2022 Ascot Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Feb 3, 12:25pm Last Updated: Feb 21, 11:48am Horse Racing 1 Comment 2364 Views

2022 Ascot Chase Preview

The Ascot Chase is a Grade One race open to runners aged 5yo or older scheduled to take place in February of each year at the Ascot racecourse. It is run over an extended 2m5f and the runners will have to face a total of seventeen fences during which will consist of three open ditches. This race was first run in 1995 over two furlongs shorter, the trip was upped a furlong when the race was temporarily moved to Lingfield in 2005 & 2006. When the race returned to Ascot in 2007, the trip was once again upped, this time to the current distance.

The runner which holds the record over past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2020 renewal when Riders Onthe Storm from Nigel Twiston-Davies who under the guidance of the Sam Twiston-Davies, won in a time of 5:45.57, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Monets Garden, trained by Nicky Richards and ridden by Tony Dobbin set the quickest time of 4:50.40 in the 2007 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Ascot Chase over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2007 - Monets Garden (4:50.40)
  • 2002 - Tresor De Mai (5:01.60)
  • 2004 - Hand Inn Hand (5:06.20)

How competitive is the Ascot Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2002 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2008 was a race which was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 118%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ascot Chase, the over-round has been 112% which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £112 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Ascot Chase next time out then you would have back a total of 4 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -2.87. Whilst we wait for the 2022 Ascot Chase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

Ascot Chase Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Ascot Chase. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Ascot Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2021
5:33.43
Dashel Drasher
8yo 11-7 4/1
Matt Griffiths
Jeremy Scott
2020
5:45.57
Riders Onthe Storm
7yo 11-7 7/2
Sam Twiston-Davies
Nigel Twiston-Davies
2019
5:10.50
Cyrname
7yo 11-7 3/1
Harry Cobden
Paul Nicholls
2018
5:25.90
Waiting Patiently
7yo 11-7 2/1F
Brian Hughes
Ruth Jefferson
2017
5:26.00
Cue Card
11yo 11-7 4/9F
Paddy Brennan
Colin Tizzard
2016
5:29.10
Silviniaco Conti
10yo 11-7 2/1F
Noel Fehily
Paul Nicholls
2015
5:23.10
Balder Succes
7yo 11-7 4/1
Wayne Hutchinson
Alan King
2014
5:28.80
Captain Chris
10yo 11-7 8/11F
Richard Johnson
Philip Hobbs
2013
5:36.30
Cue Card
7yo 11-7 15/8F
Joe Tizzard
Colin Tizzard
2012
5:21.80
Riverside Theatre
8yo 11-7 13/8F
Barry Geraghty
Nicky Henderson

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ascot Chase have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 22 placings from 122 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners

Ascot Chase Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Ascot Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Kauto Star (2008), Silviniaco Conti (2016) & Cyrname (2019). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Ascot Chase are Nicky Henderson (2 wins), Alan King (2 wins), Colin Tizzard (2 wins) & Nicky Richards (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Ascot Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Paul Nicholls 24-3-6 -15.64 -12.84
Nicky Henderson 13-2-5 -8.27 -3.64
Alan King 6-2-3 +1.20 -0.65
Colin Tizzard 6-2-3 -1.68 -0.91
Nicky Richards 3-2-3 +5.60 +4.23
Philip Hobbs 7-1-3 -5.27 -3.32
Nigel Twiston-Davies 6-1-2 -1.50 -4.00
Henry Daly 2-1-1 +6.50 +3.69
Jeremy Scott 1-1-1 +4.00 +2.50
David Pipe 5-0-1 -5.00 -3.05

Ascot Chase Jockey Statistics

Here are some of the top Ascot Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Richard Johnson 7-1-2 -5.27 -4.72
Sam Twiston-Davies 6-1-1 -1.50 -5.00
Timmy Murphy 4-1-1 -1.00 -1.75
Jamie Moore 3-1-1 +12.00 +6.75
Harry Cobden 3-1-1 +1.00 +0.88
Paddy Brennan 3-1-2 -1.56 -0.09
Wayne Hutchinson 2-1-1 +3.00 +1.50
Brian Hughes 2-1-2 +1.00 +0.92
Matt Griffiths 1-1-1 +4.00 +2.50
Daryl Jacob 5-0-2 -5.00 -0.81

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,2,1,F,5,1,1,1,1,5,1,1,1,1,F,1,1,1,2,F,PU

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (71%) - 10/1 or shorter (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Not up 4lbs+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Not up 8lbs+ (3 Starts)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Not up 2.5f (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (64%) - No older than 10yo
  • 19 / 20 (68%) - 5/1 or shorter (Win)
  • 19 / 20 (80%) - Under 2 career falls
  • 19 / 20 (80%) - Not up 1.5f+ (Win)
  • 18 / 20 (79%) - Field of under 11 (Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Ascot Chase. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.

Are you a member on OLBG? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Ascot Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

Ascot Chase Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +13.90 is when runners had recorded 1 career fall in over Jumps (Chase). The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 5th in the betting market, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-17.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Ascot Chase is Kempton, there has been a total number of 10 winners of this race who ran at Kempton last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 127 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 2 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, theses are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Ascot Chase:

  • Kings Theatre (5 Wins)
  • Roselier (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was It Takes Time I in 2005 when winning for M C Pipe at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Jamie Moore. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 12 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Other Principal races at Ascot racecourse

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