bet365 Mile Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)

Updated: 513 Horse Racing

Contested over a distance of 1m is the bet365 Mile Handicap which is scheduled to take place at Newmarket during the July Festival. Below we have detailed past winners along with both trainer and jockey records in the race and see which trends have been set based on past winners of the bet365 Mile Handicap.

bet365 Mile Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 bet365 Mile Handicap Preview

This one-mile handicap features on the final day of the July Festival that is held at the Newmarket Racecourse, the race is a Class 2 that is open to runners who are aged three years old and usually features plenty who have run in the Britannia Stakes at Royal Ascot.

bet365 Mile Handicap Information:

We also have a dedicated Newmarket tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the bet365 Mile Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 129%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the bet365 Mile Handicap, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.

bet365 Mile Handicap Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the bet365 Mile Handicap next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -12.00. Whilst we wait for the 2024 bet365 Mile Handicap remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2012 renewal when Ocean Tempest from John Ryan under the guidance of Brett Doyle, won in a time of 1:45.54, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Western Reserve, trained by Lady Cecil and ridden by Pat Smullen set the quickest time of 1:36.21 in the 2015 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run bet365 Mile Handicap over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Western Reserve (1:36.21) in 2015
  2. Flagship Glory (1:37.18) in 2020
  3. Jimi Hendrix (1:37.29) in 2022
What the expert says...
The Britannia Stakes has produced seven winners since 2006 including four of the last seven and also winners in both 2022 (Jimi Hendrix) and 2023 (Highbank) and six of those seven winners finished 9th or worse in the Britannia Stakes.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

bet365 Mile Handicap Past Winners

Here are the bet365 Mile Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the bet365 Mile Handicap and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2023
1:40.15
Highbank (IRE)
3yo 9-9 (8 of 9) 11/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2022
1:37.29
Jimi Hendrix (IRE)
3yo 9-1 (4 of 8) 5/2F
Rob Hornby
Ralph Beckett (GB)
2021
1:38.35
Royal Fleet (GB)
3yo 9-1 (3 of 6) 5/6F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
1:37.18
Flagship Glory (GB)
3yo 8-11 (8 of 10) 10/1
David Egan
Roger Varian (GB)
2019
1:39.12
Motakhayyel (GB)
3yo 9-2 (6 of 5) 5/1
Chris Hayes
Richard Hannon (GB)
2018
1:38.27
First Contact (IRE)
3yo 9-7 (8 of 9) 4/1
James Doyle
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2017
1:38.66
Medahim (IRE)
3yo 9-1 (8 of 10) 12/1
Sean Levey
Richard Hannon (GB)
2016
1:37.69
Von Blucher (IRE)
3yo 8-8 (2 of 8) 7/1
Robert Havlin
John Gosden (GB)
2015
1:36.21
Western Reserve (USA)
3yo 9-4 (7 of 12) 11/2F
Pat Smullen
Lady Cecil (GB)
2014
1:39.82
Golden Town (IRE)
3yo 9-4 (11 of 12) 8/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)

bet365 Mile Handicap Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the bet365 Mile Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Charlie Appleby who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from First Contact (2018), Royal Fleet (2021) and Highbank (2023). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the bet365 Mile Handicap is Richard Hannon (2 wins).

Here are the bet365 Mile Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Charlie Appleby9-3-6+9.83+6.39
Richard Hannon8-2-3+11.00+6.08
Ralph Beckett7-1-2-3.50-3.68
Andrew Balding4-1-3+2.00+4.57
William Haggas7-0-3-7.00+1.88
Kevin Ryan4-0-0-4.00-4.00
K R Burke3-0-1-3.00-1.75
Hugo Palmer1-0-1-1.00-0.05
Tim Easterby1-0-0-1.00-1.00

bet365 Mile Handicap Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the bet365 Mile Handicap over the last 20 renewals is William Buick who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Royal Fleet (2021) and Highbank (2023). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the bet365 Mile Handicap, Ryan Moore has ridden 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are the bet365 Mile Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
William Buick8-2-3+5.83+1.84
James Doyle7-1-4-2.00-0.07
Silvestre De Sousa3-1-2+6.00+3.75
Sean Levey1-1-1+12.00+7.20
Ryan Moore10-0-1-10.00-9.20
J F Egan3-0-0-3.00-3.00
Tom Eaves1-0-1-1.00+1.00
Kieran O'Neill1-0-0-1.00-1.00
Clifford Lee1-0-0-1.00-1.00

bet365 Mile Handicap Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +64.58 is when runners had 1 career win with the jockey. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran on Good ground last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-44.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 8 (7,10) [9 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 4 (1,2) [8 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 3 (4) [6 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 8 (6,9) [10 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 6 (3) [5 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the bet365 Mile Handicap is Ascot, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Yarmouth, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Yarmouth last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 210 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 7 runners.

