Prix de l'Opera Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Arc Day)

Updated: 536 Horse Racing

Contested over a distance of 1m2f is the Prix de l'Opera which is scheduled to take place at Longchamp during the Arc Day. Below we have detailed past winners along with both trainer and jockey records in the race and see which trends have been set based on past winners of the Prix de l'Opera.

Prix de l'Opera Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Arc Day)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Prix de l'Opera Preview

Scheduled to take place in October of each year at the Longchamp racecourse is the Prix de l'Opera, this group one open to fillies and mares who are aged three or older is run on the same day as the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe. The race is run over a trip of one mile and two furlongs in which the winner receives an automatic invite into the Breeders Cup Filly & Mares Turf.

Prix de l'Opera Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Longchamp tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered on Arc Day section for links to these.

How competitive is the Prix de l'Opera market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013 when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Prix de l'Opera, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.

Prix de l'Opera Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Prix de l'Opera next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -1.60. Ahead of the 2024 Prix de l'Opera why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2020 renewal when Tarnawa from D K Weld under the guidance of Christophe Soumillon, won in a time of 2:12.87, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Mandesha, trained by A De Royer-Dupre and ridden by Christophe Soumillon set the quickest time of 2:00.90 in the 2006 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Prix de l'Opera over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2006 - Mandesha (2:00.90)
  • 2009 - Shalanaya (2:01.80)
  • 2016 - Speedy Boarding (2:02.03)

Prix de l'Opera Past Winners

Here are the Prix de l'Opera past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Prix de l'Opera as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
2:03.71
Blue Rose Cen (IRE)
3yo 8-11 (1 of 11) 17/10F
Aurelien Lemaitre
Christopher Head (FR)
2022
2:12.64
Place Du Carrousel (IRE)
3yo 8-11 (8 of 16) 41/1
Mickael Barzalona
A Fabre (FR)
2021
2:11.15
Rougir (FR)
3yo 8-11 (14 of 14) 229/10
Maxime Guyon
Cedric Rossi (FR)
2020
2:12.87
Tarnawa (IRE)
4yo 9-2 (14 of 12) 18/5
Christophe Soumillon
D K Weld (IRE)
2019
2:09.09
Villa Marina (GB)
3yo 8-11 (7 of 12) 199/10
Olivier Peslier
C Laffon-Parias (FR)
2018
2:04.32
Wild Illusion (GB)
3yo 8-11 (5 of 15) 2/1F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2017
2:03.60
Rhododendron (IRE)
3yo 8-11 (5 of 13) 7/1
Seamie Heffernan
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016
2:02.03
Speedy Boarding (GB)
4yo 9-2 (6 of 7) 11/2
Frederik Tylicki
James Fanshawe (GB)
2015
2:04.43
Covert Love (IRE)
3yo 8-11 (5 of 13) 4/1F
Pat Smullen
Hugo Palmer (GB)
2014
2:02.33
We Are (IRE)
3yo 8-11 (7 of 11) 6/1
Thierry Jarnet
F Head (FR)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Prix de l'Opera have been based:

  • FR: 11 winners with an additional 16 placings from 104 runners
  • GB: 5 winners with an additional 9 placings from 52 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 13 placings from 36 runners
  • GER: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 26 runners
  • JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • POL: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • ITY: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • CZE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • KOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • France: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • SPA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Prix de l'Opera Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Prix de l'Opera over the last 20 renewals with both A De Royer-Dupre and M Delzangles who have both won the race two times. A De Royer-Dupre winners have been with Mandesha (2006) and Dalkala (2013). M Delzangles winners have been with Shalanaya (2009) and Ridasiyna (2012). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Prix de l'Opera, John Gosden has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Prix de l'Opera trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A De Royer-Dupre 12-2-3 +0.00 -3.00
M Delzangles 4-2-2 +30.00 +17.20
A Fabre 20-1-7 +22.00 +11.61
A P O'Brien 17-1-6 -9.00 -2.75
J-C Rouget 10-1-2 -2.00 -4.15
J S Bolger 7-1-5 +0.00 +1.07
F Head 7-1-2 +0.00 -1.30
C Laffon-Parias 6-1-1 +14.90 +6.94
Roger Varian 5-1-2 -0.67 -0.60
James Fanshawe 4-1-3 +2.50 +3.54

Prix de l'Opera Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Prix de l'Opera over the last 20 renewals is Christophe Soumillon who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Mandesha (2006), Dalkala (2013) and Tarnawa (2020). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Prix de l'Opera is Maxime Guyon (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Prix de l'Opera, Ryan Moore has ridden a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Prix de l'Opera jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Christophe Soumillon 17-3-7 -0.40 -0.59
Maxime Guyon 12-2-4 +32.90 +17.26
Frankie Dettori 13-1-4 -8.67 -6.88
Olivier Peslier 12-1-2 +8.90 +2.54
Mickael Barzalona 8-1-1 +34.00 +13.50
Kevin Manning 7-1-5 +0.00 +1.07
Christophe-Patrice Lemaire 6-1-1 +7.00 +2.20
William Buick 5-1-2 -2.00 -2.10
Thierry Jarnet 4-1-2 +3.00 +1.70
Ioritz Mendizabal 3-1-2 +5.00 +4.20

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 3, 3, 6, 2, 3, 2, 2, 2, 2, 4, (1, 2), 3, 13, 1, 10, 2, 4, 2, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

  • 20 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 9/1 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Fewer than 4 starts (Going)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Not in BRA/CZE/DEU/HKG/ITA/JPN/POL/SCO/UAE/USA (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Achieved a TS of 64+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Achieved a TS of 77+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Within the first 10 of the market
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Not in BRA/CZE/DEU/ITA/JPN/POL/ZAF (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - No bigger than 38/1 (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in AUT/DEU/ITA/JPN/POL/SCO/TUR (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Not BB/BL/BR/GR/RG in colour
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 41/1
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Beaten no more -8¼l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - In a field of 6 - 15 (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - Achieved an RPR of 107+ (Last 3)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Longchamp racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Prix de l'Opera. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Prix de l'Opera by adding a tip on the race here.

Prix de l'Opera Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +68.30 is when runners had an IRE bred dam. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 career places over the trip, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-27.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 1 (10,3) [11 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 8 (13,5) [16 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 14 (7,12) [14 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 14 (4,1) [12 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 7 (12,11) [12 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Prix de l'Opera is Deauville, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Deauville last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Longchamp, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Longchamp last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Prix de l'Opera:

  • Galileo (2 Wins)
  • Shamardal (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Prix de l'Opera despite multiple attempts:

  • Frankel (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Cape Cross (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Monsun (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Place Du Carrousel in 2022, winning for A Fabre at odds of 41/1 under the guidance of Mickael Barzalona. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 3 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Prix de l'Opera. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

Races Covered on Arc Day

Arc Day races for Sunday 6th October 2024

Here are the races at the Longchamp racecourse which take place on Arc Day, all of which we have blogs for.

Race 2023 Winner Info
Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere Rosallion (IRE)
2yo - 61/10
Richard Hannon
Sean Levey
Prix Marcel Boussac Opera Singer (USA)
2yo - 17/10
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Ace Impact (IRE)
3yo - 19/10
J-C Rouget
Cristian Demuro
Prix de l'Opera Blue Rose Cen (IRE)
3yo - 17/10
Christopher Head
Aurelien Lemaitre
Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Highfield Princess (FR)
6yo - 21/10
John Quinn
Jason Hart
Prix de la Foret Kelina (IRE)
3yo - 28/1
C Laffon-Parias
Maxime Guyon

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