Hardwicke Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)

Updated: 1472 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the Hardwicke Stakes will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the Hardwicke Stakes, a race run over 1m4f at Ascot during the Royal Ascot.

Hardwicke Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Hardwicke Stakes Preview

The Hardwicke Stakes is a Group 2 race established in 1879 and is run at the Royal Ascot meeting which takes place in June. The race is open to runners who are aged four years old or older and is run over a trip just shy of one mile and four furlongs with fillies or mares who are entered in the race receive a 3lb sex allowance.

Watch out for those who run well in this race and then return to run in the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes, the 2010 winner Harbinger won both races.

Hardwicke Stakes Information:

We also have a dedicated Royal Ascot tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Schedule at Royal Ascot section for links to these.

How competitive is the Hardwicke Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2011 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 120%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Hardwicke Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

Hardwicke Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Hardwicke Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -8.10. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Hardwicke Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:26.28 was set by Bandari in 2005, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Mark Johnston and ridden by Willie Supple. The slowest winning time was set in 2011 when Await The Dawn won in a time of 2:38.40, booked to ride was Ryan Moore on this A P O'Brien trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Hardwicke Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2005 - Bandari (2:26.28)
  • 2004 - Doyen (2:26.53)
  • 2010 - Harbinger (2:27.36)

Hardwicke Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Hardwicke Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Hardwicke Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
2:29.60
Pyledriver (GB)
6yo 9-3 (5 of 7) 7/2
P J McDonald
William Muir & Chris Grassick (GB)
2022
2:30.07
Broome (IRE)
6yo 9-3 (7 of 7) 6/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2021
2:35.31
Wonderful Tonight (FR)
4yo 8-12 (11 of 10) 5/1
William Buick
David Menuisier (GB)
2020
2:34.49
Fanny Logan (IRE)
4yo 8-12 (8 of 9) 17/2
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2019
2:31.09
Defoe (IRE)
5yo 9-1 (7 of 8) 11/4F
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Varian (GB)
2018
2:28.08
Crystal Ocean (GB)
4yo 9-1 (4 of 5) 4/7F
Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2017
2:28.94
Idaho (IRE)
4yo 9-1 (7 of 12) 9/2
Seamie Heffernan
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016
2:32.06
Dartmouth (GB)
4yo 9-1 (4 of 9) 10/1
Olivier Peslier
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2015
2:31.51
Snow Sky (GB)
4yo 9-1 (2 of 7) 12/1
Pat Smullen
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2014
2:27.45
Telescope (IRE)
4yo 9-1 (8 of 10) 7/4F
Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Hardwicke Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 16 winners with an additional 28 placings from 148 runners
  • IRE: 4 winners with an additional 3 placings from 19 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
  • CZE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner

Hardwicke Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Hardwicke Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute who has won the race eight times with those eight winners coming from Maraahel (2006 & 2007), Harbinger (2010), Sea Moon (2012), Telescope (2014), Snow Sky (2015), Dartmouth (2016) and Crystal Ocean (2018). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Hardwicke Stakes are A P O'Brien (4 wins) and John Gosden (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Hardwicke Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Sir Michael Stoute 29-8-13 +14.88 +6.08
A P O'Brien 16-4-7 +0.55 -1.90
John Gosden 10-2-4 +8.50 +3.95
Saeed bin Suroor 13-1-2 -10.80 -10.55
Mark Johnston 10-1-2 +1.00 -1.25
Roger Varian 8-1-3 -4.25 -1.75
David Menuisier 1-1-1 +5.00 +3.00
William Muir & Chris Grassick 1-1-1 +3.50 +2.19
Ed Dunlop 5-0-2 -5.00 +1.03
William Haggas 5-0-1 -5.00 -3.30

Hardwicke Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Hardwicke Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race six times with those six winners coming from Harbinger (2010), Await The Dawn (2011), Sea Moon (2012), Telescope (2014), Crystal Ocean (2018) and Broome (2022). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Hardwicke Stakes is Frankie Dettori (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Hardwicke Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 16-6-7 +2.72 -1.48
Frankie Dettori 10-2-6 +1.70 +2.00
William Buick 8-1-2 -2.00 -2.70
Andrea Atzeni 6-1-3 -2.25 +0.25
Seamie Heffernan 3-1-2 +2.50 +1.80
Olivier Peslier 2-1-1 +9.00 +5.00
P J McDonald 1-1-1 +3.50 +2.19
James Doyle 8-0-1 -8.00 -3.37
Oisin Murphy 5-0-2 -5.00 +2.50
Jim Crowley 5-0-2 -5.00 -2.51

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 5, 2, 2, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, SU, 1, 6, 8, 4, 1, 1, 5, 2, 3, 5

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (64%) - No bigger than 12/1
  • 20 / 20 (71%) - Achieved an RPR of 108+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (72%) - Highest Won is not LST/Cl2-5
  • 20 / 20 (73%) - Within the first 6 of market
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Beaten no more -7¼l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - Had 4 - 13 placings (Non-Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Ran over 7f - 1m1f (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Ran over 1m2½f - 1m6f (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Had 1 - 4 wins (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Fewer than 3 starts (Further)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 112+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Not CH/RG in colour
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Not in a Cl2-5 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved a TS of 82+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Made 1 - 8 starts (1 Year)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Hardwicke Stakes. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Hardwicke Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Hardwicke Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +35.53 is when runners had a furthest trip run of 1m6½f. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were chestnut in colour, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-28.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 5 (7) [7 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 7 (2) [7 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 11 (9,6) [10 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 8 (1,5) [9 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 7 (3,9) [8 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Hardwicke Stakes is Epsom, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Epsom last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Chester, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Chester last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 159 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 10 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Hardwicke Stakes:

  • Alzao (2 Wins)
  • Dansili (2 Wins)
  • Galileo (2 Wins)
  • Sea The Stars (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Hardwicke Stakes, that stallion is Frankel who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Snow Sky in 2015, winning for Sir Michael Stoute at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of Pat Smullen. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 8 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 18th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 19th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 20th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Friday 21st June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 22nd June 2024

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