Park Hill Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (St Leger Festival)

Updated: 923 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the Park Hill Stakes will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the Park Hill Stakes, a race run over 1m6½f at Doncaster during the St Leger Festival.

Park Hill Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (St Leger Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Park Hill Stakes Preview

Established in 1839, the Park Hill Stakes is a Group 2 race open to fillies and mares who are aged three or older, the race is featured at the St Leger Festival which is held at Doncaster in September of each year with the race being run over a trip of one mile, six furlongs and one-hundred and fifteen yards.

Park Hill Stakes Information:

We also have a dedicated Doncaster tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the Park Hill Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Park Hill Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

Park Hill Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Park Hill Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -12.42. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2024 Park Hill Stakes.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:58.46 was set by Rising Cross in 2006, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by John Best and ridden by Martin Dwyer. The slowest winning time was set in 2008 when Allegretto won in a time of 3:13.31, booked to ride was Ryan Moore on this Sir Michael Stoute trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Park Hill Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2006 - Rising Cross (2:58.46)
  • 2007 - Hi Calypso (3:01.07)
  • 2010 - Eastern Aria (3:02.00)

Park Hill Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Park Hill Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Park Hill Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
3:09.90
Sumo Sam (GB)
3yo 9-0 (2 of 10) 4/1F
Rossa Ryan
Paul & Oliver Cole (GB)
2022
3:05.71
Mimikyu (GB)
3yo 8-11 (8 of 8) 13/2
Frankie Dettori
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2021
3:03.75
Free Wind (IRE)
3yo 8-9 (4 of 8) 15/8F
Frankie Dettori
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2020
3:05.91
Pista (USA)
3yo 8-9 (7 of 7) 6/1
William Buick
Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE)
2019
3:02.79
Enbihaar (IRE)
4yo 9-8 (8 of 8) 6/5F
Jim Crowley
John Gosden (GB)
2018
3:09.77
God Given (GB)
4yo 9-5 (6 of 7) 5/1
Jamie Spencer
Luca Cumani (GB)
2017
3:11.59
Alyssa (GB)
4yo 9-5 (2 of 10) 25/1
Pat Dobbs
Ralph Beckett (GB)
2016
3:06.08
Simple Verse (IRE)
4yo 9-5 (14 of 12) 3/1
Oisin Murphy
Ralph Beckett (GB)
2015
3:06.46
Gretchen (GB)
3yo 8-7 (13 of 11) 5/1
Robert Havlin
John Gosden (GB)
2014
3:05.11
Silk Sari (GB)
4yo 9-5 (4 of 13) 8/1
Andrea Atzeni
Luca Cumani (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Park Hill Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 18 winners with an additional 29 placings from 159 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 7 placings from 28 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners

Park Hill Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Park Hill Stakes over the last 20 renewals with John Gosden, Ralph Beckett, Sir Michael Stoute and John & Thady Gosden having all won the race two times. John Gosden winners have been with Gretchen (2015) and Enbihaar (2019). Ralph Beckett winners have been with Simple Verse (2016) and Alyssa (2017). Sir Michael Stoute winners have been with Hi Calypso (2007) and Allegretto (2008). John & Thady Gosden winners have been with Free Wind (2021) and Mimikyu (2022). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Park Hill Stakes, A P O'Brien has sent a total of 15 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Park Hill Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
John Gosden 13-2-6 -4.80 -1.38
Ralph Beckett 12-2-4 +18.00 +8.70
Sir Michael Stoute 10-2-5 -1.75 -0.95
John & Thady Gosden 4-2-4 +6.38 +7.43
Saeed bin Suroor 6-1-1 +0.00 -2.00
Michael Bell 4-1-2 -1.12 -1.09
Joseph Patrick O'Brien 3-1-1 +4.00 +1.75
John Best 1-1-1 +16.00 +10.00
Paul & Oliver Cole 1-1-1 +4.00 +2.40
A P O'Brien 15-0-5 -15.00 -3.38

Park Hill Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Park Hill Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Echoes In Eternity (2004), Eastern Aria (2010), Meeznah (2011), Free Wind (2021) and Mimikyu (2022). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Park Hill Stakes are Ryan Moore (2 wins), Jamie Spencer (2 wins) and Pat Dobbs (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Park Hill Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 14-5-8 +11.88 +7.14
Ryan Moore 12-2-5 -3.75 +6.45
Jamie Spencer 7-2-3 +1.88 +0.04
Pat Dobbs 2-2-2 +53.00 +31.80
Andrea Atzeni 8-1-2 +1.00 -1.00
William Buick 7-1-4 +0.00 +2.55
Jim Crowley 6-1-3 -3.80 -2.38
Oisin Murphy 5-1-3 -1.00 -0.31
Tom Queally 5-1-1 -2.25 -2.95
Martin Dwyer 4-1-2 +13.00 +8.40

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, (1, 2, 4), 6, 2, 1, 3, 3, 2, 1, 1, 4, (6, 9), 5, (2, 6, 8), 3, 1, 3, 1, 2, (1, 8)

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Off a break of 20 - 97 days
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Not in a Handicap (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 75+ (Last 5)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Won within last 6 starts
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 28/1
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Not in a Cl2-5 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Within the first 8 of the market
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Highest Placed is not Cl2/Cl4-5
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Had 1 - 4 wins (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - In a field of 5 - 12 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 94+ (Non-Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Highest Won is not Cl2
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 118 - 135lbs (Last Win)
  • 18 / 20 (56%) - Achieved an RPR of 104+ (Last 3)
  • 18 / 20 (67%) - Held an OR of 99+

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Park Hill Stakes. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Park Hill Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Park Hill Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +31.88 is when runners ran on Good ground when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Handicap last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-37.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 2 (1,10) [10 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 8 (6,5) [8 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 4 (6,2) [8 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 7 (5) [7 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 8 (7,2) [8 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Park Hill Stakes is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Deauville, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Deauville last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Park Hill Stakes:

  • Galileo (3 Wins)
  • Nathaniel (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Park Hill Stakes, that stallion is Sadlers Wells who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was The Miniver Rose in 2009, winning for Richard Hannon Snr at odds of 28/1 under the guidance of Pat Dobbs. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 7 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Thursday 12th September 2024

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Friday 13th September 2024

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Saturday 14th September 2024

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Sunday 15th September 2024

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