Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (St Leger Festival)

If you are a fan of horse racing trends, then this preview of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends, but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery, a race run over 6½f at Doncaster during the St Leger Festival.
Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (St Leger Festival)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2026 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Preview

The Carrie Red Fillies Nursery is run at Doncaster racecourse during the St Leger Festival, the race is run on the opening day (Thursday) and is a Nursery (Handicap) open to two-year-old fillies only, with the race being run over six and a half furlongs (111y).

Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Information:

Our dedicated Doncaster tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Doncaster throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2017 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2015 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2026 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Carrie Red Fillies Nursery races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Royal Confidence (1:17.42) in 2007
  2. Nemoralia (1:17.59) in 2015
  3. In The Slips (1:17.92) in 2009

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery next time out, then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -1.67. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:17.42 was set by Royal Confidence in 2007, which is the quickest time over that period. The runner was trained by B W Hills and ridden by William Buick. The slowest winning time was set in 2006 when Ronaldsay won in a time of 1:25.69, booked to ride was Franny Norton by trainer Richard Hannon Snr.

What the expert says...
Nine of the last twenty winners came into the race having won last time out, and fourteen of the twenty finished in the first two last time out, so you certainly need a runner in a bit of form.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Past Winners

Here are the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2025
1:21.60
Half Sovereign (FR)
2yo 9-9 (8 of 12) 9/4F
Clifford Lee
K R Burke (GB)
2024
1:19.02
Ghost Run (GB)
2yo 9-0 (12 of 15) 5/1
Oisin Murphy
Andrew Balding (GB)
2023
1:22.34
Chic Colombine (FR)
2yo 9-2 (5 of 10) 9/4F
William Buick
George Boughey (GB)
2022
1:18.19
Bonny Angel (GB)
2yo 8-9 (5 of 10) 4/1F
John Fahy
Clive Cox (GB)
2021
1:18.91
Allayaali (IRE)
2yo 9-5 (3 of 11) 9/1
Dane O'Neill
Charles Hills (GB)
2020
1:18.63
Spright (GB)
2yo 9-3 (3 of 15) 10/1
Clifford Lee
K R Burke (GB)
2019
1:20.36
Graceful Magic (GB)
2yo 8-11 (10 of 13) 5/1F
Charles Bishop
Eve Johnson Houghton (GB)
2018
1:19.64
Stay Classy (IRE)
2yo 8-7 (7 of 13) 6/1
David Egan
Richard Spencer (GB)
2017
1:19.89
Ellthea (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (2 of 6) 8/1
Clifford Lee (3lbs)
K R Burke (GB)
2016
1:20.93
Glitter Girl (GB)
2yo 9-7 (3 of 12) 9/2F
Ryan Moore
William Haggas (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 44 placings from 275 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners

Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery over the last 20 renewals is K R Burke, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Ellthea (2017), Spright (2020) and Half Sovereign (2025). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery is Richard Fahey (2 wins). Two trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery. Tim Easterby has sent a total of 20 runners to the race without recording any wins, whilst Kevin Ryan has sent out 10 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Carrie Red Fillies Nursery trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
K R Burke11-3-6+12.25+9.61
Richard Fahey14-2-4+8.00+2.85
William Haggas9-1-2-3.50-4.25
Charles Hills5-1-1+5.00+1.40
Clive Cox5-1-2+0.00-0.45
Richard Spencer4-1-1+3.00+0.75
Eve Johnson Houghton4-1-2+2.00+1.38
Andrew Balding3-1-2+3.00+2.76
George Boughey2-1-1+1.25+0.35
David Elsworth1-1-1+6.50+3.90

Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery over the last 20 renewals, with both William Buick and Clifford Lee, who have both won the race three times. William Buick winners have been with Royal Confidence (2007), Aqlaam Vision (2013) and Chic Colombine (2023). Clifford Lee winners have been with Ellthea (2017), Spright (2020) and Half Sovereign (2025).

Here are some of the top Carrie Red Fillies Nursery jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
William Buick9-3-3+10.25+3.48
Clifford Lee5-3-4+18.25+12.36
Franny Norton9-1-3+4.00+1.83
Ryan Moore7-1-2-1.50-1.94
Jamie Spencer6-1-2+1.50+0.28
David Egan6-1-3+1.00+1.98
Oisin Murphy5-1-1+1.00-0.87
Frankie Dettori4-1-2-1.25-0.97
Dane O'Neill3-1-2+7.00+4.84
John Fahy3-1-3+2.00+2.80

Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +11.75, is when runners ran on Good To Firm ground last time out.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a biggest odds run of 33/1, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-32.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2025: Winner in 8 (12,1) [12 Runners]
  • 2024: Winner in 12 (2,10) [15 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 5 (9,6) [10 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 5 (10,2) [10 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 3 (10,9) [11 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery is Newmarket (July); there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery; that stallion, More Than Ready, has produced 2 winners (2015,2009).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery despite multiple attempts:

