You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Lincoln Handicap Preview
The Lincoln Handicap kicks off the Flat season at Doncaster racecourse in the first leg of what punters know as the 'Spring Double', where you look to back the winners of both the Lincoln and the Grand National, which are on consecutive weekends. The race is run over a straight mile at Doncaster, and it is open to four-year-old runners or older.
The race was first run back in 1853 at the Lincoln racecourse, but was moved to Doncaster in 1965 when the Lincoln racecourse was closed. Only two runners have ever won this race twice, Ob in 1906 & 1907 and then Babur in 1957 & 1958.
William Haggas' success with Addeybb in 2018 tied him as the most successful trainer in the race with four winners, equalling Jack Robinson's number of winners. Whilst Doncaster underwent redevelopment, the race was held at Redcar (2006) and Newcastle (2007).
Lincoln Handicap Information:
We also have a dedicated Doncaster tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at Doncaster Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Lincoln Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2014, when the race had an over-round of 117%. The race in 2025 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 140%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Lincoln Handicap, the over-round has been 132%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ132 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Lincoln Handicap Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Lincoln Handicap Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Lincoln Handicap races over the last 20 renewals:
- Expresso Star (1:36.51) in 2009
- Auxerre (1:36.82) in 2019
- Johan (1:37.34) in 2022
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Lincoln Handicap next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -12.50. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Lincoln Handicap, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:36.51 was set by Expresso Star in 2009, trained by John Gosden and ridden by Jimmy Fortune, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Migration won in a time of 1:47.86 for trainer David Menuisier, who booked Benoit De La Sayette in the saddle.
Lincoln Handicap Past Winners
Here are the Lincoln Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Lincoln Handicap are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 1:41.26 | Urban Lion (GB) 5yo 9-6 (2 of 21) 9/1 | Edward Greatrex Jack Channon (GB) |
| 2025 1:40.09 | Godwinson (GB) 5yo 9-4 (3 of 22) 15/2 | Cieren Fallon William Haggas (GB) |
| 2024 1:44.00 | Mr Professor (IRE) 5yo 8-8 (2 of 20) 33/1 | David Egan Dominic Ffrench Davis (GB) |
| 2023 1:47.86 | Migration (IRE) 7yo 9-9 (12 of 22) 18/1 | Benoit De La Sayette (3lbs) David Menuisier (GB) |
| 2022 1:37.34 | Johan (GB) 5yo 9-4 (4 of 22) 28/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Mick Channon (GB) |
| 2021 1:38.26 | Haqeeqy (IRE) 4yo 8-12 (10 of 18) 9/2 | Benoit De La Sayette (7lbs) John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2019 1:36.82 | Auxerre (IRE) 4yo 9-3 (17 of 19) 5/2F | James Doyle Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2018 1:43.56 | Addeybb (IRE) 4yo 9-2 (10 of 20) 5/1 | James Doyle William Haggas (GB) |
| 2017 1:38.38 | Bravery (IRE) 4yo 9-1 (20 of 22) 20/1 | Daniel Tudhope David O'Meara (GB) |
| 2016 1:46.25 | Secret Brief (IRE) 4yo 9-4 (22 of 22) 12/1 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Lincoln Handicap have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 59 placings from 413 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 9 runners
- UAE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2026 Lincoln Handicap Replay
Lincoln Handicap Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Lincoln Handicap over the last 20 renewals is William Haggas, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Very Wise (2007), Penitent (2010), Addeybb (2018) and Godwinson (2025). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Lincoln Handicap are Richard Fahey (2 wins), John Quinn (2 wins) and Charlie Appleby (2 wins). Multiple trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Lincoln Handicap. K R Burke (0-12), Kevin Ryan (0-10), Richard Hannon (0-10) and David Barron (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.
Here are some of the top Lincoln Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Haggas | 13-4-6 | +15.50 | +11.08 |
| Richard Fahey | 38-2-9 | +1.00 | +4.13 |
| John Quinn | 12-2-3 | +32.00 | +19.50 |
| Charlie Appleby | 5-2-2 | +11.50 | +6.06 |
| David O'Meara | 20-1-7 | +1.00 | +14.70 |
| John Ryan | 8-1-2 | +13.00 | +12.25 |
| John Gosden | 7-1-1 | -2.67 | -3.92 |
| David Menuisier | 5-1-2 | +14.00 | +9.50 |
| Michael Dods | 5-1-2 | +12.00 | +8.50 |
| Jack Channon | 3-1-2 | +7.00 | +7.26 |
Lincoln Handicap Jockey Statistics
There are multiple leading jockeys in the Lincoln Handicap over the last 20 renewals, with Tony Hamilton, James Doyle, and Benoit De La Sayette having all won the race twice. Tony Hamilton winners have been with Brae Hill (2012) and Gabrial (2015). James Doyle winners have been with Addeybb (2018) and Auxerre (2019). Benoit De La Sayette's winners have been with Haqeeqy (2021) and Migration (2023).
