2022 Doncaster Cup Preview, Trends & Analysis (St Leger Festival)

2022 Doncaster Cup Preview, Trends & Analysis (St Leger Festival)

2022 Doncaster Cup Preview

Established in 1766, the Doncaster Cup which was originally called the 'Doncaster Gold Cup' is a Group 2 race that is open to runners aged three or older. The race is run on the third day of the St Leger Festival at Doncaster racecourse in September and is a real stamina tester being run over just shy of two miles and two furlongs (197y).

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Doncaster Betting Picks on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2008 renewal when Honolulu from A P O'Brien who under the guidance of Johnny Murtagh, won in a time of 4:03.40, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Septimus, trained by A P O'Brien and ridden by Johnny Murtagh set the quickest time of 3:48.41 in the 2007 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Doncaster Cup over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2007 - Septimus (3:48.41)
  • 2015 - Pallasator (3:49.60)
  • 2011 - Saddlers Rock (3:49.83)

How competitive is the Doncaster Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 120%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Doncaster Cup, the over-round has been 113% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Doncaster Cup next time out then you would have back a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +2.00. Whilst we wait for the 2022 Doncaster Cup remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

Doncaster Cup Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Doncaster Cup. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Doncaster Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
3:53.02
Stradivarius
7yo 9-8 (5 of 6) 4/11F
Frankie Dettori
John & Thady Gosden
2020
3:55.84
Spanish Mission
4yo 9-5 (2 of 7) 6/4F
William Buick
Andrew Balding
2019
3:59.28
Stradivarius
5yo 9-10 (4 of 5) 1/9F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden
2018
3:53.17
Thomas Hobson
8yo 9-5 (6 of 8) 2/1F
Ryan Moore
W P Mullins
2017
3:51.88
Desert Skyline
3yo 8-5 (6 of 9) 2/1F
Silvestre De Sousa
David Elsworth
2016
3:52.97
Sheikhzayedroad
7yo 9-3 (4 of 8) 100/30
Martin Harley
David Simcock
2015
3:49.60
Pallasator
6yo 9-3 (1 of 11) 9/2F
Andrea Atzeni
Sir Mark Prescott Bt
2014
3:55.91
Estimate
5yo 9-0 (10 of 12) 11/8F
Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute
2013
3:59.09
Times Up
7yo 9-3 (4 of 7) 3/1
Ryan Moore
Ed Dunlop
2012
3:58.11
Times Up
6yo 9-1 (4 of 10) 5/1
Eddie Ahern
John Dunlop

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Doncaster Cup have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 27 placings from 139 runners
  • IRE: 4 winners with an additional 4 placings from 19 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Doncaster Cup Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Doncaster Cup over the last 20 renewals with all of David Elsworth, John Gosden & A P O'Brien having all won the race 2 times. David Elsworth winners have been with Persian Punch (2003) & Desert Skyline (2017). John Gosden winners have been with Samuel (2010) & Stradivarius (2019). A P O'Brien winners have been with Septimus (2007) & Honolulu (2008).

Here are some of the top Doncaster Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
David Elsworth 6-2-4 +1.00 +2.43
John Gosden 5-2-2 +2.11 +0.07
A P O'Brien 2-2-2 +2.98 +1.79
Sir Mark Prescott Bt 12-1-4 -6.50 -3.80
W P Mullins 9-1-4 -6.00 -3.40
David Simcock 8-1-4 -3.67 -1.75
Marcus Tregoning 6-1-1 -2.50 -3.44
Andrew Balding 6-1-3 -3.50 -0.41
Sir Michael Stoute 6-1-2 -3.62 -3.32
Ed Dunlop 4-1-1 +0.00 -1.12

Doncaster Cup Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Doncaster Cup over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Askar Tau (2009), Times Up (2013), Estimate (2014) & Thomas Hobson (2018). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Doncaster Cup are Frankie Dettori (3 wins) & William Buick (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Doncaster Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 10-4-5 +2.88 +0.37
Frankie Dettori 12-3-6 -7.53 -5.38
William Buick 6-2-2 +2.50 -0.06
Jamie Spencer 7-1-1 -2.50 -3.90
Andrea Atzeni 4-1-2 +1.50 +1.00
Martin Harley 4-1-4 +0.33 +2.15
Martin Dwyer 4-1-2 +0.00 +0.13
Silvestre De Sousa 4-1-2 -1.00 -0.90
N G McCullagh 1-1-1 +5.50 +3.44
Luke Morris 6-0-2 -6.00 -2.40

2022 Doncaster Cup Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,4,6,5,6,1,1,1,3,4,2,5,2,1,1,2,1,1,1,1,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 21 / 21 (65%) - Within first five of market
  • 21 / 21 (65%) - No bigger than 12/1 (LTO)
  • 21 / 21 (72%) - No bigger than 14/1
  • 21 / 21 (72%) - Finished first six (LTO)
  • 21 / 21 (77%) - Not in a Cl2 race (LTO)
  • 21 / 21 (80%) - Won within last 7 starts
  • 20 / 21 (77%) - Field of fewer than 12 (LTO)
  • 19 / 21 (57%) - Placed in at least a G2

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Doncaster Cup. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there is plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Doncaster Cup by adding a tip on the race here.

Doncaster Cup Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +13.32 is when runners ran at York when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 2 last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-37.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 5 (3) [6 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 2 (3) [7 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 4 (2) [5 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 6 (8,4) [8 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 6 (5,7) [9 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Doncaster Cup is York, there has been a total number of 13 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 145 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 14 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Doncaster Cup:

  • Montjeu (2 Wins)
  • Olden Times (2 Wins)
  • Rainbow Quest (2 Wins)
  • Sadlers Wells (2 Wins)
  • Sea The Stars (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Kasthari in 2004 when winning for Howard Johnson at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Johnny Murtagh. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 10 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2022 Doncaster Cup why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today.

Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Wednesday 7th September 2022

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Thursday 8th September 2022

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Friday 9th September 2022

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Saturday 10th September 2022

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