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2022 Sky Bet Handicap Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Jan 12, 2:57pm Last Updated: Jan 28, 12:32pm Horse Racing 2 Comments 1370 Views

2022 Sky Bet Handicap Chase Preview

The Great Yorkshire Chase which is known as the Sky Bet Handicap Chase for sponsorship purposes is run at Doncaster racecourse in late January. The race is a handicap chase that is run over three miles in which the runners will face eighteen fences. Established in 1948, there has only ever been one multiple winner of the race when Ziga Boy won it back-to-back in 2016 & 2017.

The race has actually been abandoned quite a few times, seventeen times in fact since the inaugural running! In more recent times, the 2010, 2011 & 2013 were all abandoned due to frost and the 2006 & 2007 renewals were held at Southwell. In the buildup to the race head over to the Horse Racing Tips page to see which runners the OLBG tipsters are backing today.

Sky Bet Handicap Chase Content:

If you are interested in other predictions at Doncaster then head over to the Doncaster Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

When looking over the past 19 renewals, a time of 5:54.30 was set by Calgary Bay in 2012, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Henrietta Knight and ridden by Dominic Elsworth. The slowest winning time was set in 2007 when Simon won in a time of 6:40.70, booked to ride was Andrew Thornton on this John Spearing trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Sky Bet Handicap Chase over the last 19 renewals:

  • 2012 - Calgary Bay (5:54.30)
  • 2019 - Go Conquer (5:54.80)
  • 2008 - An Accordion (5:56.70)

How competitive is the Sky Bet Handicap Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 19 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2000 when the race had an over-round of 93%. The race in 1999 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 136%, whilst on average over the last 19 renewals of the Sky Bet Handicap Chase, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 19 if you had followed the winner of the Sky Bet Handicap Chase next time out then you would have back a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +2.50. Ahead of the 2022 Sky Bet Handicap Chase why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today.

Sky Bet Handicap Chase Past Winners

Here are the Sky Bet Handicap Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Sky Bet Handicap Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2021
6:13.20
Takingrisks (IRE)
12yo 11-2 40/1
Sean Quinlan
Nicky Richards (GB)
2020
6:02.10
Ok Corral (IRE)
10yo 11-12 9/1
Mr Derek O'Connor
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2019
5:54.80
Go Conquer (IRE)
10yo 11-10 8/1
Tom Bellamy
Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB)
2018
6:09.40
Wakanda (IRE)
9yo 11-0 8/1
Henry Brooke
Sue Smith (GB)
2017
6:06.00
Ziga Boy (FR)
8yo 10-11 10/1
Tom Bellamy
Alan King (GB)
2016
6:02.90
Ziga Boy (FR)
7yo 10-0 8/1
Brendan Powell
Alan King (GB)
2015
6:00.19
If In Doubt (IRE)
7yo 10-11 4/1F
A P McCoy
Philip Hobbs (GB)
2014
6:23.30
The Rainbow Hunter (GB)
10yo 10-9 25/1
Nick Scholfield
Kim Bailey (GB)
2012
5:54.30
Calgary Bay (IRE)
9yo 11-11 12/1
Dominic Elsworth
Henrietta Knight (GB)
2009
6:30.50
Big Fella Thanks (GB)
7yo 11-2 9/2
Christian Williams
Paul Nicholls (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Sky Bet Handicap Chase have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 40 placings from 259 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 6 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners

Sky Bet Handicap Chase Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Sky Bet Handicap Chase over the last 19 renewals with all of Paul Nicholls, Alan King & Nigel Twiston-Davies having all won the race 2 times. Paul Nicholls winners have been with Colourful Life (2005) & Big Fella Thanks (2009). Alan King winners have been with Ziga Boy (2016) & Ziga Boy (2017). Nigel Twiston-Davies winners have been with Beau (2000) & Go Conquer (2019). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Sky Bet Handicap Chase, Venetia Williams has sent a total of 14 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are the Sky Bet Handicap Chase trainer statistics over the last 19 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2022 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Paul Nicholls 17-2-5 -1.50 -2.22
Alan King 12-2-2 +8.00 +1.25
Nigel Twiston-Davies 10-2-3 +16.00 +8.50
Sue Smith 15-1-2 -6.00 -7.37
Nicky Henderson 10-1-4 +0.00 +0.83
Venetia Williams 14-0-3 -14.00 -7.68
Dan Skelton 4-0-1 -4.00 -0.37
Christian Williams 1-0-1 -1.00 -0.10

Sky Bet Handicap Chase Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Sky Bet Handicap Chase over the last 19 renewals is Tom Bellamy who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Ziga Boy (2017) & Go Conquer (2019).

