You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Kincsem Handicap Preview
A Class 2 handicap restricted to three-year-old runners, the Summer Vase Handicap, currently known as the Kincsem Handicap, takes place in July each year during the Glorious Goodwood festival. The race is run over a trip of one mile and two furlongs and is run on the third day of the festival.
For sponsorship purposes, the 2026 renewal of the Kincsem Handicap will hold the title of 'Coral Kincsem Heritage Handicap'.
Kincsem Handicap Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Goodwood tips on the day of the race. Do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist, or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Kincsem Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2024, when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2025 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 139%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Kincsem Handicap, the over-round has been 122%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Kincsem Handicap Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Kincsem Handicap Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the 2026 Kincsem Handicap Runners & Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.
These are the top three quickest-run Kincsem Handicap races over the last 20 renewals:
- Road To Love (2:02.81) in 2006
- Gibeon (2:03.67) in 2015
- Forest Of Dean (2:03.79) in 2019
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Kincsem Handicap next time out, then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -6.10. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2023 renewal when Royal Rhyme from K R Burke under the guidance of Clifford Lee, won in a time of 2:10.41, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Road To Love, trained by Mark Johnston and ridden by Richard Hills set the quickest time of 2:02.81 in the 2006 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Kincsem Handicap Past Winners
Here are the Kincsem Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Kincsem Handicap are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 2:04.99 | Best Secret (FR) 3yo 9-9 (2 of 18) 7/2F | James Doyle S Wattel (FR) |
| 2024 2:04.70 | Approval (GB) 3yo 8-10 (9 of 10) 11/2 | Tom Marquand William Haggas (GB) |
| 2023 2:10.41 | Royal Rhyme (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 15) 9/1 | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2022 2:05.15 | Warren Point (GB) 3yo 9-2 (6 of 13) 9/2 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2021 2:07.89 | Qaader (IRE) 3yo 8-13 (7 of 11) 8/1 | William Buick Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2020 2:06.12 | Junkanoo (GB) 3yo 8-0 (6 of 11) 50/1 | David Egan Gary Moore (GB) |
| 2019 2:03.79 | Forest Of Dean (GB) 3yo 8-4 (5 of 11) 4/1F | Harry Bentley John Gosden (GB) |
| 2018 2:06.54 | Communique (IRE) 3yo 8-13 (4 of 12) 7/2F | Silvestre De Sousa Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2017 2:10.40 | Good Omen (GB) 3yo 9-1 (11 of 13) 8/1 | Jamie Spencer David Simcock (GB) |
| 2016 2:05.49 | Youre Hired (GB) 3yo 8-2 (14 of 15) 9/1 | Martin Dwyer Amanda Perrett (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Kincsem Handicap have been based:
- GB: 19 winners with an additional 45 placings from 279 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Kincsem Handicap Trainer Statistics
Here are the Kincsem Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2026 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| K R Burke | 1-1-1 | +9.00 | +5.63 |
| Ralph Beckett | 7-0-0 | -7.00 | -7.00 |
| Brian Meehan | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -2.56 |
| Charlie Johnston | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -2.75 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
| David Menuisier | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
| Hugo Palmer | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| Peter Chapple-Hyam | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| S Woods | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
Kincsem Handicap Jockey Statistics
Here are the Kincsem Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2026 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Egan (Evanesco) | 5-1-3 | +46.00 | +29.01 |
| Jamie Spencer (Dark Whisper) | 5-1-1 | +4.00 | +1.00 |
| Tom Marquand (Decade Of Time) | 4-1-1 | +2.50 | +0.30 |
| David Probert (Lion Of Alba) | 7-0-0 | -7.00 | -7.00 |
| Oisin Murphy (Birgham Dub) | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -3.00 |
| Saffie Osborne (Ciarrai Abu) | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| Shane Foley (Harmonics) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Billy Loughnane (Savvy Disko) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
2026 Kincsem Handicap Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 2, 3, 10, 1, 14, 5, 6, 2, 3, 5, 1, (1, 3), 10, (4, 6), 3, 11, 3, 1
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (67%) - Not in a G1-2/LST/Cl3 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Within the first 10 of the market
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Highest Placed is not G3/LST/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not on HY/SFT/FM/STD-SLW/STD (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career Place)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 118 - 133lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 50/1 (Career)
- 19 / 20 (83%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD/STD-FS (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 79+ (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (89%) - Placed within last 3 starts
- 18 / 20 (82%) - No more than +16lbs (Vs Min Weight)
- 18 / 20 (83%) - Won within last 4 starts
- 17 / 20 (34%) - No bigger than 9/1
- 17 / 20 (40%) - Achieved an RPR of 97+ (Career)
- 16 / 20 (51%) - Achieved a TS of 81+ (Season)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Goodwood racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Kincsem Handicap. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Kincsem Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2026 Kincsem Handicap Runners & Shortlist
Goodwood will host the 2026 renewal of the Kincsem Handicap, which will be run at 1:50 pm on Thursday, 30th July 2026, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer, jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Harmonics (5/1)
- John & Thady Gosden (3-0-0 -3.00 / -3.00)
- Shane Foley (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)
Others: Decade Of Time (13/15), Evanesco (13/15), Lean dAislingean (12/15), Savvy Disko (12/15), Dial Me In (12/15), Dark Whisper (12/15), Birgham Dub (11/15), Ciarrai Abu (11/15), Gonna Fly (11/15), Lion Of Alba (10/15), Bourbon Blues (10/15), Strength Of Spirit (9/15) and Loz Vegas (6/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (1:43 pm Tuesday 28th July 2026); if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.
