Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Oak Tree Stakes Preview
The Oak Tree Stakes is not one of the oldest races but attracts some top-class runners, established in 1980, this Group 3 is open to fillies and mares who are three or older and is run over seven furlongs.
The race features on day four of the Glorious Goodwood festival in late July or early August with three-year-old runners receiving a 6lb allowance from the older runners however previous group winners are penalised, with Group 1 (7lb), Group 2 (5lb) and Group 3 (3lb).
Oak Tree Stakes Information:
Our dedicated Goodwood tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Oak Tree Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at Goodwood throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
How competitive is the Oak Tree Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2005 when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Oak Tree Stakes, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.
Oak Tree Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Oak Tree Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +12.38. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to easily access the OLBG racing picks daily.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:23.75 was set by Billesdon Brook in 2019, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Richard Hannon and ridden by Sean Levey. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Magical Sunset won in a time of 1:33.18, booked to ride was Kevin Stott by the trainer Richard Hannon.
These are the top three quickest-run Oak Tree Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Billesdon Brook (1:23.75) in 2019
- Amy Eria (1:24.38) in 2015
- Al Jazi (1:24.92) in 2016
Oak Tree Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Oak Tree Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Oak Tree Stakes and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 1:33.18 | Magical Sunset (IRE) 3yo 8-13 (14 of 13) 18/1 | Kevin Stott Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2022 1:25.64 | Oscula (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (2 of 15) 100/30F | William Buick George Boughey (GB) |
| 2021 1:30.77 | Last Empire (GB) 5yo 9-3 (2 of 12) 16/1 | Daniel Tudhope Kevin Ryan (GB) |
| 2020 1:25.80 | One Master (GB) 6yo 9-3 (1 of 12) 6/4F | Tom Marquand William Haggas (GB) |
| 2019 1:23.75 | Billesdon Brook (GB) 4yo 9-3 (10 of 17) 12/1 | Sean Levey Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2018 1:25.42 | Pretty Baby (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (3 of 16) 3/1F | Dane O'Neill William Haggas (GB) |
| 2017 1:29.29 | Al Jazi (IRE) 4yo 9-3 (6 of 10) 9/4F | Frankie Dettori F Rohaut (FR) |
| 2016 1:24.92 | Al Jazi (IRE) 3yo 8-10 (1 of 11) 12/1 | Gregory Benoist F Rohaut (FR) |
| 2015 1:24.38 | Amy Eria (IRE) 4yo 9-3 (5 of 10) 33/1 | Gregory Benoist F Rohaut (FR) |
| 2014 1:25.09 | J Wonder (USA) 3yo 8-13 (10 of 9) 7/1 | Jimmy Fortune Brian Meehan (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Oak Tree Stakes have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 35 placings from 216 runners
- FR: 3 winners with an additional 2 placings from 17 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 3 placings from 9 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 8 runners
- SPA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- SWE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- ITY: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Oak Tree Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Oak Tree Stakes over the last 20 renewals is F Rohaut who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Amy Eria (2015) and Al Jazi (2016 & 2017). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Oak Tree Stakes are Richard Hannon (2 wins) and William Haggas (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Oak Tree Stakes, Ralph Beckett has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Oak Tree Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| F Rohaut | 4-3-3 | +46.25 | +27.35 |
| Richard Hannon | 10-2-4 | +22.00 | +11.65 |
| William Haggas | 10-2-3 | -3.50 | -5.10 |
| John Gosden | 10-1-4 | +7.00 | +3.20 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 10-1-6 | -7.00 | -2.42 |
| Kevin Ryan | 5-1-1 | +12.00 | +5.60 |
| Chris Wall | 3-1-2 | +9.00 | +4.80 |
| Brian Meehan | 3-1-2 | +5.00 | +4.70 |
| Michael Bell | 3-1-1 | -0.12 | -0.87 |
| Jonathan Portman | 2-1-1 | +13.00 | +7.40 |
Oak Tree Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are multiple leading jockeys in the Oak Tree Stakes over the last 20 renewals with Ryan Moore, Frankie Dettori and Gregory Benoist having all won the race two times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Visit (2008) and Regal Realm (2012). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Red Evie (2006) and Al Jazi (2017). Gregory Benoist winners have been with Amy Eria (2015) and Al Jazi (2016). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Oak Tree Stakes, Jim Crowley has ridden 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Oak Tree Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 15-2-6 | -1.00 | -3.16 |
| Frankie Dettori | 12-2-6 | -5.87 | +0.48 |
| Gregory Benoist | 2-2-2 | +45.00 | +27.00 |
| William Buick | 6-1-3 | -1.67 | -0.70 |
| Richard Kingscote | 5-1-1 | +10.00 | +4.40 |
| Tom Marquand | 5-1-1 | -2.50 | -3.10 |
