2022 Flying Scotsman Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis (St Leger Festival)

2022 Flying Scotsman Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis (St Leger Festival)

2022 Flying Scotsman Stakes Preview

Scheduled to take place in September of each year at the Doncaster racecourse is the Flying Scotsman Stakes, which is run during the St Leger Festival. The race is a Listed race that is run over a trip of seven furlongs and is open to runners aged two years old, it's a race which was won by Frankel back in 2010 on only his second start!

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Doncaster Betting Picks page to see which of those runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Saeed bin Suroor trained Librettist ridden by Frankie Dettori who has set the fastest winning time in the Flying Scotsman Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:22.61 that was set when winning the race in 2004. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Michael Jarvis and jockey Philip Robinson with Secrecy who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:29.26 in the 2008 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Flying Scotsman Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2004 - Librettist (1:22.61)
  • 2014 - Nafaqa (1:23.38)
  • 2011 - Counterglow (1:23.93)

How competitive is the Flying Scotsman Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2010 when the race had an over-round of 80%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Flying Scotsman Stakes, the over-round has been 111% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £111 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Flying Scotsman Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 3 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -4.45. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Flying Scotsman Stakes see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Flying Scotsman Stakes Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Flying Scotsman Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Flying Scotsman Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:25.67
Noble Truth
2yo 9-0 (1 of 9) 9/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby
2020
1:24.35
New Mandate
2yo 9-0 (3 of 11) 17/2
Frankie Dettori
Ralph Beckett
2019
1:25.35
Molatham
2yo 9-0 (5 of 5) 1/1F
Jim Crowley
Roger Varian
2018
1:26.55
Sangarius
2yo 9-0 (2 of 8) 11/10F
Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute
2017
1:25.58
Tip Two Win
2yo 9-0 (2 of 1) 11/2
Adam Kirby
Roger Teal
2016
1:27.49
Rodaini
2yo 9-0 (5 of 4) 6/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Simon Crisford
2015
1:25.04
Tashweeq
2yo 9-0 (3 of 4) 15/8F
Paul Hanagan
John Gosden
2014
1:23.38
Nafaqa
2yo 9-0 (5 of 4) 8/1
Paul Hanagan
B W Hills
2013
1:28.76
Be Ready
2yo 9-0 (2 of 3) 13/8F
Silvestre De Sousa
Saeed bin Suroor
2012
1:25.23
Rising Legend
2yo 9-3 (5 of 3) 9/4
Richard Hughes
Richard Hannon Snr

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Flying Scotsman Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 5 placings from 129 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 2 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Flying Scotsman Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Flying Scotsman Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Saeed bin Suroor who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Librettist (2004), Al Zir (2009) & Be Ready (2013). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Flying Scotsman Stakes is Sir Michael Stoute (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Flying Scotsman Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Saeed bin Suroor 4-3-3 +1.93 +1.65
Sir Michael Stoute 5-2-2 -0.65 +1.44
Charlie Appleby 4-1-4 +6.00 +4.81
Roger Varian 4-1-3 -2.00 +0.77
Ralph Beckett 2-1-1 +7.50 +4.10
Clive Cox 2-1-1 +2.00 +0.88
John Gosden 2-1-1 +0.88 +1.18
Roger Teal 1-1-1 +5.50 +3.30
Richard Hannon 8-0-1 -8.00 -3.31
Brian Meehan 5-0-0 -5.00 -1.00

Flying Scotsman Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Flying Scotsman Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Librettist (2004), Al Zir (2009) & New Mandate (2020). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Flying Scotsman Stakes are Paul Hanagan (2 wins) & Silvestre De Sousa (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Flying Scotsman Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 7-3-3 +5.80 +4.73
Paul Hanagan 5-2-2 +6.88 +6.18
Silvestre De Sousa 4-2-2 +5.63 +3.77
Ryan Moore 9-1-4 -6.90 -0.89
William Buick 4-1-4 +6.00 +4.90
Adam Kirby 2-1-1 +4.50 +2.30
Jim Crowley 2-1-2 +0.00 +0.83
Tom Queally 2-1-1 -0.50 -1.00
James Doyle 6-0-1 -6.00 -1.15
Jamie Spencer 4-0-3 -4.00 +4.70

2022 Flying Scotsman Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,6,1,3,1,(1,5),6,4,1,1,2,3,1,4,1,5,2,1,1,3,2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Fewer than 4 starts on turf
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 5 starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (92%) - Either a colt or gelding
  • 19 / 20 (73%) - Within first 5 of market
  • 19 / 20 (86%) - Not drawn in stall 1
  • 17 / 20 (55%) - No bigger than 15/2
  • 17 / 17 (76%) - Beaten no more 4¾l (Debut)
  • 17 / 17 (88%) - Never off bigger than 40/1
  • 17 / 17 (88%) - Ran over 6f-1m (Debut)
  • 17 / 17 (88%) - Field of 6-16 (Debut)
  • 16 / 17 (76%) - Ran in a Cl4 or better (LTO)
  • 14 / 17 (55%) - Finished first 2 on debut

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Flying Scotsman Stakes. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Flying Scotsman Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Flying Scotsman Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +19.98 is when runners had 0 career starts with the jockey. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 5, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-21.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 1 (5,3) [9 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 3 (7,1) [11 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 5 (2) [5 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 2 (9,6) [8 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 2 (4,3) [8 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Flying Scotsman Stakes is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Newbury, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 123 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 9 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Flying Scotsman Stakes, that stallion is Kingman who has produced 2 winners (2021,2018).

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Flying Scotsman Stakes, that stallion is Pivotal who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Hills Of Gold in 2001 when winning for B W Hills at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Michael Hills. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 9 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Flying Scotsman Stakes.

Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Wednesday 7th September 2022

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Thursday 8th September 2022

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Friday 9th September 2022

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Saturday 10th September 2022

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