You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Kincsem Handicap Preview
A Class 2 handicap restricted to three-year-old runners, the Summer Vase Handicap, currently known as the Kincsem Handicap due to sponsorship reasons, takes place in July each year during the Glorious Goodwood festival. The race is run over a trip of one mile and two furlongs.
For sponsorship purposes, the 2025 renewal of the Kincsem Handicap will hold the title of 'Coral Kincsem Handicap'.
Kincsem Handicap Information:
We also have a dedicated Goodwood tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Kincsem Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2024 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Kincsem Handicap, the over-round has been 121%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £121 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Kincsem Handicap Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Kincsem Handicap Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the Kincsem Handicap Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.
These are the top three quickest-run Kincsem Handicap races over the last 20 renewals:
- Road To Love (2:02.81) in 2006
- Gibeon (2:03.67) in 2015
- Forest Of Dean (2:03.79) in 2019
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Kincsem Handicap next time out, then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -9.30. Ahead of the 2025 Kincsem Handicap, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:02.81 was set by Road To Love in 2006, which is the quickest time over that period. The runner was trained by Mark Johnston and ridden by Richard Hills. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Royal Rhyme won in a time of 2:10.41, booked to ride was Clifford Lee by trainer K R Burke.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Kincsem Handicap Past Winners
Here are the Kincsem Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Kincsem Handicap are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:04.70 | Approval (GB) 3yo 8-10 (9 of 10) 11/2 | Tom Marquand William Haggas (GB) |
| 2023 2:10.41 | Royal Rhyme (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 15) 9/1 | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2022 2:05.15 | Warren Point (GB) 3yo 9-2 (6 of 13) 9/2 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2021 2:07.89 | Qaader (IRE) 3yo 8-13 (7 of 11) 8/1 | William Buick Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2020 2:06.12 | Junkanoo (GB) 3yo 8-0 (6 of 11) 50/1 | David Egan Gary Moore (GB) |
| 2019 2:03.79 | Forest Of Dean (GB) 3yo 8-4 (5 of 11) 4/1F | Harry Bentley John Gosden (GB) |
| 2018 2:06.54 | Communique (IRE) 3yo 8-13 (4 of 12) 7/2F | Silvestre De Sousa Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2017 2:10.40 | Good Omen (GB) 3yo 9-1 (11 of 13) 8/1 | Jamie Spencer David Simcock (GB) |
| 2016 2:05.49 | Youre Hired (GB) 3yo 8-2 (14 of 15) 9/1 | Martin Dwyer Amanda Perrett (GB) |
| 2015 2:03.67 | Gibeon (IRE) 3yo 9-5 (14 of 14) 11/1 | Richard Hughes Richard Hannon (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Kincsem Handicap have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 44 placings from 274 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2024 Kincsem Handicap Replay
Kincsem Handicap Trainer Statistics
Here are the Kincsem Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Haggas | 13-1-4 | -6.50 | -5.46 |
| Andrew Balding | 9-0-2 | -9.00 | -5.95 |
| Ralph Beckett | 6-0-0 | -6.00 | -6.00 |
| Brian Meehan | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -1.56 |
| Michael Bell | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
| Ed Walker | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| Charlie Johnston | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| David Menuisier | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| Alan King | 1-0-1 | -1.00 | +1.70 |
| Hugo Palmer | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
Kincsem Handicap Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Kincsem Handicap over the last 20 renewals is William Buick, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Beachfire (2010), Grandeur (2012), Qaader (2021) and Warren Point (2022).
Here are the Kincsem Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Buick (Marhaba Ghaiyyath) | 11-4-5 | +22.50 | +13.24 |
| Joe Fanning (Thunder Wonder) | 13-1-3 | +2.00 | +1.75 |
| Ryan Moore (Parole dOro) | 13-1-7 | -8.00 | -3.27 |
| Silvestre De Sousa (Janey Mackers) | 10-1-3 | -5.50 | -4.61 |
| David Egan (Daiquiri Bay) | 4-1-2 | +47.00 | +28.38 |
| Tom Marquand (High Degree) | 3-1-1 | +3.50 | +1.30 |
| Jim Crowley (Brise Noir) | 6-0-2 | -6.00 | -3.85 |
| James Doyle (Best Secret) | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -5.14 |
| Oisin Murphy (Seagolazo) | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -2.00 |
| P J McDonald (Serenity Blue) | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -3.10 |
| Hollie Doyle (Nebras) | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| Rossa Ryan (Calla Lagoon) | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| Robert Havlin (Hymnbook) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
2025 Kincsem Handicap Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, 1, 1, 2, 3, 10, 1, 14, 5, 6, 2, 3, 5, 1, (1, 3), 10, (4, 6), 3, 11, 3
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (68%) - Not in a G1-2/LST/Cl3 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Within the first 10 of the market
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Highest Placed is not G3/LST/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not on HY/SFT/FM/STD-SLW/STD (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career Place)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 50/1 (Career)
- 19 / 20 (81%) - No more than +16lbs (Vs Min Weight)
- 19 / 20 (83%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD/STD-FS (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (83%) - Won within last 4 starts
- 17 / 20 (35%) - No bigger than 9/1
- 17 / 20 (40%) - Achieved an RPR of 97+ (Career)
- 16 / 20 (52%) - Achieved a TS of 81+ (Season)
- 16 / 20 (67%) - No more than -15lbs (Vs Max Weight)
- 16 / 20 (87%) - Won by at least a neck (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Goodwood racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Kincsem Handicap. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Kincsem Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Kincsem Handicap Trend Shortlist
Goodwood will host the 2025 renewal of the Kincsem Handicap, which will be run at 1:20 pm on Thursday, 31st July 2025, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Marhaba Ghaiyyath (7/1)
- Charlie Johnston (2-0-0 -2.00 / -2.00)
- William Buick (11-4-5 +22.50 / +13.24)
Others: Best Secret (14/15), Parole dOro (13/15), Best Adventure (12/15), Fort George (12/15), Dantes Lad (12/15), Calla Lagoon (12/15), High Degree (11/15), Thunder Wonder (11/15), Daiquiri Bay (11/15), Hymnbook (10/15), Janey Mackers (10/15), Serenity Blue (10/15), Nebras (10/15), Ernst Blofeld (10/15), Brise Noir (9/15), Seagolazo (9/15) and Magellan Cloud (8/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (1:51 pm Tuesday 29th July 2025), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.