  • Bahamian Bounty (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Iffraaj (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Fast Company (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was In The Slips in 2009, winning for Paul Cole at odds of 28/1 under the guidance of Greg Fairley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2026 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

Route to the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery

Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2025 - Half Sovereign
Newmarket (July) - 1st of 6 (5/4)
JenningsBet Fillies Nursery Handicap
2024 - Ghost Run
York - 8th of 20 (13/2)
Harry's Half Million By Goffs
2023 - Chic Colombine
Haydock - 1st of 7 (9/4)
HC Promotions Experience It Live Nursery Handicap
2022 - Bonny Angel
Leicester - 1st of 11 (3/1)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Nursery Handicap
2021 - Allayaali
Sandown - 8th of 9 (11/1)
British Stallion Studs EBF Star Stakes
2020 - Spright
Chester - 1st of 8 (11/10)
#simplepleasureschester EBF Fillies Conditions Stakes
2019 - Graceful Magic
Goodwood - 2nd of 8 (7/1)
Racegoers Club Fillies Nursery Handicap
2018 - Stay Classy
Newbury - 2nd of 9 (11/4)
Hilton Woods Cornwall Nursery Handicap
2017 - Ellthea
Deauville - 9th of 11 (44/1)
Shadwell Prix du Calvados
2016 - Glitter Girl
Catterick - 1st of 6 (1/4)
British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes

Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival

Here is the schedule for the four-day St Leger Festival for races, which we cover with blogs. Each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.

Thursday at St Leger Festival

There are a couple of Group 2s which take centre-stage on the opening day of the St Leger Festival, the £120k May Hill Stakes, where the two-year-olds feature and then the £150k Park Hill Fillies Stakes, where the older fillies compete. We also have the £300k 2-y-o Stakes, a valuable class two race.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Carrie Red Fillies NurseryHalf Sovereign (FR)
2yo - 9/4
K R Burke
Clifford Lee
Doncaster 2yo StakesCalendar Girl (GB)
2yo - 7/2
Owen Burrows
Saffie Osborne
May Hill StakesAylin (IRE)
2yo - 5/1
K R Burke
David Egan
Park Hill StakesSantorini Star (IRE)
4yo - 7/2
William Haggas
Tom Marquand
St Leger Festival Middle Distance HandicapMunsif (IRE)
3yo - 5/2
Roger Varian
Ray Dawson

Friday at St Leger Festival

On Friday, the feature race of the day is the Group 2 Doncaster Cup, which is part of the British Champion Series and carries a £150k purse. The Flying Childers Stakes is another race on Friday, which carries a decent purse, £130k on offer for the two-year-olds.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Mallard HandicapSubsequent (IRE)
4yo - 12/1
Andrew Balding
Oisin Murphy
Flying Scotsman StakesAvicenna (IRE)
2yo - 11/2
Roger Varian
William Buick
Flying Childers StakesRevival Power (IRE)
2yo - 17/2
Tim Easterby
Oisin Murphy
Doncaster CupSweet William (IRE)
6yo - 10/11
John & Thady Gosden
Robert Havlin

Saturday at St Leger Festival

The feature race of the festival, the St Leger, takes place on Saturday, another race which is part of the British Champion Series, this Group 1 carries a purse of £700k. The three races before the St Leger all carry decent purses too, the Champagne Stakes (£150k), the Portland (£100k) and the Park Stakes (£140k).

RaceLast WinnerInfo
St Leger Festival Mile HandicapTreble Tee (IRE)
3yo - 11/5
Simon & Ed Crisford
Oisin Murphy
Champagne StakesPuerto Rico (IRE)
2yo - 15/2
A P O'Brien
Sean Levey
Portland Heritage HandicapEternal Sunshine (GB)
5yo - 12/1
Jim Goldie
Lauren Young
Park StakesMarvelman (IRE)
3yo - 13/2
Andrew Balding
Oisin Murphy
St LegerScandinavia (USA)
3yo - 2/1
A P O'Brien
Tom Marquand
St Leger Festival Ten Furlong HandicapFantasy Believer (IRE)
8yo - 9/1
Ed Walker
Oisin Murphy

Sunday at St Leger Festival

Sunday is a bit more low-key, only one class one race, which is the £85k Sceptre Stakes for the fillies over 7f, and there are also a couple of decent handicaps carrying good purses of £70k and £65k.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
City of Doncaster HandicapRogue Diplomat (IRE)
3yo - 14/1
James Owen
Harry Davies
St Leger Festival Sprint HandicapDesert Falcon (IRE)
5yo - 9/1
Julie Camacho
Rowan Scott
Sceptre StakesFair Angellica (GB)
4yo - 11/1
Richard Hughes
Finley Marsh

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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