Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Flying Scotsman Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place in September of each year at the Doncaster racecourse is the Flying Scotsman Stakes, which is run during the St Leger Festival.
The race is a Listed race that is run over a trip of seven furlongs and is open to runners aged two years old, it's a race which was won by Frankel back in 2010 on only his second start!
Flying Scotsman Stakes Information:
- Flying Scotsman Stakes Past Winners
- Flying Scotsman Stakes Trainer Statistics
- Flying Scotsman Stakes Jockey Statistics
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Doncaster tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival section for links to these.
How competitive is the Flying Scotsman Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2011 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Flying Scotsman Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Flying Scotsman Stakes Trends:
- 2024 Flying Scotsman Stakes Trends
- Flying Scotsman Stakes Trend Analysis
- Flying Scotsman Stakes Trend Shortlist
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Flying Scotsman Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -5.45. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Librettist, trained by Saeed bin Suroor and ridden by Frankie Dettori who set the fastest winning time in the Flying Scotsman Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:22.61 when winning the race in 2004. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Michael Jarvis and jockey Philip Robinson with Secrecy who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:29.26 in the 2008 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Flying Scotsman Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Librettist (1:22.61) in 2004
- Nafaqa (1:23.38) in 2014
- Counterglow (1:23.93) in 2011
Flying Scotsman Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Flying Scotsman Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Flying Scotsman Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
---|---|---|
2023 1:25.96 | Dancing Gemini (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (7 of 9) 5/1 | Lewis Edmunds Roger Teal (GB) |
2021 1:25.67 | Noble Truth (FR) 2yo 9-0 (1 of 9) 9/1 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
2020 1:24.35 | New Mandate (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (3 of 11) 17/2 | Frankie Dettori Ralph Beckett (GB) |
2019 1:25.35 | Molatham (GB) 2yo 9-0 (5 of 5) 1/1F | Jim Crowley Roger Varian (GB) |
2018 1:26.55 | Sangarius (GB) 2yo 9-0 (2 of 8) 11/10F | Ryan Moore Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
2017 1:25.58 | Tip Two Win (GB) 2yo 9-0 (2 of 8) 11/2 | Adam Kirby Roger Teal (GB) |
2016 1:27.49 | Rodaini (USA) 2yo 9-0 (5 of 7) 6/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Simon Crisford (GB) |
2015 1:25.04 | Tashweeq (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (3 of 6) 15/8F | Paul Hanagan John Gosden (GB) |
2014 1:23.38 | Nafaqa (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (5 of 7) 8/1 | Paul Hanagan B W Hills (GB) |
2013 1:28.76 | Be Ready (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (2 of 5) 13/8F | Silvestre De Sousa Saeed bin Suroor (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Flying Scotsman Stakes have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 21 placings from 129 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 3 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Flying Scotsman Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Flying Scotsman Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from City Of Troy (2005) and Sangarius (2018).
Here are the Flying Scotsman Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Sir Michael Stoute | 5-2-2 | -0.65 | +1.44 |
Charlie Appleby | 4-1-4 | +6.00 | +4.81 |
Ralph Beckett | 3-1-1 | +6.50 | +3.10 |
Richard Hannon | 9-0-1 | -9.00 | -4.31 |
Hugo Palmer | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
Flying Scotsman Stakes Jockey Statistics
Here are the Flying Scotsman Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Ryan Moore | 10-1-4 | -7.90 | -1.89 |
James Doyle | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -1.15 |
Jamie Spencer | 4-0-3 | -4.00 | +4.70 |
Oisin Murphy | 4-0-3 | -4.00 | -0.60 |
David Egan | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
2024 Flying Scotsman Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 3, 1, (1, 5), 6, 4, 1, 1, 2, 3, 1, 4, 1, 5, 2, 1, 1, 3, 2, 3
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (68%) - No bigger than 12/1
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Fewer than 5 races (Career)
- 19 / 20 (87%) - Won within last 2 starts
- 18 / 20 (71%) - Placed within last 1 starts
- 18 / 20 (71%) - Beaten no more -4¾l (Debut)
- 18 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career Place)
- 18 / 20 (81%) - Ran over 6f - 1m (Debut)
- 18 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 40/1 (Career)
- 18 / 20 (83%) - Break of 9 - 115 days (Last Place)
- 18 / 20 (84%) - In a field of 6 - 16 (Debut)
- 18 / 20 (86%) - Not in FRA/IRL/SCO (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (88%) - Not in IRL/SCO/WAL (Debut)
- 18 / 20 (88%) - Beaten no more -13l (LTO)
- 17 / 20 (64%) - Not in a G2/Cl5-6 (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Flying Scotsman Stakes. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please leave a comment or head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Flying Scotsman Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Flying Scotsman Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +6.33 is when runners had a USA-bred dam. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 5, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-24.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 7 (2,5) [9 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 1 (5,3) [9 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 3 (7,1) [11 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 5 (2) [5 Runners]
- 2018: Winner in 2 (9,6) [8 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Flying Scotsman Stakes is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Newbury, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 123 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 10 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Flying Scotsman Stakes, that stallion Kingman has produced 2 winners (2021,2018).
