Dahlia Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)

2025 Dahlia Stakes Preview

Scheduled to take place in May of each year at the Newmarket racecourse is the Dahlia Stakes which takes place during the Guineas Festival. This Group 2 is open to only mares and fillies who are four or older and is run over a distance of one mile and one furlong.

Established in 1997, the race is named in honour of the filly Dahlia from the 1970s. Originally holding a listed status, it was upgraded in 2004 to a Group 3 and then upgraded again in 2015 to its current Group 2 status.

Dahlia Stakes Information:

• Dahlia Stakes Past Winners
• Dahlia Stakes Trainer Statistics
• Dahlia Stakes Jockey Statistics

If you are interested in other predictions at Newmarket then head over to the Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information during the Guineas Festival, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival section for links to these. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Newmarket during the flat season, you can find links to those here.

How competitive is the Dahlia Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Dahlia Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.

Dahlia Stakes Trends:

• 2025 Dahlia Stakes Trends
• Dahlia Stakes Trend Analysis

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Dahlia Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +6.70. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Dahlia Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2020 renewal when Terebellum from John Gosden under the guidance of Frankie Dettori, won in a time of 2:03.28, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Heaven Sent, trained by Sir Michael Stoute and ridden by Ryan Moore set the quickest time of 1:47.98 in the 2009 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Dahlia Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

1. Heaven Sent (1:47.98) in 2009
2. Bragging (1:48.33) in 2015
3. Tarfah (1:48.78) in 2005

Dahlia Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Dahlia Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Dahlia Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Dahlia Stakes have been based:

• GB: 17 winners with an additional 28 placings from 130 runners
• FR: 2 winners with an additional 0 placings from 9 runners
• IRE: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
• GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners

Dahlia Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Dahlia Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute who has won the race six times with those six winners coming from Echelon (2007), Heaven Sent (2008 & 2009), Strawberrydaiquiri (2010), Dank (2013) and Bragging (2015). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Dahlia Stakes are A Fabre (2 wins) and John Gosden (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Dahlia Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Dahlia Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Dahlia Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race six times with those six winners coming from Heaven Sent (2008 & 2009), Strawberrydaiquiri (2010), Dank (2013), Bragging (2015) and Somehow (2017). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Dahlia Stakes are William Buick (3 wins) and Kieran Shoemark (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Dahlia Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Dahlia Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +18.84 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G3) when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners carried 126lbs last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-27.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

• 2024: Winner in 4 (2) [6 Runners]
• 2023: Winner in 3 (2,1) [9 Runners]
• 2022: Winner in 3 (4) [6 Runners]
• 2021: Winner in 4 (1) [7 Runners]
• 2020: Winner in 3 (5) [7 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Dahlia Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Dahlia Stakes:

• Pivotal (4 Wins)
• Fastnet Rock (3 Wins)
• Dansili (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Dahlia Stakes, that stallion is Cape Cross who has failed to produce a winner from 7 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Im A Dreamer in 2011, winning for David Simcock at odds of 10/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 8 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Dahlia Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

Other Principal races during the Newmarket Guineas Festival

Remember to head over to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Dahlia Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Guineas Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Friday at the Guineas Festival

The highlight on Friday is the Jockey Club Stakes, a group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.

Saturday at the Guineas Festival

Saturday's highlight is the 2,000 Guineas, part of the British Champion Series, we see the 3-year-old runners compete over a mile.

Sunday at the Guineas Festival

Sunday is all about the fillies with the 1,000 Guineas taking centre stage, the three-year-olds will compete over a mile trip.

Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse

Here are some other notable races at the Newmarket racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in April (Craven Meeting)

• Abernant Stakes
• Craven Stakes
• Earl Of Sefton Stakes
• Nell Gwyn Stakes

Races in July (July Festival)

• Bahrain Trophy Stakes
• bet365 Sprint Handicap Stakes
• July Stakes
• Princess of Wales's Stakes
• bet365 Handicap Stakes
• Duchess of Cambridge Stakes
• Falmouth Stakes
• bet365 Mile Handicap Stakes
• Bunbury Cup
• July Cup
• Superlative Stakes

Races in September (Cambridgeshire Meeting)

• Cambridgeshire Meeting 1m4f Handicap
• Jockey Club Rose Bowl
• Tattersall Stakes
• Godolphin Stakes
• Joel Stakes
• Princess Royal Stakes
• Rockfel Stakes
• Rosemary Stakes
• Cambridgeshire Handicap
• Cambridgeshire Meeting 7f Handicap
• Cheveley Park Stakes
• Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery
• Middle Park Stakes
• Royal Lodge Stakes

Races in October (Future Champions Festival)

• bet365 Fillies Mile
• Challenge Stakes
• Old Rowley Cup
• Cesarewitch
• Dewhurst Stakes

Races in October

• Sun Chariot Stakes