Kincsem Handicap Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +27.00, is when runners had 3 career places in Flat (Turf) races.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 3 last time out, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-68.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 9 (13,4) [10 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 2 (1,5) [15 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (3,2) [13 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 7 (3,12) [11 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 6 (9,5) [11 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Kincsem Handicap is Newmarket (July); there have been a total of 9 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Ascot; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 266 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 9 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Kincsem Handicap; that stallion, Cape Cross, has produced 2 winners (2015,2009).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Kincsem Handicap despite multiple attempts:
- Kingman (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Dubai Destination (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Footstepsinthesand (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Frankel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Halling (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Junkanoo in 2020, winning for Gary Moore at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of David Egan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Kincsem Handicap.
Route to the Kincsem Handicap
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Kincsem Handicap. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Approval Ascot - 7th of 12 (6/1) | Golden Gates Stakes |
| 2023 - Royal Rhyme Newbury - 11th of 14 (6/1) | London Gold Cup |
| 2022 - Warren Point Ascot - 2nd of 3 (5/2) | Magnum |
| 2021 - Qaader Newmarket (July) - 4th of 6 (4/1) | bet365 Mile Handicap |
| 2020 - Junkanoo Windsor - 4th of 8 (16/1) | Follow At The Races On Twitter Handicap |
| 2019 - Forest Of Dean Newbury - 4th of 15 (7/2) | London Gold Cup |
| 2018 - Communique Newmarket (July) - 1st of 9 (8/1) | bet365 Handicap |
| 2017 - Good Omen Yarmouth - 1st of 7 (15/8) | Diomed Development Handicap |
| 2016 - Youre Hired Salisbury - 1st of 13 (6/4) | Cara Glass Maiden Stakes |
| 2015 - Gibeon Newmarket (July) - 2nd of 10 (20/1) | bet365 Handicap |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Kincsem Handicap Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Take Heart (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | J P Murtagh Ben Coen |
| 13:55 Vintage Stakes | Aomori City (FR) 2yo - 2/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 14:30 Lennox Stakes | Audience (GB) 5yo - 4/1 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 15:05 Goodwood Cup | Kyprios (IRE) 6yo - 8/13 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day, this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:55 Oak Tree Stakes | Raqiya (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | Owen Burrows Jim Crowley |
| 14:30 Molecomb Stakes | Big Mojo (IRE) 2yo - 25/1 | Michael Appleby Silvestre De Sousa |
| 15:05 Sussex Stakes | Notable Speech (GB) 3yo - 3/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Kincsem Handicap | Approval (GB) 3yo - 11/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 13:55 Richmond Stakes | Black Forza (USA) 2yo - 9/1 | M D O'Callaghan Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| 14:30 Gordon Stakes | Jan Brueghel (IRE) 3yo - 4/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Nassau Stakes | Opera Singer (USA) 3yo - 9/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Goodwood Handicap | Master Milliner (IRE) 8yo - 25/1 | Emma Lavelle Charles Bishop |
| 13:55 Thoroughbred Stakes | Lead Artist (GB) 3yo - 9/2 | John & Thady Gosden Kieran Shoemark |
| 14:30 Golden Mile Handicap | Toimy Son (FR) 5yo - 12/1 | David Menuisier Oisin Murphy |
| 15:05 King George Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 3yo - 13/8 | Michael Appleby Tom Marquand |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Glorious Stakes | Al Aasy (IRE) 7yo - 3/1 | William Haggas Jim Crowley |
| 13:55 Summer Handicap | Align The Stars (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | Charlie Johnston Joe Fanning |
| 14:30 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Term Of Endearment (GB) 5yo - 15/2 | Henry De Bromhead W J Lee |
| 15:05 Stewards Cup | Get It (GB) 6yo - 40/1 | George Baker Pat Cosgrave |
