You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Dahlia Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place in May of each year at the Newmarket racecourse is the Dahlia Stakes, which takes place during the Guineas Festival. This race, which is a Group 2, is open only to mares and fillies who are four or older and is run over a distance of one mile and one furlong.
Established in 1997, the race is named in honour of the filly Dahlia from the 1970s. Originally holding a listed status, it was upgraded in 2004 to a Group 3 and then upgraded again in 2015 to its current Group 2 status.
Dahlia Stakes Information:
We also have a dedicated Newmarket tips page that will cover this race, as well as all the other races on the day. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information during the Guineas Festival, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival section for links to these. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Newmarket during the flat season; you can find links to those here.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Dahlia Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009, when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Dahlia Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Dahlia Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Dahlia Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Dahlia Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Jancis (1:47.41) in 2026
- Heaven Sent (1:47.98) in 2009
- Bragging (1:48.33) in 2015
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Dahlia Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +6.70. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2020 renewal when Terebellum from John Gosden under the guidance of Frankie Dettori, won in a time of 2:03.28, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Jancis, trained by W McCreery and ridden by Sean Levey set the quickest time of 1:47.41 in the 2026 renewal.
Dahlia Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Dahlia Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Dahlia Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 1:47.41 | Jancis (IRE) 5yo 9-2 (3 of 10) 18/1 | Sean Levey W McCreery (IRE) |
| 2025 1:50.29 | Cinderellas Dream (GB) 4yo 9-2 (1 of 5) 11/8F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2024 1:50.23 | Stay Alert (GB) 5yo 9-2 (4 of 6) 5/1 | David Egan Hughie Morrison (GB) |
| 2023 1:51.49 | Via Sistina (IRE) 5yo 9-2 (3 of 9) 5/2F | Jamie Spencer George Boughey (GB) |
| 2022 1:49.74 | Dreamloper (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (3 of 6) 4/1 | Kieran Shoemark Ed Walker (GB) |
| 2021 1:51.98 | Lady Bowthorpe (GB) 5yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 6/1 | Kieran Shoemark William Jarvis (GB) |
| 2020 2:03.28 | Terebellum (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (3 of 7) 10/11F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2019 1:51.27 | Worth Waiting (GB) 4yo 9-0 (2 of 5) 3/1 | James Doyle David Lanigan (GB) |
| 2018 1:50.43 | Wuheida (GB) 4yo 9-5 (2 of 8) 10/11F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2017 1:49.19 | Somehow (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (1 of 7) 13/8F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Dahlia Stakes have been based:
- GB: 16 winners with an additional 27 placings from 128 runners
- FR: 2 winners with an additional 0 placings from 9 runners
- IRE: 2 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
Dahlia Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Dahlia Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute, who has won the race six times, with those six winners coming from Echelon (2007), Heaven Sent (2008 & 2009), Strawberrydaiquiri (2010), Dank (2013) and Bragging (2015). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Dahlia Stakes are Charlie Appleby (2 wins), A Fabre (2 wins) and John Gosden (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Dahlia Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sir Michael Stoute | 13-6-10 | +5.47 | +3.71 |
| Charlie Appleby | 7-2-2 | -2.71 | -3.59 |
| A Fabre | 5-2-2 | +4.25 | +1.41 |
| John Gosden | 5-2-3 | +0.91 | +0.40 |
| Ed Walker | 5-1-2 | +0.00 | +1.00 |
| George Boughey | 3-1-2 | +0.50 | +0.45 |
| David Simcock | 2-1-1 | +9.00 | +5.00 |
| William Jarvis | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +3.75 |
| Hughie Morrison | 2-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.13 |
| W McCreery | 1-1-1 | +18.00 | +10.80 |
Dahlia Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Dahlia Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race six times, with those six winners coming from Heaven Sent (2008 & 2009), Strawberrydaiquiri (2010), Dank (2013), Bragging (2015) and Somehow (2017). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Dahlia Stakes are William Buick (4 wins) and Kieran Shoemark (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Dahlia Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 16-6-9 | +3.37 | +0.43 |
| William Buick | 14-4-4 | +5.29 | +0.29 |
| Kieran Shoemark | 2-2-2 | +10.00 | +6.25 |
| Jamie Spencer | 5-1-1 | -1.50 | -2.50 |
| James Doyle | 4-1-2 | +0.00 | -0.02 |
| David Egan | 3-1-2 | +3.00 | +2.08 |
| Mickael Barzalona | 3-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.00 |
| Sean Levey | 2-1-1 | +17.00 | +9.80 |
| Maxime Guyon | 1-1-1 | +2.25 | +1.41 |
| Kerrin McEvoy | 1-1-1 | +0.73 | +0.44 |
2027 Dahlia Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 1, 1, (4, 5, 6, 7), 4, 5, 2, 5, 7, 1, 1, 4, 1, 2, 3, 1, 2, 1, 6
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Achieved an RPR of 103+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 18/1
- 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 40/1 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 94+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran in 3 - 8 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Beaten no more -6½l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Held an OR of 97+
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Had 2 - 6 wins (Career)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in a Cl3/Cl5-6 (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (87%) - Won by at least a neck (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (56%) - Within the first 4 of the market
- 18 / 20 (61%) - Achieved a TS of 87+ (Last 5)
- 18 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Career Win)
- 18 / 20 (86%) - Won within last 5 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Newmarket racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Dahlia Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Dahlia Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Dahlia Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +36.84, is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G3) when last winning.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners carried 126lbs last time out, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-24.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 3 (4,10) [10 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 1 (3) [5 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 4 (2) [6 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 3 (2,1) [9 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 3 (4) [6 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Dahlia Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley); there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Dahlia Stakes:
- Fastnet Rock (3 Wins)
- Pivotal (3 Wins)
- Dansili (2 Wins)
- Shamardal (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Dahlia Stakes; that stallion is Cape Cross, who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Jancis in 2026, winning for W McCreery at odds of 18/1 under the guidance of Sean Levey. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2027 Dahlia Stakes.
