Turners Novices Chase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Cheltenham Festival)

Updated: 18446 Horse Racing

We look at the Turners Novices Chase ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 2m4f at Cheltenham during the Cheltenham Festival to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends can you use to find the winner of the Turners Novices Chase.

Turners Novices Chase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Cheltenham Festival)
In this article: Preview
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Turners Novices Chase Preview

The Turners Novices Chase (registered as the Golden Miller) is a championship race for novices over a distance of two and a half miles on the new course. Established in 2011, the most successful trainer in the short history is Willie Mullins with four winners and Ireland has won nine of the thirteen renewals to date.

Below we have taken a look at the Turners Novices Chase trends and statistics. Remember to bookmark the main daily racing tips page for predictions the whole year round and also give the best bookie for Cheltenham a look too.

Turners Novices Chase Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Cheltenham tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? We cover every race at the Cheltenham Festival and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday & Friday

How competitive is the Turners Novices Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 13 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2020 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 13 renewals of the Turners Novices Chase, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

Turners Novices Chase Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 13 if you had followed the winner of the Turners Novices Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 13 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -7.93. Ahead of the 2024 Turners Novices Chase why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

When looking over the past 13 renewals, a time of 4:46.30 was set by Vautour in 2015, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by W P Mullins and ridden by R Walsh. The slowest winning time was set in 2018 when Shattered Love won in a time of 5:11.80, booked to ride was Jack Kennedy on this Gordon Elliott trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Turners Novices Chase over the last 13 renewals:

  1. Vautour (4:46.30) in 2015
  2. Noble Prince (4:49.82) in 2011
  3. Sir Des Champs (4:52.77) in 2012
What the expert says...
Just thirteen previous renewals of this race and you ideally are looking for a runner who has a bit of proven speed at this level. There have been 112 runners in the race, 32 of those came into the Turners Novices Chase having not achieved a TS of 95+ in a previous G1 race and those have only filled 3 of the 36 placings. You probably want to set the bar a bit higher too as 11 of the 13 renewals have been won by a runner who achieved a TS of 112+ which covers 64% of the previous runners.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Turners Novices Chase NRNB 02 Mar @ 18:19 - AntePost
Fact To File 2.75
Ginnys Destiny 3.50
Gaelic Warrior 5.00
Facile Vega 5.50
Iroko 6.00
Grey Dawning 7.00
Found A Fifty 11.00
Il Etait Temps 15.00
American Mike 17.00
Imagine 26.00

Turners Novices Chase Past Winners

Here are the Turners Novices Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Turners Novices Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorseInfo
2023
5:01.94
Stage Star (IRE)
7yo 11-7 15/2
Harry Cobden
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2022
5:07.65
Bob Olinger (IRE)
7yo 11-4 6/5
Rachael Blackmore
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2021
5:01.75
Chantry House (IRE)
7yo 11-4 9/1
Nico de Boinville
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2020
5:07.32
Samcro (IRE)
8yo 11-4 4/1
Davy Russell
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2019
4:59.53
Defi Du Seuil (FR)
6yo 11-4 3/1F
Barry Geraghty
Philip Hobbs (GB)
2018
5:11.80
Shattered Love (IRE)
7yo 10-11 4/1
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2017
5:00.20
Yorkhill (IRE)
7yo 11-4 6/4F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2016
4:55.20
Black Hercules (IRE)
7yo 11-4 4/1F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2015
4:46.30
Vautour (FR)
6yo 11-4 6/4F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2014
4:56.72
Taquin Du Seuil (FR)
7yo 11-4 7/1
A P McCoy
Jonjo O'Neill (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Turners Novices Chase have been based:

  • IRE: 9 winners with an additional 8 placings from 49 runners
  • GB: 4 winners with an additional 15 placings from 72 runners

Turners Novices Chase Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Turners Novices Chase over the last 13 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Sir Des Champs (2012), Vautour (2015), Black Hercules (2016) and Yorkhill (2017). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Turners' Novices Chase is Gordon Elliott (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Turners Novices Chase trainer statistics over the last 13 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
W P Mullins27-4-8-13.00-9.45
Gordon Elliott4-2-3+6.00+4.20
Nicky Henderson14-1-5-4.00-2.75
Paul Nicholls12-1-1-3.50-6.31
Philip Hobbs5-1-2-1.00-1.35
Henry De Bromhead5-1-2-2.80-2.95
Jonjo O'Neill2-1-1+6.00+3.20
A J Martin1-1-1+20.00+12.00
Paul Nolan1-1-1+4.00+2.40
Nigel Twiston-Davies6-0-3-6.00+7.00

Turners Novices Chase Jockey Statistics

Here are some of the top Turners Novices Chase jockey statistics over the last 13 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Nico de Boinville4-1-2+6.00+3.70
Harry Cobden3-1-1+5.50+2.69
Jack Kennedy3-1-2+2.00+1.80
Rachael Blackmore2-1-1+0.20-1.00
Daryl Jacob8-0-4-8.00-3.55
Paul Townend8-0-2-8.00-4.30
Sam Twiston-Davies5-0-2-5.00+7.10
Robbie Power3-0-1-3.00-2.10
Harry Skelton3-0-0-3.00-3.00
Mr P W Mullins2-0-1-2.00+0.90

Turners Novices Chase Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 7+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +28.00 is when runners ran in a Class 5 on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 career wins in Non-Handicap races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-28.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Turners Novices Chase is Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Leopardstown last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 12 winners from a total of 116 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 5 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Turners Novices Chase:

  • Robin Des Champs (2 Wins)
  • Voix Du Nord (2 Wins)
  • Yeats (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Turners Novices Chase despite multiple attempts:

  • Martaline (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Oscar (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Flemensfirth (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 13 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Benefficient in 2013, winning for A J Martin at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of B J Cooper. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 13 renewals there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Turners Novices Chase head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

Schedule for Tuesday at the Cheltenham Festival

Prepare for the ROAR of the Cheltenham Festival on the opening day when the tape goes up for the Supreme Novices Hurdle, the feature on Tuesday is the Champion Hurdle.

