Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 May Hill Stakes Preview
Run at the St Leger Festival at Doncaster racecourse in September of each year, the May Hill Stakes is open to two-year-old fillies only. The race was upgraded to a Group 2 back in 2003 and it is run over a straight one mile.
May Hill Stakes Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Doncaster then head over to the Doncaster tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival section for links to these.
How competitive is the May Hill Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2004 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 120%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the May Hill Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.
May Hill Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the May Hill Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +9.27. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2024 May Hill Stakes.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2013 renewal when Ihtimal from Saeed bin Suroor under the guidance of Silvestre De Sousa, won in a time of 1:43.30, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Playful Act, trained by John Gosden and ridden by Jimmy Fortune set the quickest time of 1:35.40 in the 2004 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run May Hill Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- 2004 - Playful Act (1:35.40)
- 2005 - Nasheej (1:36.67)
- 2015 - Turret Rocks (1:36.82)
May Hill Stakes Past Winners
Here are the May Hill Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the May Hill Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 1:41.38 | Darnation (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (3 of 7) 11/10F | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2022 1:38.34 | Polly Pott (GB) 2yo 9-2 (7 of 8) 40/1 | Daniel Tudhope Harry Dunlop (GB) |
| 2021 1:37.47 | Inspiral (GB) 2yo 9-0 (5 of 6) 2/9F | Frankie Dettori John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2020 1:38.84 | Indigo Girl (GB) 2yo 9-0 (9 of 9) 100/30 | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2019 1:39.31 | Powerful Breeze (GB) 2yo 9-0 (1 of 9) 6/1 | James Doyle Hugo Palmer (GB) |
| 2018 1:38.71 | Fleeting (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (1 of 11) 12/1 | Donnacha O'Brien A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2017 1:40.06 | Laurens (FR) 2yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 11/4F | P J McDonald K R Burke (GB) |
| 2016 1:41.24 | Rich Legacy (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (7 of 9) 3/1 | Oisin Murphy Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2015 1:36.82 | Turret Rocks (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (2 of 8) 7/2 | Kevin Manning J S Bolger (IRE) |
| 2014 1:37.20 | Agnes Stewart (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (1 of 8) 11/4 | W J Lee Edward Lynam (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the May Hill Stakes have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 33 placings from 151 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 0 placings from 12 runners
May Hill Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the May Hill Stakes over the last 20 renewals is John Gosden who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Playful Act (2004), Rainbow View (2008) and Indigo Girl (2020). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the May Hill Stakes are K R Burke (2 wins) and Saeed bin Suroor (2 wins).
Here are some of the top May Hill Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Gosden | 8-3-4 | +6.66 | +2.71 |
| K R Burke | 4-2-3 | +1.85 | +1.29 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 4-2-2 | -0.17 | -0.85 |
| A P O'Brien | 5-1-1 | +8.00 | +3.20 |
| Ralph Beckett | 4-1-4 | +0.00 | +4.24 |
| J S Bolger | 3-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.10 |
| Edward Lynam | 2-1-1 | +1.75 | +0.65 |
| Harry Dunlop | 1-1-1 | +40.00 | +24.00 |
| Hugo Palmer | 1-1-1 | +6.00 | +3.60 |
| James Fanshawe | 1-1-1 | +2.25 | +1.35 |
May Hill Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the May Hill Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from White Moonstone (2010), Lyric Of Light (2011), Indigo Girl (2020) and Inspiral (2021).
Here are some of the top May Hill Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Dettori | 11-4-7 | +6.28 | +5.60 |
| Ryan Moore | 8-1-1 | +7.00 | +1.75 |
| Jamie Spencer | 6-1-2 | -2.75 | -2.70 |
| James Doyle | 5-1-2 | +2.00 | +0.50 |
| Oisin Murphy | 5-1-2 | -1.00 | -1.20 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 4-1-1 | +37.00 | +21.00 |
| P J McDonald | 2-1-2 | +1.75 | +2.00 |
| W J Lee | 2-1-1 | +1.75 | +0.65 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 2-1-1 | +0.10 | -0.31 |
| Clifford Lee | 2-1-1 | +0.10 | -0.31 |
2024 May Hill Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 5, 2, 1, 1, 3, 1, 2, 1, 1, 2, 8, 6, 1, 7, 6, 3, 1, 7, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Break of 11 - 83 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Break of 11 - 50 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Beaten no more -3l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - In a field of 5 - 15 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Not in a Cl2 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Had 1 - 3 wins (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Carried 120 - 135lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 22/1 (Career Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Won by at least a head (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not in FRA/ITA/SCO/WAL (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Highest Placed is not Cl2-3
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 70+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved a TS of 44+ (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the May Hill Stakes. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the May Hill Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
May Hill Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +36.74 is when runners ran on Good To Firm ground when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career wins in Flat (Turf) races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-28.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 3 (7) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 7 (3,1) [8 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 5 (1) [6 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 9 (7,1) [9 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 1 (2,9) [9 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the May Hill Stakes is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 9 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Curragh, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the May Hill Stakes, that stallion Dynaformer has produced 2 winners (2010,2008).
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the May Hill Stakes, that stallion is Galileo who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Polly Pott in 2022, winning for Harry Dunlop at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of Daniel Tudhope. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 8 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 May Hill Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival
Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Thursday 12th September 2024
- 13:50: Carrie Red Fillies Nursery
- 14:25: Doncaster 2yo Stakes
- 15:00: May Hill Stakes
- 15:35: Park Hill Stakes
- 16:45: Winners Wear Skopes Menswear Handicap
Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Friday 13th September 2024
- 13:50: Flying Scotsman Stakes
- 14:25: Flying Childers Stakes
- 15:00: Doncaster Cup
- 15:35: Mallard Handicap
- 16:45: Doncaster Groundworks Reinforcements Handicap
Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Saturday 14th September 2024
- 13:50: Champagne Stakes
- 14:25: Portland Heritage Handicap
- 15:00: Park Stakes
- 15:35: St Leger
- 16:10: PJ Towey Construction Handicap
- 17:20: Hippo Pro 3 Sealant Handicap
Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Sunday 15th September 2024
- 14:25: City of Doncaster Handicap
- 15:35: Sceptre Stakes
- 16:10: Scarbrough Stakes
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