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2022 Old Roan Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Oct 19, 9:22pm Last Updated: Oct 25, 11:59am Horse Racing 0 Comments 38 Views

2022 Old Roan Chase Preview

Scheduled to take place in October of each year at the Aintree Racecourse is the Old Roan Chase, this Grade 2 limited handicap chase was originally known as the Wigan Chase when established in 2004. The race takes place early in the jumps season with it being run over a trip of two miles and furlongs in which a total of sixteen fences are faced.

The race was won three times in four years by the popular Monet's Garden (2007, 2009 & 2010) and has been a happy hunting ground for the experienced chaser with plenty in their older age being successful in this race.

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Aintree Betting Picks page to see which of those runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet.

The runner that holds the record over the past 18 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2008 renewal when Knowhere from Nigel Twiston-Davies who under the guidance of Paddy Brennan, won in a time of 5:19.50, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Wishfull Thinking, trained by Philip Hobbs and ridden by Richard Johnson set the quickest time of 4:49.10 in the 2014 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Old Roan Chase over the last 18 renewals:

  • 2014 - Wishfull Thinking (4:49.10)
  • 2013 - Conquisto (4:50.30)
  • 2016 - Third Intention (4:50.40)

How competitive is the Old Roan Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 18 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2011 when the race had an over-round of 105%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 18 renewals of the Old Roan Chase, the over-round has been 114% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 18 if you had followed the winner of the Old Roan Chase next time out then you would have back a total of 2 winners. Backing all 16 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -7.90. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Old Roan Chase see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Old Roan Chase Past Winners

Here are the Old Roan Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Old Roan Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2021
4:51.43
Allmankind
5yo 11-10 9/4F
Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton
2020
5:09.70
Nuts Well
9yo 11-7 18/1
Danny McMenamin (3lbs)
Ann Hamilton
2019
5:03.75
Forest Bihan
8yo 10-4 9/2
Brian Hughes
Brian Ellison
2018
4:51.30
Frodon
6yo 11-7 9/2
Bryony Frost (3lbs)
Paul Nicholls
2017
5:01.40
Smad Place
10yo 11-3 12/1
Wayne Hutchinson
Alan King
2016
4:50.40
Third Intention
9yo 10-7 5/1
Aidan Coleman
Colin Tizzard
2015
4:52.40
Sound Investment
7yo 11-3 7/1
Nick Scholfield
Paul Nicholls
2014
4:49.10
Wishfull Thinking
11yo 11-8 14/1
Richard Johnson
Philip Hobbs
2013
4:50.30
Conquisto
8yo 11-0 17/2
A P McCoy
Steve Gollings
2012
4:50.80
For Non Stop
7yo 10-11 4/1F
Noel Fehily
Nick Williams

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Old Roan Chase have been based:

  • GB: 18 winners with an additional 27 placings from 140 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners

Old Roan Chase Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Old Roan Chase over the last 18 renewals with both Paul Nicholls & Nicky Richards who have both won the race 3 times. Paul Nicholls winners have been with Kauto Star (2006), Sound Investment (2015) & Frodon (2018). Nicky Richards winners have been with Monets Garden (2007), Monets Garden (2009) & Monets Garden (2010). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Old Roan Chase is Philip Hobbs (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Old Roan Chase trainer statistics over the last 18 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Paul Nicholls 21-3-7 -5.50 -3.97
Nicky Richards 5-3-3 +16.25 +7.70
Philip Hobbs 10-2-5 +20.00 +12.93
Nigel Twiston-Davies 8-1-3 +1.00 +0.20
Jonjo O'Neill 8-1-2 -4.50 -4.50
Alan King 6-1-1 +7.00 +2.50
Dan Skelton 6-1-2 -2.75 -2.02
Colin Tizzard 4-1-1 +2.00 +0.13
Brian Ellison 3-1-2 +2.50 +2.91
Ann Hamilton 2-1-1 +17.00 +10.25

Old Roan Chase Jockey Statistics

Here are some of the top Old Roan Chase jockey statistics over the last 18 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Brian Hughes 7-1-3 -1.50 -1.36
Paddy Brennan 6-1-2 +3.00 +2.30
Harry Skelton 6-1-2 -2.75 -2.02
Nick Scholfield 4-1-2 +4.00 +2.70
Aidan Coleman 4-1-3 +2.00 +2.66
Dougie Costello 4-1-1 +1.00 -0.50
Danny McMenamin 2-1-1 +17.00 +10.25
Bryony Frost 2-1-1 +3.50 +1.70
Ryan Mania 5-0-2 -5.00 -1.20
Sam Twiston-Davies 5-0-1 -5.00 -4.10

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,3,2,1,2,6,(2,8),3,3,(1,PU),UR,4,PU,6,PU,3,2,3,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 18 / 18 (79%) - Field of 6-19 (LTO)
  • 18 / 18 (81%) - Made 15-44 starts (Career)
  • 18 / 18 (83%) - Beaten no more 30l (LTO)
  • 18 / 18 (88%) - Last win not in Wales or IRE
  • 18 / 18 (89%) - Carried 154-166lbs (LTO)
  • 18 / 18 (89%) - Made 3-9 starts (1 Year)
  • 18 / 18 (89%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
  • 17 / 18 (71%) - Carried 158lbs+ (Last Win)
  • 17 / 18 (74%) - Had 6+ wins (Career)
  • 17 / 18 (76%) - No bigger than 14/1
  • 17 / 18 (79%) - Fewer than 4 wins (Handicaps)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Aintree racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Old Roan Chase. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Old Roan Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

Old Roan Chase Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 9+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +36.75 is when runners ran in a Class 6 on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career wins over further, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-21.

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Old Roan Chase are Aintree and Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 5 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 149 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Old Roan Chase:

  • Roselier (3 Wins)
  • Alflora (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Old Roan Chase, that stallion is Presenting who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 18 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Nuts Well in 2020 when winning for Ann Hamilton at odds of 18/1 under the guidance of Danny McMenamin. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 18 renewals there has been a total of 3 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Other Principal races at Aintree racecourse

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