Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Sceptre Stakes Preview
Run during the St Leger Festival in September of each year at Doncaster, the Sceptre Stakes which is named after the filly Sceptre, a winner of four classics which includes the St Leger, is a Group 3 race for fillies and mares who are aged three or older and is run over a straight seven furlongs and six yards.
Sceptre Stakes Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Doncaster tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival section for links to these.
How competitive is the Sceptre Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2016 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2020 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Sceptre Stakes, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.
Sceptre Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Sceptre Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -10.45. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Sceptre Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2008 renewal when Royal Confidence from B W Hills under the guidance of Michael Hills, won in a time of 1:28.66, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Attune, trained by Brian Meehan and ridden by Kevin Darley set the quickest time of 1:22.26 in the 2004 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Sceptre Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Attune (1:22.26) in 2004
- Fantasia (1:22.69) in 2009
- Kiyoshi (1:22.74) in 2014
Sceptre Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Sceptre Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Sceptre Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 1:23.48 | Matilda Picotte (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (5 of 10) 6/1 | Oisin Murphy Kieran P Cotter (IRE) |
| 2022 1:24.57 | Bounce The Blues (IRE) 5yo 9-4 (5 of 11) 5/1 | William Buick Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2021 1:22.75 | Just Beautiful (GB) 3yo 8-12 (1 of 12) 11/4F | Silvestre De Sousa Ivan Furtado (GB) |
| 2020 1:24.47 | Foxtrot Lady (GB) 5yo 9-2 (13 of 15) 18/1 | Frankie Dettori Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2019 1:23.40 | Breathtaking Look (GB) 4yo 9-2 (12 of 13) 20/1 | Jim Crowley Stuart Williams (GB) |
| 2018 1:25.26 | Dancing Star (GB) 5yo 9-2 (4 of 9) 7/2 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2017 1:24.72 | Music Box (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (6 of 13) 8/1 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 1:25.81 | Spangled (GB) 4yo 9-2 (6 of 7) 14/1 | Andrea Atzeni Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2015 1:22.86 | Realtra (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (4 of 20) 25/1 | Jack Mitchell Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2014 1:22.74 | Kiyoshi (GB) 3yo 8-12 (9 of 15) 11/1 | Jamie Spencer Charles Hills (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Sceptre Stakes have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 38 placings from 224 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 1 placing from 17 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- SPA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Sceptre Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Sceptre Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Andrew Balding who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Dancing Star (2018), Foxtrot Lady (2020) and Bounce The Blues (2022). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Sceptre Stakes is Roger Varian (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Sceptre Stakes, Marco Botti has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are the Sceptre Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Balding | 6-3-5 | +23.50 | +16.35 |
| Roger Varian | 7-2-4 | +34.00 | +18.60 |
| William Haggas | 10-1-2 | -5.00 | -5.45 |
| Marco Botti | 10-0-4 | -10.00 | -1.90 |
| Ralph Beckett | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -6.20 |
| Ed Walker | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
Sceptre Stakes Jockey Statistics
Here are the Sceptre Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Silvestre De Sousa | 4-1-1 | -0.25 | -1.35 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| P J McDonald | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | +0.10 |
| Hector Crouch | 1-0-1 | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| Cieren Fallon | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
2024 Sceptre Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, 1, 2, 4, 4, 1, 1, 3, 5, 5, 2, 4, 7, 4, 5, 10, 2, 1, 9, 4
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 16/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD/FS (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 74+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - In a field of 8 - 20 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 95+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved a TS of 67+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Is not FR/GER/GR/NZ/SAF/USA bred
- 19 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 14/1 (Career Win)
- 18 / 20 (67%) - Achieved a TS of 79+ (Season)
- 18 / 20 (71%) - Achieved a TS of 84+ (Career)
- 18 / 20 (81%) - Beaten no more -5¾l (Debut)
- 17 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 40/1 (Career)
- 17 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 8/1 (Last Win)
- 16 / 20 (52%) - Within the first 6 of the market
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Sceptre Stakes. You may want to do your research into the race, there are times when there are several runners who pass the trends so you need to do your research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Sceptre Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Sceptre Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +36.83 is when runners ran in a race restricted to 3yo+ when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners carried 126lbs, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-33.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 5 (10,4) [10 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 5 (11,3) [11 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 1 (7,4) [12 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 13 (10,12) [15 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 12 (5,4) [13 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Sceptre Stakes are Tipperary and Goodwood, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Sceptre Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Pivotal (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Shamardal (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Kodiac (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Cape Cross (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Oasis Dream (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Realtra in 2015, winning for Roger Varian at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Jack Mitchell. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Sceptre Stakes Trend Shortlist
Doncaster will host the 2024 renewal of the Sceptre Stakes which will be run at 3:15 pm on Sunday 15th September 2024 and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Elim (10/1)
- Edward Bethell (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- Callum Rodriguez (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- 15/15 Fair Angellica (9/4)
- Richard Hughes (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- Finley Marsh (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
Others: Queen Of Mougins (14/15), Great Generation (14/15), Choisya (13/15), Doom (13/15), Key To Cotai (12/15), Vetiver (11/15), Nine Tenths (10/15), Topanga (9/15), Cell Sa Beela (7/15) and Ziggys Dream (5/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (6:40 pm Friday 13th September 2024), if no odds were available at the time of posting then forecasted odds are used.
Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival
Here is the schedule for the four-day St Leger Festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Thursday at St Leger Festival
There are a couple of Group 2's which take centre-stage on the opening day of the St Leger Festival, the £120k May Hill Stakes where the two-year-olds feature and then the £150k Park Hill Fillies Stakes where the older fillies compete.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery | Ghost Run (GB) 2yo - 5/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 14:25 Doncaster 2yo Stakes | Hallasan (GB) 2yo - 15/2 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 15:00 May Hill Stakes | Desert Flower (IRE) 2yo - 1/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 15:35 Park Hill Stakes | Nakheel (FR) 3yo - 10/1 | Owen Burrows Jim Crowley |
| 17:50 St Leger Festival Class 3 1m4f Handicap | Kildare Legend (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | James Ferguson Daniel Muscutt |
Friday at St Leger Festival
On Friday, the feature race of the day is the Group 2 Doncaster Cup which is part of the British Champion Series and carries a £140k purse. The Flying Childers Stakes is another race on Friday which carries a decent purse, £130k on offer for the two-year-olds.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Mallard Handicap | Legendary Day (GB) 5yo - 12/1 | Adrian Paul Keatley Mark Winn |
| 14:25 Flying Scotsman Stakes | Dancing Gemini (IRE) 2yo - 5/1 | Roger Teal Lewis Edmunds |
| 15:00 Flying Childers Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Michael Appleby Tom Marquand |
| 15:35 Doncaster Cup | Trueshan (FR) 7yo - 100/30 | Alan King Hollie Doyle |
Saturday at St Leger Festival
The feature race of the festival, the St Leger takes place on Saturday, another race which is part of the British Champion Series, this Group 1 carries a purse of £700k. The three races before the St Leger all carry decent purses too, the Champagne Stakes (£150k), the Portland (£100k) and the Park Stakes (£140k).
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Champagne Stakes | Iberian (IRE) 2yo - 3/1 | Charles Hills Tom Marquand |
| 14:25 Portland Heritage Handicap | Annaf (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | Michael Appleby Rossa Ryan |
| 15:00 Park Stakes | Sandrine (GB) 4yo - 11/2 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 15:40 St Leger | Continuous (JPN) 3yo - 3/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:15 PJ Towey Construction Handicap | La Yakel (GB) 4yo - 13/8 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 17:25 St Leger Festival Class 2 Mile Handicap | Liberty Lane (IRE) 3yo - 11/2 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
Sunday at St Leger Festival
Sunday is a bit more low-key, only one class one race which is the £85k Sceptre Stakes for the fillies over 7f and there are also a couple of decent handicaps carrying good purses of £70k and £65k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:40 City of Doncaster Handicap | Poet Master (IRE) 3yo - 9/2 | K R Burke Sam James |
| 15:15 Sceptre Stakes | Matilda Picotte (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | Kieran P Cotter Oisin Murphy |
| 16:15 St Leger Festival Class 2 Sprint Handicap | Baradar (IRE) 5yo - 100/30 | George Boughey William Buick |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Sceptre Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Other Principal Races at Doncaster Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Doncaster racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in January
Races in March
Races in October
No Comments
There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...
Keep Reading
Northfields Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Irish Champions Weekend)
We look at the Northfields Handicap ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 1m2f at Curragh during Irish Champions Weekend to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends can you use to find the winner of the Northfields Handicap.
Continue ReadingNational Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Irish Champions Weekend)
We look at the National Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 7f at Curragh during Irish Champions Weekend to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends can you use to find the winner of the National Stakes.
Continue ReadingMoyglare Stud Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Irish Champions Weekend)
We look at the Moyglare Stud Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 7f at Curragh during Irish Champions Weekend to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends can you use to find the winner of the Moyglare Stud Stakes.
Continue Reading