Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Hardwicke Stakes Preview
The Hardwicke Stakes is a Group 2 race established in 1879 and is run at the Royal Ascot meeting which takes place in June.
The race is open to runners who are aged four years old or older and is run over a trip just shy of one mile and four furlongs with fillies or mares who are entered in the race receive a 3lb sex allowance.
Watch out for those who run well in this race and then return to run in the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes, the 2010 winner Harbinger won both races.
Hardwicke Stakes Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Royal Ascot tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? We cover every race at Royal Ascot and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday & Saturday. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Ascot during the flat season, you can find links to those here.
How competitive is the Hardwicke Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2011 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 120%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Hardwicke Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.
Hardwicke Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Hardwicke Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -10.20. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Hardwicke Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Bandari, trained by Mark Johnston and ridden by Willie Supple who set the fastest winning time in the Hardwicke Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 2:26.28 when winning the race in 2005. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer A P O'Brien and jockey Ryan Moore with Await The Dawn who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 2:38.40 in the 2011 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Hardwicke Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Bandari (2:26.28) in 2005
- Harbinger (2:27.36) in 2010
- Telescope (2:27.45) in 2014
Hardwicke Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Hardwicke Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Hardwicke Stakes and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:32.19 | Isle Of Jura (GB) 4yo 9-3 (5 of 9) 16/1 | Callum Shepherd George Scott (GB) |
| 2023 2:29.60 | Pyledriver (GB) 6yo 9-3 (5 of 7) 7/2 | P J McDonald William Muir & Chris Grassick (GB) |
| 2022 2:30.07 | Broome (IRE) 6yo 9-3 (7 of 7) 6/1 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2021 2:35.31 | Wonderful Tonight (FR) 4yo 8-12 (11 of 10) 5/1 | William Buick David Menuisier (GB) |
| 2020 2:34.49 | Fanny Logan (IRE) 4yo 8-12 (8 of 9) 17/2 | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2019 2:31.09 | Defoe (IRE) 5yo 9-1 (7 of 8) 11/4F | Andrea Atzeni Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2018 2:28.08 | Crystal Ocean (GB) 4yo 9-1 (4 of 5) 4/7F | Ryan Moore Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2017 2:28.94 | Idaho (IRE) 4yo 9-1 (7 of 12) 9/2 | Seamie Heffernan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 2:32.06 | Dartmouth (GB) 4yo 9-1 (4 of 9) 10/1 | Olivier Peslier Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2015 2:31.51 | Snow Sky (GB) 4yo 9-1 (2 of 7) 12/1 | Pat Smullen Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Hardwicke Stakes have been based:
- GB: 16 winners with an additional 28 placings from 146 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 3 placings from 22 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 2 runners
- CZE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
- USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Hardwicke Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Hardwicke Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute who has won the race eight times with those eight winners coming from Maraahel (2006 & 2007), Harbinger (2010), Sea Moon (2012), Telescope (2014), Snow Sky (2015), Dartmouth (2016) and Crystal Ocean (2018). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Hardwicke Stakes are A P O'Brien (4 wins) and John Gosden (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Hardwicke Stakes, Saeed bin Suroor has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Hardwicke Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sir Michael Stoute | 28-8-13 | +15.88 | +7.08 |
| A P O'Brien | 17-4-7 | -0.45 | -2.90 |
| John Gosden | 10-2-4 | +8.50 | +3.95 |
| Roger Varian | 8-1-3 | -4.25 | -1.75 |
| George Scott | 1-1-1 | +16.00 | +9.60 |
| David Menuisier | 1-1-1 | +5.00 | +3.00 |
| William Muir & Chris Grassick | 1-1-1 | +3.50 | +2.19 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 11-0-1 | -11.00 | -10.30 |
| William Haggas | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -5.30 |
| Ed Dunlop | 5-0-2 | -5.00 | +1.03 |
Hardwicke Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Hardwicke Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race six times with those six winners coming from Harbinger (2010), Await The Dawn (2011), Sea Moon (2012), Telescope (2014), Crystal Ocean (2018) and Broome (2022).