Route to the Dahlia Stakes
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Dahlia Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Jancis Dundalk (AW) - 2nd of 14 (9/2) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Cooley Fillies Stakes |
| 2025 - Cinderellas Dream Meydan - 2nd of 5 (59/50) | Balanchine Presented By DP World |
| 2024 - Stay Alert Ascot - 13th of 14 (41/1) | British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes |
| 2023 - Via Sistina Toulouse - 1st of 11 (33/10) | Prix Fille de lAir |
| 2022 - Dreamloper Newmarket (Rowley) - 3rd of 12 (25/1) | Sun Chariot Stakes |
| 2021 - Lady Bowthorpe Newmarket (Rowley) - 6th of 12 (29/1) | Sun Chariot Stakes |
| 2020 - Terebellum Longchamp - 5th of 12 (69/10) | Prix de l'Opéra |
| 2019 - Worth Waiting Longchamp - 4th of 8 (43/10) | Prix Vermeille |
| 2018 - Wuheida Del Mar - 1st of 14 (8/1) | Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf |
| 2017 - Somehow Gowran Park - 1st of 9 (6/4) | Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Victor McCalmont Memorial Stakes |
Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival
Remember to head over to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Dahlia Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Guineas Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Friday at the Guineas Festival
The highlight on Friday is the Jockey Club Stakes, a Group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Newmarket Stakes | Ancient Egypt (IRE) 3yo - 16/1 | Charlie Johnston Rowan Scott |
| Jockey Club Stakes | Santorini Star (IRE) 5yo - 9/4 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| King Charles II Stakes | Saber Strike (IRE) 3yo - 11/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
Saturday at the Guineas Festival
Saturday's highlight is the 2,000 Guineas, part of the British Champion Series, where we see the 3-year-old runners compete over a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Rowley Handicap Stakes | Double Rush (IRE) 4yo - 4/6 | Andrew Balding Shane Foley |
| Suffolk Stakes | Erzindjan (IRE) 8yo - 17/2 | T J Kent Ray Dawson |
| Palace House Stakes | Night Raider (IRE) 5yo - 9/1 | K R Burke James Doyle |
| 2000 Guineas | Bow Echo (IRE) 3yo - 9/2 | George Boughey Billy Loughnane |
Sunday at the Guineas Festival
Sunday is all about the fillies with the 1,000 Guineas taking centre stage, and the three-year-olds will compete over a mile trip.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Pretty Polly Stakes | Jennifer Jane (IRE) 3yo - 11/2 | Charlie Johnston Silvestre De Sousa |
| Dahlia Stakes | Jancis (IRE) 5yo - 18/1 | W McCreery Sean Levey |
| 1000 Guineas | True Love (IRE) 3yo - 5/1 | A P O'Brien Wayne Lordan |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Dahlia Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newmarket racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in April (Craven Meeting)
Races in July (July Festival)
- Bahrain Trophy Stakes
- bet365 Sprint Handicap
- July Stakes
- Princess of Wales's Stakes
- bet365 Handicap
- bet365 Trophy Heritage Handicap
- Duchess of Cambridge Stakes
- Falmouth Stakes
- bet365 Mile Handicap
- Bunbury Cup
- July Cup
- Superlative Stakes
Races in September (Cambridgeshire Meeting)
- Jockey Club Rose Bowl
- Tattersall Stakes
- Godolphin Stakes
- Joel Stakes
- Princess Royal Stakes
- Rockfel Stakes
- Rosemary Stakes
- Cambridgeshire Handicap
- Cambridgeshire Meeting Sprint Handicap
- Cheveley Park Stakes
- Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery
- Middle Park Stakes
- Royal Lodge Stakes
