Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Sceptre Stakes Preview
Run during the St Leger Festival in September of each year at Doncaster, the Sceptre Stakes which is named after the filly Sceptre, a winner of four classics which includes the St Leger, is a Group 3 race for fillies and mares who are aged three or older and is run over a straight seven furlongs and six yards.
Sceptre Stakes Information:
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Doncaster tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival section for links to these.
How competitive is the Sceptre Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2016 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2020 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Sceptre Stakes, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.
Sceptre Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Sceptre Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -12.45. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Sceptre Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:22.26 was set by Attune in 2004, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Brian Meehan and ridden by Kevin Darley. The slowest winning time was set in 2008 when Royal Confidence won in a time of 1:28.66, booked to ride was Michael Hills on this B W Hills trained runner.
These are the top three quickest-run Sceptre Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- 2004 - Attune (1:22.26)
- 2009 - Fantasia (1:22.69)
- 2014 - Kiyoshi (1:22.74)
Sceptre Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Sceptre Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Sceptre Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 1:23.48 | Matilda Picotte (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (5 of 10) 6/1 | Oisin Murphy Kieran P Cotter (IRE) |
| 2022 1:24.57 | Bounce The Blues (IRE) 5yo 9-4 (5 of 11) 5/1 | William Buick Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2021 1:22.75 | Just Beautiful (GB) 3yo 8-12 (1 of 12) 11/4F | Silvestre De Sousa Ivan Furtado (GB) |
| 2020 1:24.47 | Foxtrot Lady (GB) 5yo 9-2 (13 of 15) 18/1 | Frankie Dettori Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2019 1:23.40 | Breathtaking Look (GB) 4yo 9-2 (12 of 13) 20/1 | Jim Crowley Stuart Williams (GB) |
| 2018 1:25.26 | Dancing Star (GB) 5yo 9-2 (4 of 9) 7/2 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2017 1:24.72 | Music Box (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (6 of 13) 8/1 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 1:25.81 | Spangled (GB) 4yo 9-2 (6 of 7) 14/1 | Andrea Atzeni Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2015 1:22.86 | Realtra (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (4 of 20) 25/1 | Jack Mitchell Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2014 1:22.74 | Kiyoshi (GB) 3yo 8-12 (9 of 15) 11/1 | Jamie Spencer Charles Hills (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Sceptre Stakes have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 38 placings from 224 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 1 placing from 17 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- SPA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Sceptre Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Sceptre Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Andrew Balding who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Dancing Star (2018), Foxtrot Lady (2020) and Bounce The Blues (2022). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Sceptre Stakes is Roger Varian (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Sceptre Stakes, Marco Botti has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Sceptre Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Balding | 6-3-5 | +23.50 | +16.35 |
| Roger Varian | 7-2-4 | +34.00 | +18.60 |
| William Haggas | 10-1-2 | -5.00 | -5.45 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 5-1-2 | -3.17 | -2.81 |
| Peter Chapple-Hyam | 4-1-1 | +19.00 | +8.00 |
| Brian Meehan | 4-1-2 | +9.00 | +5.50 |
| A P O'Brien | 3-1-1 | +6.00 | +2.80 |
| Charles Hills | 2-1-1 | +10.00 | +5.60 |
| Stuart Williams | 1-1-1 | +20.00 | +12.00 |
| Kieran P Cotter | 1-1-1 | +6.00 | +3.60 |
Sceptre Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Sceptre Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Silver Touch (2006), Medley (2007) and Music Box (2017). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Sceptre Stakes are Jamie Spencer (2 wins), Andrea Atzeni (2 wins) and Oisin Murphy (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Sceptre Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 14-3-3 | +13.75 | +3.85 |
| Jamie Spencer | 9-2-3 | +26.00 | +12.70 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 7-2-4 | +17.00 | +10.90 |
| Oisin Murphy | 5-2-2 | +6.50 | +2.70 |
| William Buick | 13-1-4 | -7.00 | -4.00 |
| Frankie Dettori | 12-1-4 | +7.00 | +3.80 |
| Jack Mitchell | 4-1-2 | +22.00 | +10.33 |
| Jim Crowley | 4-1-2 | +17.00 | +9.50 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 4-1-1 | -0.25 | -1.35 |
| James Doyle | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -5.31 |
2024 Sceptre Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, 1, 2, 4, 4, 1, 1, 3, 5, 5, 2, 4, 7, 4, 5, 10, 2, 1, 9, 4
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 16/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD/FS (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 74+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - In a field of 8 - 20 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 95+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved a TS of 67+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Is not FR/GER/GR/NZ/SAF/USA bred
- 19 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 14/1 (Career Win)
- 19 / 20 (84%) - Not drawn in stalls 1-2
- 18 / 20 (67%) - Achieved a TS of 79+ (Season)
- 18 / 20 (71%) - Achieved a TS of 84+ (Career)
- 18 / 20 (80%) - Ran over 7f or further (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (81%) - Beaten no more -5¾l (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Sceptre Stakes. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Sceptre Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Sceptre Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +36.83 is when runners ran in a race restricted to 3yo+ when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners carried 126lbs, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-33.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 5 (10,4) [10 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 5 (11,3) [11 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 1 (7,4) [12 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 13 (10,12) [15 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 12 (5,4) [13 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Sceptre Stakes are Tipperary and Goodwood, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Sceptre Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Pivotal (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Shamardal (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Kodiac (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Cape Cross (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Oasis Dream (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Realtra in 2015, winning for Roger Varian at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Jack Mitchell. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 4 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2024 Sceptre Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival
Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Thursday 12th September 2024
- 13:50: Carrie Red Fillies Nursery
- 14:25: Doncaster 2yo Stakes
- 15:00: May Hill Stakes
- 15:35: Park Hill Stakes
- 16:45: Winners Wear Skopes Menswear Handicap
Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Friday 13th September 2024
- 13:50: Flying Scotsman Stakes
- 14:25: Flying Childers Stakes
- 15:00: Doncaster Cup
- 15:35: Mallard Handicap
- 16:45: Doncaster Groundworks Reinforcements Handicap
Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Saturday 14th September 2024
- 13:50: Champagne Stakes
- 14:25: Portland Heritage Handicap
- 15:00: Park Stakes
- 15:35: St Leger
- 16:10: PJ Towey Construction Handicap
- 17:20: Hippo Pro 3 Sealant Handicap
Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Sunday 15th September 2024
- 14:25: City of Doncaster Handicap
- 15:35: Sceptre Stakes
- 16:10: Scarbrough Stakes
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