Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Oak Tree Stakes Preview
The Oak Tree Stakes is not one of the oldest races but attracts some top-class runners, established in 1980, this Group 3 is open to fillies and mares who are three or older and is run over seven furlongs.
The race features on day four of the Glorious Goodwood festival in late July or early August with three-year-old runners receiving a 6lb allowance from the older runners however previous group winners are penalised, with Group 1 (7lb), Group 2 (5lb) and Group 3 (3lb).
Oak Tree Stakes Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Goodwood then head over to the Goodwood tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
How competitive is the Oak Tree Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2005 when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Oak Tree Stakes, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.
Oak Tree Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Oak Tree Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +13.38. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Oak Tree Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2023 renewal when Magical Sunset from Richard Hannon under the guidance of Kevin Stott, won in a time of 1:33.18, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Billesdon Brook, trained by Richard Hannon and ridden by Sean Levey set the quickest time of 1:23.75 in the 2019 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Oak Tree Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Billesdon Brook (1:23.75) in 2019
- Amy Eria (1:24.38) in 2015
- Raqiya (1:24.81) in 2024
Oak Tree Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Oak Tree Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Oak Tree Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:24.81 | Raqiya (IRE) 3yo 8-13 (6 of 9) 7/1 | Jim Crowley Owen Burrows (GB) |
| 2023 1:33.18 | Magical Sunset (IRE) 3yo 8-13 (14 of 13) 18/1 | Kevin Stott Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2022 1:25.64 | Oscula (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (2 of 15) 100/30F | William Buick George Boughey (GB) |
| 2021 1:30.77 | Last Empire (GB) 5yo 9-3 (2 of 12) 16/1 | Daniel Tudhope Kevin Ryan (GB) |
| 2020 1:25.80 | One Master (GB) 6yo 9-3 (1 of 12) 6/4F | Tom Marquand William Haggas (GB) |
| 2019 1:23.75 | Billesdon Brook (GB) 4yo 9-3 (10 of 17) 12/1 | Sean Levey Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2018 1:25.42 | Pretty Baby (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (3 of 16) 3/1F | Dane O'Neill William Haggas (GB) |
| 2017 1:29.29 | Al Jazi (IRE) 4yo 9-3 (6 of 10) 9/4F | Frankie Dettori F Rohaut (FR) |
| 2016 1:24.92 | Al Jazi (IRE) 3yo 8-10 (1 of 11) 12/1 | Gregory Benoist F Rohaut (FR) |
| 2015 1:24.38 | Amy Eria (IRE) 4yo 9-3 (5 of 10) 33/1 | Gregory Benoist F Rohaut (FR) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Oak Tree Stakes have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 35 placings from 212 runners
- FR: 3 winners with an additional 2 placings from 18 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 3 placings from 9 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 8 runners
- SWE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- ITY: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- SPA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Oak Tree Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Oak Tree Stakes over the last 20 renewals is F Rohaut who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Amy Eria (2015) and Al Jazi (2016 & 2017). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Oak Tree Stakes are Richard Hannon (2 wins) and William Haggas (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Oak Tree Stakes, Ralph Beckett has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Oak Tree Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| F Rohaut | 4-3-3 | +46.25 | +27.35 |
| Richard Hannon | 10-2-4 | +22.00 | +11.65 |
| William Haggas | 10-2-3 | -3.50 | -5.10 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 9-1-5 | -6.00 | -2.25 |
| Kevin Ryan | 5-1-1 | +12.00 | +5.60 |
| Brian Meehan | 4-1-2 | +4.00 | +3.70 |
| Chris Wall | 3-1-2 | +9.00 | +4.80 |
| Michael Bell | 3-1-1 | -0.12 | -0.87 |
| Jonathan Portman | 2-1-1 | +13.00 | +7.40 |
| Bryan Smart | 2-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.40 |
Oak Tree Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are multiple leading jockeys in the Oak Tree Stakes over the last 20 renewals with Ryan Moore, Frankie Dettori and Gregory Benoist having all won the race two times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Visit (2008) and Regal Realm (2012). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Red Evie (2006) and Al Jazi (2017). Gregory Benoist winners have been with Amy Eria (2015) and Al Jazi (2016).
