2023 Turners Novices Chase Trends & Stats Preview

The Turners Novices Chase (registered as the Golden Miller) is a championship race for novices over a distance of two and a half miles on the new course. Ireland has won nine of the twelve renewals.

2023 Turners Novices Chase Trends & Stats Preview

2023 Turners Novices Chase Preview

The Turners Novices Chase (registered as the Golden Miller) is a championship race for novices over a distance of two and a half miles on the new course. Established in 2011, the most successful trainer in the short history is Willie Mullins with four winners and Ireland have won nine of the twelve renewals to date.

Below we have taken a look at the Turners Novices Chase trends and statistics and included via the OLBG forum our expert tipsters guidance in helping you try and find the winner of the Turners Novices Chase. Remember to bookmark the main daily racing tips page for predictions the whole year round and also give the best bookie for Cheltenham a look too.

Turners Novices Chase Content:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Cheltenham Betting Picks on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

The runner that holds the record over the past 12 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2018 renewal when Shattered Love from Gordon Elliott who under the guidance of Jack Kennedy, won in a time of 5:11.80, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Vautour, trained by W P Mullins and ridden by R Walsh set the quickest time of 4:46.30 in the 2015 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Turners Novices Chase over the last 12 renewals:

  • 2015 - Vautour (4:46.30)
  • 2011 - Noble Prince (4:49.82)
  • 2012 - Sir Des Champs (4:52.77)

How competitive is the Turners Novices Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 12 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2020 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 12 renewals of the Turners Novices Chase, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 12 if you had followed the winner of the Turners Novices Chase next time out then you would have back a total of 3 winners. Backing all 11 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -5.93. Before placing your bet on the 2023 Turners Novices Chase see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Turners Novices Chase 19 May @ 21:46 - AntePost
Jonbon 7.00
Constitution Hill 9.00
Sir Gerhard 9.00
Mighty Potter 11.00
El Fabiolo 11.00
Appreciate It 13.00
State Man 13.00
Three Stripe Life 17.00
Dysart Dynamo 21.00
Fil Dor 26.00

Turners Novices Chase Past Winners

Here are the Turners Novices Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Turners Novices Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
5:07.65
Bob Olinger (IRE)
7yo 11-4 6/5
Rachael Blackmore
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2021
5:01.75
Chantry House (IRE)
7yo 11-4 9/1
Nico de Boinville
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2020
5:07.32
Samcro (IRE)
8yo 11-4 4/1
Davy Russell
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2019
4:59.53
Defi Du Seuil (FR)
6yo 11-4 3/1F
Barry Geraghty
Philip Hobbs (GB)
2018
5:11.80
Shattered Love (IRE)
7yo 10-11 4/1
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2017
5:00.20
Yorkhill (IRE)
7yo 11-4 6/4F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2016
4:55.20
Black Hercules (IRE)
7yo 11-4 4/1F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2015
4:46.30
Vautour (FR)
6yo 11-4 6/4F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2014
4:56.72
Taquin Du Seuil (FR)
7yo 11-4 7/1
A P McCoy
Jonjo O'Neill (GB)
2013
5:04.80
Benefficient (IRE)
7yo 11-4 20/1
B J Cooper
A J Martin (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Turners Novices Chase have been based:

  • IRE: 9 winners with an additional 8 placings from 46 runners
  • GB: 3 winners with an additional 14 placings from 68 runners

Turners Novices Chase Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Turners Novices Chase over the last 12 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Sir Des Champs (2012), Vautour (2015), Black Hercules (2016) & Yorkhill (2017). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Turners Novices Chase is Gordon Elliott (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Turners Novices Chase, Paul Nicholls has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Turners Novices Chase trainer statistics over the last 12 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
W P Mullins 25-4-8 -11.00 -7.45
Gordon Elliott 3-2-3 +7.00 +5.20
Nicky Henderson 13-1-5 -3.00 -1.75
Philip Hobbs 5-1-2 -1.00 -1.35
Henry De Bromhead 5-1-2 -2.80 -2.95
Jonjo O'Neill 2-1-1 +6.00 +3.20
A J Martin 1-1-1 +20.00 +12.00
Paul Nolan 1-1-1 +4.00 +2.40
Paul Nicholls 11-0-0 -11.00 -11.00
Nigel Twiston-Davies 6-0-3 -6.00 +7.00

Turners Novices Chase Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Turners Novices Chase over the last 12 renewals is Davy Russell who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Sir Des Champs (2012) & Samcro (2020).

Here are some of the top Turners Novices Chase jockey statistics over the last 12 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Davy Russell 6-2-2 +3.00 +0.20
B J Cooper 5-1-3 +16.00 +9.85
Nico de Boinville 3-1-2 +7.00 +4.70
Jack Kennedy 3-1-2 +2.00 +1.80
Rachael Blackmore 2-1-1 +0.20 -1.00
Daryl Jacob 7-0-4 -7.00 -2.55
Paul Townend 7-0-2 -7.00 -3.30
Sam Twiston-Davies 5-0-2 -5.00 +7.10
Tom Scudamore 5-0-1 -5.00 -4.36
Robbie Power 3-0-1 -3.00 -2.10

