Windsor Castle Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Windsor Castle Stakes Preview

The Windsor Castle Stakes is run as part of the Royal Ascot festival which takes place in June, the race is open to only two-year-old runners and is run over a straight five furlongs.

All runners run off a weight of 9-3 with the exception of fillies who receive a five-pound allowance meaning they run off 8-12.

We also have a dedicated Royal Ascot tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Schedule at Royal Ascot section for links to these.

How competitive is the Windsor Castle Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2005 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 146%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Windsor Castle Stakes, the over-round has been 129%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £129 which is bet.

Windsor Castle Stakes Trends:

2024 Windsor Castle Stakes Trends
Windsor Castle Stakes Trend Analysis

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Windsor Castle Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -1.35. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2024 Windsor Castle Stakes.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 57.40 was set by Titus Alone in 2005, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Bryan Smart and ridden by Kevin Darley. The slowest winning time was set in 2019 when Southern Hills won in a time of 1:03.05, booked to ride was Ryan Moore on this A P O'Brien trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Windsor Castle Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

2005 - Titus Alone (57.40)
2014 - Hootenanny (59.05)
2017 - Sound And Silence (59.20)

Windsor Castle Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Windsor Castle Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Windsor Castle Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year	Horse (Drawn)	Info
2023 59.91	Big Evs (IRE) 2yo 9-5 (19 of 23) 20/1	Jason Hart Michael Appleby (GB)
2022 1:00.33	Little Big Bear (IRE) 2yo 9-5 (2 of 24) 6/5F	Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE)
2021 59.78	Chipotle (GB) 2yo 9-3 (1 of 27) 22/1	Charles Bishop Eve Johnson Houghton (GB)
2020 1:00.04	Tactical (GB) 2yo 9-3 (20 of 18) 7/2F	James Doyle Andrew Balding (GB)
2019 1:03.05	Southern Hills (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (24 of 21) 7/1	Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE)
2018 1:00.25	Soldiers Call (GB) 2yo 9-3 (22 of 28) 12/1	Daniel Tudhope Archie Watson (GB)
2017 59.20	Sound And Silence (GB) 2yo 9-3 (12 of 22) 16/1	William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB)
2016 1:02.56	Ardad (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (1 of 22) 20/1	Robert Havlin John Gosden (GB)
2015 1:00.04	Washington DC (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (6 of 27) 5/1	Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE)
2014 59.05	Hootenanny (USA) 2yo 9-3 (25 of 24) 7/2F	Victor Espinoza Wesley A Ward (USA)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Windsor Castle Stakes have been based:

GB: 15 winners with an additional 34 placings from 360 runners
IRE: 3 winners with an additional 6 placings from 43 runners
USA: 2 winners with an additional 0 placings from 18 runners
FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 6 runners
AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners

Windsor Castle Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Windsor Castle Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Washington DC (2015), Southern Hills (2019) and Little Big Bear (2022). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Windsor Castle Stakes is Wesley A Ward (2 wins). There are multiple trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Windsor Castle Stakes, Richard Hannon (0-13), Mick Channon (0-11), David Evans (0-11), Brian Meehan (0-10) and Tom Dascombe (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top Windsor Castle Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer	R-W-P	Win	EW
A P O'Brien	19-3-6	-2.80	-5.90
Wesley A Ward	17-2-2	+21.50	+3.25
Archie Watson	14-1-2	-1.00	-6.50
Richard Fahey	14-1-3	-8.50	-9.30
John Best	8-1-3	+93.00	+44.00
Kevin Ryan	8-1-3	+7.00	+1.00
Andrew Balding	6-1-1	-1.50	-3.25
Bryan Smart	6-1-1	-2.25	-3.35
John Gosden	5-1-1	+16.00	+6.00
Eve Johnson Houghton	4-1-1	+19.00	+8.00

Windsor Castle Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Windsor Castle Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Washington DC (2015), Southern Hills (2019) and Little Big Bear (2022). There are two jockeys who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Windsor Castle Stakes, Frankie Dettori has ridden a total of 15 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst Richard Kingscote has ridden 10 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Windsor Castle Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey	R-W-P	Win	EW
Ryan Moore	17-3-5	-0.80	-6.40
William Buick	13-1-1	+4.00	-4.00
James Doyle	11-1-4	-6.50	-6.75
Paul Hanagan	9-1-4	-3.50	-3.80
Tom Queally	5-1-1	+8.00	+3.20
John R Velazquez	4-1-1	+30.00	+13.50
Daniel Tudhope	4-1-1	+9.00	+3.00
Charles Bishop	2-1-1	+21.00	+10.00
Declan McDonogh	2-1-1	+19.00	+9.00
Jason Hart	2-1-1	+19.00	+9.00

2024 Windsor Castle Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 6, 2, 8, 3, 2, 8, 9, 1, 9, 3, 1, 3, 20, 22, 17, (4, 13), 1, 7, 1, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

20 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 17/2 (LTO)
20 / 20 (78%) - Not BEV/KEM/LEI/NBY/RP (Debut)
20 / 20 (79%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career)
20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Debut)
20 / 20 (86%) - Break of 6 - 63 days (Last Place)
20 / 20 (87%) - Sex is not Filly
20 / 20 (88%) - Made 1 - 3 starts (Career)
19 / 20 (74%) - Highest run not C2
19 / 20 (85%) - Not on HVY/SFT (Debut)
18 / 20 (45%) - No bigger than 22/1
18 / 20 (73%) - Beaten no more than 3½l (Debut)
18 / 20 (80%) - No more than -2lbs (Vs Max Weight)
18 / 20 (83%) - No further than 5f (Debut)
18 / 20 (85%) - Finished in first 4 (LTO)
18 / 20 (86%) - Field of 4-12 (Debut)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Windsor Castle Stakes. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Windsor Castle Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Windsor Castle Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +57.25 is when runners were GB bred. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a field of 8 last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-64.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

2023: Winner in 19 (15,16) [23 Runners]
2022: Winner in 2 (21,9) [24 Runners]
2021: Winner in 1 (25,3) [27 Runners]
2020: Winner in 20 (5,10) [18 Runners]
2019: Winner in 24 (22,23) [21 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Windsor Castle Stakes are Redcar and Sandown, there has been a total number of 2 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 373 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 56 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Windsor Castle Stakes, that stallion Exceed And Excel has produced 2 winners (2017,2008).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Windsor Castle Stakes despite multiple attempts:

Acclamation (0 Wins from 12 runners)
Mehmas (0 Wins from 11 runners)
Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 8 runners)
Kheleyf (0 Wins from 8 runners)
Bahamian Bounty (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Flashmans Papers in 2008, winning for John Best at odds of 100/1 under the guidance of Steve Drowne. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 4 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Windsor Castle Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 18th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 19th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 20th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Friday 21st June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 22nd June 2024

14:30: Chesham Stakes
15:05: Jersey Stakes
15:40: Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes
16:20: Hardwicke Stakes
17:00: Wokingham Stakes
17:35: Golden Gates Stakes
18:10: Queen Alexandra Stakes

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