Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2026 Topham Chase Preview
The Topham Chase which is a Premier Handicap is scheduled to take place in April of each year during the Grand National meeting at the Aintree racecourse, it is open to runners aged five or older and is run over a trip of two miles and five furlongs.
The race is one of three which is run over the Grand National fences along with the Foxhunters and the Grand National itself, the runners will race a total of eighteen fences during the race.
Topham Chase Information:
Our dedicated Aintree tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Topham Chase but will also have predictions for each meeting at Aintree throughout the season so be sure to head over there. We cover every race at the Aintree Grand National Meeting and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Thursday, Friday & Saturday.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Topham Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2010 when the race had an over-round of 132%. The race in 2025 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 152%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Topham Chase, the over-round has been 139%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £139 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Topham Chase Trends, see which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal, we also have a section that looks at the Topham Chase Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Topham Chase over the last 20 renewals:
- Always Waining (5:19.30) in 2011
- Mac Tottie (5:22.89) in 2022
- Ma Filleule (5:23.20) in 2014
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Topham Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -16.00. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Topham Chase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 5:19.30 was set by Always Waining in 2011, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Peter Bowen and ridden by Tom O'Brien. The slowest winning time was set in 2018 when Ultragold won in a time of 5:50.60, booked to ride was Harry Cobden by the trainer Colin Tizzard.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Topham Chase Past Winners
Here are the Topham Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Topham Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 5:23.72 | Gentleman De Mee (FR) 9yo 11-11 14/1 | Mark Walsh W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2024 5:42.92 | Arizona Cardinal (GB) 8yo 10-10 20/1 | Ciaran Gethings Stuart Edmunds (GB) |
| 2023 5:35.90 | Bill Baxter (IRE) 7yo 10-4 20/1 | Sam Twiston-Davies Warren Greatrex (GB) |
| 2022 5:22.89 | Mac Tottie (GB) 9yo 10-0 8/1 | Sean Bowen Peter Bowen (GB) |
| 2021 5:30.66 | Livelovelaugh (IRE) 11yo 11-0 15/2 | Mr P W Mullins W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2019 5:31.20 | Cadmium (FR) 7yo 11-2 8/1 | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2018 5:50.60 | Ultragold (FR) 10yo 11-1 14/1 | Harry Cobden Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2017 5:27.60 | Ultragold (FR) 9yo 10-5 50/1 | Harry Cobden Colin Tizzard (GB) |
| 2016 5:34.90 | Eastlake (IRE) 10yo 10-11 22/1 | Barry Geraghty Jonjo O'Neill (GB) |
| 2015 5:23.90 | Rajdhani Express (GB) 8yo 11-8 10/1 | Mr Sam Waley-Cohen (3lbs) Nicky Henderson (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Topham Chase have been based:
- GB: 16 winners with an additional 39 placings from 432 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 20 placings from 133 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
Topham Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Topham Chase over the last 20 renewals is Peter Bowen who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Dunbrody Millar (2007), Always Waining (2010, 2011 & 2012) and Mac Tottie (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Topham Chase are Nicky Henderson (4 wins) and W P Mullins (3 wins). Multiple trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Topham Chase, David Pipe (0-17), Gordon Elliott (0-15), Venetia Williams (0-14), Donald McCain (0-12), Henry De Bromhead (0-12) and Philip Hobbs (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.
Here are some of the top Topham Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Bowen | 23-5-8 | +62.00 | +42.14 |
| Nicky Henderson | 42-4-9 | +11.00 | +4.95 |
| W P Mullins | 32-3-10 | +0.50 | +10.13 |
| Paul Nicholls | 44-1-5 | -36.00 | -29.68 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 25-1-2 | -16.00 | -17.00 |
| Jonjo O'Neill | 15-1-3 | +8.00 | +5.88 |
| Warren Greatrex | 3-1-2 | +18.00 | +12.25 |
| S Donohoe | 2-1-1 | +49.00 | +30.25 |
| Stuart Edmunds | 1-1-1 | +20.00 | +12.50 |
| David Pipe | 17-0-0 | -17.00 | -17.00 |
Topham Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Topham Chase over the last 20 renewals is Harry Cobden who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Ultragold (2017 & 2018).
