Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Ascot Chase Preview
The Ascot Chase is a Grade One race open to runners aged 5yo or older scheduled to take place in February of each year at the Ascot racecourse. It is run over an extended two miles and five furlongs where the runners will have to face a total of seventeen fences which will consist of three open ditches.
This race was established in 1995 over two furlongs shorter, the trip was upped a furlong when the race was temporarily moved to Lingfield in 2005 & 2006. When the race returned to Ascot in 2007, the trip was once again up, this time to the current distance.
Ascot Chase Information:
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Ascot tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Ascot Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Ascot Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2024 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 118%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ascot Chase, the over-round has been 112%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £112 which is bet.
Ascot Chase Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Ascot Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -0.96. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks daily.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Nicky Richards trained Monets Garden ridden by Tony Dobbin who set the fastest winning time in the Ascot Chase, the runner won the race in a time of 4:50.40 was set when winning the race in 2007. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies and jockey Sam Twiston-Davies with Riders Onthe Storm who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 5:45.57 in the 2020 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Ascot Chase over the last 20 renewals:
- Monets Garden (4:50.40) in 2007
- Cyrname (5:10.50) in 2019
- Kauto Star (5:14.50) in 2008
Ascot Chase Past Winners
Here are the Ascot Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Ascot Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 5:25.30 | Pic DOrhy (FR) 9yo 11-10 13/8 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2023 5:16.21 | Shishkin (IRE) 9yo 11-10 2/1 | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2022 5:44.06 | Fakir Doudairies (FR) 7yo 11-7 9/4F | Mark Walsh Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2021 5:33.43 | Dashel Drasher (GB) 8yo 11-7 4/1 | Matt Griffiths Jeremy Scott (GB) |
| 2020 5:45.57 | Riders Onthe Storm (IRE) 7yo 11-7 7/2 | Sam Twiston-Davies Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB) |
| 2019 5:10.50 | Cyrname (FR) 7yo 11-7 3/1 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2018 5:25.90 | Waiting Patiently (IRE) 7yo 11-7 2/1F | Brian Hughes Ruth Jefferson (GB) |
| 2017 5:26.00 | Cue Card (GB) 11yo 11-7 4/9F | Paddy Brennan Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2016 5:29.10 | Silviniaco Conti (FR) 10yo 11-7 2/1F | Noel Fehily Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2015 5:23.10 | Balder Succes (FR) 7yo 11-7 4/1 | Wayne Hutchinson Alan King (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ascot Chase have been based:
- GB: 19 winners with an additional 22 placings from 120 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 7 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Ascot Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Ascot Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Kauto Star (2008), Silviniaco Conti (2016), Cyrname (2019) and Pic DOrhy (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Ascot Chase are Nicky Henderson (3 wins), Alan King (2 wins) and Nicky Richards (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Ascot Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 22-4-8 | -11.01 | -8.97 |
| Nicky Henderson | 13-3-5 | -5.27 | -2.58 |
| Alan King | 6-2-3 | +1.20 | -0.65 |
| Nicky Richards | 3-2-3 | +5.60 | +4.23 |
| Philip Hobbs | 7-1-3 | -5.27 | -3.32 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 6-1-2 | -1.50 | -4.00 |
| Jeremy Scott | 2-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.50 |
| Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 2-1-1 | +1.25 | +0.35 |
| Ruth Jefferson | 2-1-2 | +1.00 | +0.92 |
| David Pipe | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -3.05 |
Ascot Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Ascot Chase over the last 20 renewals is Harry Cobden who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Cyrname (2019) and Pic D'Orhy (2024).
Here are some of the top Ascot Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Cobden | 6-2-3 | +0.63 | -0.25 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 6-1-1 | -1.50 | -5.00 |
| Paddy Brennan | 3-1-2 | -1.56 | -0.09 |
| Brian Hughes | 2-1-2 | +1.00 | +0.92 |
| Matt Griffiths | 1-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.50 |
| Mark Walsh | 1-1-1 | +2.25 | +1.35 |
| Nico de Boinville | 1-1-1 | +2.00 | +1.25 |
| Daryl Jacob | 5-0-2 | -5.00 | -0.81 |
| David Bass | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | +0.00 |
| Charlie Deutsch | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -1.05 |
2025 Ascot Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, 1, 1, 1, 1, 5, 1, 1, 1, 1, F, 1, 1, 1, 2, F, PU, 1, 3, 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (54%) - Achieved an RPR of 161+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 10/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - No bigger than 14/1
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Achieved an RPR of 156+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Carried 156 - 168lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Off a break of 27 - 364 days
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Carried 158 - 166lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Ran over 1m3½f - 2m2f (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Placed within last 3 starts
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Held an OR of 150+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 99+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Beaten no more -11l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Furthest Won 2m3½f - 3m2½f
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved a TS of 126+ (Last 5)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Ascot Chase. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Ascot Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
Ascot Chase Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +8.69 is when runners were 1st in the betting market. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 4th in the betting market, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-20.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Ascot Chase is Kempton, there has been a total number of 11 winners of this race who ran at Kempton last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 126 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 2 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Ascot Chase:
- Kings Theatre (5 Wins)
- Roselier (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was It Takes Time I in 2005, winning for M C Pipe at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Jamie Moore. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 12 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Ascot Chase head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.
Other Principal races at Ascot racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Ascot racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in January
Races in February
Races in May
Races in June (Royal Ascot)
- Ascot Stakes
- Copper Horse Stakes
- Coventry Stakes
- Kings Stand Stakes
- Queen Anne Stakes
- St James's Palace Stakes
- Wolferton Stakes
- Duke of Cambridge Stakes
- Kensington Palace Stakes
- Prince of Wales's Stakes
- Queen Mary Stakes
- Queen's Vase
- Royal Hunt Cup
- Windsor Castle Stakes
- Ascot Gold Cup
- Britannia Stakes
- Buckingham Palace Stakes
- Hampton Court Stakes
- King George V Stakes
- Norfolk Stakes
- Ribblesdale Stakes
- Albany Stakes
- Commonwealth Cup
- Coronation Stakes
- Duke of Edinburgh Stakes
- King Edward VII Stakes
- Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes
- Sandringham Stakes
- Chesham Stakes
- Golden Gates Stakes
- Hardwicke Stakes
- Jersey Stakes
- Queen Alexandra Stakes
- Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes
- Wokingham Stakes
Races in July
Races in August (Shergar Cup)
- Shergar Cup Challenge
- Shergar Cup Classic
- Shergar Cup Dash
- Shergar Cup Mile
- Shergar Cup Sprint
- Shergar Cup Stayers
Races in October (Champions Day)
- Balmoral Handicap
- British Champion Stakes
- British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes
- British Champions Long Distance Cup
- British Champions Sprint Stakes
- Queen Elizabeth II Stakes
Races in November
Races in December
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Ascot Chase Preview are at hand, Andy Powell and Darren Brett. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews.
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