You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Oak Tree Stakes Preview
The Oak Tree Stakes is not one of the oldest races, but it attracts some top-class runners. Established in 1980, this Group 3 is open to fillies and mares who are three or older and is run over seven furlongs.
The race features on day four of the Glorious Goodwood festival in late July or early August, with three-year-old runners receiving a 6lb allowance from the older runners; however, previous group winners are penalised, with Group 1 (7lb), Group 2 (5lb) and Group 3 (3lb).
For sponsorship purposes, the 2025 renewal of the Oak Tree Stakes will hold the title of 'HKJC World Pool Oak Tree Stakes'.
Oak Tree Stakes Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Goodwood tips on the day of the race. Do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist, or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Oak Tree Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2005 when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Oak Tree Stakes, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Oak Tree Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Oak Tree Stakes Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the Oak Tree Stakes Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.
These are the top three quickest-run Oak Tree Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Billesdon Brook (1:23.75) in 2019
- Amy Eria (1:24.38) in 2015
- Raqiya (1:24.81) in 2024
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Oak Tree Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +18.48. Ahead of the 2025 Oak Tree Stakes, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Billesdon Brook, trained by Richard Hannon and ridden by Sean Levey, who set the fastest winning time in the Oak Tree Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 1:23.75 in 2019. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Richard Hannon and jockey Kevin Stott with Magical Sunset who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 1:33.18 in the 2023 renewal.
Oak Tree Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Oak Tree Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Oak Tree Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:24.81 | Raqiya (IRE) 3yo 8-13 (6 of 9) 7/1 | Jim Crowley Owen Burrows (GB) |
| 2023 1:33.18 | Magical Sunset (IRE) 3yo 8-13 (14 of 13) 18/1 | Kevin Stott Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2022 1:25.64 | Oscula (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (2 of 15) 100/30F | William Buick George Boughey (GB) |
| 2021 1:30.77 | Last Empire (GB) 5yo 9-3 (2 of 12) 16/1 | Daniel Tudhope Kevin Ryan (GB) |
| 2020 1:25.80 | One Master (GB) 6yo 9-3 (1 of 12) 6/4F | Tom Marquand William Haggas (GB) |
| 2019 1:23.75 | Billesdon Brook (GB) 4yo 9-3 (10 of 17) 12/1 | Sean Levey Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2018 1:25.42 | Pretty Baby (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (3 of 16) 3/1F | Dane O'Neill William Haggas (GB) |
| 2017 1:29.29 | Al Jazi (IRE) 4yo 9-3 (6 of 10) 9/4F | Frankie Dettori F Rohaut (FR) |
| 2016 1:24.92 | Al Jazi (IRE) 3yo 8-10 (1 of 11) 12/1 | Gregory Benoist F Rohaut (FR) |
| 2015 1:24.38 | Amy Eria (IRE) 4yo 9-3 (5 of 10) 33/1 | Gregory Benoist F Rohaut (FR) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Oak Tree Stakes have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 35 placings from 212 runners
- FR: 3 winners with an additional 2 placings from 18 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 3 placings from 9 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 8 runners
- SPA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- SWE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- ITY: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2024 Oak Tree Stakes Replay
Oak Tree Stakes Trainer Statistics
There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Oak Tree Stakes; Ralph Beckett has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are the Oak Tree Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| George Boughey | 1-1-1 | +3.33 | +2.00 |
| Ralph Beckett | 11-0-0 | -11.00 | -11.00 |
| Andrew Balding | 9-0-1 | -9.00 | -8.50 |
| Roger Varian | 7-0-2 | -7.00 | -5.05 |
| Charlie Appleby | 5-0-3 | -5.00 | -1.70 |
| K R Burke | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
| James Tate | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| Eve Johnson Houghton | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
Oak Tree Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Oak Tree Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race two times, with those two winners coming from Visit (2008) and Regal Realm (2012).
