Oaksey Chase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Jump Finale)

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Oaksey Chase Preview

Featured on the Jump Finale day at the Sandown racecourse in April of each year is the Oaksey Chase, this Grade 2 chase is run over a distance of two miles, six and a half furlongs and was established in 2014 with Menorah winning the first four renewals of the race. It is named in honour of the amateur jockey John Oaksey who won the Whitbread Gold Cup in 1958.

We also have a dedicated Sandown tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Sandown Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Oaksey Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 9 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 116%, whilst on average over the last 9 renewals of the Oaksey Chase, the over-round has been 111%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £111 which is bet.

Oaksey Chase Trends:

2024 Oaksey Chase Trends
Oaksey Chase Trend Analysis
Oaksey Chase Trend Shortlist

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 9 if you had followed the winner of the Oaksey Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 8 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -4.00. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Oaksey Chase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

Over the last 9 renewals, it was Menorah, trained by Philip Hobbs and ridden by Richard Johnson who set the fastest winning time in the Oaksey Chase, the runner won the race in a time of 5:38.60 when winning the race in 2015. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Nicky Henderson and jockey Daryl Jacob with Top Notch who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 6:00.50 in the 2018 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Oaksey Chase over the last 9 renewals:

Menorah (5:38.60) in 2015
Black Corton (5:39.60) in 2019
Menorah (5:41.40) in 2017

Oaksey Chase Past Winners

Here are the Oaksey Chase past winners for the last 9 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Oaksey Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year	Horse	Info
2023 5:42.50	Hewick (IRE) 8yo 11-6 6/5F	Rachael Blackmore John Joseph Hanlon (IRE)
2022 5:53.00	Saint Calvados (FR) 9yo 11-0 1/1F	Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB)
2021 5:53.00	Frodon (FR) 9yo 11-6 4/5F	Bryony Frost Paul Nicholls (GB)
2019 5:39.60	Black Corton (FR) 8yo 11-3 15/8F	Bryony Frost Paul Nicholls (GB)
2018 6:00.50	Top Notch (FR) 7yo 11-6 4/5F	Daryl Jacob Nicky Henderson (GB)
2017 5:41.40	Menorah (IRE) 12yo 11-10 9/4	Richard Johnson Philip Hobbs (GB)
2016 5:48.00	Menorah (IRE) 11yo 11-10 5/1	Richard Johnson Philip Hobbs (GB)
2015 5:38.60	Menorah (IRE) 10yo 11-10 11/4F	Richard Johnson Philip Hobbs (GB)
2014 5:44.40	Menorah (IRE) 9yo 11-10 11/4	Richard Johnson Philip Hobbs (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Oaksey Chase have been based:

GB: 8 winners with an additional 7 placings from 48 runners
IRE: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 6 runners

Oaksey Chase Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Oaksey Chase over the last 9 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Black Corton (2019), Frodon (2021) and Saint Calvados (2022).

Here are the Oaksey Chase trainer statistics over the last 9 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer	R-W-P	Win	EW
Paul Nicholls	17-3-5	-10.32	-10.72
Nicky Henderson	9-1-2	-7.20	-3.75
W P Mullins	2-0-1	-2.00	-1.40

Oaksey Chase Jockey Statistics

Here are the Oaksey Chase jockey statistics over the last 9 renewals for jockeys who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey	R-W-P	Win	EW
Harry Cobden	3-1-2	-1.00	-0.75
Nico de Boinville	6-0-0	-6.00	-4.00
Sam Twiston-Davies	5-0-1	-5.00	-4.15
Paul Townend	1-0-0	-1.00	-1.00

