
You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Sefton Novices' Hurdle Preview
Open to novices over hurdles, the Sefton Novices Hurdle is a Grade 1 race which is scheduled to take place in April of each year during the Grand National meeting at the Aintree racecourse. The race is run over a trip of three miles, half a furlong, in which the runners will have to jump thirteen hurdles.
Sefton Novices' Hurdle Information:
- Sefton Novices' Hurdle Past Winners
- Sefton Novices' Hurdle Trainer Statistics
- Sefton Novices' Hurdle Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated Aintree tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Sefton Novices' Hurdle, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Aintree throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. We cover every race at the Aintree Grand National Meeting, and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Thursday, Friday & Saturday.

Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Sefton Novices' Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013, when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 130%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Sefton Novices' Hurdle, the over-round has been 121%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ121 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Sefton Novices' Hurdle Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Sefton Novices' Hurdle Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Sefton Novices' Hurdle races over the last 20 renewals:
- Beat That (6:02.90) in 2014
- Thistlecrack (6:04.10) in 2015
- Wayward Prince (6:04.30) in 2010
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Sefton Novices' Hurdle next time out, then you would have backed a total of 9 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +5.15. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 6:02.90 was set by Beat That in 2014, trained by Nicky Henderson and ridden by Barry Geraghty, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2018 when Santini won in a time of 6:40.80 for trainer Nicky Henderson, who booked Nico de Boinville in the saddle.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Sefton Novices' Hurdle Past Winners
Here are the Sefton Novices' Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Sefton Novices' Hurdle are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 6:05.79 | Zeus Power (GER) 5yo 11-8 3/1 | J J Slevin Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2025 6:11.86 | Julius Des Pictons (FR) 6yo 11-8 14/1 | Gavin Sheehan Jamie Snowden (GB) |
| 2024 6:34.82 | Dancing City (FR) 7yo 11-8 4/1 | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2023 6:22.92 | Apple Away (IRE) 6yo 11-1 16/1 | Stephen Mulqueen Lucinda Russell (GB) |
| 2022 6:11.41 | Gelino Bello (FR) 6yo 11-7 7/2 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2021 6:13.80 | Ahoy Senor (IRE) 6yo 11-4 66/1 | Derek Fox Lucinda Russell (GB) |
| 2019 6:17.90 | Champ (IRE) 7yo 11-4 9/4F | Mark Walsh Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2018 6:40.80 | Santini (GB) 6yo 11-4 6/4F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2017 6:05.80 | The Worlds End (IRE) 6yo 11-4 3/1 | A P Heskin Tom George (GB) |
| 2016 6:17.90 | Ballyoptic (IRE) 6yo 11-4 9/1 | Ryan Hatch Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Sefton Novices' Hurdle have been based:
- GB: 18 winners with an additional 37 placings from 234 runners
- IRE: 2 winners with an additional 3 placings from 35 runners
2026 Sefton Novices' Hurdle Replay
Sefton Novices' Hurdle Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Sefton Novices' Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Nicky Henderson, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Beat That (2014), Santini (2018) and Champ (2019). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Sefton Novices' Hurdle are Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 wins) and Lucinda Russell (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Sefton Novices' Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicky Henderson | 17-3-5 | -4.25 | -6.85 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 15-2-3 | +12.00 | +5.00 |
| Lucinda Russell | 8-2-3 | +76.00 | +53.70 |
| Paul Nicholls | 17-1-5 | -12.50 | -9.74 |
| Alan King | 9-1-1 | +0.00 | -4.00 |
| W P Mullins | 7-1-2 | -2.00 | -2.55 |
| Jonjo O'Neill | 6-1-2 | -4.38 | -4.06 |
| Rebecca Curtis | 5-1-2 | -2.62 | -2.12 |
| Tim Vaughan | 4-1-2 | +30.00 | +15.10 |
| Jamie Snowden | 4-1-2 | +11.00 | +6.17 |
Sefton Novices' Hurdle Jockey Statistics
There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Sefton Novices' Hurdle; Sam Twiston-Davies has ridden 12 runners in the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Sefton Novices' Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nico de Boinville | 7-1-1 | -4.50 | -5.10 |
| Gavin Sheehan | 6-1-3 | +9.00 | +4.90 |
| Harry Cobden | 5-1-2 | -0.50 | -1.24 |
| Paul Townend | 4-1-1 | +1.00 | -0.60 |
| J J Slevin | 3-1-2 | +1.00 | +1.10 |
| Derek Fox | 2-1-2 | +65.00 | +49.10 |
| Dougie Costello | 2-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.40 |
| Mark Walsh | 2-1-2 | +1.25 | +1.35 |
| Stephen Mulqueen | 1-1-1 | +16.00 | +9.60 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 12-0-2 | -12.00 | -5.20 |
2027 Sefton Novices' Hurdle Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 2, 6, 4, 2, 3, 2, 1, 3, PU, 2, 4, 1, 1, 2, 12, PU, 2, 6, 3
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved an RPR of 124+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Achieved a TS of 94+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Won by at least ž (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Carried 151 - 163lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Highest Won is not G3/Cl5-6
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Carried 147 - 165lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Highest Run is not G3/Cl2
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Break of 19 - 118 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 2 - 5 placings (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - In a field of 7 - 18 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - In a field of 5 - 19 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in IRL/WAL (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (73%) - Won within last 2 starts
- 18 / 20 (67%) - No bigger than 25/1
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Aintree racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Sefton Novices' Hurdle. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over ÂŁ6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Sefton Novices' Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.