Here are some of the top Oak Tree Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 14-2-6 | +0.00 | -2.16 |
| Frankie Dettori | 11-2-6 | -4.87 | +1.48 |
| Gregory Benoist | 2-2-2 | +45.00 | +27.00 |
| Jim Crowley | 12-1-1 | -4.00 | -6.80 |
| William Buick | 6-1-3 | -1.67 | -0.70 |
| Richard Kingscote | 5-1-1 | +10.00 | +4.40 |
| Tom Marquand | 5-1-1 | -2.50 | -3.10 |
| Sean Levey | 4-1-1 | +9.00 | +3.00 |
| Tom Queally | 3-1-1 | +2.50 | +0.25 |
| Kevin Stott | 2-1-1 | +17.00 | +9.80 |
2025 Oak Tree Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 1, 2, 1, 10, 5, 5, 10, 2, 2, (2, 7), 4, 1, 1, 3, 1, 8, 1, (2, 10), 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (70%) - Highest Won is not G2/Cl3-6
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Within the first 9 of the market
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Not in a G2/Cl4-6 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Held an OR of 97+
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Not on SFT/STD (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Achieved a TS of 53+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Ran in 5 - 18 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Carried 119 - 129lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 33/1
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Fewer than 1 win (30 Days)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Highest Placed is not Cl2-5
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not in a G3/Cl2/Cl6 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not in BHR/DEU/IRL/ITA/SCO/ZAF/ESP/UAE/WAL (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 68+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 96+ (Last 3)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Oak Tree Stakes. If you are looking to place a bet on this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Oak Tree Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Oak Tree Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +48.46 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (Listed) when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran over 7f on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-57.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 6 (10,8) [9 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 14 (3,8) [13 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (10,5) [15 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 (13,17) [12 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 1 (12,7) [12 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Oak Tree Stakes is Ascot, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is York, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Oak Tree Stakes:
- Canford Cliffs (2 Wins)
- Footstepsinthesand (2 Wins)
- Pivotal (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Oak Tree Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Dubawi (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Dark Angel (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Amy Eria in 2015, winning for F Rohaut at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Gregory Benoist. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Oak Tree Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Oak Tree Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Take Heart (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | J P Murtagh Ben Coen |
| 14:25 Vintage Stakes | Aomori City (FR) 2yo - 2/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 15:00 Lennox Stakes | Audience (GB) 5yo - 4/1 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 15:35 Goodwood Cup | Kyprios (IRE) 6yo - 8/13 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day, this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:25 Oak Tree Stakes | Raqiya (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | Owen Burrows Jim Crowley |
| 15:00 Molecomb Stakes | Big Mojo (IRE) 2yo - 25/1 | Michael Appleby Silvestre De Sousa |
| 15:35 Sussex Stakes | Notable Speech (GB) 3yo - 3/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Kincsem Handicap | Approval (GB) 3yo - 11/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 14:25 Richmond Stakes | Black Forza (USA) 2yo - 9/1 | M D O'Callaghan Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| 15:00 Gordon Stakes | Jan Brueghel (IRE) 3yo - 4/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:35 Nassau Stakes | Opera Singer (USA) 3yo - 9/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Goodwood Handicap | Master Milliner (IRE) 8yo - 25/1 | Emma Lavelle Charles Bishop |
| 14:25 Thoroughbred Stakes | Lead Artist (GB) 3yo - 9/2 | John & Thady Gosden Kieran Shoemark |
| 15:00 Golden Mile Handicap | Toimy Son (FR) 5yo - 12/1 | David Menuisier Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 King George Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 3yo - 13/8 | Michael Appleby Tom Marquand |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Glorious Stakes | Al Aasy (IRE) 7yo - 3/1 | William Haggas Jim Crowley |
| 14:25 Summer Handicap | Align The Stars (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | Charlie Johnston Joe Fanning |
| 15:00 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Term Of Endearment (GB) 5yo - 15/2 | Henry De Bromhead W J Lee |
| 15:35 Stewards Cup | Get It (GB) 6yo - 40/1 | George Baker Pat Cosgrave |