Here are some of the top Hardwicke Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 17-6-7 | +1.72 | -2.48 |
| Frankie Dettori | 9-1-5 | +0.50 | +1.25 |
| William Buick | 9-1-2 | -3.00 | -3.70 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 6-1-3 | -2.25 | +0.25 |
| Seamie Heffernan | 3-1-2 | +2.50 | +1.80 |
| Callum Shepherd | 1-1-1 | +16.00 | +9.60 |
| P J McDonald | 1-1-1 | +3.50 | +2.19 |
| James Doyle | 9-0-1 | -9.00 | -4.37 |
| Oisin Murphy | 6-0-3 | -6.00 | +2.22 |
| Jim Crowley | 5-0-2 | -5.00 | -2.51 |
2025 Hardwicke Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, 2, 2, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, SU, 1, 6, 8, 4, 1, 1, 5, 2, 3, 5, 5
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (70%) - Achieved an RPR of 108+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 20 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Ran over 7f - 1m½f (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Beaten no more -7¼l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Had 4 - 13 placings (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Fewer than 3 races (Further)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Furthest Won 1m2½f - 1m6f
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 93+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 112+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 82+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Not CH/RG in colour
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Not in a Cl2-5 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Had 1 - 7 wins (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Highest Won is not Cl2-5
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Hardwicke Stakes. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Hardwicke Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Hardwicke Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +33.53 is when runners had a furthest trip run of 1m6½f. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were Chestnut in colour, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-28.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 5 (1,8) [9 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 5 (7) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 7 (2) [7 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 11 (9,6) [10 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 8 (1,5) [9 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Hardwicke Stakes are Chester and Epsom, there has been a total number of 5 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 162 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 10 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Hardwicke Stakes:
- Alzao (2 Wins)
- Dansili (2 Wins)
- Galileo (2 Wins)
- Sea The Stars (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Hardwicke Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Frankel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Isle Of Jura in 2024, winning for George Scott at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Callum Shepherd. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Hardwicke Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Schedule for Tuesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The five-day Royal Ascot meeting kicks off on Tuesday with three Group 1 events on the seven-race card with the Queen Anne Stakes, King Charles II Stakes and St James's Palace Stakes all part of the British Champions Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Queen Anne Stakes | Charyn (IRE) 4yo - 100/30 | Roger Varian Silvestre De Sousa |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Coventry Stakes | Rashabar (IRE) 2yo - 80/1 | Brian Meehan Billy Loughnane |
| 15:45 Royal Ascot King Charles III Stakes | Asfoora (AUS) 5yo - 5/1 | Henry Dwyer Oisin Murphy |
| 16:25 Royal Ascot St James's Palace Stakes | Rosallion (IRE) 3yo - 5/2 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| 17:05 Royal Ascot Ascot Stakes | Pledgeofallegiance (IRE) 4yo - 20/1 | Sir Mark Prescott Bt Luke Morris |
| 17:40 Royal Ascot Wolferton Stakes | Israr (GB) 5yo - 11/4 | John & Thady Gosden Jim Crowley |
| 18:15 Royal Ascot Copper Horse Stakes | Belloccio (FR) 6yo - 4/1 | W P Mullins William Buick |
Schedule for Wednesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The feature race on the second day of Royal Ascot is the Prince of Wales's Stakes, a race which carries a prize fund of £1m and is part of the British Champions Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Queen Mary Stakes | Leovanni (IRE) 2yo - 22/1 | K R Burke James Doyle |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Queen's Vase | Illinois (IRE) 3yo - 7/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:45 Royal Ascot Duke of Cambridge Stakes | Running Lion (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | John & Thady Gosden Oisin Murphy |