101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Sefton Novices' Hurdle Trend Analysis
â The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +116.88, is when runners had 2 places in the past 90 days.
â The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when a runner's last win was 3 starts ago, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-43.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Sefton Novices' Hurdle is Cheltenham; there have been a total of 9 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Newbury; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 254 runners, while female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 15 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Sefton Novices' Hurdle:
- Milan (2 Wins)
- Oscar (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Sefton Novices' Hurdle despite multiple attempts:
- Flemensfirth (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Westerner (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Accordion (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Beneficial (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Doyen (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Ahoy Senor in 2021, winning for Lucinda Russell at odds of 66/1 under the guidance of Derek Fox. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2027 Sefton Novices' Hurdle, head over to see which runners the best racing tipsters are tipping today.
Route to the Sefton Novices' Hurdle
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Sefton Novices' Hurdle. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Zeus Power Cheltenham - 3rd of 21 (50/1) | Turners Novices' Hurdle |
| 2025 - Julius Des Pictons Exeter - 3rd of 6 (10/1) | trustatrader.com Novices Hurdle |
| 2024 - Dancing City Cheltenham - 3rd of 13 (8/1) | Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle |
| 2023 - Apple Away Doncaster - 1st of 5 (9/4) | Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Mares Novices Hurdle |
| 2022 - Gelino Bello Newbury - 1st of 10 (3/10) | Download The BetVictor App "National Hunt" Novices Hurdle |
| 2021 - Ahoy Senor Ayr - 1st of 12 (16/1) | Western House Hotel Staycation Maiden Hurdle |
| 2019 - Champ Cheltenham - 2nd of 16 (9/2) | Turners Novices' Hurdle |
| 2018 - Santini Cheltenham - 3rd of 20 (11/4) | Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle |
| 2017 - The Worlds End Cheltenham - F of 15 (10/1) | Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle |
| 2016 - Ballyoptic Uttoxeter - 1st of 10 (6/4) | Betfred "Racings Biggest Supporter" "National Hunt" Novices Hurdle |
Schedule for Thursday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The three-day Grand National meeting kicks off on Thursday with four Grade 1 events on the seven-race card, which features both the Aintree Hurdle and the Bowl Chase.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree Anniversary 4YO Juvenile Hurdle | Mange Tout (FR) 4yo - 5/1 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 14:20 Aintree Manifesto Novices Chase | Koktail Divin (FR) 6yo - 3/1 | Henry De Bromhead Darragh O'Keeffe |
| 14:55 Aintree Bowl Chase | Jango Baie (FR) 7yo - 1/1 | Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville |
| 15:30 Aintree Foxhunters Chase | Barton Snow (IRE) 9yo - 7/4 | J J O'Shea Mr Henry Crow |
| 16:05 Aintree Aintree Hurdle | Brighterdaysahead (FR) 7yo - 13/8 | Gordon Elliott Jack Kennedy |
| 16:40 Aintree Red Rum Handicap Chase | Ryans Rocket (IRE) 8yo - 14/1 | Fergal O'Brien Jonathan Burke |
| 17:15 Aintree Nickel Coin Mares Bumper | Nans Choice (IRE) 5yo - 9/2 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
Schedule for Friday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
Day 2 of the Grand National meeting is Ladies Day or Fabulous Friday, the highlights on the track being the Melling Chase, plus there is the Topham Chase over the Grand National fences.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:45 Aintree National Meeting 2m4f Handicap Hurdle | Wellington Arch (GB) 7yo - 6/1 | Jonjo & A J O'Neill Jonjo O'Neill Jr |
| 14:20 Aintree Mildmay Novices Chase | Gold Dancer (FR) 7yo - 100/30 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 14:55 Aintree Top Novices Hurdle | Storming George (IRE) 6yo - 16/1 | Neil King Jack Quinlan |
| 15:30 Aintree Melling Chase | Grey Dawning (IRE) 9yo - 5/1 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 16:05 Aintree Topham Chase | Will The Wise (IRE) 7yo - 9/1 | Gavin Cromwell Conor Stone-Walsh |
| 16:40 Aintree Sefton Novices Hurdle | Zeus Power (GER) 5yo - 3/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien J J Slevin |
| 17:15 Aintree National Meeting 2m Handicap Hurdle | Laafi (FR) 6yo - 20/1 | William Durkan Patrick M O'Brien |
Schedule for Saturday at the Aintree Grand National Meeting
The Grand National is obviously the showpiece of the Aintree meeting, and day 3 also includes three Grade 1 events, the feature of those being the Liverpool Hurdle.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 12:45 Aintree Maghull Novices Chase | Mirabad (FR) 7yo - 50/1 | Dan Skelton Tristan Durrell |
| 13:20 Aintree National Meeting 3m Handicap Hurdle | Wade Out (IRE) 7yo - 18/1 | Olly Murphy Gavin Sheehan |
| 13:55 Aintree Mersey Novices Hurdle | Bossman Jack (GB) 6yo - 11/4 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 14:30 Aintree Freebooter Handicap Chase | Mr Hope Street (IRE) 8yo - 4/1 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| 15:05 Aintree Liverpool Hurdle | Home By The Lee (IRE) 11yo - 5/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien J J Slevin |
| 16:00 Aintree Grand National | I Am Maximus (FR) 10yo - 9/2 | W P Mullins Paul Townend |
| 17:00 Aintree Champion Standard Open NH Flat Race | Forthfactor (IRE) 5yo - 10/1 | Dan Skelton Miss Heidi Palin |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Sefton Novices' Hurdle Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Here are some other notable races at the Aintree racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.