2024 Oaksey Chase Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

9 / 9 (35%) - Within the first 2 of the market
9 / 9 (39%) - Held an OR of 156+
9 / 9 (44%) - No bigger than 5/1
9 / 9 (46%) - Achieved an RPR of 160+ (Last Win)
9 / 9 (50%) - Held an OR of 157+ (Last 3)
9 / 9 (54%) - Ran in a Non Handicap (LTO)
9 / 9 (57%) - Highest Placed is G1
9 / 9 (59%) - Not in ENG/SCO/WAL (Debut)
9 / 9 (61%) - Not in a G3/Cl2-3 (LTO)
9 / 9 (63%) - Ran over 1m7f - 2m3f (Debut)
9 / 9 (65%) - Made 21 - 43 starts (Career)
9 / 9 (65%) - In a field of 4 - 13 (LTO)
9 / 9 (70%) - Made 2 - 5 starts (Season)
9 / 9 (74%) - Achieved a TS of 141+ (Career)
9 / 9 (78%) - Made 10 - 37 starts (Non-Hcps)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Sandown racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Oaksey Chase. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works, No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Oaksey Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

Oaksey Chase Trend Analysis

The trend factor that produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +12.63 is when runners had a biggest odds run of 16/1. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Handicap last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-25.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Oaksey Chase is Aintree, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Aintree last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 9 winners from a total of 52 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 2 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Oaksey Chase, that stallion Kings Theatre has produced 4 winners (2017,2016,2015,2014).

Looking at the winning odds over the last 9 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Menorah in 2016, winning for Philip Hobbs at odds of 5/1 under the guidance of Richard Johnson. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 9 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Oaksey Chase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Oaksey Chase Trend Shortlist

Sandown will host the 2024 renewal of the Oaksey Chase which will be run at 2:25 pm on Saturday 27th April 2024 and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):

15/15 Hitman (5/2)
- Paul Nicholls (17-3-5 -10.32 / -10.72)
- Harry Cobden (3-1-2 -1.00 / -0.75)
12/15 Easy Game (15/2)
- W P Mullins (2-0-1 -2.00 / -1.40)
- Paul Townend (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)
11/15 The Real Whacker (7/4)
- Patrick Neville (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- Sam Twiston-Davies (5-0-1 -5.00 / -4.15)
9/15 Ga Law (5/1)
- Jamie Snowden (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- Gavin Sheehan (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
6/15 Al Dancer (15/2)
- Sam Thomas (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- Dylan Johnston (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
4/15 Straw Fan Jack (25/1)
- Sheila Lewis (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- Sean Houlihan (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
1/15 Fantastic Lady (20/1)
- Nicky Henderson (9-1-2 -7.20 / -3.75)
- Nico de Boinville (6-0-0 -6.00 / -4.00)

*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (12:02 pm Thursday 25th April 2024), if no odds were available at the time of posting then forecasted odds are used.

Oaksey Chase Scoring Trends

If you want a more in-depth way of using the Oaksey Chase trends from previous renewals then the scoring trends may be the ones for you, these are calculated by looking at over 100 factors including aspects of breeding, horse factors, things like runs, wins and places during their career, under certain circumstances like over the trip or on the ground and many more.

Using all of this information we can assign each horse a score based on how past runners in the Oaksey Chase performed when running under the same factors, we assign 80% of the score for the win statistics and 20% of the score for place statistics. Here are the top two scoring runners in the 2024 Oaksey Chase based on the information above, why not compare those to what the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping?

Here are the top 2 scorers at the time of posting (12:02 pm Thursday 25th April 2024):

🥇 Easy Game (15/2)
- W P Mullins (2-0-1 -2.00 / -1.40)
- Paul Townend (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)
🥈 Hitman (5/2)
- Paul Nicholls (17-3-5 -10.32 / -10.72)
- Harry Cobden (3-1-2 -1.00 / -0.75)

Others: The Real Whacker, Ga Law, Straw Fan Jack, Fantastic Lady and Al Dancer.

Other Principal races at Sandown racecourse

Here are some other notable races at the Sandown racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in January

Veterans Chase Series Final

Races in February

Scilly Isles Novices Chase

Races in March

Races in April (Classic Trial Day)

Races in April (Jump Finale)

Races in July

Races in December

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Oaksey Chase Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.

James Banting

Tipster competition assistant

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Club provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for jump racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful national hunt racing blogs for OLBG.

No Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...