Here are some of the top Lincoln Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Hamilton | 9-2-4 | +30.00 | +20.13 |
| James Doyle | 6-2-3 | +3.50 | +1.75 |
| Benoit De La Sayette | 3-2-2 | +21.50 | +13.06 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 8-1-4 | +13.00 | +12.07 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 6-1-1 | +23.00 | +12.50 |
| Joe Fanning | 6-1-2 | +4.00 | +4.26 |
| Adam Kirby | 5-1-3 | +16.00 | +17.13 |
| Jimmy Quinn | 5-1-3 | +6.00 | +7.75 |
| Cieren Fallon | 4-1-1 | +4.50 | +1.69 |
| David Egan | 3-1-2 | +31.00 | +20.63 |
2027 Lincoln Handicap Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 12, 15, 7, 1, 1, 10, 5, 17, (2, 5), 10, 18, 2, 2, 1, 11, 12, 5, 5, 6, 14
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Within the first 15 of the market
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Ran in 4 - 33 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - No bigger than 33/1
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Ran in 1 - 25 races (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Ran in 1 - 15 races (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Had 1 - 6 wins (Career)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Had 2 - 15 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 77+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in a G3/LST/Cl5 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Highest Run is not G2/Cl4
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Carried 121 - 135lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Off a break of 13 - 210 days
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 6 wins (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in a G3/LST/Cl2/Cl6 (Debut)
- 19 / 20 (78%) - No older than a 6yo
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Doncaster racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Lincoln Handicap. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over ÂŁ6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Lincoln Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Lincoln Handicap Trend Analysis
â The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +25.33, is when runners ran in a race restricted to 3yo+ last time out.
â The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 start in the past 90 days, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-75.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 2 (5,21,3) [21 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 3 (15,2,16) [22 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 2 (14,1,19) [20 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 12 (17,4,16) [22 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 4 (3,19,1) [22 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Lincoln Handicap is Newmarket (Rowley); there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are Ascot and Meydan; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 415 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 9 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Lincoln Handicap; that stallion, Pivotal, has produced 2 winners (2018,2013).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Lincoln Handicap despite multiple attempts:
- Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Footstepsinthesand (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Night Of Thunder (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Clodovil (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Dubawi (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Mr Professor in 2024, winning for Dominic Ffrench Davis at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of David Egan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Lincoln Handicap, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Route to the Lincoln Handicap
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Lincoln Handicap. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Urban Lion Newmarket (Rowley) - 9th of 23 (9/1) | Cambridgeshire Handicap |
| 2025 - Godwinson Ascot - 11th of 20 (18/1) | Balmoral Handicap |
| 2024 - Mr Professor Chelmsford (AW) - 6th of 7 (12/1) | Christmas Party Nights Handicap |
| 2023 - Migration Newmarket (Rowley) - 4th of 8 (9/2) | National Stud Welcomes Stradivarius James Seymour Stakes |
| 2022 - Johan Ascot - 11th of 20 (33/1) | Balmoral Handicap |
| 2021 - Haqeeqy Doncaster - 1st of 13 (12/1) | City of Doncaster Handicap |
| 2019 - Auxerre Kempton (AW) - 1st of 9 (2/1) | 32Red.com Handicap |
| 2018 - Addeybb Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 16 (7/2) | Shadwell Farm Handicap |
| 2017 - Bravery Naas - 12th of 12 (8/1) | Profile Systems Naas October Handicap |
| 2016 - Secret Brief Meydan - 3rd of 16 (16/1) | Jaguar XF |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Lincoln Handicap Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal races at Doncaster Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Doncaster racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in January
Races in March
Races in September (St Leger Festival)
- Carrie Red Fillies Nursery
- Doncaster 2yo Stakes
- May Hill Stakes
- Park Hill Stakes
- St Leger Festival Middle Distance Handicap
- Doncaster Cup
- Flying Childers Stakes
- Flying Scotsman Stakes
- Mallard Handicap
- Champagne Stakes
- Park Stakes
- Portland Heritage Handicap
- St Leger
- St Leger Festival Mile Handicap
- St Leger Festival Ten Furlong Handicap
- City of Doncaster Handicap
- Sceptre Stakes
- St Leger Festival Sprint Handicap
