You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Ascot Chase Preview
The Ascot Chase is a Grade One race open to runners aged 5 years or older scheduled to take place in February of each year at the Ascot racecourse. It is run over an extended two miles and five furlongs, where the runners will have to face a total of seventeen fences, which will consist of three open ditches.
This race was established in 1995 over two furlongs shorter; the trip was upped a furlong when the race was temporarily moved to Lingfield in 2005 & 2006. When the race returned to Ascot in 2007, the trip was once again up, this time to the current distance.
Ascot Chase Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Ascot tips on the day of the race. Do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist, or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at Ascot Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Ascot Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2024, when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 118%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ascot Chase, the over-round has been 112%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £112 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Ascot Chase Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Ascot Chase Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Ascot Chase races over the last 20 renewals:
- Monets Garden (4:50.40) in 2007
- Cyrname (5:10.50) in 2019
- Kauto Star (5:14.50) in 2008
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Ascot Chase next time out, then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -0.96. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Monets Garden, trained by Nicky Richards and ridden by Tony Dobbin, who set the fastest winning time in the Ascot Chase. That runner won the race in a time of 4:50.40 in 2007. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies and jockey Sam Twiston-Davies with Riders Onthe Storm who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 5:45.57 in the 2020 renewal.
Ascot Chase Past Winners
Here are the Ascot Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse that won, and the horse's age & weight. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Ascot Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 5:17.35 | Jonbon (FR) 10yo 11-10 4/9F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2025 5:15.22 | Pic Dorhy (FR) 10yo 11-10 9/5 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2024 5:25.30 | Pic DOrhy (FR) 9yo 11-10 13/8 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2023 5:16.21 | Shishkin (IRE) 9yo 11-10 2/1 | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2022 5:44.06 | Fakir Doudairies (FR) 7yo 11-7 9/4F | Mark Walsh Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2021 5:33.43 | Dashel Drasher (GB) 8yo 11-7 4/1 | Matt Griffiths Jeremy Scott (GB) |
| 2020 5:45.57 | Riders Onthe Storm (IRE) 7yo 11-7 7/2 | Sam Twiston-Davies Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB) |
| 2019 5:10.50 | Cyrname (FR) 7yo 11-7 3/1 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2018 5:25.90 | Waiting Patiently (IRE) 7yo 11-7 2/1F | Brian Hughes Ruth Jefferson (GB) |
| 2017 5:26.00 | Cue Card (GB) 11yo 11-7 4/9F | Paddy Brennan Colin Tizzard (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ascot Chase have been based:
- GB: 19 winners with an additional 21 placings from 116 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 9 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2026 Ascot Chase Replay
Ascot Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Ascot Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Kauto Star (2008), Silviniaco Conti (2016), Cyrname (2019) and Pic D'Orhy (2024 & 2025). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Ascot Chase are Nicky Henderson (4 wins), Alan King (2 wins) and Nicky Richards (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Ascot Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 23-5-9 | -9.21 | -7.95 |
| Nicky Henderson | 13-4-6 | -3.83 | -1.30 |
| Alan King | 7-2-3 | +0.20 | -1.65 |
| Nicky Richards | 3-2-3 | +5.60 | +4.23 |
| Philip Hobbs | 6-1-3 | -4.27 | -2.32 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 4-1-1 | +0.50 | -3.00 |
| Jeremy Scott | 2-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.50 |
| Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 2-1-1 | +1.25 | +0.35 |
| Ruth Jefferson | 2-1-2 | +1.00 | +0.92 |
| David Pipe | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -3.05 |
Ascot Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Ascot Chase over the last 20 renewals is Harry Cobden, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Cyrname (2019) and Pic D'Orhy (2024 & 2025). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Ascot Chase is Nico de Boinville (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Ascot Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Cobden | 8-3-5 | +1.43 | +0.69 |
| Nico de Boinville | 2-2-2 | +2.44 | +1.53 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 6-1-1 | -1.50 | -5.00 |
| Mark Walsh | 2-1-2 | +1.25 | +1.07 |
| Brian Hughes | 2-1-2 | +1.00 | +0.92 |
| Matt Griffiths | 1-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.50 |
| Charlie Deutsch | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -2.05 |
| David Bass | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | +0.00 |
| Harry Skelton | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -2.00 |
| J J Slevin | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
2027 Ascot Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 1, 5, 1, 1, 1, 1, F, 1, 1, 1, 2, F, PU, 1, 3, 2, 2, 1
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (45%) - No bigger than 11/2
- 20 / 20 (49%) - Within the first 3 of the market
- 20 / 20 (52%) - Achieved an RPR of 161+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (71%) - No bigger than 10/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (71%) - Carried 158 - 168lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Won within last 4 starts
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Off a break of 27 - 364 days
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Had 1 - 11 wins (Jockey)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Carried 158 - 166lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Ran over 1m3½f - 2m2f (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Beaten no more -8¾l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Held an OR of 150+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Highest Won is not G3/LST/Cl3-4
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 118+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Placed within last 3 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Ascot racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Ascot Chase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Ascot Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
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Ascot Chase Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +13.76, is when runners carried 164lbs when last winning.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career wins with the jockey, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-25.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Ascot Chase is Kempton; there have been a total of 11 winners of this race who ran at Kempton last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Ascot; there have been a total of 7 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 124 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 2 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Ascot Chase:
- Kings Theatre (5 Wins)
- Roselier (2 Wins)
- Turgeon (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Monets Garden in 2010, winning for Nicky Richards at odds of 11/2 under the guidance of Barry Geraghty. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 12 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Ascot Chase, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Route to the Ascot Chase
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Ascot Chase. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Jonbon Ascot - 1st of 4 (6/1) | Clarence House Chase |
| 2025 - Pic Dorhy Ascot - 1st of 4 (4/9) | Copybet 1965 Chase |
| 2024 - Pic DOrhy Kempton - 2nd of 5 (5/2) | Coral Silviniaco Conti Chase |
| 2023 - Shishkin Sandown - 3rd of 6 (6/5) | Tingle Creek |
| 2022 - Fakir Doudairies Thurles - 2nd of 4 (7/2) | Horse & Jockey Hotel Chase |
| 2021 - Dashel Drasher Ascot - 1st of 14 (6/1) | bet365 Handicap Chase |
| 2020 - Riders Onthe Storm Ascot - 1st of 5 (9/4) | Betfair Exchange Graduation Chase |
| 2019 - Cyrname Ascot - 1st of 10 (4/1) | bet365 Handicap Chase |
| 2018 - Waiting Patiently Kempton - 1st of 6 (13/8) | 32Red Casino Chase |
| 2017 - Cue Card Kempton - 2nd of 5 (5/4) | King George VI Chase |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Ascot Chase Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