Race2023 WinnerInfo
13:30 Cheltenham
Supreme Novices Hurdle
Marine Nationale (IRE)
6yo - 9/2
Barry Connell
Michael O'Sullivan
14:10 Cheltenham
Arkle Challenge Trophy
El Fabiolo (FR)
6yo - 11/10
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:50 Cheltenham
Ultima Handicap Chase
Corach Rambler (IRE)
9yo - 6/1
Lucinda Russell
Derek Fox
15:30 Cheltenham
Champion Hurdle
Constitution Hill (GB)
6yo - 4/11
Nicky Henderson
Nico de Boinville
16:10 Cheltenham
Close Brothers Mares Hurdle
Honeysuckle (GB)
9yo - 9/4
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
16:50 Cheltenham
Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle
Jazzy Matty (FR)
4yo - 18/1
Gordon Elliott
Michael O'Sullivan
17:30 Cheltenham
National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup
Gaillard Du Mesnil (FR)
7yo - 10/11
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins

Schedule for Wednesday at the Cheltenham Festival

The dust has settled on the opening day of the Cheltenham Festival and now on to day two. The feature on the second day is the Queen Mother Champion Chase. We also have the cross country scheduled on Wednesday, a race like Marmite, some love it and some don't!

Race2023 WinnerInfo
13:30 Cheltenham
Ballymore Novices Hurdle
Impaire Et Passe (FR)
5yo - 5/2
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:10 Cheltenham
Brown Advisory Novices Chase
The Real Whacker (IRE)
7yo - 8/1
Patrick Neville
Sam Twiston-Davies
14:50 Cheltenham
Coral Cup
Langer Dan (IRE)
7yo - 9/1
Dan Skelton
Harry Skelton
15:30 Cheltenham
Queen Mother Champion Chase
Energumene (FR)
9yo - 6/5
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
16:10 Cheltenham
Cross Country Chase
Delta Work (FR)
10yo - 11/10
Gordon Elliott
Keith Donoghue
16:50 Cheltenham
Johnny Henderson Grand Annual
Maskada (FR)
7yo - 22/1
Henry De Bromhead
Darragh O'Keeffe
17:30 Cheltenham
Champion Bumper
A Dream To Share (IRE)
5yo - 7/2
John E Kiely
Mr J L Gleeson

Schedule for Thursday at the Cheltenham Festival

Halfway through the festival and onto day three where the Stayers Hurdle is the feature race. A hurdle race to test the stamina and see how can last best up the Cheltenham hill.

Race2023 WinnerInfo
13:30 Cheltenham
Turners Novices Chase
Stage Star (IRE)
7yo - 15/2
Paul Nicholls
Harry Cobden
14:10 Cheltenham
Pertemps Network Final
Good Time Jonny (IRE)
8yo - 9/1
A J Martin
Liam McKenna
14:50 Cheltenham
Ryanair Chase
Envoi Allen (FR)
9yo - 13/2
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
15:30 Cheltenham
Stayers Hurdle
Sire Du Berlais (FR)
11yo - 33/1
Gordon Elliott
Mark Walsh
16:10 Cheltenham
Festival Plate
Seddon (IRE)
10yo - 20/1
John C McConnell
Ben Harvey
16:50 Cheltenham
Mares Novices Hurdle
You Wear It Well (GB)
6yo - 16/1
Jamie Snowden
Gavin Sheehan
17:30 Cheltenham
Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup
Angels Dawn (IRE)
8yo - 10/1
S Curling
Mr P A King

Schedule for Friday at the Cheltenham Festival

The final day of the festival and feature race that we have all been waiting for, the Cheltenham Gold Cup in which the Irish have been fairly dominant in recent years.

Race2023 WinnerInfo
13:30 Cheltenham
Triumph Hurdle
Lossiemouth (FR)
4yo - 11/8
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:10 Cheltenham
County Handicap Hurdle
Faivoir (FR)
8yo - 33/1
Dan Skelton
Bridget Andrews
14:50 Cheltenham
Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle
Stay Away Fay (IRE)
6yo - 18/1
Paul Nicholls
Harry Cobden
15:30 Cheltenham
Cheltenham Gold Cup
Galopin Des Champs (FR)
7yo - 7/5
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
16:10 Cheltenham
Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup
Premier Magic (IRE)
10yo - 66/1
Bradley Gibbs
Mr Bradley Gibbs
16:50 Cheltenham
Mrs Paddy Power Mares Chase
Impervious (IRE)
7yo - 15/8
C A Murphy
Brian Hayes
17:30 Cheltenham
Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle
Iroko (FR)
5yo - 6/1
Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
Aidan Kelly

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Turners Novices Chase Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.

Darren Brett

Darren Brett

Tipster competition manager

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for jump racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful national hunt racing blogs for OLBG.

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