Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Select Hurdle Preview
Scheduled to take place in April of each year at the Sandown racecourse is the Select Hurdle, a Grade 2 race that is run on the Jump Finale day. The race was upgraded from Listed to Grade 2 in 2017, three years after being established in 2014. It's run over a trip of two miles, and five and a half furlongs during which a total of 11 hurdles are jumped and is currently sponsored by bet365.
Select Hurdle Information:
Our dedicated Sandown tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Select Hurdle but will also have predictions for each meeting at Sandown throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Sandown Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Select Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 9 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2017 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 115%, whilst on average over the last 9 renewals of the Select Hurdle, the over-round has been 111%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £111 which is bet.
Select Hurdle Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 9 if you had followed the winner of the Select Hurdle next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 8 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -6.17. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks daily.
When looking over the past 9 renewals, a time of 5:15.75 was set by Polly Peachum in 2015, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Nicky Henderson and ridden by David Bass. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Knappers Hill won in a time of 5:40.00, booked to ride was Bryony Frost by the trainer Paul Nicholls.
These are the top three quickest-run Select Hurdle over the last 9 renewals:
- Polly Peachum (5:15.75) in 2015
- Younevercall (5:16.30) in 2019
- LAmi Serge (5:20.50) in 2017
Select Hurdle Past Winners
Here are the Select Hurdle past winners for the last 9 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Select Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
Year | Horse | Info |
---|---|---|
2023 5:40.00 | Knappers Hill (IRE) 7yo 11-10 11/2 | Bryony Frost Paul Nicholls (GB) |
2022 5:26.20 | McFabulous (IRE) 8yo 11-10 4/1 | Lorcan Williams Paul Nicholls (GB) |
2021 5:23.50 | Younevercall (IRE) 10yo 11-0 5/2F | David Bass Kim Bailey (GB) |
2019 5:16.30 | Younevercall (IRE) 8yo 11-0 9/4F | David Bass Kim Bailey (GB) |
2018 5:30.50 | Call Me Lord (FR) 5yo 11-0 6/4F | Nico de Boinville Nicky Henderson (GB) |
2017 5:20.50 | LAmi Serge (IRE) 7yo 11-0 7/2 | Daryl Jacob Nicky Henderson (GB) |
2016 5:22.70 | Ptit Zig (FR) 7yo 11-0 7/4F | Sam Twiston-Davies Paul Nicholls (GB) |
2015 5:15.75 | Polly Peachum (IRE) 7yo 10-11 9/4F | David Bass Nicky Henderson (GB) |
2014 5:24.70 | Southfield Theatre (IRE) 6yo 11-0 15/8F | Sam Twiston-Davies Paul Nicholls (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Select Hurdle have been based:
- GB: 9 winners with an additional 9 placings from 52 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Select Hurdle Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Select Hurdle over the last 9 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Southfield Theatre (2014), Ptit Zig (2016), McFabulous (2022) and Knappers Hill (2023). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Select Hurdle is Nicky Henderson (3 wins).
Here are the Select Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 9 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Paul Nicholls | 13-4-6 | +4.13 | +0.07 |
Nicky Henderson | 15-3-6 | -4.75 | -2.69 |
Gary Moore | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -2.06 |
Select Hurdle Jockey Statistics
Here are the Select Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 9 renewals for jockeys who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Harry Cobden | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -2.00 |
James Bowen | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
Harry Skelton | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
2024 Select Hurdle Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 1, 4, (1, 3), 1, 1, 4, 3
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 9 / 9 (57%) - Achieved an RPR of 149+ (Season)
- 9 / 9 (57%) - Made 8 - 15 starts (Hurdle)
- 9 / 9 (60%) - Achieved an RPR of 142+ (Class)
- 9 / 9 (64%) - No bigger than 11/2
- 9 / 9 (64%) - Furthest Won 2m2f - 2m7f
- 9 / 9 (66%) - Had 5 - 9 placings (Hurdle)
- 9 / 9 (66%) - Held an OR of 149+
- 9 / 9 (68%) - Made 8 - 23 starts (Career)
- 9 / 9 (70%) - Within the first 4 of the market
- 9 / 9 (72%) - Ran over 1m4½f - 2m2f (Debut)
- 9 / 9 (72%) - Made 3 - 6 starts (1 Year)
- 9 / 9 (74%) - Had 1 - 3 placings (180 Days)
- 9 / 9 (75%) - No bigger than 6/1 (Last Win)
- 9 / 9 (75%) - Made 3 - 6 starts (Season)
- 9 / 9 (77%) - Achieved a TS of 71+ (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Sandown racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Select Hurdle. You may want to do your research into the race, there are times when there are several runners who pass the trends so you need to do your research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Select Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.
Select Hurdle Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +10.50 is when runners had 3 career starts over the trip. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners carried 158lbs, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-14.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Select Hurdle is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 8 winners from a total of 46 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 7 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Select Hurdle:
- Kings Theatre (2 Wins)
- Yeats (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 9 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Knappers Hill in 2023, winning for Paul Nicholls at odds of 11/2 under the guidance of Bryony Frost. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 9 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2024 Select Hurdle why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Select Hurdle Trend Shortlist
Sandown will host the 2024 renewal of the Select Hurdle which will be run at 4:10 pm on Saturday 27th April 2024 and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Impaire Et Passe (10/11)
- W P Mullins (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- Paul Townend (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- 14/15 Ballyadam (8/1)
- Henry De Bromhead (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- Rachael Blackmore (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
Others: Sir Gerhard (12/15), Blueking dOroux (11/15), Langer Dan (11/15), Botox Has (9/15), Brewinupastorm (9/15) and Call Me Lord (8/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (12:47 pm Thursday 25th April 2024), if no odds were available at the time of posting then forecasted odds are used.
Impaire Et Passe won the Aintree Hurdle last time out and a total of 9 previous winners of that race from a total of 18 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of +3.08.
Select Hurdle Scoring Trends
If you want a more in-depth way of using the Select Hurdle trends from previous renewals then the scoring trends may be the ones for you, these are calculated by looking at over 100 factors including aspects of breeding, horse factors, things like runs, wins and places during their career, under certain circumstances like over the trip or on the ground and many more.
Using all of this information we can assign each horse a score based on how past runners in the Select Hurdle performed when running under the same factors, we assign 80% of the score for the win statistics and 20% of the score for place statistics. Here are the top two scoring runners in the 2024 Select Hurdle based on the information above, why not compare those to what the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping?
Here are the top 3 scorers at the time of posting (12:47 pm Thursday 25th April 2024):
- 🥇 Brewinupastorm (16/1)
- Olly Murphy (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- Sean Bowen (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- 🥈 Langer Dan (3/1)
- Dan Skelton (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- Harry Skelton (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)
- 🥉 Call Me Lord (33/1)
- Nicky Henderson (15-3-6 -4.75 / -2.69)
- James Bowen (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)
Others: Ballyadam, Botox Has, Impaire Et Passe, Blueking dOroux and Sir Gerhard.
Other Principal races at Sandown racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Sandown racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in January
Races in February
Races in March
Races in April (Jump Finale)
Races in April (Classic Trial Day)
Races in July
Races in December
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Select Hurdle Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
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