Flying Scotsman Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (St Leger Festival)

Updated: 465 Horse Racing

We look at the Flying Scotsman Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 7f at Doncaster during the St Leger Festival to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Flying Scotsman Stakes.

Flying Scotsman Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (St Leger Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Flying Scotsman Stakes Preview

Scheduled to take place in September of each year at the Doncaster racecourse is the Flying Scotsman Stakes, which is run during the St Leger Festival. The race is a Listed race that is run over a trip of seven furlongs and is open to runners aged two years old, it's a race which was won by Frankel back in 2010 on only his second start!

Flying Scotsman Stakes Information:

We also have a dedicated Doncaster tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the Flying Scotsman Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2011 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Flying Scotsman Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.

Flying Scotsman Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Flying Scotsman Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -4.45. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Flying Scotsman Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2008 renewal when Secrecy from Michael Jarvis under the guidance of Philip Robinson, won in a time of 1:29.26, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Librettist, trained by Saeed bin Suroor and ridden by Frankie Dettori set the quickest time of 1:22.61 in the 2004 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Flying Scotsman Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2004 - Librettist (1:22.61)
  • 2014 - Nafaqa (1:23.38)
  • 2011 - Counterglow (1:23.93)

Flying Scotsman Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Flying Scotsman Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Flying Scotsman Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:25.96
Dancing Gemini (IRE)
2yo 9-2 (7 of 9) 5/1
Lewis Edmunds
Roger Teal (GB)
2021
1:25.67
Noble Truth (FR)
2yo 9-0 (1 of 9) 9/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
1:24.35
New Mandate (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (3 of 11) 17/2
Frankie Dettori
Ralph Beckett (GB)
2019
1:25.35
Molatham (GB)
2yo 9-0 (5 of 5) 1/1F
Jim Crowley
Roger Varian (GB)
2018
1:26.55
Sangarius (GB)
2yo 9-0 (2 of 8) 11/10F
Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2017
1:25.58
Tip Two Win (GB)
2yo 9-0 (2 of 8) 11/2
Adam Kirby
Roger Teal (GB)
2016
1:27.49
Rodaini (USA)
2yo 9-0 (5 of 7) 6/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Simon Crisford (GB)
2015
1:25.04
Tashweeq (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (3 of 6) 15/8F
Paul Hanagan
John Gosden (GB)
2014
1:23.38
Nafaqa (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (5 of 7) 8/1
Paul Hanagan
B W Hills (GB)
2013
1:28.76
Be Ready (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (2 of 5) 13/8F
Silvestre De Sousa
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Flying Scotsman Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 21 placings from 129 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 3 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Flying Scotsman Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Flying Scotsman Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Saeed bin Suroor who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Librettist (2004), Al Zir (2009) and Be Ready (2013). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Flying Scotsman Stakes are Sir Michael Stoute (2 wins) and Roger Teal (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Flying Scotsman Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Saeed bin Suroor 4-3-3 +1.93 +1.65
Sir Michael Stoute 5-2-2 -0.65 +1.44
Roger Teal 2-2-2 +10.50 +6.30
Roger Varian 5-1-3 -3.00 -0.23
Charlie Appleby 4-1-4 +6.00 +4.81
Ralph Beckett 3-1-1 +6.50 +3.10
Clive Cox 2-1-1 +2.00 +0.88
John Gosden 2-1-1 +0.88 +1.18
Richard Hannon 9-0-1 -9.00 -4.31
Brian Meehan 4-0-0 -4.00 -1.00

Flying Scotsman Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Flying Scotsman Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Librettist (2004), Al Zir (2009) and New Mandate (2020). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Flying Scotsman Stakes are Paul Hanagan (2 wins) and Silvestre De Sousa (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Flying Scotsman Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 6-3-3 +6.80 +4.73
Paul Hanagan 5-2-2 +6.88 +6.18
Silvestre De Sousa 4-2-2 +5.63 +3.77
Ryan Moore 10-1-4 -7.90 -1.89
William Buick 5-1-4 +5.00 +3.90
Adam Kirby 2-1-1 +4.50 +2.30
Jim Crowley 2-1-2 +0.00 +0.83
Tom Queally 2-1-1 -0.50 -1.00
Lewis Edmunds 1-1-1 +5.00 +3.00
James Doyle 6-0-1 -6.00 -1.15

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 3, 1, (1, 5), 6, 4, 1, 1, 2, 3, 1, 4, 1, 5, 2, 1, 1, 3, 2, 3

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (68%) - No bigger than 12/1
  • 20 / 20 (73%) - Within the first 5 of the market
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Fewer than 5 starts (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (87%) - Won within last 2 starts
  • 18 / 20 (71%) - Placed within last 1 starts
  • 18 / 20 (71%) - Beaten no more -4¾l (Debut)
  • 18 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career Place)
  • 18 / 20 (79%) - Top 2 finish within last 3 starts
  • 18 / 20 (81%) - Ran over 6f - 1mf (Debut)
  • 18 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 40/1 (Career)
  • 18 / 20 (83%) - Break of 9 - 115 days (Last Place)
  • 18 / 20 (84%) - In a field of 6 - 16 (Debut)
  • 18 / 20 (86%) - Not in a G2/Cl6 (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (86%) - Not in FRA/IRL/SCO (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (88%) - Beaten no more -13l (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Flying Scotsman Stakes. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Flying Scotsman Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Flying Scotsman Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor that produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +6.33 is when runners had a USA-bred dam. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 5, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-24.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 7 (2,5) [9 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 1 (5,3) [9 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 3 (7,1) [11 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 5 (2) [5 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 2 (9,6) [8 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Flying Scotsman Stakes is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Newbury, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 123 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 10 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Flying Scotsman Stakes, that stallion Kingman has produced 2 winners (2021,2018).

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Flying Scotsman Stakes, that stallion is Pivotal who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Secrecy in 2008, winning for Michael Jarvis at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of Philip Robinson. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 9 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Flying Scotsman Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Thursday 12th September 2024

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Friday 13th September 2024

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Saturday 14th September 2024

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Sunday 15th September 2024

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