You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Sceptre Stakes Preview
Run during the St Leger Festival in September of each year at Doncaster, the Sceptre Stakes, which is named after the filly Sceptre, a winner of four classics, including the St Leger, is a Group 3 race for fillies and mares who are aged three or older and is run over a straight seven furlongs and six yards.
For sponsorship purposes, the 2025 renewal of the Sceptre Stakes will hold the title of 'Japan Racing Association Sceptre Fillies Stakes'.
Sceptre Stakes Information:
Our dedicated Doncaster tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Sceptre Stakes, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Doncaster throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Sceptre Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2016 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2020 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Sceptre Stakes, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Sceptre Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Sceptre Stakes Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the Sceptre Stakes Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.
These are the top three quickest-run Sceptre Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Fantasia (1:22.69) in 2009
- Kiyoshi (1:22.74) in 2014
- Just Beautiful (1:22.75) in 2021
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Sceptre Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -10.45. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Sceptre Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Fantasia, trained by Luca Cumani and ridden by Kieren Fallon, who set the fastest winning time in the Sceptre Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 1:22.69 in 2009. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer B W Hills and jockey Michael Hills with Royal Confidence who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 1:28.66 in the 2008 renewal.
Sceptre Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Sceptre Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Sceptre Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:26.22 | Great Generation (IRE) 3yo 9-3 (8 of 11) 8/1 | Marco Ghiani Marco Botti (GB) |
| 2023 1:23.48 | Matilda Picotte (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (5 of 10) 6/1 | Oisin Murphy Kieran P Cotter (IRE) |
| 2022 1:24.57 | Bounce The Blues (IRE) 5yo 9-4 (5 of 11) 5/1 | William Buick Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2021 1:22.75 | Just Beautiful (GB) 3yo 8-12 (1 of 12) 11/4F | Silvestre De Sousa Ivan Furtado (GB) |
| 2020 1:24.47 | Foxtrot Lady (GB) 5yo 9-2 (13 of 15) 18/1 | Frankie Dettori Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2019 1:23.40 | Breathtaking Look (GB) 4yo 9-2 (12 of 13) 20/1 | Jim Crowley Stuart Williams (GB) |
| 2018 1:25.26 | Dancing Star (GB) 5yo 9-2 (4 of 9) 7/2 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2017 1:24.72 | Music Box (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (6 of 13) 8/1 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 1:25.81 | Spangled (GB) 4yo 9-2 (6 of 7) 14/1 | Andrea Atzeni Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2015 1:22.86 | Realtra (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (4 of 20) 25/1 | Jack Mitchell Roger Varian (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Sceptre Stakes have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 38 placings from 221 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 1 placing from 16 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- SPA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Sceptre Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Sceptre Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Andrew Balding, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Dancing Star (2018), Foxtrot Lady (2020) and Bounce The Blues (2022). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Sceptre Stakes is Roger Varian (2 wins).
Here are the Sceptre Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Balding | 7-3-5 | +22.50 | +15.35 |
| Roger Varian | 8-2-4 | +33.00 | +17.60 |
| William Haggas | 12-1-2 | -7.00 | -7.45 |
| Richard Hannon | 9-0-1 | -9.00 | -6.50 |
| Ralph Beckett | 8-0-2 | -8.00 | -6.05 |
| Ed Walker | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| K R Burke | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
| George Boughey | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | +13.50 |
| James Fanshawe | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | -0.10 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| David O'Meara | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Richard Hughes | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
Sceptre Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Sceptre Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Jamie Spencer, who has won the race twice, with those two winners coming from Sunday Times (2012) and Kiyoshi (2014).
Here are the Sceptre Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Spencer (Queen Of Mougins) | 9-2-3 | +26.00 | +12.70 |
| Silvestre De Sousa (Jabaara) | 5-1-1 | -1.25 | -2.35 |
| Marco Ghiani (Fair Point) | 1-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.80 |
| Tom Marquand (Lou Lous Gift) | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -1.70 |
| P J McDonald (Bermuda Longtail) | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | +0.10 |
| Hector Crouch (Stop The Cavalry) | 2-0-2 | -2.00 | -0.05 |
| Callum Rodriguez (Arolla) | 1-0-1 | -1.00 | -0.28 |
| Harry Davies (Circe) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Saffie Osborne (Miss Nightfall) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Robert Havlin (Spiritual) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Finley Marsh (Fair Angellica) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Luke Morris (Havana Pusey) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
2025 Sceptre Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 2, 4, 4, 1, 1, 3, 5, 5, 2, 4, 7, 4, 5, 10, 2, 1, 9, 4, 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 22/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Held an OR of 92+
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 74+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in a G2/Cl3-6 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 96+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - In a field of 8 - 20 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved a TS of 67+ (Last 3)
- 18 / 20 (62%) - No bigger than 8/1 (Career Win)
- 18 / 20 (66%) - Achieved a TS of 79+ (Season)
- 18 / 20 (69%) - Achieved a TS of 84+ (Career)
- 18 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 40/1 (Career)
- 18 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 8/1 (Last Win)
- 16 / 20 (52%) - Within the first 6 of the market
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Doncaster racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Sceptre Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Sceptre Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Sceptre Stakes Trend Shortlist
Doncaster will host the 2025 renewal of the Sceptre Stakes, which will be run at 4:10 pm on Sunday, 14th September 2025, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Jabaara (8/1)
- Roger Varian (8-2-4 +33.00 / +17.60)
- Silvestre De Sousa (5-1-1 -1.25 / -2.35)
Others: Circe (14/15), Bright Thunder (14/15), Lou Lous Gift (13/15), Queen Of Mougins (13/15), Spiritual (13/15), Fair Point (12/15), Havana Pusey (12/15), Chic Colombine (12/15), Shuwari (12/15), Arolla (11/15), Sunfall (10/15), Bermuda Longtail (10/15), Fair Angellica (10/15), Miss Nightfall (10/15), Betty Clover (9/15), Hey Boo (8/15), Queens Reign (7/15) and Stop The Cavalry (7/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (2:14 pm Friday 12th September 2025), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.
