You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Nassau Stakes Preview
The Nassau Stakes is the feature race on day three of the Glorious Goodwood festival, which is held in late July or early August. Group 1 is open to fillies and mares who are aged three years old or older and run over one mile and two furlongs.
The younger runners (3 years old) receive an 8-pound allowance over their older counterparts, running off just 8-13, while the older runners have to carry 9-7.
For sponsorship purposes, the 2025 renewal of the Nassau Stakes will hold the title of 'Qatar Nassau Stakes'.
Nassau Stakes Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Goodwood tips on the day of the race. Do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist, or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Nassau Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2013 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Nassau Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Nassau Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Nassau Stakes Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the Nassau Stakes Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.
These are the top three quickest-run Nassau Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Deirdre (2:02.93) in 2019
- Ouija Board (2:04.47) in 2006
- Peeping Fawn (2:04.53) in 2007
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Nassau Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -8.06. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Deirdre, trained by Mitsuru Hashida and ridden by Oisin Murphy, who set the fastest winning time in the Nassau Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 2:02.93 in 2019. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Roger Varian and jockey Jim Crowley with Al Husn who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 2:13.37 in the 2023 renewal.
Nassau Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Nassau Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Nassau Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:04.96 | Opera Singer (USA) 3yo 9-1 (8 of 9) 9/4 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2023 2:13.37 | Al Husn (IRE) 4yo 9-9 (6 of 6) 9/1 | Jim Crowley Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2022 2:05.77 | Nashwa (GB) 3yo 9-0 (9 of 8) 6/5F | Hollie Doyle John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2021 2:08.94 | Lady Bowthorpe (GB) 5yo 9-7 (5 of 6) 100/30 | Kieran Shoemark William Jarvis (GB) |
| 2020 2:04.99 | Fancy Blue (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (3 of 7) 11/4 | Ryan Moore Donnacha Aidan O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2019 2:02.93 | Deirdre (JPN) 5yo 9-7 (4 of 9) 20/1 | Oisin Murphy Mitsuru Hashida (JPN) |
| 2018 2:06.22 | Wild Illusion (GB) 3yo 8-13 (6 of 6) 4/1 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2017 2:11.79 | Winter (IRE) 3yo 8-13 (6 of 6) 10/11F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 2:05.05 | Minding (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (1 of 5) 1/5F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2015 2:06.04 | Legatissimo (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (8 of 9) 2/1F | Wayne Lordan David Wachman (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Nassau Stakes have been based:
- GB: 11 winners with an additional 20 placings from 112 runners
- IRE: 8 winners with an additional 6 placings from 34 runners
- JPN: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 4 placings from 9 runners
2024 Nassau Stakes Replay
Nassau Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Nassau Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Peeping Fawn (2007), Halfway To Heaven (2008), Minding (2016), Winter (2017) and Opera Singer (2024).
Here are the Nassau Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 22-5-7 | -6.64 | -8.20 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 3-1-1 | -0.80 | -1.28 |
| Andrew Balding | 3-0-2 | -3.00 | +1.60 |
Nassau Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Nassau Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Fancy Blue (2020) and Opera Singer (2024). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Nassau Stakes is William Buick (3 wins).
Here are the Nassau Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore (Whirl) | 17-4-6 | -6.89 | -6.80 |
| William Buick (Running Lion) | 8-3-3 | +24.50 | +12.94 |
| Oisin Murphy (See The Fire) | 5-1-3 | +16.00 | +12.60 |
| Wayne Lordan (Bedtime Story) | 2-1-1 | +1.00 | +0.20 |
2025 Nassau Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 6, 5, 2, 1, 1, 1, 6, 9, 5, (3, 5), 1, 4, 6
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 20/1
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Held an OR of 100+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Carried 123 - 136lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Off a break of 20 - 79 days
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 49+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not on STD-SLW/STD (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Highest Placed is not G3/Cl4
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 103+ (Season)
- 19 / 20 (73%) - Achieved an RPR of 109+ (Career)
- 19 / 20 (75%) - First 6 (Not 3rd) (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (82%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 19 / 20 (83%) - Won within last 4 starts
- 18 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Career Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Goodwood racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Nassau Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Nassau Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Nassau Stakes Trend Shortlist
Goodwood will host the 2025 renewal of the Nassau Stakes, which will be run at 3:05 pm on Thursday, 31st July 2025, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Whirl (11/8)
- A P O'Brien (22-5-7 -6.64 / -8.20)
- Ryan Moore (17-4-6 -6.89 / -6.80)
Others: Cercene (14/15), See The Fire (14/15), Bedtime Story (13/15) and Running Lion (11/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (1:55 pm Tuesday 29th July 2025), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.
