2022 Nassau Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

2022 Nassau Stakes Preview

The Nassau Stakes is the feature race on day three of the Glorious Goodwood festival which is held in late July or early August, this Group 1 is open to fillies and mares who are aged three years old or older and is run over one mile and two furlongs. The younger runners (3yo) get an 8lb allowance over their older counterparts, running off just 8-13 whilst the older runners have to carry 9-7.

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Goodwood Betting Picks page to see which of those runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:02.93 was set by Deirdre in 2019, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Mitsuru Hashida and ridden by Oisin Murphy. The slowest winning time was set in 2017 when Winter won in a time of 2:11.79, booked to ride was Ryan Moore on this A P O'Brien trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Nassau Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

2019 - Deirdre (2:02.93)
2006 - Ouija Board (2:04.47)
2007 - Peeping Fawn (2:04.53)

How competitive is the Nassau Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2013 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Nassau Stakes, the over-round has been 115% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Nassau Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 6 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -2.23. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Nassau Stakes.

Nassau Stakes Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Nassau Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Nassau Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year	Horse (Drawn)	Info
2021 2:08.94	Lady Bowthorpe 5yo 9-7 (5 of 6) 100/30	Kieran Shoemark William Jarvis
2020 2:04.99	Fancy Blue 3yo 8-12 (3 of 7) 11/4	Ryan Moore Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
2019 2:02.93	Deirdre 5yo 9-7 (4 of 9) 20/1	Oisin Murphy Mitsuru Hashida
2018 2:06.22	Wild Illusion 3yo 8-13 (6 of 6) 4/1	William Buick Charlie Appleby
2017 2:11.79	Winter 3yo 8-13 (6 of 6) 10/11F	Ryan Moore A P O'Brien
2016 2:05.05	Minding 3yo 8-11 (1 of 5) 1/5F	Ryan Moore A P O'Brien
2015 2:06.04	Legatissimo 3yo 8-12 (8 of 9) 2/1F	Wayne Lordan David Wachman
2014 2:06.58	Sultanina 4yo 9-7 (2 of 6) 11/2	William Buick John Gosden
2013 2:06.19	Winsili 3yo 8-11 (15 of 14) 20/1	William Buick John Gosden
2012 2:09.61	The Fugue 3yo 8-11 (7 of 8) 11/4	Richard Hughes John Gosden

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Nassau Stakes have been based:

GB: 12 winners with an additional 20 placings from 117 runners
IRE: 7 winners with an additional 6 placings from 30 runners
JPN: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
FR: 0 winners with an additional 4 placings from 9 runners

Nassau Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Nassau Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Peeping Fawn (2007), Halfway To Heaven (2008), Minding (2016) & Winter (2017). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Nassau Stakes are Sir Michael Stoute (3 wins) & John Gosden (3 wins).

Here are some of the top Nassau Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer	R-W-P	Win	EW
A P O'Brien	21-4-7	-8.89	-8.83
Sir Michael Stoute	18-3-7	-5.37	-2.48
John Gosden	17-3-6	+14.25	+8.44
J S Bolger	3-1-3	-0.37	+0.64
Ed Dunlop	3-1-2	-1.00	-0.56
Charlie Appleby	2-1-1	+3.00	+1.50
William Jarvis	1-1-1	+3.33	+2.08
Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	1-1-1	+2.75	+1.72
Saeed bin Suroor	6-0-0	-6.00	-6.00
David Elsworth	5-0-1	-5.00	-2.00

Nassau Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Nassau Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of Ryan Moore, William Buick & Tom Queally having all won the race 3 times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Minding (2016), Winter (2017) & Fancy Blue (2020). William Buick winners have been with Winsili (2013), Sultanina (2014) & Wild Illusion (2018). Tom Queally winners have been with Midday (2009), Midday (2010) & Midday (2011).

Here are some of the top Nassau Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey	R-W-P	Win	EW
Ryan Moore	14-3-4	-7.14	-7.53
William Buick	8-3-3	+24.50	+12.94
Tom Queally	5-3-5	+6.88	+6.52
Frankie Dettori	13-1-3	-11.00	-9.76
Oisin Murphy	4-1-2	+17.00	+11.50
Kevin Manning	3-1-3	-0.37	+0.64
Wayne Lordan	2-1-1	+1.00	+0.20
Kieran Shoemark	1-1-1	+3.33	+2.08
James Doyle	4-0-1	-4.00	-0.20
Jim Crowley	4-0-1	-4.00	-2.62

2022 Nassau Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,3,1,3,1,1,1,2,2,1,1,6,5,2,1,1,1,6,9,5,(3,5)

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 20/1
20 / 20 (84%) - Ran in at least a G2 (LTO)
20 / 20 (88%) - 2+ Wins on turf
20 / 20 (92%) - 2+ Career wins
19 / 20 (80%) - Placing within last 2 starts
19 / 20 (83%) - Won within 4 starts
18 / 20 (73%) - Placed in at least a G2
17 / 20 (58%) - No bigger than 13/2 (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Nassau Stakes. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please do leave a comment or alternatively, head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Nassau Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Nassau Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +12.41 is when runners ran over 7f on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career places over the trip, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-26.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

2021: Winner in 5 (3) [6 Runners]
2020: Winner in 3 (1) [7 Runners]
2019: Winner in 4 (3,9) [9 Runners]
2018: Winner in 6 (2) [6 Runners]
2017: Winner in 6 (9) [6 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Nassau Stakes are Ascot and Curragh, there has been a total number of 6 winners from each of those courses.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Nassau Stakes:

Oasis Dream (3 Wins)
Dansili (2 Wins)
Galileo (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Winsili in 2013 when winning for John Gosden at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 9 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Nassau Stakes see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today.

2022 Nassau Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis