Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Kincsem Handicap Preview
A Class 2 handicap that is restricted to three-year-old runners, the Summer Vase Handicap is currently known as the Kincsem Handicap for sponsorship reasons takes place in July of each year during the Glorious Goodwood festival with the race being run over a trip of one mile and two furlongs.
Kincsem Handicap Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Goodwood tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
How competitive is the Kincsem Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Kincsem Handicap, the over-round has been 122%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.
Kincsem Handicap Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Kincsem Handicap next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -9.30. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Kincsem Handicap see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:02.81 was set by Road To Love in 2006, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Mark Johnston and ridden by Richard Hills. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Royal Rhyme won in a time of 2:10.41, booked to ride was Clifford Lee by the trainer K R Burke.
These are the top three quickest-run Kincsem Handicap over the last 20 renewals:
- Road To Love (2:02.81) in 2006
- Gibeon (2:03.67) in 2015
- Forest Of Dean (2:03.79) in 2019
What the expert says...
The bet365 Mile Handicap Stakes which is held at Newmarket has been a decent race to follow runners into here as those running in that race last time out have produced seven winners of this race since 2005 with Qaader in 2021 being the last to do so.Kincsem Handicap Past Winners
Here are the Kincsem Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Kincsem Handicap and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 2:10.41 | Royal Rhyme (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 15) 9/1 | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2022 2:05.15 | Warren Point (GB) 3yo 9-2 (6 of 13) 9/2 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2021 2:07.89 | Qaader (IRE) 3yo 8-13 (7 of 11) 8/1 | William Buick Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2020 2:06.12 | Junkanoo (GB) 3yo 8-0 (6 of 11) 50/1 | David Egan Gary Moore (GB) |
| 2019 2:03.79 | Forest Of Dean (GB) 3yo 8-4 (5 of 11) 4/1F | Harry Bentley John Gosden (GB) |
| 2018 2:06.54 | Communique (IRE) 3yo 8-13 (4 of 12) 7/2F | Silvestre De Sousa Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2017 2:10.40 | Good Omen (GB) 3yo 9-1 (11 of 13) 8/1 | Jamie Spencer David Simcock (GB) |
| 2016 2:05.49 | Youre Hired (GB) 3yo 8-2 (14 of 15) 9/1 | Martin Dwyer Amanda Perrett (GB) |
| 2015 2:03.67 | Gibeon (IRE) 3yo 9-5 (14 of 14) 11/1 | Richard Hughes Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2014 2:04.49 | Lyn Valley (GB) 3yo 8-9 (6 of 14) 14/1 | Joe Fanning Mark Johnston (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Kincsem Handicap have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 45 placings from 280 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Kincsem Handicap Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Kincsem Handicap over the last 20 renewals is John Gosden who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Pipedreamer I (2007), Beachfire (2010) and Forest Of Dean (2019). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Kincsem Handicap is Amanda Perrett (2 wins). Two trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Kincsem Handicap, Richard Fahey has sent a total of 12 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst William Haggas has sent out 12 without a winner.
Here are some of the top Kincsem Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Gosden | 8-3-5 | +13.50 | +9.72 |
| Amanda Perrett | 8-2-3 | +6.50 | +4.07 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 17-1-8 | -12.00 | -5.34 |
| Richard Hannon | 8-1-1 | +4.00 | -0.12 |
| Charlie Appleby | 7-1-3 | -1.50 | +1.56 |
| Gary Moore | 4-1-1 | +47.00 | +27.00 |
| David Simcock | 4-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.00 |
| William Muir | 3-1-1 | +4.00 | +1.60 |
| K R Burke | 1-1-1 | +9.00 | +5.63 |
| William Haggas | 12-0-3 | -12.00 | -8.76 |
Kincsem Handicap Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Kincsem Handicap over the last 20 renewals is William Buick who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Beachfire (2010), Grandeur (2012), Qaader (2021) and Warren Point (2022). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Kincsem Handicap, Frankie Dettori has ridden 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Kincsem Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Buick | 11-4-5 | +22.50 | +13.24 |
| Joe Fanning | 14-1-3 | +1.00 | +0.75 |
| Ryan Moore | 12-1-7 | -7.00 | -2.27 |
| Franny Norton | 10-1-3 | -1.00 | +1.63 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 10-1-3 | -5.50 | -4.61 |
| Jamie Spencer | 6-1-1 | +3.00 | +0.00 |
| Harry Bentley | 5-1-2 | +0.00 | +3.90 |
| David Egan | 4-1-2 | +47.00 | +28.38 |
| Neil Callan | 3-1-2 | +2.50 | +4.44 |
| Clifford Lee | 1-1-1 | +9.00 | +5.63 |
2024 Kincsem Handicap Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 4, 1, 1, 2, 3, 10, 1, 14, 5, 6, 2, 3, 5, 1, (1, 3), 10, (4, 6), 3, 11
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Within the first 10 of the market
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Highest Placed is not G3/LST/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Not on HY/SFT/FM/STD-SLW/STD (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Beaten no more -1½l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 50/1 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career Place)
- 19 / 20 (80%) - No more than +16lbs (Vs Min Weight)
- 19 / 20 (84%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD/STD-FS (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (83%) - Won within last 4 starts
- 17 / 20 (34%) - No bigger than 9/1
- 17 / 20 (41%) - Achieved an RPR of 97+ (Career)
- 16 / 20 (54%) - Achieved a TS of 81+ (Season)
- 16 / 20 (67%) - No more than -15lbs (Vs Max Weight)
- 16 / 20 (86%) - Won by at least a neck (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Kincsem Handicap. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Kincsem Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.
Kincsem Handicap Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +24.00 is when runners had 3 career places in Flat (Turf) races. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a race worth £5,000 when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-50.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 2 (1,5) [15 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (3,2) [13 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 7 (3,12) [11 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 6 (9,5) [11 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 5 (3,7) [11 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Kincsem Handicap is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 10 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 272 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 9 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Kincsem Handicap, that stallion Cape Cross has produced 2 winners (2015,2009).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Kincsem Handicap despite multiple attempts:
- Kingman (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Dubai Destination (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Footstepsinthesand (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Frankel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Halling (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Junkanoo in 2020, winning for Gary Moore at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of David Egan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Kincsem Handicap remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Glorious Goodwood races for Tuesday 30th July 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Ancient Rome (USA) 4yo - 33/1 | Charles Hills Jamie Spencer |
| 14:25 Vintage Stakes | Haatem (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| 15:00 Lennox Stakes | Kinross (GB) 6yo - 10/11 | Ralph Beckett Frankie Dettori |
| 15:35 Goodwood Cup | Quickthorn (GB) 6yo - 16/1 | Hughie Morrison Tom Marquand |
Glorious Goodwood races for Wednesday 31st July 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:25 Oak Tree Stakes | Magical Sunset (IRE) 3yo - 18/1 | Richard Hannon Kevin Stott |
| 15:00 Molecomb Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Michael Appleby Jason Hart |
| 15:35 Sussex Stakes | Paddington (GB) 3yo - 4/9 | A P OBrien Ryan Moore |
Glorious Goodwood races for Thursday 1st August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Kincsem Handicap | Royal Rhyme (IRE) 3yo - 9/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 14:25 Richmond Stakes | Vandeek (GB) 2yo - 11/8 | Simon & Ed Crisford Andrea Atzeni |
| 15:00 Gordon Stakes | Desert Hero (GB) 3yo - 7/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 15:35 Nassau Stakes | Al Husn (IRE) 4yo - 9/1 | Roger Varian Jim Crowley |
Glorious Goodwood races for Friday 2nd August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Goodwood Handicap | Temporize (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | Syd Hosie Luke Morris |
| 14:25 Thoroughbred Stakes | Epictetus (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | John & Thady Gosden Frankie Dettori |
| 15:00 Golden Mile Handicap | Johan (GB) 6yo - 25/1 | Jack Channon James Doyle |
| 15:35 King George Stakes | Highfield Princess (FR) 6yo - 4/9 | John Quinn Jason Hart |
| 16:10 Glorious Stakes | Hamish (GB) 7yo - 5/6 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
Glorious Goodwood races for Saturday 3rd August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:40 Stewards Sprint Handicap | Monsieur Kodi (IRE) 4yo - 9/2 | Richard Fahey Oisin Orr |
| 14:10 Summer Handicap | Sweet William (IRE) 4yo - 9/4 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 14:45 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Sumo Sam (GB) 3yo - 25/1 | Paul & Oliver Cole Tom Marquand |
| 15:20 Stewards Cup | Aberama Gold (GB) 6yo - 18/1 | David OMeara Andrea Atzeni |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Kincsem Handicap Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
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