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the bet365 Mile Handicap despite multiple attempts:

  • Green Desert (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Medicean (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Diamonds And Dust in 2005, winning for Mark H Tompkins at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of Saleem Golam. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 bet365 Mile Handicap remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

bet365 Mile Handicap Trend Shortlist

Newmarket will host the 2024 renewal of the bet365 Mile Handicap which will be run at 2:50 pm on Saturday 13th July 2024 and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):

  • 15/15 Qirat (6/1)
    • Ralph Beckett (7-1-2 -3.50 / -3.68)
    • Ryan Moore (10-0-1 -10.00 / -9.20)

Others: First Conquest (14/15), Liveandletlive (14/15), Local Hero (13/15), Treasure Time (13/15), Volterra (13/15), The Camden Colt (12/15), Arabic Legend (12/15), Daarkom (11/15), Candonomore (9/15), Global Skies (9/15), Aafoor (9/15), Charming Whisper (9/15), Watcha Matey (9/15), Celtic Warrior (8/15) and Champagne Prince (7/15).

*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (12:26 pm Thursday 11th July 2024), if no odds were available at the time of posting then forecasted odds are used.

If you are not a fan of the traditional trends above and you want a more in-depth way of using the bet365 Mile Handicap trends from previous renewals then we have created the scoring trends, these are calculated by looking at over 100 factors including aspects of breeding, horse factors, things like runs, wins and places during their career, under certain circumstances like over the trip or on the ground and many more.

Using all of this information we can assign each horse a score based on how past runners in the bet365 Mile Handicap performed when running under the same factors, we assign 80% of the score for the win statistics and 20% of the score for place statistics. Here are the top two scoring runners in the 2024 bet365 Mile Handicap based on the information above, why not compare those to what the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping?

Here are the top 3 scorers at the time of posting (12:27 pm Thursday 11th July 2024):

  • 🥇 First Conquest (13/2)
    • Charlie Appleby (9-3-6 +9.83 / +6.39)
    • William Buick (8-2-3 +5.83 / +1.84)
  • 🥈 Qirat (6/1)
    • Ralph Beckett (7-1-2 -3.50 / -3.68)
    • Ryan Moore (10-0-1 -10.00 / -9.20)
  • 🥉 The Camden Colt (25/1)
    • Richard Hannon (8-2-3 +11.00 / +6.08)
    • Joe Leavy (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)

Others: Local Hero, Volterra, Daarkom, Aafoor, Arabic Legend, Watcha Matey, Champagne Prince, Treasure Time, Celtic Warrior, Charming Whisper, Liveandletlive, Candonomore and Global Skies.

Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival

Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the bet365 Mile Handicap. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Friday at the July Festival

The highlight on the Friday, known as Ladies Day is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 Newmarket
Bahrain Trophy Stakes
Castle Way (GB)
3yo - 9/2
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
14:25 Newmarket
July Stakes
Jasour (GB)
2yo - 16/1
Clive Cox
Jim Crowley
15:00 Newmarket
bet365 Sprint Handicap
Quinault (GER)
3yo - 4/1
Stuart Williams
Connor Planas
15:35 Newmarket
Princess of Wales's Stakes
Israr (GB)
4yo - 7/2
John & Thady Gosden
Jim Crowley

Saturday at the July Festival

Festival Friday as it is known features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 Newmarket
bet365 Handicap
Killybegs Warrior (IRE)
3yo - 20/1
Charlie Johnston
Kevin Stott
14:25 Newmarket
Duchess of Cambridge Stakes
Persian Dreamer (USA)
2yo - 5/1
Dominic Ffrench Davis
Kevin Stott
15:35 Newmarket
Falmouth Stakes
Nashwa (GB)
4yo - 4/1
John & Thady Gosden
Hollie Doyle

Sunday at the July Festival

As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series, this race is contested over six furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:50 Newmarket
bet365 Mile Handicap
Highbank (IRE)
3yo - 11/1
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
15:25 Newmarket
Superlative Stakes
City Of Troy (USA)
2yo - 4/6
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
16:00 Newmarket
Bunbury Cup
Biggles (GB)
6yo - 5/1
Ralph Beckett
Ryan Moore
16:35 Newmarket
July Cup
Shaquille (GB)
3yo - 5/2
Julie Camacho
Rossa Ryan

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this bet365 Mile Handicap Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Tipster competition assistant

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Club provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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