Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2026 Dahlia Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place in May of each year at the Newmarket racecourse is the Dahlia Stakes, which takes place during the Guineas Festival. This race, which is a Group 2, is open only to mares and fillies who are four or older and is run over a distance of one mile and one furlong.
Established in 1997, the race is named in honour of the filly Dahlia from the 1970s. Originally holding a listed status, it was upgraded in 2004 to a Group 3 and then upgraded again in 2015 to its current Group 2 status.
Dahlia Stakes Information:
We also have a dedicated Newmarket tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information during the Guineas Festival, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival section for links to these. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Newmarket during the flat season, you can find links to those here.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Dahlia Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Dahlia Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Dahlia Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Dahlia Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Dahlia Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Heaven Sent (1:47.98) in 2009
- Bragging (1:48.33) in 2015
- Somehow (1:49.19) in 2017
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Dahlia Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +6.70. Ahead of the 2026 Dahlia Stakes, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Heaven Sent, trained by Sir Michael Stoute and ridden by Ryan Moore, who set the fastest winning time in the Dahlia Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 1:47.98 in 2009. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer John Gosden and jockey Frankie Dettori with Terebellum who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 2:03.28 in the 2020 renewal.
Dahlia Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Dahlia Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Dahlia Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 1:50.29 | Cinderellas Dream (GB) 4yo 9-2 (1 of 5) 11/8F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2024 1:50.23 | Stay Alert (GB) 5yo 9-2 (4 of 6) 5/1 | David Egan Hughie Morrison (GB) |
| 2023 1:51.49 | Via Sistina (IRE) 5yo 9-2 (3 of 9) 5/2F | Jamie Spencer George Boughey (GB) |
| 2022 1:49.74 | Dreamloper (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (3 of 6) 4/1 | Kieran Shoemark Ed Walker (GB) |
| 2021 1:51.98 | Lady Bowthorpe (GB) 5yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 6/1 | Kieran Shoemark William Jarvis (GB) |
| 2020 2:03.28 | Terebellum (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (3 of 7) 10/11F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2019 1:51.27 | Worth Waiting (GB) 4yo 9-0 (2 of 5) 3/1 | James Doyle David Lanigan (GB) |
| 2018 1:50.43 | Wuheida (GB) 4yo 9-5 (2 of 8) 10/11F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2017 1:49.19 | Somehow (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (1 of 7) 13/8F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 1:51.06 | Usherette (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (4 of 9) 5/1 | Mickael Barzalona A Fabre (FR) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Dahlia Stakes have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 27 placings from 127 runners
- FR: 2 winners with an additional 0 placings from 9 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
Dahlia Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Dahlia Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute, who has won the race six times, with those six winners coming from Echelon (2007), Heaven Sent (2008 & 2009), Strawberrydaiquiri (2010), Dank (2013) and Bragging (2015). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Dahlia Stakes are Charlie Appleby (2 wins), A Fabre (2 wins) and John Gosden (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Dahlia Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sir Michael Stoute | 13-6-10 | +5.47 | +3.71 |
| Charlie Appleby | 7-2-2 | -2.71 | -3.59 |
| A Fabre | 5-2-2 | +4.25 | +1.41 |
| John Gosden | 5-2-3 | +0.91 | +0.40 |
| Ed Walker | 4-1-2 | +1.00 | +2.00 |
| David Simcock | 2-1-1 | +9.00 | +5.00 |
| Brian Meehan | 2-1-1 | +6.50 | +3.50 |
| William Jarvis | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +3.75 |
| Hughie Morrison | 2-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.13 |
| George Boughey | 2-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.50 |
Dahlia Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Dahlia Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race six times, with those six winners coming from Heaven Sent (2008 & 2009), Strawberrydaiquiri (2010), Dank (2013), Bragging (2015) and Somehow (2017). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Dahlia Stakes are William Buick (4 wins) and Kieran Shoemark (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Dahlia Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 15-6-8 | +4.37 | +0.48 |
| William Buick | 13-4-4 | +6.29 | +1.29 |
| Kieran Shoemark | 2-2-2 | +10.00 | +6.25 |
| Frankie Dettori | 12-1-3 | -10.09 | -8.08 |
| Jamie Spencer | 6-1-1 | -2.50 | -3.50 |
| James Doyle | 4-1-2 | +0.00 | -0.02 |
| Mickael Barzalona | 3-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.00 |
| David Egan | 2-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.13 |
| Maxime Guyon | 1-1-1 | +2.25 | +1.41 |