Here are some of the top Topham Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Cobden | 8-2-3 | +58.00 | +35.75 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 12-1-1 | +9.00 | +1.50 |
| Paul Townend | 11-1-4 | -2.00 | -0.06 |
| Brian Hughes | 9-1-1 | +14.00 | +5.75 |
| Sean Bowen | 8-1-1 | +1.00 | -2.00 |
| Mr P W Mullins | 3-1-1 | +5.50 | +2.69 |
| Mark Walsh | 2-1-1 | +13.00 | +7.75 |
| Ciaran Gethings | 1-1-1 | +20.00 | +12.50 |
| Nick Scholfield | 9-0-0 | -9.00 | -9.00 |
| Nico de Boinville | 8-0-2 | -8.00 | -2.37 |
2026 Topham Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, 2, 6, (1, F), F, 7, 2, 7, BD, 5, (5, PU, UR), UR, (F, 5), 9, 4, PU, 16, PU, 17, PU
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Ran in 4 - 10 races (Season)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Within the first 23 of the market
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 64+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran in 1 - 3 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 50/1
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Beaten no more -28l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran in 2 - 7 races (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 133+ (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 127+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Ran over 2m - 3m1½f (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved a TS of 109+ (Hcps)
- 18 / 20 (84%) - No more than +4yrs (Vs Min Age)
- 18 / 20 (87%) - No older than a 10yo
- 18 / 20 (88%) - No more than 2 falls (Career)
- 17 / 20 (81%) - Won by at least 1l (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Aintree racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Topham Chase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Topham Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Topham Chase Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +24.50 is when runners ran on Soft ground on debut.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when the runner's last place was 2 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-121.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Topham Chase is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 553 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 15 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Topham Chase:
- Unfuwain (3 Wins)
- Beneficial (2 Wins)
- Kapgarde (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Topham Chase despite multiple attempts:
- Flemensfirth (0 Wins from 16 runners)
- Anshan (0 Wins from 11 runners)
- Kings Theatre (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Dr Massini (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Oscar (0 Wins from 9 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Cregg House in 2005, winning for S Donohoe at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Davy Russell. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 1 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Route to the Topham Chase
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Topham Chase, these are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Gentleman De Mee Navan - 4th of 5 (19/2) | BoyleSports Webster Cup Chase |
| 2024 - Arizona Cardinal Ludlow - 1st of 5 (11/4) | Forbra Gold Cup |
| 2023 - Bill Baxter Kelso - 1st of 7 (7/2) | bet365 Cyril Alexander Memorial Novices Limited Handicap Chase |
| 2022 - Mac Tottie Newcastle - 3rd of 3 (3/1) | Search Last Horse Standing On App Stores Handicap Chase |
| 2021 - Livelovelaugh Leopardstown - 2nd of 14 (10/3) | TRI Equestrian Handicap Chase |
| 2019 - Cadmium Navan - 2nd of 5 (2/1) | Toals.com Webster Cup Chase |
| 2018 - Ultragold Cheltenham - 13th of 22 (66/1) | Festival Plate |
| 2017 - Ultragold Cheltenham - 9th of 24 (100/1) | Johnny Henderson Grand Annual |
| 2016 - Eastlake Cheltenham - 9th of 24 (12/1) | Johnny Henderson Grand Annual |
| 2015 - Rajdhani Express Cheltenham - 8th of 23 (12/1) | Festival Plate |
Schedule for Thursday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The three-day Grand National meeting kicks off on Thursday with four Grade 1 events on the seven-race card which features both the Aintree Hurdle and the Bowl Chase.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree Manifesto Novices Chase | Impaire Et Passe (FR) 7yo - 9/4 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 14:20 Aintree Anniversary 4YO Juvenile Hurdle | Murcia (FR) 4yo - 11/4 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 14:55 Aintree Bowl Chase | Gaelic Warrior (GER) 7yo - 11/4 | W P Mullins Mr P W Mullins |
| 15:30 Aintree Aintree Hurdle | Lossiemouth (FR) 6yo - 5/4 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 16:05 Aintree Foxhunters Chase | Gracchus De Balme (FR) 9yo - 22/1 | J J O'Shea Mr Huw Edwards |
| 16:40 Aintree Red Rum Handicap Chase | Sans Bruit (FR) 7yo - 5/1 | Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden |
| 17:15 Aintree Nickel Coin Mares Bumper | Seo Linn (IRE) 5yo - 15/8 | P Twomey W J Lee |
Schedule for Friday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
Day 2 of the Grand National meeting is Ladies Day or Fabulous Friday, the highlights on the track being the Melling Chase plus there is the Topham Chase over the Grand National fences.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree Mildmay Novices Chase | Caldwell Potter (FR) 7yo - 11/4 | Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden |
| 14:20 Aintree National Meeting 2m4f Handicap Hurdle | Wellington Arch (GB) 6yo - 14/1 | Jonjo & A J O'Neill Jonjo O'Neill Jr |
| 14:55 Aintree Top Novices Hurdle | Salvator Mundi (FR) 5yo - 7/2 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 15:30 Aintree Melling Chase | Jonbon (FR) 9yo - 4/6 | Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville |
| 16:05 Aintree Topham Chase | Gentleman De Mee (FR) 9yo - 14/1 | W P Mullins Mark Walsh |
| 16:40 Aintree Sefton Novices Hurdle | Julius Des Pictons (FR) 6yo - 14/1 | Jamie Snowden Gavin Sheehan |
| 17:15 Aintree National Meeting 2m Handicap Hurdle | Shes A Saint (IRE) 8yo - 25/1 | Dan Skelton Tristan Durrell |
Schedule for Saturday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The Grand National is obviously the showpiece of the Aintree meeting and day 3 also includes three Grade 1 events, the feature of those being the Liverpool Hurdle.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Aintree National Meeting 3m Handicap Hurdle | Deep Cave (IRE) 7yo - 28/1 | Christian Williams Jack Tudor |
| 13:55 Aintree Mersey Novices Hurdle | Honesty Policy (IRE) 5yo - 5/1 | Gordon Elliott Mark Walsh |
| 14:30 Aintree Freebooter Handicap Chase | Cruz Control (FR) 8yo - 10/1 | Tom Lacey Stan Sheppard |
| 15:05 Aintree Liverpool Hurdle | Hiddenvalley Lake (IRE) 8yo - 12/1 | Henry De Bromhead Darragh O'Keeffe |
| 16:00 Aintree Grand National | Nick Rockett (IRE) 8yo - 33/1 | W P Mullins Mr P W Mullins |
| 17:00 Aintree Maghull Novices Chase | Kalif Du Berlais (FR) 5yo - 15/8 | Paul Nicholls Harry Cobden |
| 17:35 Aintree Champion Standard Open NH Flat Race | Green Splendour (GB) 5yo - 100/30 | W P Mullins Mr P W Mullins |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Topham Chase Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
