Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Prix de l'Opera Preview
Scheduled to take place in October of each year at the Longchamp racecourse is the Prix de l'Opera, this group one open to fillies and mares who are aged three or older is run on the same day as the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe.
The race is run over a trip of one mile and two furlongs in which the winner receives an automatic invite into the Breeders Cup Filly & Mares Turf.
Prix de l'Opera Information:
We also have a dedicated Longchamp tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered on Arc Day section for links to these.
How competitive is the Prix de l'Opera market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2016 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Prix de l'Opera, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.
Prix de l'Opera Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Prix de l'Opera next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 9 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -5.00. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Prix de l'Opera remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 10 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2020 renewal when Tarnawa from D K Weld under the guidance of Christophe Soumillon, won in a time of 2:12.87, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Speedy Boarding, trained by James Fanshawe and ridden by Frederik Tylicki set the quickest time of 2:02.03 in the 2016 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Prix de l'Opera over the last 10 renewals:
- Speedy Boarding (2:02.03) in 2016
- Rhododendron (2:03.60) in 2017
- Blue Rose Cen (2:03.71) in 2023
Prix de l'Opera Past Winners
Here are the Prix de l'Opera past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Prix de l'Opera are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:07.65 | Friendly Soul (GB) 3yo 8-11 (8 of 11) 89/10 | Kieran Shoemark John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2023 2:03.71 | Blue Rose Cen (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (1 of 11) 17/10F | Aurelien Lemaitre Christopher Head (FR) |
| 2022 2:12.64 | Place Du Carrousel (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (8 of 16) 41/1 | Mickael Barzalona A Fabre (FR) |
| 2021 2:11.15 | Rougir (FR) 3yo 8-11 (14 of 14) 229/10 | Maxime Guyon Cedric Rossi (FR) |
| 2020 2:12.87 | Tarnawa (IRE) 4yo 9-2 (14 of 12) 18/5 | Christophe Soumillon D K Weld (IRE) |
| 2019 2:09.09 | Villa Marina (GB) 3yo 8-11 (7 of 12) 199/10 | Olivier Peslier C Laffon-Parias (FR) |
| 2018 2:04.32 | Wild Illusion (GB) 3yo 8-11 (5 of 15) 2/1F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2017 2:03.60 | Rhododendron (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (5 of 13) 7/1 | Seamie Heffernan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 2:02.03 | Speedy Boarding (GB) 4yo 9-2 (6 of 7) 11/2 | Frederik Tylicki James Fanshawe (GB) |
| 2015 2:04.43 | Covert Love (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (5 of 13) 4/1F | Pat Smullen Hugo Palmer (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Prix de l'Opera have been based:
- FR: 4 winners with an additional 7 placings from 55 runners
- GB: 4 winners with an additional 4 placings from 28 runners
- IRE: 2 winners with an additional 8 placings from 25 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 11 runners
- JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- CZE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- SPA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- POL: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Prix de l'Opera Trainer Statistics
Here are some of the top Prix de l'Opera trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 14-1-5 | -6.00 | -2.75 |
| A Fabre | 9-1-2 | +33.00 | +17.00 |
| C Laffon-Parias | 5-1-1 | +15.90 | +7.94 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 3-1-3 | +6.90 | +6.64 |
| James Fanshawe | 3-1-2 | +3.50 | +3.44 |
| D K Weld | 2-1-1 | +2.60 | +1.16 |
| Charlie Appleby | 2-1-1 | +1.00 | +0.20 |
| Christopher Head | 2-1-1 | +0.70 | +0.02 |
| Cedric Rossi | 1-1-1 | +22.90 | +13.74 |
| Hugo Palmer | 1-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.40 |
Prix de l'Opera Jockey Statistics
Here are some of the top Prix de l'Opera jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe Soumillon | 9-1-2 | -4.40 | -4.14 |
| Mickael Barzalona | 8-1-1 | +34.00 | +13.50 |
| Maxime Guyon | 8-1-1 | +15.90 | +6.74 |
| Olivier Peslier | 6-1-1 | +14.90 | +6.94 |
| William Buick | 3-1-1 | +0.00 | -0.80 |
| Aurelien Lemaitre | 3-1-1 | -0.30 | -0.98 |
| Pat Smullen | 2-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.40 |
| Kieran Shoemark | 1-1-1 | +8.90 | +5.34 |
| Seamie Heffernan | 1-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.20 |
| Frederik Tylicki | 1-1-1 | +5.50 | +3.44 |
2025 Prix de l'Opera Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (1, 2), 3, 13, 1, 10, 2, 4, 2, 1, 4
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.
- 10 / 10 (52%) - Achieved a TS of 82+ (Last 3)
- 10 / 10 (59%) - Not on HY/GD/FM (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (72%) - Furthest ran 1m2½f - 1m4f
- 10 / 10 (73%) - In a field of 7 - 13 (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (73%) - Ran over 6f - 1m (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (77%) - No bigger than 43/5 (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (78%) - Ran in 5 - 12 races (Career)
- 10 / 10 (78%) - Not in a LST/Cl2-4 (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (80%) - Not in a G3/LST/Cl4/Cl6 (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (80%) - Within the first 10 of the market
- 10 / 10 (82%) - Not in CZE/DEU/ITA/JPN/POL/SCO/UAE/USA (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (83%) - Carried 123 - 131lbs (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (84%) - Won by at least a neck (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (85%) - Is not GER/JPN/USA bred
- 10 / 10 (86%) - No bigger than 41/1
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Longchamp racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Prix de l'Opera. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Prix de l'Opera by adding a tip on the race here.
Prix de l'Opera Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +52.60 is when runners had 2 career starts over further. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran on Good ground on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-40.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 8 (3,7) [11 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 1 (10,3) [11 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 8 (13,5) [16 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 14 (7,12) [14 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 14 (4,1) [12 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Prix de l'Opera are Deauville and Longchamp, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Prix de l'Opera, that stallion Shamardal has produced 2 winners (2020,2016).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Prix de l'Opera despite multiple attempts:
- Frankel (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Dansili (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Place Du Carrousel in 2022, winning for A Fabre at odds of 41/1 under the guidance of Mickael Barzalona. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Prix de l'Opera head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Prix de l'Opera Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
Races Covered on Arc Day
Here are the races at the Longchamp racecourse which take place on Arc Day, all of which we have blogs for.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Prix Marcel Boussac | Vertical Blue (IRE) 2yo - 33/1 | F-H Graffard Alexis Pouchin |
| Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere | Camille Pissarro (IRE) 2yo - 124/10 | A P O'Brien Christophe Soumillon |
| Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp | Makarova (GB) 5yo - 219/10 | Ed Walker Tom Marquand |
| Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe | Bluestocking (GB) 4yo - 11/2 | Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan |
| Prix de l'Opera | Friendly Soul (GB) 3yo - 89/10 | John & Thady Gosden Kieran Shoemark |
| Prix de la Foret | Ramatuelle (USA) 3yo - 5/1 | Christopher Head Aurelien Lemaitre |
