Windsor Castle Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)

Explore the history of the Windsor Castle Stakes, a race staged over 5f at Ascot during the Royal Ascot. We detail trainer and jockey achievements from previous renewals while highlighting statistical patterns that have emerged to influence the race's likely outcome.
Windsor Castle Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2026 Windsor Castle Stakes Preview

The Windsor Castle Stakes is run as part of the Royal Ascot festival, which takes place in June. The race is open to only two-year-old runners, and up until 2026 was run over a straight five furlongs; however, in an attempt to boost middle-distance and staying horses, the race was increased to six furlongs. All runners run off a weight of 9-3 except for fillies, who receive a five-pound allowance, meaning they run off 8-12.

Windsor Castle Stakes Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Royal Ascot, then head over to the Royal Ascot tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. We cover every race at Royal Ascot, and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday & Saturday. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Ascot during the flat season; you can find links to those here.

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How competitive is the Windsor Castle Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2006, when the race had an over-round of 122%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 146%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Windsor Castle Stakes, the over-round has been 131%, which means the bookie expects to pay out Β£100 for every Β£131 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2026 Windsor Castle Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Windsor Castle Stakes Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the 2026 Windsor Castle Stakes Runners & Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.

These are the top three quickest-run Windsor Castle Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Hootenanny (59.05) in 2014
  2. Sound And Silence (59.20) in 2017
  3. Aint Nobody (59.32) in 2024

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Windsor Castle Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +0.90. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Windsor Castle Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 59.05 was set by Hootenanny in 2014, trained by Wesley A Ward and ridden by Victor Espinoza, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2019 when Southern Hills won in a time of 1:03.05 for trainer A P O'Brien, who booked Ryan Moore in the saddle.

What the expert says...
The July Stakes has been a happy hunting ground for the winner of this race, both Frederick Engels (2011) and Tactical (2020) have gone on to win that race after winning this.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Windsor Castle Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Windsor Castle Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Windsor Castle Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2025
1:00.06
Havana Hurricane (GB)
2yo 9-5 (8 of 23) 7/1
Charles Bishop
Eve Johnson Houghton (GB)
2024
59.32
Aint Nobody (IRE)
2yo 9-5 (27 of 27) 5/1
Jamie Spencer
Kevin Ryan (GB)
2023
59.91
Big Evs (IRE)
2yo 9-5 (19 of 23) 20/1
Jason Hart
Michael Appleby (GB)
2022
1:00.33
Little Big Bear (IRE)
2yo 9-5 (2 of 24) 6/5F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2021
59.78
Chipotle (GB)
2yo 9-3 (1 of 27) 22/1
Charles Bishop
Eve Johnson Houghton (GB)
2020
1:00.04
Tactical (GB)
2yo 9-3 (20 of 18) 7/2F
James Doyle
Andrew Balding (GB)
2019
1:03.05
Southern Hills (IRE)
2yo 9-3 (24 of 21) 7/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2018
1:00.25
Soldiers Call (GB)
2yo 9-3 (22 of 28) 12/1
Daniel Tudhope
Archie Watson (GB)
2017
59.20
Sound And Silence (GB)
2yo 9-3 (12 of 22) 16/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2016
1:02.56
Ardad (IRE)
2yo 9-3 (1 of 22) 20/1
Robert Havlin
John Gosden (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Windsor Castle Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 15 winners with an additional 33 placings from 373 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 7 placings from 51 runners
  • USA: 2 winners with an additional 1 placing from 22 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
  • NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners

2025 Windsor Castle Stakes Replay


Windsor Castle Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Windsor Castle Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Washington DC (2015), Southern Hills (2019) and Little Big Bear (2022). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Windsor Castle Stakes is Kevin Ryan (2 wins). One trainer has not had the best of times in the Windsor Castle Stakes; Richard Hannon has sent a total of 15 runners to the race without recording a win.