Cercene won the Coronation Stakes last time out, and a total of 6 previous winners of that race from a total of 18 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of +3.84.
Whirl won the Irish Pretty Polly Stakes last time out, and a total of 4 previous winners of that race from a total of 16 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of -3.08.
Nassau Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +18.32, is when runners had 3 places in the past 90 days.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career start in the class, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-29.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 8 (7,5) [9 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 6 (5) [6 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 9 (2,5) [8 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 5 (3) [6 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 3 (1) [7 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Nassau Stakes are Ascot and Curragh; there have been a total of 6 winners from each of those courses.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Nassau Stakes:
- Oasis Dream (3 Wins)
- Dansili (2 Wins)
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
- Galileo (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Winsili in 2013, winning for John Gosden at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Nassau Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Route to the Nassau Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Nassau Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Opera Singer Ascot - 2nd of 9 (10/3) | Coronation Stakes |
| 2023 - Al Husn Newcastle (AW) - 1st of 9 (3/1) | JenningsBet In Shiremoor Hoppings Fillies Stakes |
| 2022 - Nashwa Chantilly - 1st of 17 (3/1) | Prix de Diane |
| 2021 - Lady Bowthorpe Newmarket (July) - 4th of 13 (11/1) | Falmouth Stakes |
| 2020 - Fancy Blue Chantilly - 1st of 11 (91/10) | Prix de Diane |
| 2019 - Deirdre Ascot - 6th of 8 (33/1) | Prince of Wales's Stakes |
| 2018 - Wild Illusion Ascot - 2nd of 10 (9/4) | Ribblesdale Stakes |
| 2017 - Winter Ascot - 1st of 7 (4/9) | Coronation Stakes |
| 2016 - Minding Curragh - 1st of 5 (1/5) | Pretty Polly Stakes (Irish) |
| 2015 - Legatissimo Curragh - 2nd of 9 (6/4) | Pretty Polly Stakes (Irish) |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Nassau Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Take Heart (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | J P Murtagh Ben Coen |
| 13:55 Vintage Stakes | Aomori City (FR) 2yo - 2/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 14:30 Lennox Stakes | Audience (GB) 5yo - 4/1 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 15:05 Goodwood Cup | Kyprios (IRE) 6yo - 8/13 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day, this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:55 Oak Tree Stakes | Raqiya (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | Owen Burrows Jim Crowley |
| 14:30 Molecomb Stakes | Big Mojo (IRE) 2yo - 25/1 | Michael Appleby Silvestre De Sousa |
| 15:05 Sussex Stakes | Notable Speech (GB) 3yo - 3/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Kincsem Handicap | Approval (GB) 3yo - 11/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 13:55 Richmond Stakes | Black Forza (USA) 2yo - 9/1 | M D O'Callaghan Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| 14:30 Gordon Stakes | Jan Brueghel (IRE) 3yo - 4/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Nassau Stakes | Opera Singer (USA) 3yo - 9/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Goodwood Handicap | Master Milliner (IRE) 8yo - 25/1 | Emma Lavelle Charles Bishop |
| 13:55 Thoroughbred Stakes | Lead Artist (GB) 3yo - 9/2 | John & Thady Gosden Kieran Shoemark |
| 14:30 Golden Mile Handicap | Toimy Son (FR) 5yo - 12/1 | David Menuisier Oisin Murphy |
| 15:05 King George Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 3yo - 13/8 | Michael Appleby Tom Marquand |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Glorious Stakes | Al Aasy (IRE) 7yo - 3/1 | William Haggas Jim Crowley |
| 13:55 Summer Handicap | Align The Stars (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | Charlie Johnston Joe Fanning |
| 14:30 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Term Of Endearment (GB) 5yo - 15/2 | Henry De Bromhead W J Lee |
| 15:05 Stewards Cup | Get It (GB) 6yo - 40/1 | George Baker Pat Cosgrave |
