You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Hardwicke Stakes Preview
The Hardwicke Stakes is a Group 2 race established in 1879 and is run at the Royal Ascot meeting, which takes place in June.
The race is open to runners who are four years old or older and is run over a trip just shy of one mile and four furlongs. Fillies or mares who are entered in the race receive a 3lb sex allowance.
Watch out for those who run well in this race and then return to run in the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes. The 2010 winner, Harbinger, won both races.
Hardwicke Stakes Information:
We also have a dedicated Royal Ascot tips page that will cover this race, as well as all the other races on the day. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. We cover every race at Royal Ascot, and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday & Saturday. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Ascot during the flat season; you can find links to those here.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Hardwicke Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023, when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2025 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Hardwicke Stakes, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Hardwicke Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Hardwicke Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Hardwicke Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Harbinger (2:27.36) in 2010
- Telescope (2:27.45) in 2014
- Bronze Cannon (2:27.59) in 2009
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Hardwicke Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -10.20. Before placing your bet on the 2027 Hardwicke Stakes, see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2011 renewal when Await The Dawn from A P O'Brien under the guidance of Ryan Moore, won in a time of 2:38.40, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Harbinger, trained by Sir Michael Stoute and ridden by Ryan Moore set the quickest time of 2:27.36 in the 2010 renewal.
Hardwicke Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Hardwicke Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Hardwicke Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 2:27.91 | Giavellotto (IRE) 7yo 9-3 (4 of 12) 9/1 | Oisin Murphy Marco Botti (GB) |
| 2025 2:28.23 | Rebels Romance (IRE) 7yo 9-3 (11 of 12) 6/4F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2024 2:32.19 | Isle Of Jura (GB) 4yo 9-3 (5 of 9) 16/1 | Callum Shepherd George Scott (GB) |
| 2023 2:29.60 | Pyledriver (GB) 6yo 9-3 (5 of 7) 7/2 | P J McDonald William Muir & Chris Grassick (GB) |
| 2022 2:30.07 | Broome (IRE) 6yo 9-3 (7 of 7) 6/1 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2021 2:35.31 | Wonderful Tonight (FR) 4yo 8-12 (11 of 10) 5/1 | William Buick David Menuisier (GB) |
| 2020 2:34.49 | Fanny Logan (IRE) 4yo 8-12 (8 of 9) 17/2 | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2019 2:31.09 | Defoe (IRE) 5yo 9-1 (7 of 8) 11/4F | Andrea Atzeni Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2018 2:28.08 | Crystal Ocean (GB) 4yo 9-1 (4 of 5) 4/7F | Ryan Moore Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2017 2:28.94 | Idaho (IRE) 4yo 9-1 (7 of 12) 9/2 | Seamie Heffernan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Hardwicke Stakes have been based:
- GB: 16 winners with an additional 27 placings from 150 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 4 placings from 26 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 3 placings from 4 runners
- CZE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
- USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2026 Hardwicke Stakes Replay
Hardwicke Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Hardwicke Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute, who has won the race seven times, with those seven winners coming from Maraahel (2007), Harbinger (2010), Sea Moon (2012), Telescope (2014), Snow Sky (2015), Dartmouth (2016) and Crystal Ocean (2018). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Hardwicke Stakes are A P O'Brien (4 wins) and John Gosden (2 wins). Two trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Hardwicke Stakes. William Haggas has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins, whilst Saeed bin Suroor has sent out 10 without a winner.
