Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2026 Hardwicke Stakes Preview
The Hardwicke Stakes is a Group 2 race established in 1879 and is run at the Royal Ascot meeting, which takes place in June.
The race is open to runners who are aged four years old or older and is run over a trip just shy of one mile and four furlongs. Fillies or mares who are entered in the race receive a 3lb sex allowance.
Watch out for those who run well in this race and then return to run in the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes, the 2010 winner Harbinger won both races.
Hardwicke Stakes Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Royal Ascot tips on the day of the race. Do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist, or are they predicting other runners? We cover every race at Royal Ascot, and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday & Saturday. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Ascot during the flat season; you can find links to those here.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Hardwicke Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2025 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Hardwicke Stakes, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Hardwicke Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Hardwicke Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Hardwicke Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Harbinger (2:27.36) in 2010
- Telescope (2:27.45) in 2014
- Bronze Cannon (2:27.59) in 2009
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Hardwicke Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 16 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -9.20. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Hardwicke Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:27.36 was set by Harbinger in 2010, which is the quickest time over that period. The runner was trained by Sir Michael Stoute and ridden by Ryan Moore. The slowest winning time was set in 2011 when Await The Dawn won in a time of 2:38.40, booked to ride was Ryan Moore by trainer A P O'Brien.
Hardwicke Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Hardwicke Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Hardwicke Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 2:28.23 | Rebels Romance (IRE) 7yo 9-3 (11 of 12) 6/4F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2024 2:32.19 | Isle Of Jura (GB) 4yo 9-3 (5 of 9) 16/1 | Callum Shepherd George Scott (GB) |
| 2023 2:29.60 | Pyledriver (GB) 6yo 9-3 (5 of 7) 7/2 | P J McDonald William Muir & Chris Grassick (GB) |
| 2022 2:30.07 | Broome (IRE) 6yo 9-3 (7 of 7) 6/1 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2021 2:35.31 | Wonderful Tonight (FR) 4yo 8-12 (11 of 10) 5/1 | William Buick David Menuisier (GB) |
| 2020 2:34.49 | Fanny Logan (IRE) 4yo 8-12 (8 of 9) 17/2 | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2019 2:31.09 | Defoe (IRE) 5yo 9-1 (7 of 8) 11/4F | Andrea Atzeni Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2018 2:28.08 | Crystal Ocean (GB) 4yo 9-1 (4 of 5) 4/7F | Ryan Moore Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2017 2:28.94 | Idaho (IRE) 4yo 9-1 (7 of 12) 9/2 | Seamie Heffernan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 2:32.06 | Dartmouth (GB) 4yo 9-1 (4 of 9) 10/1 | Olivier Peslier Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Hardwicke Stakes have been based:
- GB: 16 winners with an additional 28 placings from 152 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 4 placings from 22 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 2 runners
- CZE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
- USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2025 Hardwicke Stakes Replay
Hardwicke Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Hardwicke Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute, who has won the race eight times, with those eight winners coming from Maraahel (2006 & 2007), Harbinger (2010), Sea Moon (2012), Telescope (2014), Snow Sky (2015), Dartmouth (2016) and Crystal Ocean (2018). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Hardwicke Stakes are A P O'Brien (4 wins) and John Gosden (2 wins). Two trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Hardwicke Stakes. Saeed bin Suroor has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins, whilst William Haggas has sent out 10 without a winner.
Here are some of the top Hardwicke Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sir Michael Stoute | 26-8-12 | +17.88 | +8.08 |
| A P O'Brien | 16-4-7 | +0.55 | -1.90 |
| John Gosden | 10-2-4 | +8.50 | +3.95 |
| Roger Varian | 8-1-3 | -4.25 | -1.75 |
| Charlie Appleby | 3-1-1 | -0.50 | -1.10 |
| David Menuisier | 2-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.00 |
| George Scott | 1-1-1 | +16.00 | +9.60 |
| William Muir & Chris Grassick | 1-1-1 | +3.50 | +2.19 |
| William Haggas | 10-0-1 | -10.00 | -8.30 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 10-0-1 | -10.00 | -9.30 |
Hardwicke Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Hardwicke Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race six times, with those six winners coming from Harbinger (2010), Await The Dawn (2011), Sea Moon (2012), Telescope (2014), Crystal Ocean (2018) and Broome (2022). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Hardwicke Stakes is William Buick (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Hardwicke Stakes; James Doyle has ridden 10 runners in the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Hardwicke Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 18-6-7 | +0.72 | -3.48 |
| William Buick | 10-2-3 | -1.50 | -2.80 |
| Frankie Dettori | 9-1-5 | +0.50 | +1.25 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 6-1-3 | -2.25 | +0.25 |
| Seamie Heffernan | 3-1-2 | +2.50 | +1.80 |
| P J McDonald | 2-1-1 | +2.50 | +1.19 |
| Callum Shepherd | 1-1-1 | +16.00 | +9.60 |
| James Doyle | 10-0-1 | -10.00 | -5.37 |
| Oisin Murphy | 7-0-3 | -7.00 | +1.22 |
| Jim Crowley | 6-0-2 | -6.00 | -3.51 |
2026 Hardwicke Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 2, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, SU, 1, 6, 8, 4, 1, 1, 5, 2, 3, 5, 5, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (69%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 20 / 20 (70%) - Achieved an RPR of 108+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Beaten no more -7¼l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Ran over 7f - 1m½f (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Furthest Won 1m2½f - 1m6f
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Had 4 - 18 placings (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Fewer than 3 races (Further)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 112+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 82+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Not in a Cl2-5 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Had 1 - 7 wins (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 93+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Not CH/RG in colour
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Highest Won is not Cl2-5
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Hardwicke Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Hardwicke Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Hardwicke Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +25.22, is when runners finished in 1st last time out.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 wins in the past year, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-30.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 11 (7,2) [12 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 5 (1,8) [9 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 5 (7) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 7 (2) [7 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 11 (9,6) [10 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Hardwicke Stakes is Chester; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Chester last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Epsom; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Epsom last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 168 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 10 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Hardwicke Stakes:
- Alzao (2 Wins)
- Dansili (2 Wins)
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
- Galileo (2 Wins)
- Sea The Stars (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Hardwicke Stakes; that stallion is Frankel, who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Isle Of Jura in 2024, winning for George Scott at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Callum Shepherd. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 8 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2026 Hardwicke Stakes, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Route to the Hardwicke Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Hardwicke Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Rebels Romance York - 1st of 5 (11/10) | Yorkshire Cup |
| 2024 - Isle Of Jura Goodwood - 1st of 6 (6/1) | William Hill Festival Stakes |
| 2023 - Pyledriver Ascot - 1st of 6 (18/1) | King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes |
| 2022 - Broome Curragh - 5th of 8 (11/1) | Tattersalls Gold Cup |
| 2021 - Wonderful Tonight Ascot - 1st of 12 (4/1) | British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes |
| 2020 - Fanny Logan Haydock - 2nd of 5 (1/1) | Betway Pinnacle Stakes |
| 2019 - Defoe Epsom - 1st of 9 (11/1) | Coronation Cup |
| 2018 - Crystal Ocean Newbury - 1st of 5 (2/5) | Al Rayyan Stakes |
| 2017 - Idaho Epsom - 6th of 10 (11/1) | Coronation Cup |
| 2016 - Dartmouth Chester - 1st of 5 (1/1) | Ormonde Stakes |
