Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Henry VIII Novices Chase Preview
In the Henry VIII Novices Chase, these novice chasers will face a total of thirteen fences during the race which is run over a distance of one mile, seven and a half furlongs at Sandown in early December of each year.
The race has been a springboard for some very nice types with the likes of Racing Demon, Al Ferof, Hinterland, Altior, Sceau Royal and Edwardstone all winning it early in their chasing careers.
Henry VIII Novices Chase Information:
- Henry VIII Novices Chase Past Winners
- Henry VIII Novices Chase Trainer Statistics
- Henry VIII Novices Chase Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at Sandown then head over to the Sandown tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Sandown Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Henry VIII Novices Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2016 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2005 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 115%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Henry VIII Novices Chase, the over-round has been 110%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £110 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Henry VIII Novices Chase Trends, see which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal, we also have a section that looks at the Henry VIII Novices Chase Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Henry VIII Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals:
- Ar Mad (3:48.60) in 2015
- Hinterland (3:48.90) in 2013
- Sceau Royal (3:53.50) in 2017
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Henry VIII Novices Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 11 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +3.21. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2023 renewal when Le Patron from Gary Moore under the guidance of David Noonan, won in a time of 4:09.56, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Ar Mad, trained by Gary Moore and ridden by Joshua Moore set the quickest time of 3:48.60 in the 2015 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Henry VIII Novices Chase Past Winners
Here are the Henry VIII Novices Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Henry VIII Novices Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 4:08.26 | L'Eau du Sud (FR) 6yo 11-7 10/11F | Harry Skelton Dan Skelton (GB) |
| 2023 4:09.56 | Le Patron (FR) 5yo 11-7 16/1 | David Noonan Gary Moore (GB) |
| 2022 3:59.30 | Jonbon (FR) 6yo 11-7 2/11F | Aidan Coleman Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2021 3:58.80 | Edwardstone (GB) 7yo 11-2 3/1 | Tom Cannon Alan King (GB) |
| 2020 3:57.94 | Allmankind (GB) 4yo 10-10 2/1F | Harry Skelton Dan Skelton (GB) |
| 2019 3:59.70 | Esprit Du Large (FR) 5yo 11-2 14/1 | Adam Wedge Evan Williams (GB) |
| 2018 3:59.30 | Dynamite Dollars (FR) 5yo 11-2 9/2 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2017 3:53.50 | Sceau Royal (FR) 5yo 11-2 11/1 | Daryl Jacob Alan King (GB) |
| 2016 3:54.10 | Altior (IRE) 6yo 11-2 2/7F | Noel Fehily Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2015 3:48.60 | Ar Mad (FR) 5yo 11-2 14/1 | Joshua Moore Gary Moore (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Henry VIII Novices Chase have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 14 placings from 102 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
Henry VIII Novices Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Henry VIII Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Marodima (2007), Al Ferof (2011), Hinterland (2013), Vibrato Valtat (2014) and Dynamite Dollars (2018). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Henry VIII Novices Chase are Alan King (3 wins), Nicky Henderson (3 wins), Dan Skelton (2 wins), Gary Moore (2 wins) and Henrietta Knight (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Henry VIII Novices Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 21-5-9 | +2.61 | -0.99 |
| Alan King | 8-3-4 | +11.75 | +6.05 |
| Nicky Henderson | 7-3-4 | -2.96 | -1.80 |
| Dan Skelton | 8-2-4 | -3.09 | -1.50 |
| Gary Moore | 4-2-2 | +28.00 | +16.75 |
| Henrietta Knight | 2-2-2 | +5.00 | +0.94 |
| Evan Williams | 4-1-1 | +11.00 | +6.75 |
| Philip Hobbs | 4-1-1 | -1.00 | -0.75 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 3-0-2 | -3.00 | -1.38 |
| Gordon Elliott | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | +0.00 |
Henry VIII Novices Chase Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Henry VIII Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals with both Harry Skelton and Daryl Jacob who have both won the race two times. Harry Skelton winners have been with Allmankind (2020) and L'Eau du Sud (2024). Daryl Jacob winners have been with Hinterland (2013) and Sceau Royal (2017).
Here are some of the top Henry VIII Novices Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Skelton | 6-2-4 | -1.09 | -0.50 |
| Daryl Jacob | 4-2-3 | +15.50 | +9.56 |
| Harry Cobden | 5-1-2 | +0.50 | -0.35 |
| David Noonan | 2-1-1 | +15.00 | +10.00 |
| Tom Cannon | 2-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.88 |
| Adam Wedge | 1-1-1 | +14.00 | +8.75 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -2.00 |
| Gavin Sheehan | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -1.25 |
| Brendan Powell | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | -0.25 |
| David Bass | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -1.00 |
2025 Henry VIII Novices Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 1, 2, (1, 4), 2, 2, 1, 1, 3, 3, 2, 1, 3, 3, 4, 1, 3, 1, 2, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (60%) - Break of 12 - 32 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Not in a G3/LST/Cl2 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Off a break of 12 - 32 days
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Carried 147 - 161lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 132+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - In a field of 2 - 8 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Beaten no more -8l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Highest Run is not G3/LST/Cl4
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Had 1 - 4 placings (Chase)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Won within last 3 starts
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Won by at least 1l (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Furthest ran 2m½f - 2m5f
- 20 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 20 / 20 (88%) - In a field of 2 - 8 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Had 1 - 4 wins (1 Year)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Sandown racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Henry VIII Novices Chase. You may want to do your research into the race, there are times when there are several runners who pass the trends so you need to do your research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Henry VIII Novices Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
Henry VIII Novices Chase Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +55.57 is when runners were aged 5.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 2 last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-23.
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Henry VIII Novices Chase are Cheltenham and Warwick, there has been a total number of 7 winners from each of those courses.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Le Patron in 2023, winning for Gary Moore at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of David Noonan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 8 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2025 Henry VIII Novices Chase.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Henry VIII Novices Chase Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