Here are some of the top Hardwicke Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sir Michael Stoute | 23-7-10 | +15.38 | +6.53 |
| A P O'Brien | 18-4-7 | -1.45 | -3.90 |
| John Gosden | 9-2-4 | +9.50 | +4.95 |
| Roger Varian | 8-1-3 | -4.25 | -1.75 |
| Marco Botti | 5-1-2 | +5.00 | +2.90 |
| Charlie Appleby | 3-1-1 | -0.50 | -1.10 |
| George Scott | 2-1-1 | +15.00 | +8.60 |
| David Menuisier | 2-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.00 |
| William Muir & Chris Grassick | 1-1-1 | +3.50 | +2.19 |
| William Haggas | 11-0-1 | -11.00 | -9.30 |
Hardwicke Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Hardwicke Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race six times, with those six winners coming from Harbinger (2010), Await The Dawn (2011), Sea Moon (2012), Telescope (2014), Crystal Ocean (2018) and Broome (2022). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Hardwicke Stakes is William Buick (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Hardwicke Stakes; James Doyle has ridden 11 runners in the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Hardwicke Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 19-6-7 | -0.28 | -4.48 |
| William Buick | 11-2-3 | -2.50 | -3.80 |
| Oisin Murphy | 8-1-4 | +2.00 | +6.62 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 6-1-3 | -2.25 | +0.25 |
| Seamie Heffernan | 3-1-2 | +2.50 | +1.80 |
| P J McDonald | 2-1-1 | +2.50 | +1.19 |
| Callum Shepherd | 1-1-1 | +16.00 | +9.60 |
| James Doyle | 11-0-1 | -11.00 | -6.37 |
| Jim Crowley | 6-0-2 | -6.00 | -3.51 |
| Tom Queally | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
2027 Hardwicke Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, SU, 1, 6, 8, 4, 1, 1, 5, 2, 3, 5, 5, 1, 2
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (68%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 20 / 20 (70%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 20 / 20 (70%) - Achieved an RPR of 108+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Beaten no more -7¼l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Furthest Won 1m2½f - 1m6f
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Had 4 - 18 placings (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 112+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 82+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Not in a Cl2-5 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 93+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Had 1 - 7 wins (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Carried 124 - 135lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Highest Won is not Cl2-5
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in AUS/CAN/FRA/HKG/USA (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Ran over 1m2f - 1m6f (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Hardwicke Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Hardwicke Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2027 Hardwicke Stakes Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Hardwicke Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.
Hardwicke Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +17.72, is when runners last win was 1 start ago.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 wins in the past year, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-28.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 4 (2,10) [12 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 11 (7,2) [12 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 5 (1,8) [9 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 5 (7) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 7 (2) [7 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Hardwicke Stakes are Epsom and Chester; there have been a total of 4 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 170 runners, while female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 12 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Hardwicke Stakes:
- Dansili (2 Wins)
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
- Galileo (2 Wins)
- Sea The Stars (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Hardwicke Stakes; that stallion is Frankel, who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Isle Of Jura in 2024, winning for George Scott at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Callum Shepherd. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 8 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2027 Hardwicke Stakes, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Route to the Hardwicke Stakes
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Hardwicke Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Giavellotto Meydan - 3rd of 6 (16/1) | Dubai Sheema Classic |
| 2025 - Rebels Romance York - 1st of 5 (11/10) | Yorkshire Cup |
| 2024 - Isle Of Jura Goodwood - 1st of 6 (6/1) | William Hill Festival Stakes |
| 2023 - Pyledriver Ascot - 1st of 6 (18/1) | King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes |
| 2022 - Broome Curragh - 5th of 8 (11/1) | Tattersalls Gold Cup |
| 2021 - Wonderful Tonight Ascot - 1st of 12 (4/1) | British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes |
| 2020 - Fanny Logan Haydock - 2nd of 5 (1/1) | Betway Pinnacle Stakes |
| 2019 - Defoe Epsom - 1st of 9 (11/1) | Coronation Cup |
| 2018 - Crystal Ocean Newbury - 1st of 5 (2/5) | Al Rayyan Stakes |
| 2017 - Idaho Epsom - 6th of 10 (11/1) | Coronation Cup |
