Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Topham Chase Preview
The Topham Chase which is a Premier Handicap is scheduled to take place in April of each year during the Grand National meeting at the Aintree racecourse, it is open to runners aged five or older and is run over a trip of two miles and five furlongs.
The race is one of three which is run over the Grand National fences along with the Foxhunters and the Grand National itself, the runners will race a total of eighteen fences during the race.
Topham Chase Information:
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Aintree tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? We cover every race at the Aintree Grand National Meeting and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Thursday, Friday & Saturday.
How competitive is the Topham Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2010 when the race had an over-round of 132%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 144%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Topham Chase, the over-round has been 138%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £138 which is bet.
Topham Chase Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Topham Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -16.00. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Topham Chase see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Peter Bowen trained Always Waining ridden by Tom O'Brien who set the fastest winning time in the Topham Chase, the runner won the race in a time of 5:19.30 was set when winning the race in 2011. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Colin Tizzard and jockey Harry Cobden with Ultragold who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 5:50.60 in the 2018 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Topham Chase over the last 20 renewals:
- Always Waining (5:19.30) in 2011
- Mac Tottie (5:22.89) in 2022
- Ma Filleule (5:23.20) in 2014
Topham Chase Past Winners
Here are the Topham Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Topham Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 5:42.92 | Arizona Cardinal (GB) 8yo 10-10 20/1 | Ciaran Gethings Stuart Edmunds (GB) |
| 2023 5:35.90 | Bill Baxter (IRE) 7yo 10-4 20/1 | Sam Twiston-Davies Warren Greatrex (GB) |
| 2022 5:22.89 | Mac Tottie (GB) 9yo 10-0 8/1 | Sean Bowen Peter Bowen (GB) |
| 2021 5:30.66 | Livelovelaugh (IRE) 11yo 11-0 15/2 | Mr P W Mullins W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2019 5:31.20 | Cadmium (FR) 7yo 11-2 8/1 | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2018 5:50.60 | Ultragold (FR) 10yo 11-1 14/1 | Harry Cobden Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2017 5:27.60 | Ultragold (FR) 9yo 10-5 50/1 | Harry Cobden Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2016 5:34.90 | Eastlake (IRE) 10yo 10-11 22/1 | Barry Geraghty Jonjo O'Neill (GB) |
| 2015 5:23.90 | Rajdhani Express (GB) 8yo 11-8 10/1 | Mr Sam Waley-Cohen (3lbs) Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2014 5:23.20 | Ma Filleule (FR) 6yo 11-7 9/1 | Barry Geraghty Nicky Henderson (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Topham Chase have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 42 placings from 440 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 17 placings from 123 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Topham Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Topham Chase over the last 20 renewals is Peter Bowen who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Dunbrody Millar (2007), Always Waining (2010, 2011 & 2012) and Mac Tottie (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Topham Chase are Nicky Henderson (4 wins) and W P Mullins (2 wins). Multiple trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Topham Chase, David Pipe (0-17), Venetia Williams (0-13), Gordon Elliott (0-12), Donald McCain (0-11), Sue Smith (0-10), Henry De Bromhead (0-10) and Philip Hobbs (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.
Here are some of the top Topham Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Bowen | 23-5-8 | +62.00 | +42.14 |
| Nicky Henderson | 41-4-9 | +12.00 | +5.95 |
| W P Mullins | 27-2-9 | -9.50 | +5.38 |
| Paul Nicholls | 44-1-5 | -36.00 | -29.68 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 26-1-2 | -17.00 | -18.00 |
| Jonjo O'Neill | 16-1-3 | +7.00 | +4.88 |
| Warren Greatrex | 3-1-2 | +18.00 | +12.25 |
| S Donohoe | 2-1-1 | +49.00 | +30.25 |
| Stuart Edmunds | 1-1-1 | +20.00 | +12.50 |
| David Pipe | 17-0-0 | -17.00 | -17.00 |
Topham Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Topham Chase over the last 20 renewals is Harry Cobden who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Ultragold (2017 & 2018). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Topham Chase, Daryl Jacob has ridden a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Topham Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Cobden | 7-2-3 | +59.00 | +36.75 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 11-1-1 | +10.00 | +2.50 |
| Paul Townend | 10-1-4 | -1.00 | +0.94 |
| Paddy Brennan | 9-1-3 | +0.00 | +0.31 |
| Brian Hughes | 8-1-1 | +15.00 | +6.75 |
| Sean Bowen | 7-1-1 | +2.00 | -1.00 |
| Mr P W Mullins | 3-1-1 | +5.50 | +2.69 |
| Ciaran Gethings | 1-1-1 | +20.00 | +12.50 |
| Daryl Jacob | 11-0-3 | -11.00 | -1.19 |
| Nick Scholfield | 9-0-0 | -9.00 | -9.00 |
2025 Topham Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): F, 4, 2, 6, (1, F), F, 7, 2, 7, BD, 5, (5, PU, UR), UR, (F, 5), 9, 4, PU, 16, PU, 17
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Made 4 - 10 starts (Season)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Within the first 23 of the market