Sceptre Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +33.83, is when runners ran in a race restricted to 3yo+ when last winning.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners carried 126lbs, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-38.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 8 (9,2) [11 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 5 (10,4) [10 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 5 (11,3) [11 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 1 (7,4) [12 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 13 (10,12) [15 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Sceptre Stakes are Deauville, Goodwood and Tipperary; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Sceptre Stakes; that stallion, Holy Roman Emperor, has produced 2 winners (2024,2012).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Sceptre Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Pivotal (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Shamardal (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Kodiac (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Cape Cross (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Oasis Dream (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Realtra in 2015, winning for Roger Varian at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Jack Mitchell. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Route to the Sceptre Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Sceptre Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Great Generation Deauville - 15th of 15 (23/1) | Prix Maurice de Gheest |
| 2023 - Matilda Picotte Tipperary - 2nd of 10 (4/1) | Coolmore Stud No Nay Never Fairy Bridge Stakes |
| 2022 - Bounce The Blues Sandown - 5th of 11 (10/1) | JRL Group Atalanta Stakes |
| 2021 - Just Beautiful Deauville - 2nd of 7 (17/10) | Prix de Lieurey |
| 2020 - Foxtrot Lady Haydock - 5th of 9 (14/1) | BetVictor British EBF Dick Hern Stakes |
| 2019 - Breathtaking Look York - 5th of 19 (16/1) | Ebor Festival Fillies Heritage Handicap |
| 2018 - Dancing Star Goodwood - 2nd of 16 (7/1) | Oak Tree Stakes |
| 2017 - Music Box Tipperary - 3rd of 12 (9/4) | Coolmore Stud Fairy Bridge Stakes |
| 2016 - Spangled Newmarket (July) - 1st of 6 (5/2) | Adnams Ghost Ship Fillies Handicap |
| 2015 - Realtra Haydock - 1st of 10 (12/1) | Betfred TV/EBF Stallions Dick Hern Fillies Stakes |
Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival
Here is the schedule for the four-day St Leger Festival for races, which we cover with blogs. Each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Thursday at St Leger Festival
There are a couple of Group 2s which take centre-stage on the opening day of the St Leger Festival, the £120k May Hill Stakes, where the two-year-olds feature and then the £150k Park Hill Fillies Stakes, where the older fillies compete. We also have the £300k 2-y-o Stakes, a valuable class two race.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Carrie Red Fillies Nursery | Half Sovereign (FR) 2yo - 9/4 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| Doncaster 2yo Stakes | Calendar Girl (GB) 2yo - 7/2 | Owen Burrows Saffie Osborne |
| May Hill Stakes | Aylin (IRE) 2yo - 5/1 | K R Burke David Egan |
| Park Hill Stakes | Santorini Star (IRE) 4yo - 7/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| St Leger Festival Middle Distance Handicap | Munsif (IRE) 3yo - 5/2 | Roger Varian Ray Dawson |
Friday at St Leger Festival
On Friday, the feature race of the day is the Group 2 Doncaster Cup, which is part of the British Champion Series and carries a £150k purse. The Flying Childers Stakes is another race on Friday, which carries a decent purse, £130k on offer for the two-year-olds.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Mallard Handicap | Faylaq (GB) 8yo - 18/1 | Jim Goldie Amie Waugh |
| Flying Scotsman Stakes | Benevento (IRE) 2yo - 7/1 | Raphael E Freire David Egan |
| Flying Childers Stakes | Aesterius (IRE) 2yo - 7/2 | Archie Watson James Doyle |
| Doncaster Cup | Sweet William (IRE) 5yo - 7/4 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
Saturday at St Leger Festival
The feature race of the festival, the St Leger, takes place on Saturday, another race which is part of the British Champion Series, this Group 1 carries a purse of £700k. The three races before the St Leger all carry decent purses too, the Champagne Stakes (£150k), the Portland (£100k) and the Park Stakes (£140k).
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| PJ Towey Construction Handicap | Johan (GB) 7yo - 18/1 | Jack Channon Rossa Ryan |
| Champagne Stakes | Bay City Roller (IRE) 2yo - 9/2 | George Scott Callum Shepherd |
| Portland Heritage Handicap | American Affair (GB) 4yo - 4/1 | Jim Goldie Paul Mulrennan |
| Park Stakes | Kinross (GB) 7yo - 11/4 | Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan |
| St Leger | Jan Brueghel (IRE) 3yo - 11/4 | A P O'Brien Sean Levey |
| Mastiff Manor Handicap | Daysofourlives (IRE) 4yo - 100/30 | Marco Botti Jack Mitchell |
Sunday at St Leger Festival
Sunday is a bit more low-key, only one class one race, which is the £85k Sceptre Stakes for the fillies over 7f, and there are also a couple of decent handicaps carrying good purses of £70k and £65k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| City of Doncaster Handicap | Telemark (IRE) 3yo - 12/1 | Simon & Ed Crisford Harry Davies |
| Betfred 'The Classic Bookmaker' Handicap | Baldomero (IRE) 6yo - 10/1 | Michael Appleby Silvestre De Sousa |
| Sceptre Stakes | Great Generation (IRE) 3yo - 8/1 | Marco Botti Marco Ghiani |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Sceptre Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
