheltenham
Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle
The Nice Guy (IRE)
7yo - 18/1
W P Mullins
Sean OKeeffe
15:30 Cheltenham
Cheltenham Gold Cup
A Plus Tard (FR)
8yo - 3/1
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
16:10 Cheltenham
Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup
Billaway (IRE)
10yo - 13/8
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins
16:50 Cheltenham
Mrs PP Mares Chase
Elimay (FR)
8yo - 9/4
W P Mullins
Mark Walsh
17:30 Cheltenham
Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle
Banbridge (IRE)
6yo - 12/1
Joseph Patrick OBrien
M M McDonagh

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