| 16:25 Royal Ascot Prince of Wales's Stakes | Auguste Rodin (IRE) 4yo - 13/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 17:05 Royal Ascot Royal Hunt Cup | Wild Tiger (GB) 5yo - 11/2 | Saeed bin Suroor Oisin Murphy |
| 17:40 Royal Ascot Kensington Palace Stakes | Doha (GB) 4yo - 10/1 | Ralph Beckett Hector Crouch |
| 18:15 Royal Ascot Windsor Castle Stakes | Aint Nobody (IRE) 2yo - 5/1 | Kevin Ryan Jamie Spencer |
Schedule for Thursday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
There are a couple of decent handicaps on the third day of Royal Ascot, the highlight of the day though is the Ascot Gold Cup, a Group 1 marathon for the flat runners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Norfolk Stakes | Shareholder (USA) 2yo - 12/1 | K R Burke James Doyle |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot King George V Stakes | Going The Distance (IRE) 3yo - 9/1 | Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan |
| 15:45 Royal Ascot Ribblesdale Stakes | Port Fairy (IRE) 3yo - 12/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:25 Royal Ascot Ascot Gold Cup | Kyprios (IRE) 6yo - 11/10 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 17:05 Royal Ascot Britannia Stakes | Mickley (IRE) 3yo - 15/2 | Edward Bethell Callum Rodriguez |
| 17:40 Royal Ascot Hampton Court Stakes | Jayarebe (FR) 3yo - 7/1 | Brian Meehan Sean Levey |
| 18:15 Royal Ascot Buckingham Palace Stakes | English Oak (GB) 4yo - 100/30 | Ed Walker James Doyle |
Schedule for Friday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
A couple of British Champions Series races on the Friday at Royal Ascot, the Commonwealth Cup over six furlongs and then the Coronation Stakes over just shy of a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Albany Stakes | Fairy Godmother (IRE) 2yo - 15/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Commonwealth Cup | Inisherin (GB) 3yo - 9/4 | Kevin Ryan Tom Eaves |
| 15:45 Royal Ascot Coronation Stakes | Porta Fortuna (IRE) 3yo - 7/2 | Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Tom Marquand |
| 16:25 Royal Ascot Duke of Edinburgh Stakes | Crystal Black (IRE) 6yo - 11/1 | Gerard Keane Colin Keane |
| 17:05 Royal Ascot Sandringham Stakes | Soprano (IRE) 3yo - 14/1 | George Boughey Billy Loughnane |
| 17:40 Royal Ascot King Edward VII Stakes | Calandagan (IRE) 3yo - 11/2 | F-H Graffard Stephane Pasquier |
| 18:15 Royal Ascot Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes | Pilgrim (GB) 3yo - 18/1 | David & Nicola Barron Joe Fanning |
Schedule for Saturday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The final day of Royal Ascot is all about the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, a Group 1 race run over six furlongs which is part of the British Champions Series and carries a prize fund of £1m.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Chesham Stakes | Bedtime Story (IRE) 2yo - 11/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Hardwicke Stakes | Isle Of Jura (GB) 4yo - 16/1 | George Scott Callum Shepherd |
| 15:45 Royal Ascot Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes | Khaadem (IRE) 8yo - 14/1 | Charles Hills Oisin Murphy |
| 16:25 Royal Ascot Jersey Stakes | Haatem (IRE) 3yo - 7/2 | Richard Hannon James Doyle |
| 17:05 Royal Ascot Wokingham Stakes | Unequal Love (GB) 4yo - 12/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 17:40 Royal Ascot Golden Gates Stakes | Hand Of God (GB) 3yo - 9/4 | Harry Charlton William Buick |
| 18:15 Royal Ascot Queen Alexandra Stakes | Uxmal (IRE) 5yo - 2/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Hardwicke Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Other Principal Races at Ascot Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Ascot racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in January
Races in February
Races in May
Races in July
Races in August (Shergar Cup)
- Shergar Cup Challenge
- Shergar Cup Classic
- Shergar Cup Dash
- Shergar Cup Mile
- Shergar Cup Sprint
- Shergar Cup Stayers
Races in October (Champions Day)
- Balmoral Handicap
- British Champion Stakes
- British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes
- British Champions Long Distance Cup
- British Champions Sprint Stakes
- Queen Elizabeth II Stakes
Races in November
Races in December
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