Kincsem Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Glorious Goodwood)

Explore the Kincsem Handicap by reviewing trainer form, jockey stats, and past winner trends. This competitive Festival race often produces close finishes and benefits from careful analysis of proven patterns.
Kincsem Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Glorious Goodwood)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2025 Kincsem Handicap Preview

A Class 2 handicap restricted to three-year-old runners, the Summer Vase Handicap, currently known as the Kincsem Handicap due to sponsorship reasons, takes place in July each year during the Glorious Goodwood festival. The race is run over a trip of one mile and two furlongs.

For sponsorship purposes, the 2025 renewal of the Kincsem Handicap will hold the title of 'Coral Kincsem Handicap'.

Kincsem Handicap Information:

We also have a dedicated Goodwood tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Kincsem Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2024 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Kincsem Handicap, the over-round has been 121%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £121 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2025 Kincsem Handicap Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Kincsem Handicap Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the Kincsem Handicap Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.

These are the top three quickest-run Kincsem Handicap races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Road To Love (2:02.81) in 2006
  2. Gibeon (2:03.67) in 2015
  3. Forest Of Dean (2:03.79) in 2019

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Kincsem Handicap next time out, then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -9.30. Ahead of the 2025 Kincsem Handicap, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:02.81 was set by Road To Love in 2006, which is the quickest time over that period. The runner was trained by Mark Johnston and ridden by Richard Hills. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Royal Rhyme won in a time of 2:10.41, booked to ride was Clifford Lee by trainer K R Burke.

What the expert says...
The bet365 Handicap, which is held at Newmarket, has been a decent race to follow runners into here as those running in that race last time out have produced seven winners of this race since 2005, with Qaader in 2021 being the last to do so.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Kincsem Handicap Past Winners

Here are the Kincsem Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Kincsem Handicap are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2024
2:04.70
Approval (GB)
3yo 8-10 (9 of 10) 11/2
Tom Marquand
William Haggas (GB)
2023
2:10.41
Royal Rhyme (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (2 of 15) 9/1
Clifford Lee
K R Burke (GB)
2022
2:05.15
Warren Point (GB)
3yo 9-2 (6 of 13) 9/2
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2021
2:07.89
Qaader (IRE)
3yo 8-13 (7 of 11) 8/1
William Buick
Mark Johnston (GB)
2020
2:06.12
Junkanoo (GB)
3yo 8-0 (6 of 11) 50/1
David Egan
Gary Moore (GB)
2019
2:03.79
Forest Of Dean (GB)
3yo 8-4 (5 of 11) 4/1F
Harry Bentley
John Gosden (GB)
2018
2:06.54
Communique (IRE)
3yo 8-13 (4 of 12) 7/2F
Silvestre De Sousa
Mark Johnston (GB)
2017
2:10.40
Good Omen (GB)
3yo 9-1 (11 of 13) 8/1
Jamie Spencer
David Simcock (GB)
2016
2:05.49
Youre Hired (GB)
3yo 8-2 (14 of 15) 9/1
Martin Dwyer
Amanda Perrett (GB)
2015
2:03.67
Gibeon (IRE)
3yo 9-5 (14 of 14) 11/1
Richard Hughes
Richard Hannon (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Kincsem Handicap have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 44 placings from 274 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

2024 Kincsem Handicap Replay


Kincsem Handicap Trainer Statistics

Here are the Kincsem Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
William Haggas13-1-4-6.50-5.46
Andrew Balding9-0-2-9.00-5.95
Ralph Beckett6-0-0-6.00-6.00
Brian Meehan3-0-1-3.00-1.56
Michael Bell3-0-0-3.00-3.00
Ed Walker2-0-0-2.00-2.00
Charlie Johnston2-0-0-2.00-2.00
David Menuisier2-0-0-2.00-2.00
Alan King1-0-1-1.00+1.70
Hugo Palmer1-0-0-1.00-1.00
John & Thady Gosden1-0-0-1.00-1.00

Kincsem Handicap Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Kincsem Handicap over the last 20 renewals is William Buick, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Beachfire (2010), Grandeur (2012), Qaader (2021) and Warren Point (2022).

Here are the Kincsem Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
William Buick
(Marhaba Ghaiyyath)
11-4-5+22.50+13.24
Joe Fanning
(Thunder Wonder)
13-1-3+2.00+1.75
Ryan Moore
(Parole dOro)
13-1-7-8.00-3.27
Silvestre De Sousa
(Janey Mackers)
10-1-3-5.50-4.61
David Egan
(Daiquiri Bay)
4-1-2+47.00+28.38
Tom Marquand
(High Degree)
3-1-1+3.50+1.30
Jim Crowley
(Brise Noir)
6-0-2-6.00-3.85
James Doyle
(Best Secret)
6-0-1-6.00-5.14
Oisin Murphy
(Seagolazo)
4-0-1-4.00-2.00
P J McDonald
(Serenity Blue)
4-0-1-4.00-3.10
Hollie Doyle
(Nebras)
4-0-0-4.00-4.00
Rossa Ryan
(Calla Lagoon)
2-0-0-2.00-2.00
Robert Havlin
(Hymnbook)
1-0-0-1.00-1.00