Here are the Windsor Castle Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2026 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
A P O'Brien21-3-6-4.80-7.90
Kevin Ryan11-2-5+10.00+2.00
Archie Watson16-1-2-3.00-8.50
Andrew Balding7-1-1-2.50-4.25
Richard Hannon15-0-0-15.00-15.00
J S Moore9-0-0-9.00-9.00
Saeed bin Suroor7-0-2-7.00-6.00
Hugo Palmer5-0-1-5.00-4.50
Jane Chapple-Hyam4-0-0-4.00-4.00
Richard Hughes3-0-1-3.00-2.50
Joseph Patrick O'Brien3-0-1-3.00-2.50
Clive Cox3-0-0-3.00-3.00
M D O'Callaghan3-0-0-3.00-3.00
Mrs John Harrington3-0-0-3.00-3.00
Ralph Beckett3-0-0-3.00-3.00
George Margarson2-0-0-2.00-2.00
Ed Walker1-0-0-1.00-1.00

Windsor Castle Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Windsor Castle Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Washington DC (2015), Southern Hills (2019) and Little Big Bear (2022).

Here are the Windsor Castle Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2026 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Ryan Moore
(Sergei Diaghilev)
18-3-5-1.80-7.40
James Doyle
(Charted Course)
13-1-4-8.50-8.75
Luke Morris
(Alpe dHuez)
9-0-0-9.00-9.00
Sean Levey
(A Bear Affair)
9-0-0-9.00-9.00
Oisin Murphy
(Sale Shark)
8-0-0-8.00-8.00
Neil Callan
(Agitator)
7-0-0-7.00-7.00
David Probert
(Victory Gold)
7-0-0-7.00-7.00
Tom Marquand
(Green Sovereign)
5-0-1-5.00-4.50
David Egan
(Controlla)
5-0-0-5.00-5.00
J F Egan
(Troublesome Guest)
4-0-0-4.00-4.00
Colin Keane
(Celeron)
4-0-0-4.00-4.00
Rossa Ryan
(Dance A Jig)
4-0-0-4.00-4.00
Shane Foley
(Our Boy Bailey)
3-0-0-3.00-3.00
Kevin Stott
(Dorigo)
2-0-0-2.00-2.00
P J McDonald
(Moonrise)
2-0-0-2.00-2.00
Cieren Fallon
(Harlequin Sky)
2-0-0-2.00-2.00
Billy Loughnane
(King Of Cloughan)
2-0-0-2.00-2.00
Ben Coen
(Ischgl)
1-0-0-1.00-1.00
Dylan Browne McMonagle
(One Number)
1-0-0-1.00-1.00
Clifford Lee
(On The Queue Tee)
1-0-0-1.00-1.00
Kieran Shoemark
(Alfred Wallace)
1-0-0-1.00-1.00

2026 Windsor Castle Stakes Runners & Shortlist

Ascot will host the 2026 renewal of the Windsor Castle Stakes, which will be run at 6:10 pm on Wednesday, 17th June 2026, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer, jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):

  • 15/15 Green Sovereign (12/1)
    • Harry Eustace (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
    • Tom Marquand (5-0-1 -5.00 / -4.50)

Others: Boleto (14/15), Sale Shark (14/15), Sergei Diaghilev (14/15), Agitator (13/15), Alfred Wallace (13/15), Wild Terrain (13/15), Charted Course (12/15), King Of Cloughan (12/15), Rulers Control (12/15), Celeron (11/15), Dance A Jig (11/15), One Number (11/15), A Bear Affair (10/15), Our Boy Bailey (10/15), Victory Gold (10/15), Moonrise (10/15), Freedom Flame (10/15), Dorigo (9/15), Ischgl (9/15), Alpe dHuez (9/15), Controlla (9/15), Harlequin Sky (7/15), On The Queue Tee (5/15) and Troublesome Guest (5/15).

*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (3:00 pm Monday 15th June 2026), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.