Schedule for Tuesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The five-day Royal Ascot meeting kicks off on Tuesday with three Group 1 events on the seven-race card, with the Queen Anne Stakes, King Charles II Stakes and St James's Palace Stakes all part of the British Champions Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Queen Anne Stakes | Docklands (GB) 5yo - 14/1 | Harry Eustace Mark Zahra |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Coventry Stakes | Gstaad (GB) 2yo - 7/2 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot King Charles III Stakes | American Affair (GB) 5yo - 11/1 | Jim Goldie Paul Mulrennan |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot St James's Palace Stakes | Field Of Gold (IRE) 3yo - 8/11 | John & Thady Gosden Colin Keane |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Ascot Stakes | Ascending (IRE) 6yo - 20/1 | Henry De Bromhead W J Lee |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Wolferton Stakes | Haatem (IRE) 4yo - 8/1 | Richard Hannon James Doyle |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Copper Horse Stakes | French Master (IRE) 4yo - 5/2 | John & Thady Gosden James Doyle |
Schedule for Wednesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The feature race on the second day of Royal Ascot is the Prince of Wales's Stakes, a race which carries a prize fund of £1m and is part of the British Champions Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Queen Mary Stakes | True Love (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Queen's Vase | Carmers (IRE) 3yo - 9/2 | P Twomey W J Lee |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Duke of Cambridge Stakes | Crimson Advocate (USA) 4yo - 13/2 | John & Thady Gosden James McDonald |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Prince of Wales's Stakes | Ombudsman (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Royal Hunt Cup | My Cloud (IRE) 4yo - 3/1 | Roger Varian Silvestre De Sousa |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Kensington Palace Stakes | Miss Information (IRE) 4yo - 11/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Windsor Castle Stakes | Havana Hurricane (GB) 2yo - 7/1 | Eve Johnson Houghton Charles Bishop |
Schedule for Thursday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
There are a couple of decent handicaps on the third day of Royal Ascot, the highlight of the day, though, is the Ascot Gold Cup, a Group 1 marathon for the flat runners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Norfolk Stakes | Charles Darwin (IRE) 2yo - 8/13 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot King George V Stakes | Merchant (IRE) 3yo - 3/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Ribblesdale Stakes | Garden Of Eden (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Ascot Gold Cup | Trawlerman (IRE) 7yo - 85/40 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Britannia Stakes | Arabian Story (IRE) 3yo - 15/2 | Saeed bin Suroor Oisin Murphy |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Hampton Court Stakes | Trinity College (IRE) 3yo - 5/2 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Buckingham Palace Stakes | Never So Brave (IRE) 4yo - 4/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
Schedule for Friday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
A couple of British Champions Series races on the Friday at Royal Ascot, the Commonwealth Cup over six furlongs and then the Coronation Stakes over just shy of a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Albany Stakes | Venetian Sun (IRE) 2yo - 7/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Commonwealth Cup | Time For Sandals (IRE) 3yo - 25/1 | Harry Eustace Richard Kingscote |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Duke of Edinburgh Stakes | Ethical Diamond (IRE) 5yo - 3/1 | W P Mullins Ryan Moore |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Coronation Stakes | Cercene (IRE) 3yo - 33/1 | Joseph G Murphy Gary Carroll |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Sandringham Stakes | Never Let Go (GB) 3yo - 22/1 | Ed Walker Kieran Shoemark |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot King Edward VII Stakes | Amiloc (GB) 3yo - 11/8 | Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes | Adrestia (GB) 3yo - 10/1 | Simon & Ed Crisford Oisin Murphy |
Schedule for Saturday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The final day of Royal Ascot is all about the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, a Group 1 race run over six furlongs which is part of the British Champions Series and carries a prize fund of £1m.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Chesham Stakes | Humidity (GB) 2yo - 4/1 | Andrew Balding James Doyle |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Hardwicke Stakes | Rebels Romance (IRE) 7yo - 6/4 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes | Lazzat (FR) 4yo - 9/2 | J Reynier James Doyle |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Jersey Stakes | Noble Champion (IRE) 3yo - 25/1 | Ed Walker Kieran Shoemark |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Wokingham Stakes | Get It (GB) 7yo - 28/1 | George Baker Seamie Heffernan |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Golden Gates Stakes | Quai De Bethune (FR) 3yo - 12/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Queen Alexandra Stakes | Sober (FR) 6yo - 4/5 | W P Mullins Ryan Moore |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Hardwicke Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
