You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Topham Chase Preview
The Topham Chase, which is a Premier Handicap, is scheduled to take place in April of each year during the Grand National meeting at the Aintree racecourse. It is open to runners aged 5 or older and is run over a trip of 2 miles and 5 furlongs.
The race is one of three that are run over the Grand National fences, along with the Foxhunters and the Grand National itself. The runners will race over a total of 18 fences.
Topham Chase Information:
Our dedicated Aintree tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Topham Chase, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Aintree throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. We cover every race at the Aintree Grand National Meeting, and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Thursday, Friday & Saturday.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Topham Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2010, when the race had an over-round of 132%. The race in 2025 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 152%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Topham Chase, the over-round has been 140%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ140 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Topham Chase Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Topham Chase Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Topham Chase races over the last 20 renewals:
- Always Waining (5:19.30) in 2011
- Will The Wise (5:20.25) in 2026
- Mac Tottie (5:22.89) in 2022
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Topham Chase next time out, then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -16.00. Ahead of the 2027 Topham Chase, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 5:19.30 was set by Always Waining in 2011, trained by Peter Bowen and ridden by Tom O'Brien, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2018 when Ultragold won in a time of 5:50.60 for trainer Colin Tizzard, who booked Harry Cobden in the saddle.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Topham Chase Past Winners
Here are the Topham Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Topham Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 5:20.25 | Will The Wise (IRE) 7yo 10-8 9/1 | Conor Stone-Walsh (3lbs) Gavin Cromwell (IRE) |
| 2025 5:23.72 | Gentleman De Mee (FR) 9yo 11-11 14/1 | Mark Walsh W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2024 5:42.92 | Arizona Cardinal (GB) 8yo 10-10 20/1 | Ciaran Gethings Stuart Edmunds (GB) |
| 2023 5:35.90 | Bill Baxter (IRE) 7yo 10-4 20/1 | Sam Twiston-Davies Warren Greatrex (GB) |
| 2022 5:22.89 | Mac Tottie (GB) 9yo 10-0 8/1 | Sean Bowen Peter Bowen (GB) |
| 2021 5:30.66 | Livelovelaugh (IRE) 11yo 11-0 15/2 | Mr P W Mullins W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2019 5:31.20 | Cadmium (FR) 7yo 11-2 8/1 | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2018 5:50.60 | Ultragold (FR) 10yo 11-1 14/1 | Harry Cobden Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2017 5:27.60 | Ultragold (FR) 9yo 10-5 50/1 | Harry Cobden Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2016 5:34.90 | Eastlake (IRE) 10yo 10-11 22/1 | Barry Geraghty Jonjo O'Neill (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Topham Chase have been based:
- GB: 16 winners with an additional 38 placings from 428 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 22 placings from 135 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
2026 Topham Chase Replay
Topham Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Topham Chase over the last 20 renewals is Peter Bowen, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Dunbrody Millar (2007), Always Waining (2010, 2011 & 2012) and Mac Tottie (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Topham Chase are Nicky Henderson (4 wins) and W P Mullins (3 wins). Multiple trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Topham Chase. Gordon Elliott (0-17), David Pipe (0-17), Henry De Bromhead (0-13), Venetia Williams (0-13), Donald McCain (0-12) and Philip Hobbs (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.
Here are some of the top Topham Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Bowen | 22-5-8 | +63.00 | +43.14 |
| Nicky Henderson | 41-4-9 | +12.00 | +5.95 |
| W P Mullins | 35-3-12 | -2.50 | +9.88 |
| Paul Nicholls | 44-1-4 | -36.00 | -32.68 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 24-1-2 | -15.00 | -16.00 |
| Jonjo O'Neill | 15-1-3 | +8.00 | +5.88 |
| Gavin Cromwell | 5-1-1 | +5.00 | +1.63 |
| Warren Greatrex | 4-1-2 | +17.00 | +11.25 |
| Stuart Edmunds | 1-1-1 | +20.00 | +12.50 |
| Gordon Elliott | 17-0-1 | -17.00 | -14.75 |
Topham Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Topham Chase over the last 20 renewals is Harry Cobden, who has won the race twice, with those two winners coming from Ultragold (2017 & 2018).
Here are some of the top Topham Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Cobden | 8-2-3 | +58.00 | +35.75 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 13-1-1 | +8.00 | +0.50 |
| Paul Townend | 12-1-5 | -3.00 | +0.13 |
| Brian Hughes | 9-1-1 | +14.00 | +5.75 |
| Sean Bowen | 9-1-1 | +0.00 | -3.00 |
| Mark Walsh | 3-1-2 | +12.00 | +8.31 |
| Mr P W Mullins | 3-1-1 | +5.50 | +2.69 |
| Conor Stone-Walsh | 2-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.63 |
| Ciaran Gethings | 1-1-1 | +20.00 | +12.50 |
| Nico de Boinville | 9-0-2 | -9.00 | -3.37 |
2027 Topham Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 6, (1, F), F, 7, 2, 7, BD, 5, (5, PU, UR), UR, (F, 5), 9, 4, PU, 16, PU, 17, PU, 3
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Ran in 4 - 10 races (Season)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Held an OR of 127+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Within the first 22 of the market
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 133+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 122+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 68+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran in 1 - 3 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 50/1
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Beaten no more -28l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran in 2 - 7 races (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 57+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 133+ (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 111+ (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in a G1/LST/Cl6 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Ran over 2m - 3m1½f (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Aintree racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Topham Chase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over ÂŁ6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Topham Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Topham Chase Trend Analysis
â The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when a runner's last place was 2 starts ago, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-123.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Topham Chase is Cheltenham; there have been a total of 9 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 552 runners, while female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 13 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Topham Chase:
- Unfuwain (3 Wins)
- Beneficial (2 Wins)
- Kapgarde (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Topham Chase despite multiple attempts:
- Flemensfirth (0 Wins from 16 runners)
- Anshan (0 Wins from 11 runners)
- Kings Theatre (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Dr Massini (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Oscar (0 Wins from 8 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Ultragold in 2017, winning for Colin Tizzard at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Harry Cobden. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 1 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2027 Topham Chase, head over to see which runners the best racing tipsters are tipping today.