Windsor Castle Stakes Trend Analysis

βœ… The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +45.25, is when runners were GB-bred.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had an IRE-bred dam, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-60.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2025: Winner in 8 (17,23,6) [23 Runners]
  • 2024: Winner in 27 (26,22) [27 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 19 (15,16) [23 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 2 (21,9) [24 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 1 (25,3) [27 Runners]

The courses that have produced the most winners of the Windsor Castle Stakes are Sandown and Carlisle; there have been a total of 2 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 402 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 54 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Windsor Castle Stakes:

  • Exceed And Excel (2 Wins)
  • Havana Gold (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Windsor Castle Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Mehmas (0 Wins from 17 runners)
  • Acclamation (0 Wins from 13 runners)
  • Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 12 runners)
  • Kheleyf (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Bungle Inthejungle (0 Wins from 7 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Flashmans Papers in 2008, winning for John Best at odds of 100/1 under the guidance of Steve Drowne. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Windsor Castle Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Route to the Windsor Castle Stakes

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Windsor Castle Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2025 - Havana Hurricane
Epsom - 2nd of 9 (9/2)
Woodcote Stakes
2024 - Aint Nobody
Carlisle - 1st of 6 (8/1)
Daily Football Offers At Rhino.Bet EBF Restricted Novice Stakes
2023 - Big Evs
Redcar - 2nd of 14 (19/2)
Celebration Of Tom Hamiltons Life EBF Restricted Novice Stakes
2022 - Little Big Bear
Naas - 1st of 9 (4/9)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden
2021 - Chipotle
Sandown - 6th of 7 (313/100)
Coral "Beaten By A Length" National Stakes
2020 - Tactical
Newmarket (Rowley) - 3rd of 10 (3/1)
Betway EBF Stallions Novice Stakes
2019 - Southern Hills
Navan - 2nd of 6 (2/1)
Lynn Lodge Stud Irish EBF Maiden
2018 - Soldiers Call
Haydock - 1st of 6 (8/15)
188Bet Mobile Bet10 Get20 Novice Stakes
2017 - Sound And Silence
Sandown - 4th of 5 (2/1)
Better Odds With Matchbook National Stakes
2016 - Ardad
Yarmouth - 1st of 7 (3/1)
British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes

Schedule for Tuesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

The five-day Royal Ascot meeting kicks off on Tuesday with three Group 1 events on the seven-race card, with the Queen Anne Stakes, King Charles III Stakes and St James's Palace Stakes all part of the British Champions Series.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Queen Anne Stakes
Docklands (GB)
5yo - 14/1
Harry Eustace
Mark Zahra
15:05 Royal Ascot
Coventry Stakes
Gstaad (GB)
2yo - 7/2
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:40 Royal Ascot
King Charles III Stakes
American Affair (GB)
5yo - 11/1
Jim Goldie
Paul Mulrennan
16:20 Royal Ascot
St James's Palace Stakes
Field Of Gold (IRE)
3yo - 8/11
John & Thady Gosden
Colin Keane
17:00 Royal Ascot
Ascot Stakes
Ascending (IRE)
6yo - 20/1
Henry De Bromhead
W J Lee
17:35 Royal Ascot
Wolferton Stakes
Haatem (IRE)
4yo - 8/1
Richard Hannon
James Doyle
18:10 Royal Ascot
Copper Horse Stakes
French Master (IRE)
4yo - 5/2
John & Thady Gosden
James Doyle

Schedule for Wednesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

The feature race on the second day of Royal Ascot is the Prince of Wales's Stakes, a race which carries a prize fund of Β£1m and is part of the British Champions Series.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Queen Mary Stakes
True Love (IRE)
2yo - 9/4
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:05 Royal Ascot
Queen's Vase
Carmers (IRE)
3yo - 9/2
P Twomey
W J Lee
15:40 Royal Ascot
Duke of Cambridge Stakes
Crimson Advocate (USA)
4yo - 13/2
John & Thady Gosden
James McDonald
16:20 Royal Ascot
Prince of Wales's Stakes
Ombudsman (IRE)
4yo - 7/1
John & Thady Gosden
William Buick
17:00 Royal Ascot
Royal Hunt Cup
My Cloud (IRE)
4yo - 3/1
Roger Varian
Silvestre De Sousa
17:35 Royal Ascot
Kensington Palace Stakes
Miss Information (IRE)
4yo - 11/1
Andrew Balding
Oisin Murphy
18:10 Royal Ascot
Windsor Castle Stakes
Havana Hurricane (GB)
2yo - 7/1
Eve Johnson Houghton
Charles Bishop