Schedule for Tuesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The five-day Royal Ascot meeting kicks off on Tuesday with three Group 1 events on the seven-race card, with the Queen Anne Stakes, King Charles III Stakes and St James's Palace Stakes all part of the British Champions Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Queen Anne Stakes | Ten Bob Tony (IRE) 5yo - 50/1 | Ed Walker Kieran Shoemark |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Coventry Stakes | Great Barrier Reef (IRE) 2yo - 6/1 | A P O'Brien Wayne Lordan |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot King Charles III Stakes | Mission Central (IRE) 3yo - 14/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot St James's Palace Stakes | Bow Echo (IRE) 3yo - 5/6 | George Boughey Billy Loughnane |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Ascot Stakes | Kizlyar (IRE) 4yo - 25/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien J M Sheridan |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Wolferton Stakes | Map Of Stars (GB) 5yo - 13/2 | F-H Graffard James McDonald |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Copper Horse Stakes | Daiquiri Bay (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | Alan King Rossa Ryan |
Schedule for Wednesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The feature race on the second day of Royal Ascot is the Prince of Wales's Stakes, a race which carries a prize fund of £1m and is part of the British Champions Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Queen Mary Stakes | Victorious (IRE) 2yo - 100/30 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Queen's Vase | Limestone (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Duke of Cambridge Stakes | Blue Bolt (IRE) 4yo - 5/2 | Andrew Balding Colin Keane |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Prince of Wales's Stakes | Ombudsman (IRE) 5yo - 11/10 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Royal Hunt Cup | Rogue Diplomat (IRE) 4yo - 28/1 | James Owen Harry Davies |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Kensington Palace Stakes | Alobayyah (GB) 4yo - 11/4 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Windsor Castle Stakes | King Of Cloughan (IRE) 2yo - 33/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Billy Loughnane |
Schedule for Thursday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
There are a couple of decent handicaps on the third day of Royal Ascot, the highlight of the day, though, is the Ascot Gold Cup, a Group 1 marathon for the flat runners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Chesham Stakes | Nola Soul (USA) 2yo - 11/2 | J A Stack Seamie Heffernan |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot King George V Stakes | Enceladus (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Ribblesdale Stakes | Earth Shot (IRE) 3yo - 4/1 | William Haggas James Doyle |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Ascot Gold Cup | Scandinavia (USA) 4yo - 11/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Britannia Stakes | Moonfall (IRE) 3yo - 13/2 | George Boughey Zac Lloyd |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Hampton Court Stakes | Generic (IRE) 3yo - 18/1 | Andrew Balding James Doyle |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Buckingham Palace Stakes | Mezcala (GB) 4yo - 9/2 | Jack Channon Tom Marquand |
Schedule for Friday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
A couple of British Champions Series races on the Friday at Royal Ascot, the Commonwealth Cup over six furlongs and then the Coronation Stakes over just shy of a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Albany Stakes | Libertango (IRE) 2yo - 6/1 | George Boughey Billy Loughnane |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Commonwealth Cup | Venetian Sun (IRE) 3yo - 11/8 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Duke of Edinburgh Stakes | Opportunity (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | William Haggas James McDonald |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Coronation Stakes | Precise (IRE) 3yo - 8/13 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Sandringham Stakes | Green Carrera (GB) 3yo - 8/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Mickael Barzalona |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot King Edward VII Stakes | Causeway (IRE) 3yo - 1/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes | Bacio (USA) 3yo - 3/1 | Wesley A Ward Juan J Hernandez |
Schedule for Saturday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The final day of Royal Ascot is all about the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, a Group 1 race run over six furlongs, which is part of the British Champions Series and carries a prize fund of £1 million.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Norfolk Stakes | Orthodox (GB) 2yo - 9/2 | Clive Cox Rossa Ryan |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Hardwicke Stakes | Giavellotto (IRE) 7yo - 9/1 | Marco Botti Oisin Murphy |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes | Almeraq (GB) 4yo - 25/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Jersey Stakes | Thesecretadversary (IRE) 3yo - 20/1 | J A Stack Seamie Heffernan |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Wokingham Stakes | Double Rush (IRE) 4yo - 5/1 | Andrew Balding Shane Foley |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Golden Gates Stakes | Lost Boys (IRE) 3yo - 2/1 | David Menuisier James McDonald |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Queen Alexandra Stakes | Illinois (IRE) 5yo - 7/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Hardwicke Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races at Ascot Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Ascot racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in January
Races in February
Races in May
Races in July
- Ascot Heritage Handicap Sprint
- International Stakes Heritage Handicap
- King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes
- Summer Mile Stakes
Races in August (Shergar Cup)
- Shergar Cup Challenge
- Shergar Cup Classic
- Shergar Cup Dash
- Shergar Cup Mile
- Shergar Cup Sprint
- Shergar Cup Stayers
Races in September
Races in October (Champions Day)
- Balmoral Handicap
- British Champion Stakes
- British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes
- British Champions Long Distance Cup
- British Champions Sprint Stakes
- Queen Elizabeth II Stakes