| Sean Levey | 3-1-1 | +10.00 | +4.00 |
| Tom Queally | 3-1-1 | +2.50 | +0.25 |
| Dane O'Neill | 3-1-1 | +1.00 | -0.50 |
| Kevin Stott | 2-1-1 | +17.00 | +9.80 |
2024 Oak Tree Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 3, 1, 2, 1, 10, 5, 5, 10, 2, 2, (2, 7), 4, 1, 1, 3, 1, 8, 1, (2, 10)
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Within the first 9 of the market
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Highest Won is not G2/Cl3/Cl5-6
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Held an OR of 97+
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Not on SFT/STD (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Achieved a TS of 53+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Not in a G2/Cl5-6 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Carried 119 - 129lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Not on GS/FM/STD (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 33/1
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Fewer than 1 win (30 Days)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not in a G3/LST/Cl2/Cl6 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 96+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 68+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Highest Placed is not Cl2-3/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran in 4 - 18 races (Career)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Oak Tree Stakes. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please leave a comment or head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Oak Tree Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Oak Tree Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +42.46 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (L) when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran over 7f on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-59.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 14 (3,8) [13 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (10,5) [15 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 (13,17) [12 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 1 (12,7) [12 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 10 (4,6) [17 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Oak Tree Stakes is Ascot, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Oak Tree Stakes:
- Canford Cliffs (2 Wins)
- Footstepsinthesand (2 Wins)
- Pivotal (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Oak Tree Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Dubawi (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Dark Angel (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Amy Eria in 2015, winning for F Rohaut at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Gregory Benoist. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Oak Tree Stakes head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Glorious Goodwood races for Tuesday 30th July 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Ancient Rome (USA) 4yo - 33/1 | Charles Hills Jamie Spencer |
| 14:25 Vintage Stakes | Haatem (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| 15:00 Lennox Stakes | Kinross (GB) 6yo - 10/11 | Ralph Beckett Frankie Dettori |
| 15:35 Goodwood Cup | Quickthorn (GB) 6yo - 16/1 | Hughie Morrison Tom Marquand |
Glorious Goodwood races for Wednesday 31st July 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:25 Oak Tree Stakes | Magical Sunset (IRE) 3yo - 18/1 | Richard Hannon Kevin Stott |
| 15:00 Molecomb Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Michael Appleby Jason Hart |
| 15:35 Sussex Stakes | Paddington (GB) 3yo - 4/9 | A P OBrien Ryan Moore |
Glorious Goodwood races for Thursday 1st August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Kincsem Handicap | Royal Rhyme (IRE) 3yo - 9/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 14:25 Richmond Stakes | Vandeek (GB) 2yo - 11/8 | Simon & Ed Crisford Andrea Atzeni |
| 15:00 Gordon Stakes | Desert Hero (GB) 3yo - 7/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 15:35 Nassau Stakes | Al Husn (IRE) 4yo - 9/1 | Roger Varian Jim Crowley |
Glorious Goodwood races for Friday 2nd August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Goodwood Handicap | Temporize (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | Syd Hosie Luke Morris |
| 14:25 Thoroughbred Stakes | Epictetus (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | John & Thady Gosden Frankie Dettori |
| 15:00 Golden Mile Handicap | Johan (GB) 6yo - 25/1 | Jack Channon James Doyle |
| 15:35 King George Stakes | Highfield Princess (FR) 6yo - 4/9 | John Quinn Jason Hart |
| 16:10 Glorious Stakes | Hamish (GB) 7yo - 5/6 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
Glorious Goodwood races for Saturday 3rd August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:40 Stewards Sprint Handicap | Monsieur Kodi (IRE) 4yo - 9/2 | Richard Fahey Oisin Orr |
| 14:10 Summer Handicap | Sweet William (IRE) 4yo - 9/4 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 14:45 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Sumo Sam (GB) 3yo - 25/1 | Paul & Oliver Cole Tom Marquand |
| 15:20 Stewards Cup | Aberama Gold (GB) 6yo - 18/1 | David OMeara Andrea Atzeni |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Oak Tree Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
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