Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Doncaster Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place in October of each year towards the end of the flat season is the Doncaster Stakes at the Doncaster Racecourse. This listed race is restricted to two-year-old runners and is run over a trip of six furlongs, a distance which it has been run over since 1993 having previously been run over five furlongs.
Doncaster Stakes Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Doncaster tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Doncaster Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Doncaster Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2003 when the race had an over-round of 105%. The race in 2015 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Doncaster Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.
Doncaster Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Doncaster Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -5.55. Ahead of the 2024 Doncaster Stakes why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Hinton Admiral, trained by Mark Johnston and ridden by J-P Guillambert who set the fastest winning time in the Doncaster Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:11.14 when winning the race in 2006. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer B W Hills and jockey Richard Hills with Dubai Success who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 2:41.94 in the 2005 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Doncaster Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Hinton Admiral (1:11.14) in 2006
- Gusto (1:11.21) in 2011
- Rosie Briar (1:11.53) in 2016
Doncaster Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Doncaster Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Doncaster Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 1:16.83 | Ballymount Boy (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (4 of 9) 5/2F | James Doyle Adrian Paul Keatley (GB) |
| 2022 1:16.89 | Legend Of Xanadu (GB) 2yo 9-3 (4 of 8) 12/1 | Connor Beasley Mick Channon (GB) |
| 2021 1:15.60 | Flaming Rib (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (2 of 7) 13/8 | Pierre-Louis Jamin Tom Dascombe (GB) |
| 2020 1:15.45 | Lipizzaner (USA) 2yo 9-1 (4 of 6) 100/30 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2018 1:11.69 | San Donato (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (5 of 9) 2/1F | Andrea Atzeni Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2017 1:14.09 | Speak In Colours (GB) 2yo 9-1 (8 of 9) 6/1 | Andrea Atzeni Marco Botti (GB) |
| 2016 1:11.53 | Rosie Briar (GB) 2yo 8-10 (2 of 11) 20/1 | Rob Hornby Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2015 1:16.06 | Dhahmaan (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (9 of 9) 4/7F | Frankie Dettori Marco Botti (GB) |
| 2014 1:17.17 | Code Red (GB) 2yo 9-1 (5 of 8) 11/2 | Martin Dwyer William Muir (GB) |
| 2013 1:16.91 | Night Of Thunder (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (6 of 5) 6/4F | Richard Hughes Richard Hannon Snr (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Doncaster Stakes have been based:
- GB: 19 winners with an additional 33 placings from 164 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 7 runners
Doncaster Stakes Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Doncaster Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Brian Meehan and Marco Botti who have both won the race two times. Brian Meehan's winners have been with Earl Of Leitrim (2010) and Invincible Warrior (2012). Marco Botti winners have been with Dhahmaan (2015) and Speak In Colours (2017).
Here are some of the top Doncaster Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Meehan | 8-2-3 | +7.50 | +4.06 |
| Marco Botti | 2-2-2 | +6.57 | +3.94 |
| Tom Dascombe | 5-1-2 | -2.37 | -1.68 |
| A P O'Brien | 4-1-2 | +0.33 | -0.27 |
| Andrew Balding | 3-1-2 | +18.00 | +13.00 |
| William Muir | 3-1-2 | +3.50 | +2.40 |
| Roger Varian | 2-1-2 | +1.00 | +1.30 |
| George Margarson | 1-1-1 | +50.00 | +30.00 |
| Adrian Paul Keatley | 1-1-1 | +2.50 | +1.50 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 1-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.90 |
Doncaster Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Doncaster Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Andrea Atzeni who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Speak In Colours (2017) and San Donato (2018).
Here are some of the top Doncaster Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Atzeni | 5-2-2 | +5.00 | +1.80 |
| Ryan Moore | 7-1-3 | -2.67 | -2.58 |
| Frankie Dettori | 5-1-1 | -3.43 | -3.66 |
| Jamie Spencer | 4-1-2 | -1.50 | -0.85 |
| Dane O'Neill | 2-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.80 |
| Rob Hornby | 1-1-1 | +20.00 | +12.00 |
| Connor Beasley | 1-1-1 | +12.00 | +7.20 |
| Shane Kelly | 1-1-1 | +11.00 | +6.60 |
| James Doyle | 1-1-1 | +2.50 | +1.50 |
| Pierre-Louis Jamin | 1-1-1 | +1.63 | +1.02 |
2024 Doncaster Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, (1, 7, 8), 1, 1, 1, 11, 1, 3, (3, 6), 3, 1, 2, 1, 10, (2, 3), 1, 3, 2, 2, (1, 4)
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Off a break of 13 - 50 days
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Achieved an RPR of 80+ (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Highest Run is not G3/Cl2
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Break of 13 - 141 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Beaten no more -7¾l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 76+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Carried 123 - 135lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - In a field of 7 - 28 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 53+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Carried 123 - 136lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not on HY/FM (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (78%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 18 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 14/1 (Debut)
- 18 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Place)
- 18 / 20 (82%) - Won within last 4 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Doncaster Stakes. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works, No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Doncaster Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Doncaster Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +71.13 is when runners ran in a race worth £3,000 on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career places over the trip, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-38.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 4 (2,3) [9 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 4 (8,7) [8 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 (3) [7 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 4 (3) [6 Runners]
- 2018: Winner in 5 (1,9) [9 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Doncaster Stakes is York, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at York last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Kempton (AW), there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Kempton (AW) last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 138 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 33 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Doncaster Stakes, that stallion is Showcasing who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Imperial Guest in 2008, winning for George Margarson at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Tony Culhane. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Doncaster Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Other Principal races at Doncaster Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Doncaster racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in January
Races in March
Races in September (St Leger Festival)
- Carrie Red Fillies Nursery
- Doncaster 2yo Stakes
- May Hill Stakes
- Park Hill Stakes
- St Leger Festival Class 3 1m4f Handicap
- Doncaster Cup
- Flying Childers Stakes
- Flying Scotsman Stakes
- Mallard Handicap
- Champagne Stakes
- Park Stakes
- PJ Towey Construction Handicap
- Portland Heritage Handicap
- St Leger
- St Leger Festival Class 2 Mile Handicap
- City of Doncaster Handicap
- Sceptre Stakes
- St Leger Festival Class 2 Sprint Handicap
Races in October
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