Route to the Topham Chase
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Topham Chase. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Will The Wise Cheltenham - 2nd of 23 (10/1) | Festival Plate |
| 2025 - Gentleman De Mee Navan - 4th of 5 (19/2) | BoyleSports Webster Cup Chase |
| 2024 - Arizona Cardinal Ludlow - 1st of 5 (11/4) | Forbra Gold Cup |
| 2023 - Bill Baxter Kelso - 1st of 7 (7/2) | bet365 Cyril Alexander Memorial Novices Limited Handicap Chase |
| 2022 - Mac Tottie Newcastle - 3rd of 3 (3/1) | Search Last Horse Standing On App Stores Handicap Chase |
| 2021 - Livelovelaugh Leopardstown - 2nd of 14 (10/3) | TRI Equestrian Handicap Chase |
| 2019 - Cadmium Navan - 2nd of 5 (2/1) | Toals.com Webster Cup Chase |
| 2018 - Ultragold Cheltenham - 13th of 22 (66/1) | Festival Plate |
| 2017 - Ultragold Cheltenham - 9th of 24 (100/1) | Johnny Henderson Grand Annual |
| 2016 - Eastlake Cheltenham - 9th of 24 (12/1) | Johnny Henderson Grand Annual |
Schedule for Thursday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The three-day Grand National meeting kicks off on Thursday with four Grade 1 events on the seven-race card, which features both the Aintree Hurdle and the Bowl Chase.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree Anniversary 4YO Juvenile Hurdle | Mange Tout (FR) 4yo - 5/1 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 14:20 Aintree Manifesto Novices Chase | Koktail Divin (FR) 6yo - 3/1 | Henry De Bromhead Darragh O'Keeffe |
| 14:55 Aintree Bowl Chase | Jango Baie (FR) 7yo - 1/1 | Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville |
| 15:30 Aintree Foxhunters Chase | Barton Snow (IRE) 9yo - 7/4 | J J O'Shea Mr Henry Crow |
| 16:05 Aintree Aintree Hurdle | Brighterdaysahead (FR) 7yo - 13/8 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 16:40 Aintree Red Rum Handicap Chase | Ryans Rocket (IRE) 8yo - 14/1 | Fergal O'Brien Jonathan Burke |
| 17:15 Aintree Nickel Coin Mares Bumper | Nans Choice (IRE) 5yo - 9/2 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
Schedule for Friday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
Day 2 of the Grand National meeting is Ladies Day or Fabulous Friday, the highlights on the track being the Melling Chase, plus there is the Topham Chase over the Grand National fences.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree National Meeting 2m4f Handicap Hurdle | Wellington Arch (GB) 7yo - 6/1 | Jonjo & A J O'Neill Jonjo O'Neill Jr |
| 14:20 Aintree Mildmay Novices Chase | Gold Dancer (FR) 7yo - 100/30 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 14:55 Aintree Top Novices Hurdle | Storming George (IRE) 6yo - 16/1 | Neil King Jack Quinlan |
| 15:30 Aintree Melling Chase | Grey Dawning (IRE) 9yo - 5/1 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 16:05 Aintree Topham Chase | Will The Wise (IRE) 7yo - 9/1 | Gavin Cromwell Conor Stone-Walsh |
| 16:40 Aintree Sefton Novices Hurdle | Zeus Power (GER) 5yo - 3/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien J J Slevin |
| 17:15 Aintree National Meeting 2m Handicap Hurdle | Laafi (FR) 6yo - 20/1 | William Durkan Patrick M O'Brien |
Schedule for Saturday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The Grand National is obviously the showpiece of the Aintree meeting, and day 3 also includes three Grade 1 events, the feature of those being the Liverpool Hurdle.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 12:45 Aintree Maghull Novices Chase | Mirabad (FR) 7yo - 50/1 | Dan Skelton Tristan Durrell |
| 13:20 Aintree National Meeting 3m Handicap Hurdle | Wade Out (IRE) 7yo - 18/1 | Olly Murphy Gavin Sheehan |
| 13:55 Aintree Mersey Novices Hurdle | Bossman Jack (GB) 6yo - 11/4 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 14:30 Aintree Freebooter Handicap Chase | Mr Hope Street (IRE) 8yo - 4/1 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 15:05 Aintree Liverpool Hurdle | Home By The Lee (IRE) 11yo - 5/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien J J Slevin |
| 16:00 Aintree Grand National | I Am Maximus (FR) 10yo - 9/2 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 17:00 Aintree Champion Standard Open NH Flat Race | Forthfactor (IRE) 5yo - 10/1 | Dan Skelton Miss Heidi Palin |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Topham Chase Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races at the Aintree Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Aintree racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
