2022 Doncaster Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

2022 Doncaster Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

2022 Doncaster Stakes Preview

Scheduled to take place in October of each year towards the end of the flat season is the Doncaster Stakes at the Doncaster Racecourse. This listed race is restricted to two-year-old runners and is run over a trip of six furlongs, a distance which it has been run over since 1993 having previously been run over five furlongs.

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Doncaster Betting Picks on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2005 renewal when Dubai Success from B W Hills who under the guidance of Richard Hills, won in a time of 2:41.94, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Hinton Admiral, trained by Mark Johnston and ridden by J-P Guillambert set the quickest time of 1:11.14 in the 2006 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Doncaster Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2006 - Hinton Admiral (1:11.14)
  • 2011 - Gusto (1:11.21)
  • 2016 - Rosie Briar (1:11.53)

How competitive is the Doncaster Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2003 when the race had an over-round of 105%. The race in 2015 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Doncaster Stakes, the over-round has been 114% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Doncaster Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 3 winners. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -4.55. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Doncaster Stakes.

Doncaster Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Doncaster Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Doncaster Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:15.60
Flaming Rib
2yo 9-1 (2 of 7) 13/8
Pierre-Louis Jamin
Tom Dascombe
2020
1:15.45
Lipizzaner
2yo 9-1 (4 of 6) 100/30
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2018
1:11.69
San Donato
2yo 9-1 (5 of 9) 2/1F
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Varian
2017
1:14.09
Speak In Colours
2yo 9-1 (8 of 9) 6/1
Andrea Atzeni
Marco Botti
2016
1:11.53
Rosie Briar
2yo 8-10 (2 of 11) 20/1
Rob Hornby
Andrew Balding
2015
1:16.06
Dhahmaan
2yo 9-1 (9 of 9) 4/7F
Frankie Dettori
Marco Botti
2014
1:17.17
Code Red
2yo 9-1 (5 of 8) 11/2
Martin Dwyer
William Muir
2013
1:16.91
Night Of Thunder
2yo 9-1 (6 of 5) 6/4F
Richard Hughes
Richard Hannon Snr
2012
1:14.78
Invincible Warrior
2yo 9-1 (2 of 6) 5/2
Kieren Fallon
Brian Meehan
2011
1:11.21
Gusto
2yo 9-1 (1 of 10) 8/1
Dane O'Neill
Richard Hannon Snr

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Doncaster Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 18 winners with an additional 35 placings from 167 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners

Doncaster Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Doncaster Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Mark Johnston who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Falcon Hill (2001), Neros Return (2003) & Hinton Admiral (2006). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Doncaster Stakes are Brian Meehan (2 wins), A P O'Brien (2 wins) & Marco Botti (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Doncaster Stakes, Mick Channon has sent a total of 13 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Doncaster Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Mark Johnston 7-3-4 +7.50 +3.80
Brian Meehan 8-2-3 +7.50 +4.06
A P O'Brien 3-2-2 +6.83 +3.78
Marco Botti 2-2-2 +6.57 +3.94
Tom Dascombe 5-1-2 -2.37 -1.68
William Muir 3-1-2 +3.50 +2.40
Andrew Balding 2-1-2 +19.00 +14.00
Sir Michael Stoute 2-1-1 +0.50 -0.10
George Margarson 1-1-1 +50.00 +30.00
Roger Varian 1-1-1 +2.00 +1.20

Doncaster Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Doncaster Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Andrea Atzeni who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Speak In Colours (2017) & San Donato (2018).

Here are some of the top Doncaster Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Andrea Atzeni 5-2-2 +5.00 +1.80
Ryan Moore 6-1-2 -1.67 -2.23
Martin Dwyer 5-1-2 +1.50 +0.40
Jamie Spencer 4-1-2 -1.50 -0.85
Frankie Dettori 4-1-1 -2.43 -2.66
Dane O'Neill 3-1-1 +6.00 +2.80
Rob Hornby 1-1-1 +20.00 +12.00
Shane Kelly 1-1-1 +11.00 +6.60
Pierre-Louis Jamin 1-1-1 +1.63 +1.02
William Buick 5-0-1 -5.00 -4.28

2022 Doncaster Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,(1,4),7,2,(1,7,8),1,1,1,11,1,3,(3,6),3,1,2,1,10,(2,3),1,3,2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (71%) - Last place in past 13-80 days
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Had 1-4 placings (90 days)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Made 1-7 starts (NHcps)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Placed with last 3 starts
  • 18 / 20 (67%) - Carried 126lbs+ (Last Win)
  • 18 / 20 (71%) - Carried 126lbs+ (Debut)
  • 18 / 20 (75%) - Finished first 5 (Debut)
  • 16 / 20 (39%) - No bigger than 6/1

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Doncaster Stakes. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Doncaster Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Doncaster Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +70.63 is when runners ran in a race worth £3,000 on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 places in the past 90 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-30.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 2 (3) [7 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 4 (3) [6 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 5 (1,9) [9 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 8 (2,4) [9 Runners]
  • 2016: Winner in 2 (1,7) [11 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Doncaster Stakes is York, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at York last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Kempton (AW), there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Kempton (AW) last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 135 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 36 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Imperial Guest in 2008 when winning for George Margarson at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Tony Culhane. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 9 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2022 Doncaster Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today.

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