Kincsem Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Glorious Goodwood)

Updated: 433 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Kincsem Handicap. This is a race that is hosted at Goodwood during the Glorious Goodwood with the race being run over a distance of 1m2f, see which trends the past winners of the Kincsem Handicap have set for this year.

Kincsem Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Glorious Goodwood)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Kincsem Handicap Preview

A Class 2 handicap that is restricted to three-year-old runners, the Summer Vase Handicap is currently known as the Kincsem Handicap for sponsorship reasons takes place in July of each year during the Glorious Goodwood festival with the race being run over a trip of one mile and two furlongs.

Kincsem Handicap Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Goodwood then head over to the Goodwood tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.

How competitive is the Kincsem Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Kincsem Handicap, the over-round has been 122%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.

Kincsem Handicap Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Kincsem Handicap next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -10.50. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:02.81 was set by Road To Love in 2006, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Mark Johnston and ridden by Richard Hills. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Royal Rhyme won in a time of 2:10.41, booked to ride was Clifford Lee on this K R Burke trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Kincsem Handicap over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2006 - Road To Love (2:02.81)
  • 2015 - Gibeon (2:03.67)
  • 2019 - Forest Of Dean (2:03.79)

Kincsem Handicap Past Winners

Here are the Kincsem Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Kincsem Handicap as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
2:10.41
Royal Rhyme (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (2 of 15) 9/1
Clifford Lee
K R Burke (GB)
2022
2:05.15
Warren Point (GB)
3yo 9-2 (6 of 13) 9/2
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2021
2:07.89
Qaader (IRE)
3yo 8-13 (7 of 11) 8/1
William Buick
Mark Johnston (GB)
2020
2:06.12
Junkanoo (GB)
3yo 8-0 (6 of 11) 50/1
David Egan
Gary Moore (GB)
2019
2:03.79
Forest Of Dean (GB)
3yo 8-4 (5 of 11) 4/1F
Harry Bentley
John Gosden (GB)
2018
2:06.54
Communique (IRE)
3yo 8-13 (4 of 12) 7/2F
Silvestre De Sousa
Mark Johnston (GB)
2017
2:10.40
Good Omen (GB)
3yo 9-1 (11 of 13) 8/1
Jamie Spencer
David Simcock (GB)
2016
2:05.49
Youre Hired (GB)
3yo 8-2 (14 of 15) 9/1
Martin Dwyer
Amanda Perrett (GB)
2015
2:03.67
Gibeon (IRE)
3yo 9-5 (14 of 14) 11/1
Richard Hughes
Richard Hannon (GB)
2014
2:04.49
Lyn Valley (GB)
3yo 8-9 (6 of 14) 14/1
Joe Fanning
Mark Johnston (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Kincsem Handicap have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 45 placings from 280 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Kincsem Handicap Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Kincsem Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Mark Johnston who has won the race six times with those six winners coming from Road To Love (2006), Roman Republic (2009), Broughton (2013), Lyn Valley (2014), Communique (2018) and Qaader (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Kincsem Handicap are John Gosden (3 wins) and Amanda Perrett (2 wins). There are two trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Kincsem Handicap, Richard Fahey has sent a total of 12 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst William Haggas has sent out 12 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Kincsem Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Mark Johnston 44-6-15 +2.75 +7.81
John Gosden 8-3-5 +13.50 +9.72
Amanda Perrett 8-2-3 +6.50 +4.07
Sir Michael Stoute 17-1-8 -12.00 -5.34
Richard Hannon 8-1-1 +4.00 -0.12
Charlie Appleby 7-1-3 -1.50 +1.56
Gary Moore 4-1-1 +47.00 +27.00
David Simcock 4-1-1 +5.00 +2.00
William Muir 3-1-1 +4.00 +1.60
K R Burke 1-1-1 +9.00 +5.63

Kincsem Handicap Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Kincsem Handicap over the last 20 renewals is William Buick who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Beachfire (2010), Grandeur (2012), Qaader (2021) and Warren Point (2022). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Kincsem Handicap is Martin Dwyer (3 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Kincsem Handicap, Frankie Dettori has ridden a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Kincsem Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
William Buick 11-4-5 +22.50 +13.24
Martin Dwyer 6-3-3 +17.50 +9.67
Joe Fanning 14-1-3 +1.00 +0.75
Ryan Moore 12-1-7 -7.00 -2.27
Franny Norton 10-1-3 -1.00 +1.63
Silvestre De Sousa 10-1-3 -5.50 -4.61
Jamie Spencer 6-1-1 +3.00 +0.00
Harry Bentley 5-1-2 +0.00 +3.90
David Egan 4-1-2 +47.00 +28.38
Neil Callan 3-1-2 +2.50 +4.44

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 4, 1, 1, 2, 3, 10, 1, 14, 5, 6, 2, 3, 5, 1, (1, 3), 10, (4, 6), 3, 11

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Within the first 10 of market
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Highest Placed is not G3/LST/Cl5
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Not on HY/SFT/FM/STD-SLW/STD (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Beaten no more -1½l (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 50/1 (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career Place)
  • 19 / 20 (61%) - No bigger than 14/1
  • 19 / 20 (80%) - No more than +16lbs (Vs Min Weight)
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD/STD-FS (Last Win)
  • 18 / 20 (73%) - Not in a LST/Cl3/Cl6 (Last Win)
  • 18 / 20 (74%) - Not on GD ground (Debut)
  • 18 / 20 (76%) - Previously ran over 1m2f+
  • 18 / 20 (79%) - Field of 7+ runners (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (83%) - Won within last 4 starts
  • 18 / 20 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 84+ (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Kincsem Handicap. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Kincsem Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.

Kincsem Handicap Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +24.00 is when runners had 3 career places in Flat (Turf) races. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a race worth £5,000 when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-50.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 2 (1,5) [15 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 6 (3,2) [13 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 7 (3,12) [11 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 6 (9,5) [11 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 5 (3,7) [11 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Kincsem Handicap is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 10 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 272 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 9 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Kincsem Handicap, that stallion Cape Cross has produced 2 winners (2015,2009).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Kincsem Handicap despite multiple attempts:

  • Kingman (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Dubai Destination (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Footstepsinthesand (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Frankel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Halling (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Junkanoo in 2020, winning for Gary Moore at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of David Egan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Kincsem Handicap head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood

Glorious Goodwood races for Tuesday 30th July 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Wednesday 31st July 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Thursday 1st August 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Friday 2nd August 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Saturday 3rd August 2024

No Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...

Keep Reading

By using this site you confirm you are 18+ and consent to our use of cookies and processing of personal data as set out in our Privacy Policy
Got it!