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Made 1 - 3 starts (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - No bigger than 50/1
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Beaten no more -28l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Made 2 - 7 starts (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not on HY/STD-SLW/STD (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in a G1/Cl4-5 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved a TS of 87+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Off a break of 10 - 89 days
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Highest Won is not G1/Cl4-5
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Ran over 2m - 3m1½f (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (89%) - Held an OR of 128+ (Hcps)
- 18 / 20 (77%) - Achieved an RPR of 133+ (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (84%) - No more than +4yrs (Vs Min Age)
- 18 / 20 (86%) - Carried 126 - 163lbs (Debut)
- 18 / 20 (86%) - No older than a 10yo
- 18 / 20 (87%) - No more than 2 falls (Career)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Aintree racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Topham Chase. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Topham Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
Topham Chase Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +26.50 is when runners ran on Soft ground on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last place was 2 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-124.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Topham Chase is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 553 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 14 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Topham Chase:
- Unfuwain (3 Wins)
- Beneficial (2 Wins)
- Kapgarde (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Topham Chase despite multiple attempts:
- Flemensfirth (0 Wins from 15 runners)
- Anshan (0 Wins from 11 runners)
- Kings Theatre (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Dr Massini (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Oscar (0 Wins from 9 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Cregg House in 2005, winning for S Donohoe at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Davy Russell. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 1 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2025 Topham Chase.
Schedule for Thursday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The three-day Grand National meeting kicks off on Thursday with four Grade 1 events on the seven-race card which features both the Aintree Hurdle and the Bowl Chase.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree Manifesto Novices Chase | Il Etait Temps (FR) 6yo - 3/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 14:20 Aintree Anniversary 4YO Juvenile Hurdle | Sir Gino (FR) 4yo - 11/10 | Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville |
| 14:55 Aintree Bowl Chase | Gerri Colombe (FR) 8yo - 9/4 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 15:30 Aintree Aintree Hurdle | Impaire Et Passe (FR) 6yo - 1/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 16:05 Aintree Foxhunters Chase | Its On The Line (IRE) 7yo - 3/1 | Emmet Mullins Mr Derek O'Connor |
| 16:40 Aintree Red Rum Handicap Chase | Sans Bruit (FR) 6yo - 5/1 | Paul Nicholls Bryony Frost |
| 17:15 Aintree Nickel Coin Mares Bumper | Diva Luna (IRE) 5yo - 13/2 | Ben Pauling Kielan Woods |
Schedule for Friday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
Day 2 of the Grand National meeting is Ladies Day or Fabulous Friday, the highlights on the track being the Melling Chase plus there is the Topham Chase over the Grand National fences.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree Mildmay Novices Chase | Inothewayurthinkin (IRE) 6yo - 6/4 | Gavin Cromwell Mark Walsh |
| 14:20 Aintree William Hill National Festival Handicap Hurdle | Kateira (GB) 7yo - 5/1 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 14:55 Aintree Top Novices Hurdle | Mystical Power (IRE) 5yo - 11/10 | W P Mullins Mark Walsh |
| 15:30 Aintree Melling Chase | Jonbon (FR) 8yo - 11/10 | Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville |
| 16:05 Aintree Topham Chase | Arizona Cardinal (GB) 8yo - 20/1 | Stuart Edmunds Ciaran Gethings |
| 16:40 Aintree Sefton Novices Hurdle | Dancing City (FR) 7yo - 4/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 17:15 Aintree Alder Hey Handicap Hurdle | El Jefe (IRE) 7yo - 40/1 | Andrew Hamilton Ben Smith |
Schedule for Saturday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The Grand National is obviously the showpiece of the Aintree meeting and day 3 also includes three Grade 1 events, the feature of those being the Liverpool Hurdle.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Aintree Bridle Road Handicap Hurdle | Gwennie May Boy (IRE) 6yo - 9/2 | Dan Skelton Charlie Todd |
| 13:55 Aintree Mersey Novices Hurdle | Brighterdaysahead (FR) 5yo - 6/5 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 14:30 Aintree William Hill National Festival Handicap Chase | Cruz Control (FR) 7yo - 9/1 | Tom Lacey Stan Sheppard |
| 15:05 Aintree Liverpool Hurdle | Strong Leader (GB) 7yo - 8/1 | Olly Murphy Sean Bowen |
| 16:00 Aintree Grand National | I Am Maximus (FR) 8yo - 7/1 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 17:00 Aintree Maghull Novices Chase | Found A Fifty (IRE) 7yo - 11/8 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 17:35 Aintree Champion Standard Open NH Flat Race | Horaces Pearl (FR) 6yo - 14/1 | Fergal O'Brien Connor Brace |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Topham Chase Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
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