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Flying Scotsman Stakes, that stallion is Pivotal who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Secrecy in 2008, winning for Michael Jarvis at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of Philip Robinson. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Flying Scotsman Stakes Trend Shortlist
Doncaster will host the 2024 renewal of the Flying Scotsman Stakes which will be run at 2:25 pm on Friday 13th September 2024 and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Jonquil (5/4)
- Sir Michael Stoute (5-2-2 -0.65 / +1.44)
- Ryan Moore (10-1-4 -7.90 / -1.89)
- 14/15 God Of War (10/1)
- Tom Clover (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- Daniel Tudhope (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- 14/15 Benevento (8/1)
- Raphael E Freire (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- David Egan (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)
- 12/15 The Waco Kid (8/1)
- Hugo Palmer (1-0-0 -1.00 / +0.00)
- Oisin Murphy (4-0-3 -4.00 / -0.60)
- 12/15 Mukaber (16/1)
- Richard Hannon (9-0-1 -9.00 / -4.31)
- Jamie Spencer (4-0-3 -4.00 / +4.70)
- 10/15 Symbol Of Honour (11/4)
- Charlie Appleby (4-1-4 +6.00 / +4.81)
- James Doyle (6-0-1 -6.00 / -1.15)
- 9/15 Mr Chaplin (14/1)
- Ralph Beckett (3-1-1 +6.50 / +3.10)
- Rob Hornby (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (1:54 pm Wednesday 11th September 2024), if no odds were available at the time of posting then forecasted odds are used.
Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival
Here is the schedule for the four-day St Leger Festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Thursday at St Leger Festival
There are a couple of Group 2's which take centre-stage on the opening day of the St Leger Festival, the £120k May Hill Stakes where the two-year-olds feature and then the £150k Park Hill Fillies Stakes where the older fillies compete.
Race | Last Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
13:50 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery | Chic Colombine (FR) 2yo - 9/4 | George Boughey William Buick |
14:25 Doncaster 2yo Stakes | Room Service (IRE) 2yo - 10/1 | Kevin Ryan Tom Eaves |
15:00 May Hill Stakes | Darnation (IRE) 2yo - 11/10 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
15:35 Park Hill Stakes | Sumo Sam (GB) 3yo - 4/1 | Paul & Oliver Cole Rossa Ryan |
17:50 St Leger Festival Class 3 1m4f Handicap | In The Breeze (IRE) 5yo - 15/2 | Michael Appleby Tom Marquand |
Friday at St Leger Festival
On Friday, the feature race of the day is the Group 2 Doncaster Cup which is part of the British Champion Series and carries a £140k purse. The Flying Childers Stakes is another race on Friday which carries a decent purse, £130k on offer for the two-year-olds.
Race | Last Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
13:50 Mallard Handicap | Legendary Day (GB) 5yo - 12/1 | Adrian Paul Keatley Mark Winn |
14:25 Flying Scotsman Stakes | Dancing Gemini (IRE) 2yo - 5/1 | Roger Teal Lewis Edmunds |
15:00 Flying Childers Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Michael Appleby Tom Marquand |
15:35 Doncaster Cup | Trueshan (FR) 7yo - 100/30 | Alan King Hollie Doyle |
Saturday at St Leger Festival
The feature race of the festival, the St Leger takes place on Saturday, another race which is part of the British Champion Series, this Group 1 carries a purse of £700k. The three races before the St Leger all carry decent purses too, the Champagne Stakes (£150k), the Portland (£100k) and the Park Stakes (£140k).
Race | Last Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
13:50 Champagne Stakes | Iberian (IRE) 2yo - 3/1 | Charles Hills Tom Marquand |
14:25 Portland Heritage Handicap | Annaf (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | Michael Appleby Rossa Ryan |
15:00 Park Stakes | Sandrine (GB) 4yo - 11/2 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
15:40 St Leger | Continuous (JPN) 3yo - 3/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
16:15 PJ Towey Construction Handicap | La Yakel (GB) 4yo - 13/8 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
17:25 St Leger Festival Class 2 Mile Handicap | Liberty Lane (IRE) 3yo - 11/2 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
Sunday at St Leger Festival
Sunday is a bit more low-key, only one class one race which is the £85k Sceptre Stakes for the fillies over 7f and there are also a couple of decent handicaps carrying good purses of £70k and £65k.
Race | Last Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
14:40 City of Doncaster Handicap | Poet Master (IRE) 3yo - 9/2 | K R Burke Sam James |
15:15 Sceptre Stakes | Matilda Picotte (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | Kieran P Cotter Oisin Murphy |
16:15 St Leger Festival Class 2 Sprint Handicap | Baradar (IRE) 5yo - 100/30 | George Boughey William Buick |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Flying Scotsman Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Other Principal Races at Doncaster Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Doncaster racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in January
Races in March
Races in October
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