Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Doncaster Cup Preview
Established in 1766, the Doncaster Cup which was originally called the 'Doncaster Gold Cup' is a Group 2 race that is open to runners aged three or older. The race is run at the St Leger Festival at Doncaster racecourse in September and is a real stamina tester being run over just shy of two miles and two furlongs (197y).
Doncaster Cup Information:
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Doncaster tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival section for links to these.
How competitive is the Doncaster Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 120%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Doncaster Cup, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Doncaster Cup Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Doncaster Cup next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +2.00. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Doncaster Cup remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 3:48.41 was set by Septimus in 2007, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by A P O'Brien and ridden by Johnny Murtagh. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Trueshan won in a time of 4:05.61, booked to ride was Hollie Doyle on this Alan King trained runner.
These are the top three quickest-run Doncaster Cup over the last 20 renewals:
- 2007 - Septimus (3:48.41)
- 2015 - Pallasator (3:49.60)
- 2011 - Saddlers Rock (3:49.83)
Doncaster Cup Past Winners
Here are the Doncaster Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Doncaster Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 4:05.61 | Trueshan (FR) 7yo 9-7 (3 of 5) 100/30 | Hollie Doyle Alan King (GB) |
| 2022 4:01.03 | Coltrane (IRE) 5yo 9-7 (6 of 6) 9/1 | David Probert Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2021 3:53.02 | Stradivarius (IRE) 7yo 9-8 (5 of 6) 4/11F | Frankie Dettori John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2020 3:55.84 | Spanish Mission (USA) 4yo 9-5 (2 of 7) 6/4F | William Buick Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2019 3:59.28 | Stradivarius (IRE) 5yo 9-10 (4 of 5) 1/9F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2018 3:53.17 | Thomas Hobson (GB) 8yo 9-5 (6 of 8) 2/1F | Ryan Moore W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2017 3:51.88 | Desert Skyline (IRE) 3yo 8-5 (6 of 9) 2/1F | Silvestre De Sousa David Elsworth (GB) |
| 2016 3:52.97 | Sheikhzayedroad (GB) 7yo 9-3 (4 of 8) 100/30 | Martin Harley David Simcock (GB) |
| 2015 3:49.60 | Pallasator (GB) 6yo 9-3 (1 of 11) 9/2F | Andrea Atzeni Sir Mark Prescott Bt (GB) |
| 2014 3:55.91 | Estimate (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (10 of 12) 11/8F | Ryan Moore Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Doncaster Cup have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 26 placings from 133 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 4 placings from 22 runners
- USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Doncaster Cup Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the Doncaster Cup over the last 20 renewals with Andrew Balding, John Gosden and A P O'Brien having all won the race two times. Andrew Balding winners have been with Spanish Mission (2020) and Coltrane (2022). John Gosden winners have been with Samuel (2010) and Stradivarius (2019). A P O'Brien winners have been with Septimus (2007) and Honolulu (2008).
Here are some of the top Doncaster Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Balding | 8-2-4 | +4.50 | +4.22 |
| John Gosden | 5-2-2 | +2.11 | +0.07 |
| A P O'Brien | 3-2-2 | +1.98 | +0.79 |
| Sir Mark Prescott Bt | 11-1-4 | -5.50 | -2.80 |
| W P Mullins | 10-1-4 | -7.00 | -4.40 |
| David Simcock | 8-1-4 | -3.67 | -1.75 |
| Marcus Tregoning | 6-1-1 | -2.50 | -3.44 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 5-1-2 | -2.62 | -2.32 |
| Ed Dunlop | 4-1-1 | +0.00 | -1.12 |
| David Elsworth | 4-1-2 | -1.00 | +0.30 |
Doncaster Cup Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Doncaster Cup over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Askar Tau (2009), Times Up (2013), Estimate (2014) and Thomas Hobson (2018). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Doncaster Cup are Frankie Dettori (3 wins) and William Buick (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Doncaster Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 11-4-5 | +1.88 | -0.63 |
| Frankie Dettori | 12-3-6 | -7.53 | -5.38 |
| William Buick | 7-2-2 | +1.50 | -1.06 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 4-1-2 | +1.50 | +1.00 |
| Martin Harley | 4-1-4 | +0.33 | +2.15 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 4-1-2 | -1.00 | -0.90 |
| David Probert | 2-1-2 | +8.00 | +5.78 |
| Hollie Doyle | 2-1-2 | +2.33 | +1.61 |
| N G McCullagh | 1-1-1 | +5.50 | +3.44 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 7-0-0 | -7.00 | -7.00 |
2024 Doncaster Cup Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, 6, 1, 1, 1, 3, 4, 2, 5, 2, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 5
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 21 / 21 (65%) - No bigger than 12/1 (LTO)
- 21 / 21 (65%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 21 / 21 (69%) - Not in a G1/Cl2/Cl4 (LTO)
- 21 / 21 (70%) - Highest Placed is not LST/Cl2
- 21 / 21 (70%) - No bigger than 14/1
- 21 / 21 (77%) - Achieved an RPR of 97+ (LTO)
- 21 / 21 (79%) - In a field of 4 - 14 (LTO)
- 21 / 21 (80%) - Won within last 7 starts
- 21 / 21 (81%) - Achieved a TS of 81+ (Last 5)
- 21 / 21 (85%) - Highest Run is not G3/Cl2-3
- 21 / 21 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 75+ (Last 3)
- 21 / 21 (87%) - Placed within last 4 starts
- 21 / 21 (87%) - Made 2 - 6 starts (180 Days)
- 21 / 21 (87%) - Had 1 - 7 placings (1 Year)
- 21 / 21 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 84+ (Career)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Doncaster Cup. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Doncaster Cup by adding a tip on the race here.
Doncaster Cup Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +9.05 is when runners had 3 starts in the past 180 days. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 2 last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-39.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 3 (2) [5 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (5) [6 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 5 (3) [6 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 2 (3) [7 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 4 (2) [5 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Doncaster Cup is York, there has been a total number of 12 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 141 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 15 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Doncaster Cup:
- Montjeu (2 Wins)
- Olden Times (2 Wins)
- Rainbow Quest (2 Wins)
- Sadlers Wells (2 Wins)
- Sea The Stars (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Kasthari in 2004, winning for Howard Johnson at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Johnny Murtagh. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 10 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Doncaster Cup head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.
Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival
Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Thursday 12th September 2024
- 13:50: Carrie Red Fillies Nursery
- 14:25: Doncaster 2yo Stakes
- 15:00: May Hill Stakes
- 15:35: Park Hill Stakes
- 16:45: Winners Wear Skopes Menswear Handicap
Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Friday 13th September 2024
- 13:50: Flying Scotsman Stakes
- 14:25: Flying Childers Stakes
- 15:00: Doncaster Cup
- 15:35: Mallard Handicap
- 16:45: Doncaster Groundworks Reinforcements Handicap
Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Saturday 14th September 2024
- 13:50: Champagne Stakes
- 14:25: Portland Heritage Handicap
- 15:00: Park Stakes
- 15:35: St Leger
- 16:10: PJ Towey Construction Handicap
- 17:20: Hippo Pro 3 Sealant Handicap
Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Sunday 15th September 2024
- 14:25: City of Doncaster Handicap
- 15:35: Sceptre Stakes
- 16:10: Scarbrough Stakes
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