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2026 Henry VIII Novices' Chase Preview
In the Henry VIII Novices' Chase, these novice chasers will face a total of thirteen fences during the race, which is run over a distance of one mile, seven and a half furlongs at Sandown in early December of each year.
The race has been a springboard for some very nice types with the likes of Racing Demon, Al Ferof, Hinterland, Altior, Sceau Royal and Edwardstone all winning it early in their chasing careers.
Henry VIII Novices' Chase Information:
- Henry VIII Novices' Chase Past Winners
- Henry VIII Novices' Chase Trainer Statistics
- Henry VIII Novices' Chase Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at Sandown, then head over to the Sandown tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at Sandown Racecourse section for links to these.
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How competitive is the Henry VIII Novices' Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2016 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2005 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 115%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Henry VIII Novices' Chase, the over-round has been 110%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ110 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Henry VIII Novices' Chase Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Henry VIII Novices' Chase Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Henry VIII Novices' Chase races over the last 20 renewals:
- Ar Mad (3:48.60) in 2015
- Hinterland (3:48.90) in 2013
- Sceau Royal (3:53.50) in 2017
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Henry VIII Novices' Chase next time out, then you would have backed a total of 12 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +4.41. Ahead of the 2026 Henry VIII Novices' Chase, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Ar Mad, trained by Gary Moore and ridden by Joshua Moore, who set the fastest winning time in the Henry VIII Novices' Chase. That runner won the race in a time of 3:48.60 in 2015. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Gary Moore and jockey David Noonan with Le Patron who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 4:09.56 in the 2023 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Henry VIII Novices' Chase Past Winners
Here are the Henry VIII Novices' Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Henry VIII Novices' Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 3:53.51 | Lulamba (FR) 4yo 11-1 2/5F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2024 4:08.26 | LEau du Sud (FR) 6yo 11-7 10/11F | Harry Skelton Dan Skelton (GB) |
| 2023 4:09.56 | Le Patron (FR) 5yo 11-7 16/1 | David Noonan Gary Moore (GB) |
| 2022 3:59.30 | Jonbon (FR) 6yo 11-7 2/11F | Aidan Coleman Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2021 3:58.80 | Edwardstone (GB) 7yo 11-2 3/1 | Tom Cannon Alan King (GB) |
| 2020 3:57.94 | Allmankind (GB) 4yo 10-10 2/1F | Harry Skelton Dan Skelton (GB) |
| 2019 3:59.70 | Esprit Du Large (FR) 5yo 11-2 14/1 | Adam Wedge Evan Williams (GB) |
| 2018 3:59.30 | Dynamite Dollars (FR) 5yo 11-2 9/2 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2017 3:53.50 | Sceau Royal (FR) 5yo 11-2 11/1 | Daryl Jacob Alan King (GB) |
| 2016 3:54.10 | Altior (IRE) 6yo 11-2 2/7F | Noel Fehily Nicky Henderson (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Henry VIII Novices' Chase have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 13 placings from 101 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
2025 Henry VIII Novices' Chase Replay
Henry VIII Novices' Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Henry VIII Novices' Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Marodima (2007), Al Ferof (2011), Hinterland (2013), Vibrato Valtat (2014) and Dynamite Dollars (2018). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Henry VIII Novices' Chase are Nicky Henderson (4 wins), Alan King (3 wins), Dan Skelton (2 wins), Gary Moore (2 wins) and Henrietta Knight (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Henry VIII Novices' Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 20-5-9 | +3.61 | +0.01 |
| Nicky Henderson | 8-4-5 | -2.56 | -1.80 |
| Alan King | 8-3-4 | +11.75 | +6.05 |
| Dan Skelton | 9-2-4 | -4.09 | -1.50 |
| Gary Moore | 4-2-2 | +28.00 | +16.75 |
| Henrietta Knight | 2-2-2 | +5.00 | +0.94 |
| Evan Williams | 4-1-1 | +11.00 | +6.75 |
| Philip Hobbs | 3-1-1 | +0.00 | +0.25 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 3-0-2 | -3.00 | -1.38 |
| Gordon Elliott | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | +0.00 |
Henry VIII Novices' Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Henry VIII Novices' Chase over the last 20 renewals is Harry Skelton, who has won the race two times, with those two winners coming from Allmankind (2020) and LEau du Sud (2024).
Here are some of the top Henry VIII Novices' Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Skelton | 7-2-4 | -2.09 | -0.50 |
| Harry Cobden | 5-1-2 | +0.50 | -0.35 |
| David Noonan | 2-1-1 | +15.00 | +10.00 |
| Tom Cannon | 2-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.88 |
| Adam Wedge | 1-1-1 | +14.00 | +8.75 |
| Nico de Boinville | 1-1-1 | +0.40 | +0.00 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -2.00 |
| Gavin Sheehan | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -1.25 |
| Brendan Powell | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | -0.25 |
| Jonathan Burke | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -1.00 |
2026 Henry VIII Novices' Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 2, (1, 4), 2, 2, 1, 1, 3, 3, 2, 1, 3, 3, 4, 1, 3, 1, 2, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (61%) - Break of 12 - 32 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (71%) - Not in a G3/LST/Cl2 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Off a break of 12 - 32 days
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Carried 147 - 161lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Won within last 2 starts
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Beaten no more -7l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 132+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - In a field of 2 - 8 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Had 1 - 4 placings (Chase)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Won by at least 1l (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Furthest ran 2m½f - 2m5f
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran in 5 - 16 races (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Highest Run is not G3/LST/Cl4
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 2 - 8 placings (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not on HY/GF (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Sandown racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Henry VIII Novices' Chase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over ÂŁ6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Henry VIII Novices' Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
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Henry VIII Novices' Chase Trend Analysis
â The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +56.57, is when runners were aged 5.
â The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 2 last time out, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-24.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Henry VIII Novices' Chase is Warwick; there have been a total of 7 winners of this race who ran at Warwick last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Cheltenham; there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Le Patron in 2023, winning for Gary Moore at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of David Noonan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2026 Henry VIII Novices' Chase, head over to see which runners the best racing tipsters are tipping today.
Route to the Henry VIII Novices' Chase
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Henry VIII Novices' Chase. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Lulamba Exeter - 1st of 5 (2/5) | Royal Oak, Heavitree "Chasing Excellence" Beginners Chase |
| 2024 - LEau du Sud Cheltenham - 1st of 8 (10/11) | Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices' Chase |
| 2023 - Le Patron Sandown - 1st of 4 (11/2) | Sri Lanka - The Wonder Of Asia Novices Limited Handicap Chase |
| 2022 - Jonbon Warwick - 1st of 3 (2/5) | Highflyer Bloodstock Novices Chase |
| 2021 - Edwardstone Warwick - 1st of 5 (4/6) | Highflyer Bloodstock Novices Chase |
| 2020 - Allmankind Warwick - 1st of 6 (1/1) | Stan Mellor Memorial Novices Chase |
| 2019 - Esprit Du Large Exeter - 1st of 6 (9/4) | RGB Building Supplies Beginners Chase |
| 2018 - Dynamite Dollars Cheltenham - 2nd of 5 (3/1) | Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices' Chase |
| 2017 - Sceau Royal Warwick - 1st of 2 (1/16) | Highflyer/Million In Mind 4-y-o & 5-y-o Novices Chase |
| 2016 - Altior Kempton - 1st of 2 (23/20) | Weatherbys Supports Starlight Novices Chase |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Henry VIII Novices' Chase Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
