Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Henry VIII Novices Chase Preview
In the Henry VIII Novices Chase, these novice chasers will face a total of thirteen fences during the race which is run over a distance of one mile, seven and a half furlongs at Sandown in early December of each year. The race has been a springboard for some very nice types with the likes of Racing Demon, Al Ferof, Hinterland, Altior, Sceau Royal and Edwardstone all winning it early in their chasing careers.
Henry VIII Novices Chase Information:
- Henry VIII Novices Chase Past Winners
- Henry VIII Novices Chase Trainer Statistics
- Henry VIII Novices Chase Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at Sandown then head over to the Sandown tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Sandown Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Henry VIII Novices Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2016 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2005 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 115%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Henry VIII Novices Chase, the over-round has been 111%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £111 which is bet.
Henry VIII Novices Chase Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Henry VIII Novices Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 11 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +3.21. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2024 Henry VIII Novices Chase.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Gary Moore trained Ar Mad ridden by Joshua Moore who set the fastest winning time in the Henry VIII Novices Chase, the runner won the race in a time of 3:48.60 was set when winning the race in 2015. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Gary Moore and jockey David Noonan with Le Patron who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 4:09.56 in the 2023 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Henry VIII Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals:
- Ar Mad (3:48.60) in 2015
- Hinterland (3:48.90) in 2013
- Sceau Royal (3:53.50) in 2017
Henry VIII Novices Chase Past Winners
Here are the Henry VIII Novices Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Henry VIII Novices Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 4:09.56 | Le Patron (FR) 5yo 11-7 16/1 | David Noonan Gary Moore (GB) |
| 2022 3:59.30 | Jonbon (FR) 6yo 11-7 2/11F | Aidan Coleman Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2021 3:58.80 | Edwardstone (GB) 7yo 11-2 3/1 | Tom Cannon Alan King (GB) |
| 2020 3:57.94 | Allmankind (GB) 4yo 10-10 2/1F | Harry Skelton Dan Skelton (GB) |
| 2019 3:59.70 | Esprit Du Large (FR) 5yo 11-2 14/1 | Adam Wedge Evan Williams (GB) |
| 2018 3:59.30 | Dynamite Dollars (FR) 5yo 11-2 9/2 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2017 3:53.50 | Sceau Royal (FR) 5yo 11-2 11/1 | Daryl Jacob Alan King (GB) |
| 2016 3:54.10 | Altior (IRE) 6yo 11-2 2/7F | Noel Fehily Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2015 3:48.60 | Ar Mad (FR) 5yo 11-2 14/1 | Joshua Moore Gary Moore (GB) |
| 2014 4:00.10 | Vibrato Valtat (FR) 5yo 11-2 5/1 | Noel Fehily Paul Nicholls (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Henry VIII Novices Chase have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 15 placings from 106 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Henry VIII Novices Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Henry VIII Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race six times with those six winners coming from Thisthatandtother (2003), Marodima (2007), Al Ferof (2011), Hinterland (2013), Vibrato Valtat (2014) and Dynamite Dollars (2018). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Henry VIII Novices Chase are Alan King (3 wins), Nicky Henderson (3 wins) and Gary Moore (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Henry VIII Novices Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 22-6-10 | +3.18 | -0.63 |
| Alan King | 9-3-4 | +10.75 | +5.05 |
| Nicky Henderson | 8-3-4 | -3.96 | -2.80 |
| Gary Moore | 4-2-2 | +28.00 | +16.75 |
| Dan Skelton | 7-1-3 | -4.00 | -1.50 |
| Evan Williams | 4-1-1 | +11.00 | +6.75 |
| Philip Hobbs | 4-1-1 | -1.00 | -0.75 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 3-0-2 | -3.00 | -1.38 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | -0.37 |
| Tom George | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -1.00 |
Henry VIII Novices Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Henry VIII Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals is Daryl Jacob who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Hinterland (2013) and Sceau Royal (2017).
Here are some of the top Henry VIII Novices Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daryl Jacob | 4-2-3 | +15.50 | +9.56 |
| Harry Cobden | 5-1-2 | +0.50 | -0.35 |
| Harry Skelton | 5-1-3 | -2.00 | -0.50 |
| Joshua Moore | 3-1-1 | +12.00 | +6.75 |
| Aidan Coleman | 3-1-1 | -1.82 | -2.00 |
| David Noonan | 2-1-1 | +15.00 | +10.00 |
| Tom Cannon | 2-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.88 |
| Adam Wedge | 1-1-1 | +14.00 | +8.75 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -2.00 |
| Brendan Powell | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | -0.25 |
2024 Henry VIII Novices Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 3, 1, 2, (1, 4), 2, 2, 1, 1, 3, 3, 2, 1, 3, 3, 4, 1, 3, 1, 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (56%) - Break of 12 - 32 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (71%) - Off a break of 12 - 32 days
- 20 / 20 (71%) - Not in a G1/G3/LST/Cl2 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Achieved an RPR of 132+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Had 1 - 4 placings (Chase)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Beaten no more -8l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 20 / 20 (83%) - In a field of 2 - 8 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Won within last 3 starts
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Highest Run is not G3/LST/Cl4
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Won by at least 1l (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Furthest ran 2m½f - 2m5f
- 20 / 20 (86%) - In a field of 2 - 8 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 1 - 4 wins (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Made 1 - 5 starts (Chase)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Sandown racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Henry VIII Novices Chase. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Henry VIII Novices Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
Henry VIII Novices Chase Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +55.57 is when runners were aged 5yo. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 2 last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-23.
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Henry VIII Novices Chase are Cheltenham and Warwick, there has been a total number of 7 winners from each of those courses.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Le Patron in 2023, winning for Gary Moore at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of David Noonan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 8 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2024 Henry VIII Novices Chase why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Other Principal races at Sandown racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Sandown racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in January
Races in February
Races in March
Races in April (Jump Finale)
Races in April (Classic Trial Day)
Races in July
Races in December
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