Kincsem Handicap Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +23.00, is when runners had 3 career places in Flat (Turf) races.
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 3 last time out; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-71.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 2 (7,8,17) [18 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 9 (13,4) [10 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 2 (1,5) [15 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (3,2) [13 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 7 (3,12) [11 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Kincsem Handicap is Newmarket (July); there have been a total of 8 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Ascot; there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 273 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 9 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Kincsem Handicap; that stallion, Cape Cross, has produced 2 winners (2015,2009).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Kincsem Handicap despite multiple attempts:
- Frankel (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Kingman (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Dubai Destination (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Footstepsinthesand (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Halling (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Junkanoo in 2020, winning for Gary Moore at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of David Egan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2026 Kincsem Handicap, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Route to the Kincsem Handicap
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Kincsem Handicap. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Best Secret Ascot - 3rd of 15 (4/1) | Golden Gates Stakes |
| 2024 - Approval Ascot - 7th of 12 (6/1) | Golden Gates Stakes |
| 2023 - Royal Rhyme Newbury - 11th of 14 (6/1) | London Gold Cup |
| 2022 - Warren Point Ascot - 2nd of 3 (5/2) | Magnum |
| 2021 - Qaader Newmarket (July) - 4th of 6 (4/1) | Newmarket Handicap Stakes |
| 2020 - Junkanoo Windsor - 4th of 8 (16/1) | Follow At The Races On Twitter Handicap |
| 2019 - Forest Of Dean Newbury - 4th of 15 (7/2) | London Gold Cup |
| 2018 - Communique Newmarket (July) - 1st of 9 (8/1) | July Festival Handicap |
| 2017 - Good Omen Yarmouth - 1st of 7 (15/8) | Diomed Development Handicap |
| 2016 - Youre Hired Salisbury - 1st of 13 (6/4) | Cara Glass Maiden Stakes |
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs. Each race will be linked to the race blog, and details of last year's winner are in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Westridge (FR) 4yo - 6/1 | John & Thady Gosden Billy Loughnane |
| Vintage Stakes | Zavateri (IRE) 2yo - 8/1 | Eve Johnson Houghton Charles Bishop |
| Lennox Stakes | Witness Stand (GB) 4yo - 25/1 | Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole Hollie Doyle |
| Goodwood Cup | Scandinavia (USA) 3yo - 4/1 | A P O'Brien Wayne Lordan |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day; this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Oak Tree Stakes | Saqqara Sands (GB) 3yo - 16/1 | Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan |
| Molecomb Stakes | Lady Iman (IRE) 2yo - 11/8 | G M Lyons Ryan Moore |
| Sussex Stakes | Qirat (GB) 4yo - 150/1 | Ralph Beckett Richard Kingscote |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Kincsem Handicap | Best Secret (FR) 3yo - 7/2 | S Wattel James Doyle |
| Richmond Stakes | Coppull (GB) 2yo - 5/1 | Clive Cox David Probert |
| Gordon Stakes | Merchant (IRE) 3yo - 6/5 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| Nassau Stakes | Whirl (IRE) 3yo - 6/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps, with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile, which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Goodwood Handicap | Kyle Of Lochalsh (GB) 5yo - 5/1 | Hughie Morrison Oisin Murphy |
| Thoroughbred Stakes | Seagulls Eleven (IRE) 3yo - 11/4 | Hugo Palmer Oisin Murphy |
| Golden Mile Handicap | Rhoscolyn (GB) 7yo - 11/2 | David O'Meara Daniel Tudhope |
| King George Stakes | Jm Jungle (IRE) 5yo - 14/1 | John & Sean Quinn Jason Hart |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Glorious Stakes | Al Aasy (IRE) 8yo - 13/8 | William Haggas Jim Crowley |
| Summer Handicap | Sam Hawkens (IRE) 4yo - 4/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| Lillie Langtry Stakes | Waardah (IRE) 3yo - 7/2 | Owen Burrows Callum Rodriguez |
| Stewards Cup | Two Tribes (GB) 4yo - 11/2 | Richard Spencer David Egan |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Kincsem Handicap Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races at Goodwood Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Goodwood racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