Kincsem Handicap Trend Shortlist

Goodwood will host the 2025 renewal of the Kincsem Handicap, which will be run at 1:20 pm on Thursday, 31st July 2025, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):

  • 15/15 Marhaba Ghaiyyath (7/1)
    • Charlie Johnston (2-0-0 -2.00 / -2.00)
    • William Buick (11-4-5 +22.50 / +13.24)

Others: Best Secret (14/15), Parole dOro (13/15), Best Adventure (12/15), Fort George (12/15), Dantes Lad (12/15), Calla Lagoon (12/15), High Degree (11/15), Thunder Wonder (11/15), Daiquiri Bay (11/15), Hymnbook (10/15), Janey Mackers (10/15), Serenity Blue (10/15), Nebras (10/15), Ernst Blofeld (10/15), Brise Noir (9/15), Seagolazo (9/15) and Magellan Cloud (8/15).

*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (1:51 pm Tuesday 29th July 2025), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.

Kincsem Handicap Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +27.00, is when runners had 3 career places in Flat (Turf) races.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 3 last time out, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-68.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2024: Winner in 9 (13,4) [10 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 2 (1,5) [15 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 6 (3,2) [13 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 7 (3,12) [11 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 6 (9,5) [11 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Kincsem Handicap is Newmarket (July); there have been a total of 9 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Ascot; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.

The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 266 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 9 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Kincsem Handicap; that stallion, Cape Cross, has produced 2 winners (2015,2009).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Kincsem Handicap despite multiple attempts:

  • Kingman (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Dubai Destination (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Footstepsinthesand (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Frankel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Halling (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Junkanoo in 2020, winning for Gary Moore at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of David Egan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Kincsem Handicap.

Route to the Kincsem Handicap

Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Kincsem Handicap. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2024 - Approval
Ascot - 7th of 12 (6/1)
Golden Gates Stakes
2023 - Royal Rhyme
Newbury - 11th of 14 (6/1)
London Gold Cup
2022 - Warren Point
Ascot - 2nd of 3 (5/2)
Magnum
2021 - Qaader
Newmarket (July) - 4th of 6 (4/1)
bet365 Mile Handicap
2020 - Junkanoo
Windsor - 4th of 8 (16/1)
Follow At The Races On Twitter Handicap
2019 - Forest Of Dean
Newbury - 4th of 15 (7/2)
London Gold Cup
2018 - Communique
Newmarket (July) - 1st of 9 (8/1)
bet365 Handicap
2017 - Good Omen
Yarmouth - 1st of 7 (15/8)
Diomed Development Handicap
2016 - Youre Hired
Salisbury - 1st of 13 (6/4)
Cara Glass Maiden Stakes
2015 - Gibeon
Newmarket (July) - 2nd of 10 (20/1)
bet365 Handicap

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Kincsem Handicap Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Club provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood

Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.

Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood

Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:20
Chesterfield Cup Handicap
Take Heart (IRE)
4yo - 7/1
J P Murtagh
Ben Coen
13:55
Vintage Stakes
Aomori City (FR)
2yo - 2/1
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
14:30
Lennox Stakes
Audience (GB)
5yo - 4/1
John & Thady Gosden
Robert Havlin
15:05
Goodwood Cup
Kyprios (IRE)
6yo - 8/13
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore

Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood

Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day, this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:55
Oak Tree Stakes
Raqiya (IRE)
3yo - 7/1
Owen Burrows
Jim Crowley
14:30
Molecomb Stakes
Big Mojo (IRE)
2yo - 25/1
Michael Appleby
Silvestre De Sousa
15:05
Sussex Stakes
Notable Speech (GB)
3yo - 3/1
Charlie Appleby
William Buick

Thursday at Glorious Goodwood

The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:20
Kincsem Handicap
Approval (GB)
3yo - 11/2
William Haggas
Tom Marquand
13:55
Richmond Stakes
Black Forza (USA)
2yo - 9/1
M D O'Callaghan
Dylan Browne McMonagle
14:30
Gordon Stakes
Jan Brueghel (IRE)
3yo - 4/5
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:05
Nassau Stakes
Opera Singer (USA)
3yo - 9/4
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore

Friday at Glorious Goodwood

Friday features a couple of decent handicaps with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:20
Goodwood Handicap
Master Milliner (IRE)
8yo - 25/1
Emma Lavelle
Charles Bishop
13:55
Thoroughbred Stakes
Lead Artist (GB)
3yo - 9/2
John & Thady Gosden
Kieran Shoemark
14:30
Golden Mile Handicap
Toimy Son (FR)
5yo - 12/1
David Menuisier
Oisin Murphy
15:05
King George Stakes
Big Evs (IRE)
3yo - 13/8
Michael Appleby
Tom Marquand

Saturday at Glorious Goodwood

Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:20
Glorious Stakes
Al Aasy (IRE)
7yo - 3/1
William Haggas
Jim Crowley
13:55
Summer Handicap
Align The Stars (IRE)
3yo - 100/30
Charlie Johnston
Joe Fanning
14:30
Lillie Langtry Stakes
Term Of Endearment (GB)
5yo - 15/2
Henry De Bromhead
W J Lee
15:05
Stewards Cup
Get It (GB)
6yo - 40/1
George Baker
Pat Cosgrave

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