Schedule for Thursday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

There are a couple of decent handicaps on the third day of Royal Ascot, the highlight of the day, though, is the Ascot Gold Cup, a Group 1 marathon for the flat runners.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Chesham Stakes
Humidity (GB)
2yo - 4/1
Andrew Balding
James Doyle
15:05 Royal Ascot
King George V Stakes
Merchant (IRE)
3yo - 3/1
William Haggas
Tom Marquand
15:40 Royal Ascot
Ribblesdale Stakes
Garden Of Eden (IRE)
3yo - 7/1
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
16:20 Royal Ascot
Ascot Gold Cup
Trawlerman (IRE)
7yo - 85/40
John & Thady Gosden
William Buick
17:00 Royal Ascot
Britannia Stakes
Arabian Story (IRE)
3yo - 15/2
Saeed bin Suroor
Oisin Murphy
17:35 Royal Ascot
Hampton Court Stakes
Trinity College (IRE)
3yo - 5/2
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
18:10 Royal Ascot
Buckingham Palace Stakes
Never So Brave (IRE)
4yo - 4/1
Andrew Balding
Oisin Murphy

Schedule for Friday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

A couple of British Champions Series races on the Friday at Royal Ascot, the Commonwealth Cup over six furlongs and then the Coronation Stakes over just shy of a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Albany Stakes
Venetian Sun (IRE)
2yo - 7/1
K R Burke
Clifford Lee
15:05 Royal Ascot
Commonwealth Cup
Time For Sandals (IRE)
3yo - 25/1
Harry Eustace
Richard Kingscote
15:40 Royal Ascot
Duke of Edinburgh Stakes
Ethical Diamond (IRE)
5yo - 3/1
W P Mullins
Ryan Moore
16:20 Royal Ascot
Coronation Stakes
Cercene (IRE)
3yo - 33/1
Joseph G Murphy
Gary Carroll
17:00 Royal Ascot
Sandringham Stakes
Never Let Go (GB)
3yo - 22/1
Ed Walker
Kieran Shoemark
17:35 Royal Ascot
King Edward VII Stakes
Amiloc (GB)
3yo - 11/8
Ralph Beckett
Rossa Ryan
18:10 Royal Ascot
Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes
Adrestia (GB)
3yo - 10/1
Simon & Ed Crisford
Oisin Murphy

Schedule for Saturday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

The final day of Royal Ascot is all about the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, a Group 1 race run over six furlongs, which is part of the British Champions Series and carries a prize fund of Β£1 million.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Norfolk Stakes
Charles Darwin (IRE)
2yo - 8/13
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:05 Royal Ascot
Hardwicke Stakes
Rebels Romance (IRE)
7yo - 6/4
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
15:40 Royal Ascot
Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes
Lazzat (FR)
4yo - 9/2
J Reynier
James Doyle
16:20 Royal Ascot
Jersey Stakes
Noble Champion (IRE)
3yo - 25/1
Ed Walker
Kieran Shoemark
17:00 Royal Ascot
Wokingham Stakes
Get It (GB)
7yo - 28/1
George Baker
Seamie Heffernan
17:35 Royal Ascot
Golden Gates Stakes
Quai De Bethune (FR)
3yo - 12/1
Andrew Balding
Oisin Murphy
18:10 Royal Ascot
Queen Alexandra Stakes
Sober (FR)
6yo - 4/5
W P Mullins
Ryan Moore

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Windsor Castle Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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