Oak Tree Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Glorious Goodwood)

Updated: 1016 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Oak Tree Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Goodwood during the Glorious Goodwood with the race being run over a distance of 7f, see which trends the past winners of the Oak Tree Stakes have set for this year.

Oak Tree Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Glorious Goodwood)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Oak Tree Stakes Preview

The Oak Tree Stakes is not one of the oldest races but attracts some top-class runners, established in 1980, this Group 3 is open to fillies and mares who are three or older and is run over seven furlongs.

The race features on day four of the Glorious Goodwood festival in late July or early August with three-year-old runners receiving a 6lb allowance from the older runners however previous group winners are penalised, with Group 1 (7lb), Group 2 (5lb) and Group 3 (3lb).

Oak Tree Stakes Information:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Goodwood tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.

How competitive is the Oak Tree Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2005 when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Oak Tree Stakes, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.

Oak Tree Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Oak Tree Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +13.38. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2023 renewal when Magical Sunset from Richard Hannon under the guidance of Kevin Stott, won in a time of 1:33.18, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Billesdon Brook, trained by Richard Hannon and ridden by Sean Levey set the quickest time of 1:23.75 in the 2019 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Oak Tree Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2019 - Billesdon Brook (1:23.75)
  • 2015 - Amy Eria (1:24.38)
  • 2016 - Al Jazi (1:24.92)

Oak Tree Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Oak Tree Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Oak Tree Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:33.18
Magical Sunset (IRE)
3yo 8-13 (14 of 13) 18/1
Kevin Stott
Richard Hannon (GB)
2022
1:25.64
Oscula (IRE)
3yo 8-12 (2 of 15) 100/30F
William Buick
George Boughey (GB)
2021
1:30.77
Last Empire (GB)
5yo 9-3 (2 of 12) 16/1
Daniel Tudhope
Kevin Ryan (GB)
2020
1:25.80
One Master (GB)
6yo 9-3 (1 of 12) 6/4F
Tom Marquand
William Haggas (GB)
2019
1:23.75
Billesdon Brook (GB)
4yo 9-3 (10 of 17) 12/1
Sean Levey
Richard Hannon (GB)
2018
1:25.42
Pretty Baby (IRE)
3yo 8-11 (3 of 16) 3/1F
Dane O'Neill
William Haggas (GB)
2017
1:29.29
Al Jazi (IRE)
4yo 9-3 (6 of 10) 9/4F
Frankie Dettori
F Rohaut (FR)
2016
1:24.92
Al Jazi (IRE)
3yo 8-10 (1 of 11) 12/1
Gregory Benoist
F Rohaut (FR)
2015
1:24.38
Amy Eria (IRE)
4yo 9-3 (5 of 10) 33/1
Gregory Benoist
F Rohaut (FR)
2014
1:25.09
J Wonder (USA)
3yo 8-13 (10 of 9) 7/1
Jimmy Fortune
Brian Meehan (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Oak Tree Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 35 placings from 216 runners
  • FR: 3 winners with an additional 2 placings from 17 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 3 placings from 9 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 8 runners
  • SWE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • ITY: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • SPA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Oak Tree Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Oak Tree Stakes over the last 20 renewals is F Rohaut who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Amy Eria (2015) and Al Jazi (2016 & 2017). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Oak Tree Stakes are Richard Hannon (2 wins) and William Haggas (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Oak Tree Stakes, Ralph Beckett has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Oak Tree Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
F Rohaut 4-3-3 +46.25 +27.35
Richard Hannon 10-2-4 +22.00 +11.65
William Haggas 10-2-3 -3.50 -5.10
John Gosden 10-1-4 +7.00 +3.20
Sir Michael Stoute 10-1-6 -7.00 -2.42
Mick Channon 9-1-2 -2.00 -2.70
Kevin Ryan 5-1-1 +12.00 +5.60
Chris Wall 3-1-2 +9.00 +4.80
Brian Meehan 3-1-2 +5.00 +4.70
Michael Bell 3-1-1 -0.12 -0.87

Oak Tree Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Oak Tree Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of Ryan Moore, Frankie Dettori and Gregory Benoist having all won the race two times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Visit (2008) and Regal Realm (2012). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Red Evie (2006) and Al Jazi (2017). Gregory Benoist winners have been Amy Eria (2015) and Al Jazi (2016). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Oak Tree Stakes, Jim Crowley has ridden a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Oak Tree Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 15-2-6 -1.00 -3.16
Frankie Dettori 12-2-6 -5.87 +0.48
Gregory Benoist 2-2-2 +45.00 +27.00
William Buick 6-1-3 -1.67 -0.70
Richard Kingscote 5-1-1 +10.00 +4.40
Tom Marquand 5-1-1 -2.50 -3.10
Sean Levey 3-1-1 +10.00 +4.00
Tom Queally 3-1-1 +2.50 +0.25
Dane O'Neill 3-1-1 +1.00 -0.50
Kevin Stott 2-1-1 +17.00 +9.80

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 3, 1, 2, 1, 10, 5, 5, 10, 2, 2, (2, 7), 4, 1, 1, 3, 1, 8, 1, (2, 10)

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (73%) - Within the first 9 of market
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Highest Won is not G2/Cl3/Cl5-6
  • 20 / 20 (77%) - Held an OR of 97+
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Not on SFT/STD (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Achieved a TS of 53+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Not in a G2/Cl5-6 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Carried 119 - 129lbs (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Not on GS/FM/STD (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 33/1
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Fewer than 1 win (30 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Not in a G3/LST/Cl2/Cl6 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 96+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 68+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Highest Placed is not Cl2-3/Cl5
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Made 4 - 18 starts (Career)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Oak Tree Stakes. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works, No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles too in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Oak Tree Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Oak Tree Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +42.46 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (Listed) when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran over 7f on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-59.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 14 (3,8) [13 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 2 (10,5) [15 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 2 (13,17) [12 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 1 (12,7) [12 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 10 (4,6) [17 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Oak Tree Stakes is Ascot, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Oak Tree Stakes:

  • Canford Cliffs (2 Wins)
  • Footstepsinthesand (2 Wins)
  • Pivotal (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Oak Tree Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Dubawi (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Dark Angel (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Amy Eria in 2015, winning for F Rohaut at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Gregory Benoist. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood

Glorious Goodwood races for Tuesday 30th July 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Wednesday 31st July 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Thursday 1st August 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Friday 2nd August 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Saturday 3rd August 2024

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