Nassau Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Glorious Goodwood)

Updated: 1250 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the Nassau Stakes will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the Nassau Stakes, a race run over 1m2f at Goodwood during the Glorious Goodwood.

Nassau Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Glorious Goodwood)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Nassau Stakes Preview

The Nassau Stakes is the feature race on day three of the Glorious Goodwood festival which is held in late July or early August, this Group 1 is open to fillies and mares who are aged three years old or older and is run over one mile and two furlongs. The younger runners (3yo) get an 8lb allowance over their older counterparts, running off just 8-13 whilst the older runners have to carry 9-7.

Nassau Stakes Information:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Goodwood tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.

How competitive is the Nassau Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2013 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Nassau Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.

Nassau Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Nassau Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -5.23. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Nassau Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:02.93 was set by Deirdre in 2019, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Mitsuru Hashida and ridden by Oisin Murphy. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Al Husn won in a time of 2:13.37, booked to ride was Jim Crowley on this Roger Varian trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Nassau Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2019 - Deirdre (2:02.93)
  • 2006 - Ouija Board (2:04.47)
  • 2007 - Peeping Fawn (2:04.53)

Nassau Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Nassau Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Nassau Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
2:13.37
Al Husn (IRE)
4yo 9-9 (6 of 6) 9/1
Jim Crowley
Roger Varian (GB)
2022
2:05.77
Nashwa (GB)
3yo 9-0 (9 of 8) 6/5F
Hollie Doyle
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2021
2:08.94
Lady Bowthorpe (GB)
5yo 9-7 (5 of 6) 100/30
Kieran Shoemark
William Jarvis (GB)
2020
2:04.99
Fancy Blue (IRE)
3yo 8-12 (3 of 7) 11/4
Ryan Moore
Donnacha Aidan O'Brien (IRE)
2019
2:02.93
Deirdre (JPN)
5yo 9-7 (4 of 9) 20/1
Oisin Murphy
Mitsuru Hashida (JPN)
2018
2:06.22
Wild Illusion (GB)
3yo 8-13 (6 of 6) 4/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2017
2:11.79
Winter (IRE)
3yo 8-13 (6 of 6) 10/11F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016
2:05.05
Minding (IRE)
3yo 8-11 (1 of 5) 1/5F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
2:06.04
Legatissimo (IRE)
3yo 8-12 (8 of 9) 2/1F
Wayne Lordan
David Wachman (IRE)
2014
2:06.58
Sultanina (GB)
4yo 9-7 (2 of 6) 11/2
William Buick
John Gosden (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Nassau Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 12 winners with an additional 20 placings from 112 runners
  • IRE: 7 winners with an additional 6 placings from 32 runners
  • JPN: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 3 placings from 8 runners

Nassau Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Nassau Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Peeping Fawn (2007), Halfway To Heaven (2008), Minding (2016) and Winter (2017). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Nassau Stakes is John Gosden (3 wins).

Here are some of the top Nassau Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 21-4-6 -8.89 -9.55
John Gosden 15-3-5 +16.25 +6.64
Sir Michael Stoute 15-1-4 -8.50 -5.56
Roger Varian 4-1-2 +6.00 +4.01
J S Bolger 3-1-3 -0.37 +0.64
Ed Dunlop 3-1-2 -1.00 -0.56
Charlie Appleby 2-1-1 +3.00 +1.50
John & Thady Gosden 2-1-1 +0.20 -0.28
William Jarvis 1-1-1 +3.33 +2.08
Donnacha Aidan O'Brien 1-1-1 +2.75 +1.72

Nassau Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Nassau Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of Ryan Moore, William Buick and Tom Queally having all won the race three times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Minding (2016), Winter (2017) and Fancy Blue (2020). William Buick's winners have been Winsili (2013), Sultanina (2014) and Wild Illusion (2018). Tom Queally winners have been with Midday (2009, 2010 & 2011).

Here are some of the top Nassau Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 16-3-5 -9.14 -8.15
William Buick 8-3-3 +24.50 +12.94
Tom Queally 5-3-5 +6.88 +6.52
Frankie Dettori 13-1-3 -11.00 -9.76
Jim Crowley 5-1-2 +5.00 +3.01
Oisin Murphy 4-1-2 +17.00 +11.50
Kieran Shoemark 2-1-1 +2.33 +1.08
Wayne Lordan 2-1-1 +1.00 +0.20
Hollie Doyle 2-1-1 +0.20 -0.28
Tom Marquand 5-0-2 -5.00 -0.75

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 6, 5, 2, 1, 1, 1, 6, 9, 5, (3, 5), 1, 4

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Held an OR of 100+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Within the first 7 of market
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Off a break of 20 - 79 days
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Highest Placed is not G3/Cl4
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 49+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Carried 123 - 136lbs (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Not on STD-SLW/STD/FS (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Carried 120 - 133lbs (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in a LST (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 103+ (Season)
  • 19 / 20 (73%) - Achieved an RPR of 109+ (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - Placed within last 2 starts
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Won within last 4 starts

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Nassau Stakes. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works, No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles too in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Nassau Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Nassau Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +24.28 is when runners ran over 7f on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career places over the trip, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-23.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 6 (5) [6 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 9 (2,5) [8 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 5 (3) [6 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 3 (1) [7 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 4 (3,9) [9 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Nassau Stakes is Curragh, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Nassau Stakes:

  • Oasis Dream (3 Wins)
  • Dansili (2 Wins)
  • Dubawi (2 Wins)
  • Galileo (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Winsili in 2013, winning for John Gosden at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 9 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood

Glorious Goodwood races for Tuesday 30th July 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Wednesday 31st July 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Thursday 1st August 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Friday 2nd August 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Saturday 3rd August 2024

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