| Kerrin McEvoy | 1-1-1 | +0.73 | +0.44 |
2026 Dahlia Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 7, 1, 1, 1, 1, (4, 5, 6, 7), 4, 5, 2, 5, 7, 1, 1, 4, 1, 2, 3, 1, 2, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (62%) - No bigger than 10/1
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Achieved an RPR of 103+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 40/1 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Beaten no more -6½l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran in 3 - 9 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in CAN/DEU/ITA/UAE/WAL (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in a Cl3/Cl5-6 (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (87%) - Won by at least a neck (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 33/1 (Career Place)
- 18 / 20 (57%) - Within the first 4 of the market
- 18 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Career Win)
- 17 / 20 (58%) - Achieved a TS of 87+ (Last 5)
- 16 / 20 (49%) - Achieved an RPR of 106+ (Last Win)
- 16 / 20 (62%) - Achieved a TS of 88+ (Career)
- 16 / 20 (79%) - Placed within last 2 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Newmarket racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Dahlia Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Dahlia Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
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Dahlia Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +18.84, is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G3) when last winning.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners carried 126lbs last time out, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-25.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 1 (3) [5 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 4 (2) [6 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 3 (2,1) [9 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 3 (4) [6 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 4 (1) [7 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Dahlia Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley); there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Dahlia Stakes:
- Pivotal (4 Wins)
- Fastnet Rock (3 Wins)
- Dansili (2 Wins)
- Shamardal (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Dahlia Stakes; that stallion is Cape Cross, who has failed to produce a winner from 7 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Im A Dreamer in 2011, winning for David Simcock at odds of 10/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Dahlia Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Route to the Dahlia Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Dahlia Stakes, these are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Cinderellas Dream Meydan - 2nd of 5 (59/50) | Balanchine Presented By DP World |
| 2024 - Stay Alert Ascot - 13th of 14 (41/1) | British Champions Fillies Mares Stakes |
| 2023 - Via Sistina Toulouse - 1st of 11 (33/10) | Prix Fille de lAir |
| 2022 - Dreamloper Newmarket (Rowley) - 3rd of 12 (25/1) | Sun Chariot Stakes |
| 2021 - Lady Bowthorpe Newmarket (Rowley) - 6th of 12 (29/1) | Sun Chariot Stakes |
| 2020 - Terebellum Longchamp - 5th of 12 (69/10) | Prix de lOpera |
| 2019 - Worth Waiting Longchamp - 4th of 8 (43/10) | Prix Vermeille |
| 2018 - Wuheida Del Mar - 1st of 14 (8/1) | Breeders Cup Filly Mare Turf |
| 2017 - Somehow Gowran Park - 1st of 9 (6/4) | Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Victor McCalmont Memorial Stakes |
| 2016 - Usherette Chantilly - 1st of 12 (11/10) | Prix du Parc de Valliere |
Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival
Remember to head over to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Dahlia Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Guineas Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Friday at the Guineas Festival
The highlight on Friday is the Jockey Club Stakes, a Group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Newmarket Newmarket Stakes | Alpine Trail (FR) 3yo - 10/11 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 14:20 Newmarket King Charles II Stakes | Cosmic Year (GB) 3yo - 6/4 | Harry Charlton Ryan Moore |
| 16:05 Newmarket Jockey Club Stakes | Bellum Justum (IRE) 4yo - 11/2 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
Saturday at the Guineas Festival
Saturday's highlight is the 2,000 Guineas, part of the British Champion Series, we see the 3-year-old runners compete over a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Newmarket Rowley Handicap Stakes | More Thunder (IRE) 4yo - 11/4 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 14:20 Newmarket Suffolk Stakes | Fox Legacy (GB) 4yo - 15/2 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 14:55 Newmarket Palace House Stakes | Rumstar (GB) 5yo - 7/1 | Jonathan Portman Rob Hornby |
| 15:35 Newmarket 2000 Guineas | Ruling Court (USA) 3yo - 9/2 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Sunday at the Guineas Festival
Sunday is all about the fillies with the 1,000 Guineas taking centre stage, the three-year-olds will compete over a mile trip.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Newmarket Pretty Polly Stakes | Falakeyah (GB) 3yo - 6/4 | Owen Burrows Jim Crowley |
| 14:20 Newmarket Dahlia Stakes | Cinderellas Dream (GB) 4yo - 11/8 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 15:35 Newmarket 1000 Guineas | Desert Flower (IRE) 3yo - 1/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Dahlia Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
