Newmarket Handicap Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)

Our preview of the Newmarket Handicap Stakes, a race contested over 1m at Newmarket during the July Festival, outlines the most significant winning records, details the accomplishments of leading trainers and jockeys and digs into the historical trends.
Newmarket Handicap Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2027 Newmarket Handicap Stakes Preview

This one-mile handicap features on the final day of the July Festival that is held at the Newmarket Racecourse. The race is a Class 2 that is open to runners who are aged three years old and usually features plenty who have run in the Britannia Stakes at Royal Ascot.

Newmarket Handicap Stakes Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Newmarket tips on the day of the race. Do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist, or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Newmarket Handicap Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021, when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 129%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Newmarket Handicap Stakes, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out Β£100 for every Β£117 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2027 Newmarket Handicap Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Newmarket Handicap Stakes Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Newmarket Handicap Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Western Reserve (1:36.21) in 2015
  2. Flagship Glory (1:37.18) in 2020
  3. Jimi Hendrix (1:37.29) in 2022

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Newmarket Handicap Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -1.00. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2027 Newmarket Handicap Stakes.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2012 renewal when Ocean Tempest from John Ryan under the guidance of Brett Doyle, won in a time of 1:45.54, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Western Reserve, trained by Lady Cecil and ridden by Pat Smullen set the quickest time of 1:36.21 in the 2015 renewal.

What the expert says...
The Britannia Stakes has produced eight winners since 2009, including four of the last five winners. Seven of those eight winners finished 7th or worse in the Britannia Stakes.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Newmarket Handicap Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Newmarket Handicap Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Newmarket Handicap Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2026
1:37.96
St Anton (IRE)
3yo 9-1 (7 of 8) 10/1
Pat Dobbs
Richard Hannon (GB)
2025
1:39.29
Fifth Column (IRE)
3yo 9-1 (4 of 7) 4/1
Ryan Moore
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2024
1:38.23
First Conquest (GB)
3yo 9-1 (6 of 13) 12/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2023
1:40.15
Highbank (IRE)
3yo 9-9 (8 of 9) 11/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2022
1:37.29
Jimi Hendrix (IRE)
3yo 9-1 (4 of 8) 5/2F
Rob Hornby
Ralph Beckett (GB)
2021
1:38.35
Royal Fleet (GB)
3yo 9-1 (3 of 6) 5/6F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
1:37.18
Flagship Glory (GB)
3yo 8-11 (8 of 10) 10/1
David Egan
Roger Varian (GB)
2019
1:39.12
Motakhayyel (GB)
3yo 9-2 (6 of 5) 5/1
Chris Hayes
Richard Hannon (GB)
2018
1:38.27
First Contact (IRE)
3yo 9-7 (8 of 9) 4/1
James Doyle
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2017
1:38.66
Medahim (IRE)
3yo 9-1 (8 of 10) 12/1
Sean Levey
Richard Hannon (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Newmarket Handicap Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 39 placings from 202 runners
  • QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Newmarket Handicap Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Newmarket Handicap Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Charlie Appleby, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from First Contact (2018), Royal Fleet (2021), Highbank (2023) and First Conquest (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Newmarket Handicap Stakes are Richard Hannon (3 wins) and John Gosden (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Newmarket Handicap Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Charlie Appleby13-4-8+18.83+11.61
Richard Hannon9-3-4+21.00+12.08
John Gosden8-2-3+10.00+4.83
Sir Michael Stoute11-1-2-7.25-7.48
Ralph Beckett8-1-2-4.50-4.68
Saeed bin Suroor7-1-4+2.00+1.55
Andrew Balding7-1-4-1.00+2.32
Roger Varian6-1-2+5.00+2.00
John & Thady Gosden2-1-1+3.00+1.50
John Ryan1-1-1+33.00+19.80

Newmarket Handicap Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Newmarket Handicap Stakes over the last 20 renewals is William Buick, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Royal Fleet (2021), Highbank (2023) and First Conquest (2024).