Here are the Sky Bet Handicap Chase jockey statistics over the last 19 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2022 renewal, those not listed have not had a ride. (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Tom Bellamy 3-2-2 +17.00 +10.05
Sean Quinlan 3-1-2 +38.00 +25.00
Harry Skelton 3-0-1 -3.00 +0.63
Charlie Deutsch 2-0-1 -2.00 -0.50
Jack Tudor 1-0-1 -1.00 -0.10
Craig Nichol 1-0-0 -1.00 -1.00
Ryan Mania 1-0-0 -1.00 -1.00
James Bowen 1-0-0 -1.00 -1.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,PU,UR,PU,1,PU,6,(5,UR),6,1,6,(7,10),3,1,PU,SU,3,6,10,3

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 19 / 19 (81%) - Within first 11 of market
  • 19 / 19 (82%) - Field of 6-18 runners (Debut)
  • 19 / 19 (85%) - Off a break of 16-77 days
  • 19 / 19 (85%) - Carried 137-163lbs (Debut)
  • 19 / 19 (88%) - Never off bigger than 66/1
  • 18 / 19 (72%) - Last win not in a Class 2
  • 18 / 19 (82%) - Avoid claiming jockeys
  • 18 / 19 (83%) - Made 2-6 starts (Season)
  • 17 / 19 (74%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 17 / 19 (77%) - No more than 8l (Last Win)
  • 17 / 19 (81%) - No bigger than 14/1 (LTO)
  • 17 / 19 (82%) - Top 3 finish within last 3 starts
  • 17 / 19 (86%) - No older than 10yo
  • 16 / 19 (77%) - Fewer than 4 wins (Fences)
  • 16 / 19 (79%) - No bigger than 8/1 (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Sky Bet Handicap Chase. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Sky Bet Handicap Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

Sky Bet Handicap Chase Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +63.50 is when runners had 1 career win over the trip. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 2 when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-74.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Sky Bet Handicap Chase is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Wetherby, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Wetherby last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 266 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 3 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Sky Bet Handicap Chase:

  • Califet (2 Wins)
  • Glacial Storm (2 Wins)
  • Primitive Rising (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Sky Bet Handicap Chase despite multiple attempts:

  • Strong Gale (0 Wins from 11 runners)
  • Roselier (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Gold Well (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Milan (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 19 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Takingrisks in 2021 when winning for Nicky Richards at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of Sean Quinlan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 19 renewals there has been a total of 3 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2022 Sky Bet Handicap Chase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Sky Bet Handicap Chase Trend Shortlist

Doncaster will host the 2022 renewal of the Sky Bet Handicap Chase that will be run at 3:20 pm Saturday 29th January 2022 and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):

  • 15/15 Fusil Raffles (5/1 at time of posting)
    • Nicky Henderson (10-1-4 +0.00 / +0.83)
    • James Bowen (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)
  • 15/15 Hurricane Harvey (20/1 at time of posting)
    • Fergal O'Brien (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
    • Connor Brace (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)

Others: Cloudy Glen (14/15), Midnight Shadow (14/15), Canelo (14/15), Demachine (14/15), Grand Sancy (13/15), Kapcorse (13/15), Windsor Avenue (12/15), Cap Du Nord (11/15), Storm Control (11/15), Rocco (11/15), Debece (11/15), Hill Sixteen (11/15), Nuts Well (10/15), Janika (10/15), Some Chaos (7/15).

*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at time of posting (9:15 pm Thursday 27th January 2022), if no odds available at time of posting then forecasted odds are used.

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