2023 Turners Novices Chase Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,2,8,2,4,1,(1,2,F),1,2,1,3,F,F

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 12 / 12 (59%) - Had 4-10 wins (Non-Hcps)
  • 12 / 12 (70%) - Ran in Cl2, Cl4 or Cl5 (Debut)
  • 12 / 12 (70%) - Beaten no more 4l (Debut)
  • 12 / 12 (71%) - Had 1-2 placings (90 Days)
  • 12 / 12 (72%) - Within first 7 of market
  • 12 / 12 (73%) - Off a break of 29-77 days
  • 12 / 12 (73%) - Made 1-6 starts (Course)
  • 12 / 12 (73%) - Placed with last 80 days
  • 12 / 12 (75%) - Made 1-2 starts (90 Days)
  • 12 / 12 (76%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 12 / 12 (85%) - Field of 3-8 runners (LTO)
  • 11 / 12 (75%) - Either a 6yo or 7yo
  • 11 / 12 (75%) - Ran in a graded race (LTO)
  • 11 / 12 (79%) - Made 3-5 starts (Season)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Turners Novices Chase. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Turners Novices Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

Turners Novices Chase Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 6+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +22.50 is when runners ran in a Class 5 on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career starts at the track, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-27.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Turners Novices Chase is Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Leopardstown last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 11 winners from a total of 109 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 5 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Turners Novices Chase:

  • Robin Des Champs (2 Wins)
  • Voix Du Nord (2 Wins)
  • Yeats (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Turners Novices Chase despite multiple attempts:

  • Oscar (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Flemensfirth (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 12 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Benefficient in 2013 when winning for A J Martin at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of B J Cooper. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 12 renewals there has been a total of 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2023 Turners Novices Chase.

Schedule at the Cheltenham Festival

Have a look at our racing tipsters Cheltenham predictions for the Turners Novices Chase. Next up is the Pertemps Network Final, head over to find trends and tips.

Cheltenham Festival races for Tuesday 14th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Supreme Novices Hurdle
Constitution Hill (GB)
5yo - 9/4
Nicky Henderson
Nico de Boinville
14:10 Cheltenham
Arkle Challenge Trophy
Edwardstone (GB)
8yo - 5/2
Alan King
Tom Cannon
14:50 Cheltenham
Ultima Handicap Chase
Corach Rambler (IRE)
8yo - 10/1
Lucinda Russell
Derek Fox
15:30 Cheltenham
Champion Hurdle
Honeysuckle (GB)
8yo - 8/11
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
16:10 Cheltenham
Close Brothers Mares Hurdle
Maries Rock (IRE)
7yo - 18/1
Nicky Henderson
Nico de Boinville
16:50 Cheltenham
Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle
Brazil (IRE)
4yo - 10/1
Padraig Roche
Mark Walsh
17:30 Cheltenham
National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup
Stattler (IRE)
7yo - 2/1
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins

Cheltenham Festival races for Wednesday 15th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Ballymore Novices Hurdle
Sir Gerhard (IRE)
7yo - 8/11
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:10 Cheltenham
Brown Advisory Novices Chase
LHomme Presse (FR)
7yo - 9/4
Venetia Williams
Charlie Deutsch
14:50 Cheltenham
Coral Cup (Link)
Commander Of Fleet (IRE)
8yo - 50/1
Gordon Elliott
Shane Fitzgerald
15:30 Cheltenham
Queen Mother Champion Chase
Energumene (FR)
8yo - 5/2
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
16:10 Cheltenham
Cross Country Chase
Delta Work (FR)
9yo - 5/2
Gordon Elliott
Jack Kennedy
16:50 Cheltenham
Johnny Henderson Grand Annual
Global Citizen (IRE)
10yo - 28/1
Ben Pauling
Kielan Woods
17:30 Cheltenham
Champion Bumper
Facile Vega (IRE)
5yo - 15/8
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins

Cheltenham Festival races for Thursday 16th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Turners Novices Chase
Bob Olinger (IRE)
7yo - 6/5
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
14:10 Cheltenham
Pertemps Network Final
Third Wind (GB)
8yo - 25/1
Hughie Morrison
Tom OBrien
14:50 Cheltenham
Ryanair Chase
Allaho (FR)
8yo - 4/7
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
15:30 Cheltenham
Stayers Hurdle
Flooring Porter (IRE)
7yo - 4/1
Gavin Cromwell
Danny Mullins
16:10 Cheltenham
Festival Plate
Coole Cody (IRE)
11yo - 22/1
Evan Williams
Adam Wedge
16:50 Cheltenham
Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle
Love Envoi (IRE)
6yo - 15/2
Harry Fry
Jonathan Burke
17:30 Cheltenham
Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup
Chambard (FR)
10yo - 40/1
Venetia Williams
Miss Lucy Turner

Cheltenham Festival races for Friday 17th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
JCB Triumph Hurdle
Vauban (FR)
4yo - 6/4
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:10 Cheltenham
County Handicap Hurdle
State Man (FR)
5yo - 11/4
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:50 Cheltenham
Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle
The Nice Guy (IRE)
7yo - 18/1
W P Mullins
Sean OKeeffe
15:30 Cheltenham
Cheltenham Gold Cup
A Plus Tard (FR)
8yo - 3/1
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
16:10 Cheltenham
Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup
Billaway (IRE)
10yo - 13/8
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins
16:50 Cheltenham
Mrs PP Mares Chase
Elimay (FR)
8yo - 9/4
W P Mullins
Mark Walsh
17:30 Cheltenham
Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle
Banbridge (IRE)
6yo - 12/1
Joseph Patrick OBrien
M M McDonagh

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