Here are some of the top Newmarket Handicap Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
William Buick11-3-5+15.83+8.06
Ryan Moore12-1-3-7.00-6.70
James Doyle10-1-4-5.00-3.07
Silvestre De Sousa4-1-2+5.00+2.75
Liam Keniry3-1-2+3.00+4.00
Pat Dobbs2-1-1+9.00+5.00
David Egan2-1-1+9.00+5.00
Robert Havlin2-1-2+6.00+4.20
Rob Hornby2-1-1+1.50+0.50
Sean Levey1-1-1+12.00+7.20

2027 Newmarket Handicap Stakes Runners & Shortlist

The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Newmarket Handicap Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.

Newmarket Handicap Stakes Trend Analysis

βœ… The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +64.58, is when runners had 1 career win with the jockey.

❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran on Good ground last time out; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-43.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2026: Winner in 7 (2,6) [8 Runners]
  • 2025: Winner in 4 (3) [7 Runners]
  • 2024: Winner in 6 (13,8) [13 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 8 (7,10) [9 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 4 (1,2) [8 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Newmarket Handicap Stakes is Ascot; there have been a total of 8 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Yarmouth; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Yarmouth last time out.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 198 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 5 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Newmarket Handicap Stakes; that stallion, Kingman, has produced 2 winners (2025,2023).

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Newmarket Handicap Stakes; that stallion is Exceed And Excel, who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Ocean Tempest in 2012, winning for John Ryan at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Brett Doyle. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2027 Newmarket Handicap Stakes, head over to see which runners the best racing tipsters are tipping today.

Route to the Newmarket Handicap Stakes

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Newmarket Handicap Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2026 - St Anton
Ascot - 14th of 30 (18/1)
Britannia Stakes
2025 - Fifth Column
Ascot - 7th of 30 (9/1)
Britannia Stakes
2024 - First Conquest
Newmarket (July) - 5th of 14 (8/1)
Bedford Lodge Supports Racing Welfare EBF Novice Stakes
2023 - Highbank
Ascot - 24th of 29 (23/1)
Britannia Stakes
2022 - Jimi Hendrix
Ascot - 3rd of 30 (20/1)
Britannia Stakes
2021 - Royal Fleet
Yarmouth - 1st of 11 (8/15)
Quinnbet 2nd To The Favourite Special Novice Stakes
2020 - Flagship Glory
Bath - 1st of 7 (4/9)
Follow At The Races On Twitter Novice Stakes
2019 - Motakhayyel
Yarmouth - 2nd of 5 (13/8)
ASL Making Work Flow Handicap
2018 - First Contact
Ascot - 11th of 30 (11/1)
Britannia Stakes
2017 - Medahim
Ascot - 14th of 29 (33/1)
Britannia Stakes

Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival

Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Newmarket Handicap Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Thursday at the July Festival

The highlight on Thursday, known as Ladies Day, is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a Group 2 contest over one mile and four furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Bahrain Trophy StakesPoint Of Law (GB)
3yo - 5/2
John & Thady Gosden
James Doyle
July StakesInner City Blues (IRE)
2yo - 5/6
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
July Festival Sprint HandicapJazl (IRE)
3yo - 12/1
Simon & Ed Crisford
Jack Mitchell
Princess of Wales's StakesRebels Romance (IRE)
8yo - 8/11
Charlie Appleby
William Buick

Friday at the July Festival

Festival Friday, as it is known, features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes, which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
July Festival HandicapHeraldry (GB)
3yo - 5/1
John & Thady Gosden
William Buick
Duchess of Cambridge StakesSenorita Bonita (IRE)
2yo - 9/4
Simon & Ed Crisford
Oisin Murphy
Betway TrophyValedictory (GB)
4yo - 7/2
John & Thady Gosden
William Buick
Falmouth StakesBlue Bolt (IRE)
4yo - 85/40
Andrew Balding
Colin Keane

Saturday at the July Festival

As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series; this race is contested over six furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Newmarket Handicap StakesSt Anton (IRE)
3yo - 10/1
Richard Hannon
Pat Dobbs
Bunbury CupAalto (FR)
6yo - 4/1
Ian Williams
William Buick
Superlative StakesAl Hudaiba (GB)
2yo - 5/2
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
July CupComanche Brave (IRE)
4yo - 11/1
Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
Billy Loughnane

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Newmarket Handicap Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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