Prix Vermeille Preview, Trends & Analysis

Updated: 175 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the Prix Vermeille will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the Prix Vermeille, a race run over 1m4f at Longchamp.

Prix Vermeille Preview, Trends & Analysis
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Prix Vermeille Preview

Scheduled to take place in September of each year at the Longchamp racecourse is the Prix Vermeille, a Group 1 race that is restricted to fillies and mares who are aged three or older. The race was introduced in 1897 and was named after a filly called Vermeille who was a successful broodmare.

The race is contested over a distance of one mile and furlongs (2,400m) on the right-handed turf track and is the final leg of the French fillies' triple crown with the Poule d'Essai des Pouliches and the Prix de Diane the opening two races. The race is sometimes also used as a prep race for the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe, Treve won this race in 2013 before also going on to win that one.

Prix Vermeille Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Longchamp tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races in France section for links to these.

How competitive is the Prix Vermeille market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2016 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2004 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 130%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Prix Vermeille, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.

Prix Vermeille Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Prix Vermeille next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +2.88. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Prix Vermeille remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2013 renewal when Treve from Mme Christiane Head under the guidance of Frankie Dettori, won in a time of 2:36.82, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Zarkava, trained by A De Royer-Dupre and ridden by Christophe Soumillon set the quickest time of 2:26.00 in the 2008 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Prix Vermeille over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2008 - Zarkava (2:26.00)
  • 2018 - Kitesurf (2:26.39)
  • 2020 - Tarnawa (2:26.42)

Prix Vermeille Past Winners

Here are the Prix Vermeille past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Prix Vermeille as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
2:31.29
Warm Heart (IRE)
3yo 8-11 (3 of 8) 3/1
James Doyle
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2022
2:35.50
Sweet Lady (FR)
4yo 9-4 (3 of 11) 125/10
Gregory Benoist
F-H Graffard (FR)
2021
2:31.99
Teona (IRE)
3yo 8-10 (1 of 7) 179/10
Olivier Peslier
Roger Varian (GB)
2020
2:26.42
Tarnawa (IRE)
4yo 9-5 (10 of 10) 56/10
Christophe Soumillon
D K Weld (IRE)
2019
2:27.63
Star Catcher (GB)
3yo 8-9 (1 of 9) 11/10F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2018
2:26.39
Kitesurf (GB)
4yo 9-3 (8 of 8) 9/5F
Mickael Barzalona
A Fabre (FR)
2017
2:32.90
Bateel (IRE)
5yo 9-3 (4 of 11) 53/10
Pierre-Charles Boudot
F-H Graffard (FR)
2016
2:33.23
Left Hand (GB)
3yo 8-8 (2 of 6) 7/2
Maxime Guyon
C Laffon-Parias (FR)
2015
2:34.09
Treve (FR)
5yo 9-3 (8 of 9) 2/5F
Thierry Jarnet
Mme Christiane Head (FR)
2014
2:28.22
Baltic Baroness (GER)
4yo 9-3 (2 of 9) 22/1
Maxime Guyon
A Fabre (FR)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Prix Vermeille have been based:

  • FR: 15 winners with an additional 22 placings from 122 runners
  • GB: 3 winners with an additional 10 placings from 33 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 2 placings from 22 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 12 runners
  • HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
  • France: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner

Prix Vermeille Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Prix Vermeille over the last 20 renewals is A De Royer-Dupre who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Shawanda (2005), Mandesha (2006), Zarkava (2008) and Shareta (2012). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Prix Vermeille are A Fabre (2 wins), F-H Graffard (2 wins) and Mme Christiane Head (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Prix Vermeille trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A De Royer-Dupre 16-4-9 -5.78 -1.21
A Fabre 35-2-8 -9.20 -3.02
F-H Graffard 5-2-3 +14.80 +8.94
Mme Christiane Head 4-2-2 -0.50 -1.10
A P O'Brien 18-1-3 -14.00 -13.69
John Gosden 10-1-5 -7.90 -2.88
C Laffon-Parias 6-1-3 -1.50 +0.50
J E Hammond 5-1-1 +12.00 +5.60
F Head 4-1-1 -2.17 -2.48
J-C Rouget 4-1-2 -2.20 -1.90

Prix Vermeille Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Prix Vermeille over the last 20 renewals is Christophe Soumillon who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Shawanda (2005), Mandesha (2006), Zarkava (2008) and Tarnawa (2020). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Prix Vermeille are Olivier Peslier (2 wins), Maxime Guyon (2 wins), Christophe-Patrice Lemaire (2 wins) and Frankie Dettori (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Prix Vermeille, Stephane Pasquier has ridden a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Prix Vermeille jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Christophe Soumillon 18-4-8 -5.68 -2.50
Olivier Peslier 15-2-5 +5.73 +3.81
Maxime Guyon 12-2-3 +15.50 +6.60
Christophe-Patrice Lemaire 9-2-5 -2.70 -0.12
Frankie Dettori 9-2-5 -4.80 -2.35
Mickael Barzalona 13-1-6 -10.20 -3.41
Pierre-Charles Boudot 7-1-2 -0.70 +0.98
Thierry Jarnet 7-1-1 -5.60 -5.76
Gregory Benoist 4-1-1 +9.50 +4.50
Thierry Gillet 2-1-1 +15.00 +8.60

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 8, 1, 1, 9, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 4, 1, 5, 2, 1, 1, 2, 2, 4, 5

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

  • 20 / 20 (59%) - Achieved a TS of 89+ (Last 5)
  • 20 / 20 (64%) - Achieved an RPR of 106+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (67%) - Achieved an RPR of 108+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (70%) - Achieved an RPR of 105+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (74%) - Within the first 7 of the market
  • 20 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 22/1
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Won within last 3 starts
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 11/1 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - In a field of 7 - 15 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Ran over 7f - 1m2½f (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Beaten no more -4½l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Furthest Won 1m2f - 1m4½f
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Had 2 - 5 placings (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Highest Run is not G3/LST/Cl2-3
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 2 - 8 wins (Career)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Longchamp racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Prix Vermeille. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc. then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Prix Vermeille by adding a tip on the race here.

Prix Vermeille Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +18.86 is when runners ran over 1m on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a best in three result of 2nd, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-27.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 3 (1,4) [8 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 3 (1,4) [11 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 1 (4) [7 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 10 (9,5) [10 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 1 (8,4) [9 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Prix Vermeille is Deauville, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Deauville last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are York and Chantilly, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Prix Vermeille:

  • Dubawi (3 Wins)
  • Galileo (2 Wins)
  • Motivator (2 Wins)
  • Sea The Stars (2 Wins)
  • Shamardal (2 Wins)
  • Sinndar (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Prix Vermeille despite multiple attempts:

  • Montjeu (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Baltic Baroness in 2014, winning for A Fabre at odds of 22/1 under the guidance of Maxime Guyon. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 11 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Prix Vermeille remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

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