Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Rehearsal Chase Preview
Scheduled to take place in November of each year at the Newcastle racecourse is the Rehearsal Chase, this Premier Handicap is contested over a distance of two miles, seven and a half furlongs during which the runners will face a gruelling nineteen fences on what is usually testing ground at this time of the year.
Rehearsal Chase Information:
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Newcastle tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newcastle Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Rehearsal Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 16 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2012 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 16 renewals of the Rehearsal Chase, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.
Rehearsal Chase Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 16 if you had followed the winner of the Rehearsal Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 15 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +0.00. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Rehearsal Chase see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 16 renewals, a time of 5:54.00 was set by Hey Big Spender in 2013, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Colin Tizzard and ridden by Brendan Powell. The slowest winning time was set in 2012 when Junior won in a time of 6:34.70, booked to ride was Conor O'Farrell on this David Pipe trained runner.
These are the top three quickest-run Rehearsal Chase over the last 16 renewals:
- Hey Big Spender (5:54.00) in 2013
- Aye Right (5:55.10) in 2021
- Yorkhill (5:56.30) in 2020
Rehearsal Chase Past Winners
Here are the Rehearsal Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Rehearsal Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
Race Notes: The 2023 renewal was abandoned due to frozen ground.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 6:00.24 | LHomme Presse (FR) 7yo 12-0 6/4F | Charlie Deutsch Venetia Williams (GB) |
| 2021 5:55.10 | Aye Right (IRE) 8yo 11-5 5/1 | Callum Bewley Harriet Graham (GB) |
| 2020 5:56.30 | Yorkhill (IRE) 10yo 10-10 66/1 | Ryan Mania Sandy Thomson (GB) |
| 2019 6:20.20 | Takingrisks (IRE) 10yo 10-13 20/1 | Sean Quinlan Nicky Richards (GB) |
| 2018 6:06.40 | Lake View Lad (IRE) 8yo 10-13 8/1 | Henry Brooke N W Alexander (GB) |
| 2017 6:15.30 | Beware The Bear (IRE) 7yo 11-7 11/4F | Sean Bowen Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2016 6:02.10 | Otago Trail (IRE) 8yo 11-3 9/1 | Liam Treadwell Venetia Williams (GB) |
| 2015 6:13.70 | Wakanda (IRE) 6yo 11-4 6/1 | Danny Cook Sue Smith (GB) |
| 2014 6:19.50 | Hey Big Spender (IRE) 11yo 11-12 12/1 | Brendan Powell Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2013 5:54.00 | Hey Big Spender (IRE) 10yo 11-4 5/1 | Brendan Powell Colin Tizzard (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Rehearsal Chase have been based:
- GB: 16 winners with an additional 29 placings from 152 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 7 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
Rehearsal Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Rehearsal Chase over the last 16 renewals is Nicky Richards who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Direct Access (2005), Harmony Brig (2007) and Takingrisks (2019). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Rehearsal Chase is Venetia Williams (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Rehearsal Chase trainer statistics over the last 16 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicky Richards | 11-3-4 | +34.00 | +18.81 |
| Venetia Williams | 7-2-4 | +5.50 | +4.13 |
| Sue Smith | 14-1-5 | -7.00 | -4.33 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 8-1-3 | +7.00 | +3.66 |
| Sandy Thomson | 5-1-2 | +62.00 | +37.04 |
| Paul Nicholls | 4-1-2 | +0.33 | +0.19 |
| David Pipe | 4-1-1 | +0.00 | -1.12 |
| Nicky Henderson | 4-1-1 | -0.25 | -1.35 |
| N W Alexander | 2-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.00 |
| Harriet Graham | 1-1-1 | +5.00 | +3.13 |
Rehearsal Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Rehearsal Chase over the last 16 renewals is Brendan Powell who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Hey Big Spender (2013 & 2014).
Here are some of the top Rehearsal Chase jockey statistics over the last 16 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Powell | 3-2-2 | +16.00 | +9.20 |
| Danny Cook | 6-1-1 | +1.00 | -1.25 |
| Ryan Mania | 5-1-3 | +62.00 | +37.76 |
| Sean Quinlan | 4-1-1 | +17.00 | +9.00 |
| Conor O'Farrell | 4-1-2 | +0.00 | +0.08 |
| Henry Brooke | 2-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.00 |
| Callum Bewley | 2-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.13 |
| Charlie Deutsch | 2-1-2 | +0.50 | +1.78 |
| Liam Heard | 1-1-1 | +3.33 | +2.00 |
| Sean Bowen | 1-1-1 | +2.75 | +1.65 |
2024 Rehearsal Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): PU, 4, (F, PU), 3, 1, (2, 5), 2, 5, (3, PU), 3, 1, F, 4, 2, 2, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 16 / 16 (76%) - Break of 28 - 482 days (Last Place)
- 16 / 16 (76%) - Held an OR of 136+ (Career)
- 16 / 16 (79%) - Achieved a TS of 119+ (Career)
- 16 / 16 (81%) - Had 4 - 10 wins (Career)
- 16 / 16 (82%) - Fewer than 3 starts (Season)
- 16 / 16 (82%) - Made 3 - 7 starts (1 Year)
- 16 / 16 (84%) - Fewer than 3 starts (180 Days)
- 16 / 16 (84%) - Ran over 1m3½f - 2m4½f (Debut)
- 16 / 16 (84%) - In a field of 6 - 17 (Debut)
- 16 / 16 (85%) - Highest Run is not LST/Cl2-3
- 16 / 16 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 137+ (Career)
- 16 / 16 (86%) - Beaten no more -29l (LTO)
- 16 / 16 (86%) - Made 1 - 10 starts (Going)
- 16 / 16 (87%) - Fewer than 2 placings (Season)
- 16 / 16 (88%) - Highest Won is not LST/Cl4
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newcastle racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Rehearsal Chase. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works, No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Rehearsal Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
Rehearsal Chase Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 8+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +78.33 is when runners ran on Soft ground on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career starts in higher class races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-27.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Rehearsal Chase is Aintree, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Aintree last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ayr, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Ayr last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 162 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 2 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Rehearsal Chase, that stallion Rudimentary has produced 3 winners (2014,2013,2011).
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Rehearsal Chase, that stallion is Beneficial who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 16 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Yorkhill in 2020, winning for Sandy Thomson at odds of 66/1 under the guidance of Ryan Mania. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 16 renewals there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Rehearsal Chase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Other Principal races at Newcastle racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newcastle racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in February
Races in July
Races in November
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