Here are the Oak Tree Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore (Tabiti) | 14-2-6 | +0.00 | -2.16 |
| William Buick (Romantic Style) | 6-1-3 | -1.67 | -0.70 |
| Tom Marquand (Silver Ghost) | 5-1-1 | -2.50 | -3.10 |
| James Doyle (Jasnas Secret) | 7-0-2 | -7.00 | -5.30 |
| Oisin Murphy (Formal) | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -6.50 |
| Silvestre De Sousa (Jabaara) | 6-0-2 | -6.00 | -5.00 |
| Clifford Lee (Cloud Cover) | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
| Rossa Ryan (Saqqara Sands) | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| David Probert (Chic Colombine) | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| Charles Bishop (Betty Clover) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
2025 Oak Tree Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 1, 2, 1, 10, 5, 5, 10, 2, 2, (2, 7), 4, 1, 1, 3, 1, 8, 1, (2, 10), 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (70%) - Highest Won is not G2/Cl3-6
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Within the first 9 of the market
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Not in a G2/Cl4-6 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Held an OR of 97+
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Not on SFT/STD (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Achieved a TS of 53+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Ran in 5 - 18 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Carried 119 - 129lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 33/1
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Fewer than 1 wins (30 Days)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Highest Placed is not Cl2-5
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not in a G3/Cl2/Cl6 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not in BHR/DEU/IRL/ITA/SCO/ZAF/ESP/UAE/WAL (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 68+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 96+ (Last 3)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Goodwood racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Oak Tree Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Oak Tree Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Oak Tree Stakes Trend Shortlist
Goodwood will host the 2025 renewal of the Oak Tree Stakes, which will be run at 1:55 pm on Wednesday, 30th July 2025, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Formal (12/1)
- Andrew Balding (9-0-1 -9.00 / -8.50)
- Oisin Murphy (7-0-1 -7.00 / -6.50)
Others: Betty Clover (14/15), Fair Angellica (14/15), Arabian Dusk (13/15), Bright Thunder (13/15), Jabaara (13/15), Romantic Style (13/15), Saqqara Sands (13/15), Tabiti (13/15), Cloud Cover (12/15), Chic Colombine (11/15), Jasnas Secret (11/15), Silver Ghost (11/15) and Havana Pusey (8/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (1:12 pm Monday 28th July 2025), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.
Oak Tree Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +48.46, is when runners ran in a Class 1 (Listed) when last winning.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran over 7f on debut, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-57.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 6 (10,8) [9 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 14 (3,8) [13 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (10,5) [15 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 (13,17) [12 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 1 (12,7) [12 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Oak Tree Stakes is Ascot; there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is York; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Oak Tree Stakes:
- Canford Cliffs (2 Wins)
- Footstepsinthesand (2 Wins)
- Pivotal (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Oak Tree Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Dubawi (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Dark Angel (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Amy Eria in 2015, winning for F Rohaut at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Gregory Benoist. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Oak Tree Stakes.
Route to the Oak Tree Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Oak Tree Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Raqiya York - 6th of 12 (8/1) | William Hill Summer Stakes |
| 2023 - Magical Sunset Sandown - 7th of 11 (5/1) | Coral Distaff |
| 2022 - Oscula Ascot - 2nd of 9 (4/1) | Longines Valiant Stakes |
| 2021 - Last Empire Haydock - 5th of 6 (6/4) | EBF British Stallion Studs Cecil Frail |
| 2020 - One Master Newmarket (July) - 4th of 6 (4/1) | Falmouth Stakes |
| 2019 - Billesdon Brook Pontefract - 2nd of 11 (3/1) | Weatherbys TBA Pipalong Stakes |
| 2018 - Pretty Baby York - 2nd of 9 (7/4) | William Hill Summer Stakes |
| 2017 - Al Jazi Ascot - 9th of 19 (33/1) | Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes |
| 2016 - Al Jazi Maisons-Laffitte - 4th of 11 (59/10) | Prix Amandine |
| 2015 - Amy Eria Munich - 2nd of 8 (9/2) | Bankhaus von der Heydt - Silberne Peitsche |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Oak Tree Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Take Heart (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | J P Murtagh Ben Coen |
| 13:55 Vintage Stakes | Aomori City (FR) 2yo - 2/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 14:30 Lennox Stakes | Audience (GB) 5yo - 4/1 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 15:05 Goodwood Cup | Kyprios (IRE) 6yo - 8/13 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day, this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:55 Oak Tree Stakes | Raqiya (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | Owen Burrows Jim Crowley |
| 14:30 Molecomb Stakes | Big Mojo (IRE) 2yo - 25/1 | Michael Appleby Silvestre De Sousa |
| 15:05 Sussex Stakes | Notable Speech (GB) 3yo - 3/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Kincsem Handicap | Approval (GB) 3yo - 11/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 13:55 Richmond Stakes | Black Forza (USA) 2yo - 9/1 | M D O'Callaghan Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| 14:30 Gordon Stakes | Jan Brueghel (IRE) 3yo - 4/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Nassau Stakes | Opera Singer (USA) 3yo - 9/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Goodwood Handicap | Master Milliner (IRE) 8yo - 25/1 | Emma Lavelle Charles Bishop |
| 13:55 Thoroughbred Stakes | Lead Artist (GB) 3yo - 9/2 | John & Thady Gosden Kieran Shoemark |
| 14:30 Golden Mile Handicap | Toimy Son (FR) 5yo - 12/1 | David Menuisier Oisin Murphy |
| 15:05 King George Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 3yo - 13/8 | Michael Appleby Tom Marquand |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Glorious Stakes | Al Aasy (IRE) 7yo - 3/1 | William Haggas Jim Crowley |
| 13:55 Summer Handicap | Align The Stars (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | Charlie Johnston Joe Fanning |
| 14:30 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Term Of Endearment (GB) 5yo - 15/2 | Henry De Bromhead W J Lee |
| 15:05 Stewards Cup | Get It (GB) 6yo - 40/1 | George Baker Pat Cosgrave |
