2022 Sceptre Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis (St Leger Festival)

Run on the opening day of the St Leger Festival at Doncaster, the Sceptre Stakes is a Group 3 horse racing that is restricted to fillies and mares only who are aged three or older, the race is run over seven furlongs.

2022 Sceptre Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis (St Leger Festival)

2022 Sceptre Stakes Preview

Run on the third day of the St Leger Festival in September of each year at Doncaster, the Sceptre Stakes which is named after the filly Sceptre, a winner of four classics which includes the St Leger, is a Group 3 race for fillies and mares who are aged three or older and is run over a straight seven furlongs and six yards.

We also have a dedicated Doncaster Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:22.26 was set by Attune in 2004, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Brian Meehan and ridden by Kevin Darley. The slowest winning time was set in 2008 when Royal Confidence won in a time of 1:28.66, booked to ride was Michael Hills on this B W Hills trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Sceptre Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2004 - Attune (1:22.26)
  • 2009 - Fantasia (1:22.69)
  • 2014 - Kiyoshi (1:22.74)

How competitive is the Sceptre Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2016 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2020 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Sceptre Stakes, the over-round has been 119% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Sceptre Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 1 winner. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -15.25. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Sceptre Stakes.

Sceptre Stakes Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Sceptre Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Sceptre Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:22.75
Just Beautiful
3yo 8-12 (1 of 12) 11/4F
Silvestre De Sousa
Ivan Furtado
2020
1:24.47
Foxtrot Lady
5yo 9-2 (13 of 15) 18/1
Frankie Dettori
Andrew Balding
2019
1:23.40
Breathtaking Look
4yo 9-2 (12 of 13) 20/1
Jim Crowley
Stuart Williams
2018
1:25.26
Dancing Star
5yo 9-2 (4 of 9) 7/2
Oisin Murphy
Andrew Balding
2017
1:24.72
Music Box
3yo 8-12 (6 of 13) 8/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2016
1:25.81
Spangled
4yo 9-2 (6 of 7) 14/1
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Varian
2015
1:22.86
Realtra
3yo 8-12 (4 of 20) 25/1
Jack Mitchell
Roger Varian
2014
1:22.74
Kiyoshi
3yo 8-12 (9 of 15) 11/1
Jamie Spencer
Charles Hills
2013
1:26.30
Nargys
3yo 8-10 (3 of 8) 8/1
Andrea Atzeni
Luca Cumani
2012
1:25.37
Sunday Times
3yo 8-10 (16 of 18) 22/1
Jamie Spencer
Peter Chapple-Hyam

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Sceptre Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 18 winners with an additional 38 placings from 239 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 1 placing from 14 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners

Sceptre Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Sceptre Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Roger Varian & Andrew Balding who have both won the race 2 times. Roger Varian winners have been with Realtra (2015) & Spangled (2016). Andrew Balding winners have been with Dancing Star (2018) & Foxtrot Lady (2020).

Here are some of the top Sceptre Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Roger Varian 7-2-4 +34.00 +18.60
Andrew Balding 5-2-3 +18.50 +11.25
William Haggas 9-1-2 -4.00 -4.45
Mick Channon 7-1-1 -3.25 -4.35
Sir Michael Stoute 7-1-3 -5.17 -4.31
Peter Chapple-Hyam 4-1-1 +19.00 +8.00
Brian Meehan 4-1-2 +9.00 +5.50
A P O'Brien 3-1-1 +6.00 +2.80
Charles Hills 2-1-1 +10.00 +5.60
Stuart Williams 1-1-1 +20.00 +12.00

Sceptre Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Sceptre Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Silver Touch (2006), Medley (2007) & Music Box (2017). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Sceptre Stakes are Jamie Spencer (2 wins) & Andrea Atzeni (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Sceptre Stakes, William Buick has had a total of 11 rides to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Sceptre Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 12-3-3 +15.75 +5.85
Jamie Spencer 10-2-3 +25.00 +11.70
Andrea Atzeni 7-2-4 +17.00 +10.90
Frankie Dettori 14-1-4 +5.00 +1.80
Jack Mitchell 4-1-2 +22.00 +10.33
Jim Crowley 4-1-2 +17.00 +9.50
Oisin Murphy 4-1-1 +0.50 -0.90
Silvestre De Sousa 4-1-1 -0.25 -1.35
William Buick 11-0-3 -11.00 -6.00
Martin Dwyer 6-0-1 -6.00 -3.50

2022 Sceptre Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,8,1,5,1,2,4,4,1,1,3,5,5,2,4,7,4,5,10,2,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 25/1
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Not 3-4 races since placing
  • 19 / 20 (80%) - Held a handicap rating of 92+
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - Not a USA bred dam
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Not drawn in Stall 1 or 2
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Placed in at least a Class 2
  • 19 / 20 (86%) - Fewer than 18 career starts
  • 19 / 20 (86%) - At least a Class 2 (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (88%) - Either GB or IRE bred
  • 19 / 20 (90%) - Previously contest a class 1

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Sceptre Stakes. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Sceptre Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Sceptre Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +32.46 is when runners ran in a race restricted to 3yo+ when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last place was 3 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-47.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 1 (7,4) [12 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 13 (10,12) [15 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 12 (5,4) [13 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 4 (2,3) [9 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 6 (13,12) [13 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Sceptre Stakes is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out.

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Sceptre Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Shamardal (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Cape Cross (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Oasis Dream (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Realtra in 2015 when winning for Roger Varian at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Jack Mitchell. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 5 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2022 Sceptre Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today.

Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Wednesday 7th September 2022

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Thursday 8th September 2022

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Friday 9th September 2022

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Saturday 10th September 2022

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