Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Nassau Stakes Preview
The Nassau Stakes is the feature race on day three of the Glorious Goodwood festival which is held in late July or early August, this Group 1 is open to fillies and mares who are aged three years old or older and is run over one mile and two furlongs. The younger runners (3yo) get an 8lb allowance over their older counterparts, running off just 8-13 whilst the older runners have to carry 9-7.
Nassau Stakes Information:
Our dedicated Goodwood tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Nassau Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at Goodwood throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
How competitive is the Nassau Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2013 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Nassau Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.
Nassau Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Nassau Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -7.06. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Nassau Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2023 renewal when Al Husn from Roger Varian under the guidance of Jim Crowley, won in a time of 2:13.37, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Deirdre, trained by Mitsuru Hashida and ridden by Oisin Murphy set the quickest time of 2:02.93 in the 2019 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Nassau Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Deirdre (2:02.93) in 2019
- Ouija Board (2:04.47) in 2006
- Peeping Fawn (2:04.53) in 2007
Nassau Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Nassau Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Nassau Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:04.96 | Opera Singer (USA) 3yo 9-1 (8 of 9) 9/4 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2023 2:13.37 | Al Husn (IRE) 4yo 9-9 (6 of 6) 9/1 | Jim Crowley Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2022 2:05.77 | Nashwa (GB) 3yo 9-0 (9 of 8) 6/5F | Hollie Doyle John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2021 2:08.94 | Lady Bowthorpe (GB) 5yo 9-7 (5 of 6) 100/30 | Kieran Shoemark William Jarvis (GB) |
| 2020 2:04.99 | Fancy Blue (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (3 of 7) 11/4 | Ryan Moore Donnacha Aidan O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2019 2:02.93 | Deirdre (JPN) 5yo 9-7 (4 of 9) 20/1 | Oisin Murphy Mitsuru Hashida (JPN) |
| 2018 2:06.22 | Wild Illusion (GB) 3yo 8-13 (6 of 6) 4/1 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2017 2:11.79 | Winter (IRE) 3yo 8-13 (6 of 6) 10/11F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 2:05.05 | Minding (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (1 of 5) 1/5F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2015 2:06.04 | Legatissimo (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (8 of 9) 2/1F | Wayne Lordan David Wachman (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Nassau Stakes have been based:
- GB: 11 winners with an additional 20 placings from 112 runners
- IRE: 8 winners with an additional 6 placings from 34 runners
- JPN: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 4 placings from 9 runners
Nassau Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Nassau Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Peeping Fawn (2007), Halfway To Heaven (2008), Minding (2016), Winter (2017) and Opera Singer (2024). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Nassau Stakes is John Gosden (3 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Nassau Stakes, Sir Michael Stoute has sent a total of 14 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Nassau Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 22-5-7 | -6.64 | -8.20 |
| John Gosden | 15-3-5 | +16.25 | +6.64 |
| Roger Varian | 5-1-2 | +5.00 | +3.01 |
| J S Bolger | 3-1-3 | -0.37 | +0.64 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 3-1-1 | -0.80 | -1.28 |
| Ed Dunlop | 3-1-2 | -1.00 | -0.56 |
| Charlie Appleby | 2-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.50 |
| William Jarvis | 1-1-1 | +3.33 | +2.08 |
| Donnacha Aidan O'Brien | 1-1-1 | +2.75 | +1.72 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 14-0-3 | -14.00 | -9.00 |
Nassau Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Nassau Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Fancy Blue (2020) and Opera Singer (2024). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Nassau Stakes are William Buick (3 wins) and Tom Queally (3 wins).
Here are some of the top Nassau Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 17-4-6 | -6.89 | -6.80 |
| William Buick | 8-3-3 | +24.50 | +12.94 |
| Tom Queally | 5-3-5 | +6.88 | +6.52 |
| Frankie Dettori | 12-1-3 | -10.00 | -8.76 |
| Oisin Murphy | 5-1-3 | +16.00 | +12.60 |
| Jim Crowley | 5-1-2 | +5.00 | +3.01 |
| Kieran Shoemark | 3-1-1 | +1.33 | +0.08 |
| Wayne Lordan | 2-1-1 | +1.00 | +0.20 |
| Hollie Doyle | 2-1-1 | +0.20 | -0.28 |
| Tom Marquand | 5-0-2 | -5.00 | -0.75 |
2025 Nassau Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 6, 5, 2, 1, 1, 1, 6, 9, 5, (3, 5), 1, 4, 6
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 20/1
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Held an OR of 100+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Carried 123 - 136lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Off a break of 20 - 79 days
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 49+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not on STD-SLW/STD (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Highest Placed is not G3/Cl4
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 103+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 120 - 133lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in a LST (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (73%) - Achieved an RPR of 109+ (Career)
- 19 / 20 (82%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 19 / 20 (83%) - Won within last 4 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Nassau Stakes. You may want to do your research into the race, there are times when there are several runners who pass the trends so you need to do your research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Nassau Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Nassau Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +18.32 is when runners had 3 places in the past 90 days. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career start in the class, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-29.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 8 (7,5) [9 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 6 (5) [6 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 9 (2,5) [8 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 5 (3) [6 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 3 (1) [7 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Nassau Stakes are Ascot and Curragh, there has been a total number of 6 winners from each of those courses.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Nassau Stakes:
- Oasis Dream (3 Wins)
- Dansili (2 Wins)
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
- Galileo (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Winsili in 2013, winning for John Gosden at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Nassau Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Nassau Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Take Heart (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | J P Murtagh Ben Coen |
| 14:25 Vintage Stakes | Aomori City (FR) 2yo - 2/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 15:00 Lennox Stakes | Audience (GB) 5yo - 4/1 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 15:35 Goodwood Cup | Kyprios (IRE) 6yo - 8/13 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day, this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:25 Oak Tree Stakes | Raqiya (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | Owen Burrows Jim Crowley |
| 15:00 Molecomb Stakes | Big Mojo (IRE) 2yo - 25/1 | Michael Appleby Silvestre De Sousa |
| 15:35 Sussex Stakes | Notable Speech (GB) 3yo - 3/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Kincsem Handicap | Approval (GB) 3yo - 11/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 14:25 Richmond Stakes | Black Forza (USA) 2yo - 9/1 | M D O'Callaghan Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| 15:00 Gordon Stakes | Jan Brueghel (IRE) 3yo - 4/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:35 Nassau Stakes | Opera Singer (USA) 3yo - 9/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Goodwood Handicap | Master Milliner (IRE) 8yo - 25/1 | Emma Lavelle Charles Bishop |
| 14:25 Thoroughbred Stakes | Lead Artist (GB) 3yo - 9/2 | John & Thady Gosden Kieran Shoemark |
| 15:00 Golden Mile Handicap | Toimy Son (FR) 5yo - 12/1 | David Menuisier Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 King George Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 3yo - 13/8 | Michael Appleby Tom Marquand |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Glorious Stakes | Al Aasy (IRE) 7yo - 3/1 | William Haggas Jim Crowley |
| 14:25 Summer Handicap | Align The Stars (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | Charlie Johnston Joe Fanning |
| 15:00 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Term Of Endearment (GB) 5yo - 15/2 | Henry De Bromhead W J Lee |
| 15:35 Stewards Cup | Get It (GB) 6yo - 40/1 | George Baker Pat Cosgrave |
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