Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Preview
The Carrie Red Fillies Nursery is run at Doncaster racecourse during the St Leger Festival, the race is run on the opening day (Thursday) and is a Nursery (Handicap) open to two-year-old fillies only with the race being run over six and a half furlongs (111y).
Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Information:
- Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Past Winners
- Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trainer Statistics
- Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at Doncaster then head over to the Doncaster tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival section for links to these.
How competitive is the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2017 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2015 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.
Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +0.58. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2006 renewal when Ronaldsay from Richard Hannon Snr under the guidance of Franny Norton, won in a time of 1:25.69, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Royal Confidence, trained by B W Hills and ridden by William Buick set the quickest time of 1:17.42 in the 2007 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Carrie Red Fillies Nursery over the last 20 renewals:
- Royal Confidence (1:17.42) in 2007
- Nemoralia (1:17.59) in 2015
- In The Slips (1:17.92) in 2009
Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Past Winners
Here are the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:19.02 | Ghost Run (GB) 2yo 9-0 (12 of 15) 5/1 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2023 1:22.34 | Chic Colombine (FR) 2yo 9-2 (5 of 10) 9/4F | William Buick George Boughey (GB) |
| 2022 1:18.19 | Bonny Angel (GB) 2yo 8-9 (5 of 10) 4/1F | John Fahy Clive Cox (GB) |
| 2021 1:18.91 | Allayaali (IRE) 2yo 9-5 (3 of 11) 9/1 | Dane O'Neill Charles Hills (GB) |
| 2020 1:18.63 | Spright (GB) 2yo 9-3 (3 of 15) 10/1 | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2019 1:20.36 | Graceful Magic (GB) 2yo 8-11 (10 of 13) 5/1F | Charles Bishop Eve Johnson Houghton (GB) |
| 2018 1:19.64 | Stay Classy (IRE) 2yo 8-7 (7 of 13) 6/1 | David Egan Richard Spencer (GB) |
| 2017 1:19.89 | Ellthea (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (2 of 6) 8/1 | Clifford Lee (3lbs) K R Burke (GB) |
| 2016 1:20.93 | Glitter Girl (GB) 2yo 9-7 (3 of 12) 9/2F | Ryan Moore William Haggas (GB) |
| 2015 1:17.59 | Nemoralia (USA) 2yo 9-7 (20 of 19) 7/4F | Frankie Dettori Jeremy Noseda (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 45 placings from 279 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
- AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery over the last 20 renewals with both Richard Fahey and K R Burke who have both won the race two times. Richard Fahey winners have been with Jamesbos Girl (2012) and Home Cummins (2014). K R Burke winners have been with Ellthea (2017) and Spright (2020). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery, Tim Easterby has sent a total of 20 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Carrie Red Fillies Nursery trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Fahey | 14-2-4 | +8.00 | +2.85 |
| K R Burke | 10-2-5 | +10.00 | +8.20 |
| William Haggas | 7-1-1 | -1.50 | -3.19 |
| Charles Hills | 5-1-1 | +5.00 | +1.40 |
| Clive Cox | 5-1-2 | +0.00 | -0.45 |
| Richard Spencer | 4-1-1 | +3.00 | +0.75 |
| Eve Johnson Houghton | 4-1-2 | +2.00 | +1.38 |
| Andrew Balding | 3-1-2 | +3.00 | +2.76 |
| George Boughey | 2-1-1 | +1.25 | +0.35 |
| David Elsworth | 1-1-1 | +6.50 | +3.90 |
Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery over the last 20 renewals is William Buick who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Royal Confidence (2007), Aqlaam Vision (2013) and Chic Colombine (2023). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery is Clifford Lee (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery, Joe Fanning has ridden 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Carrie Red Fillies Nursery jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Buick | 9-3-3 | +10.25 | +3.48 |
| Clifford Lee | 4-2-3 | +16.00 | +10.95 |
| Franny Norton | 9-1-3 | +4.00 | +1.83 |
| Ryan Moore | 8-1-2 | -2.50 | -2.94 |
| Jamie Spencer | 6-1-2 | +1.50 | +0.28 |
| David Egan | 5-1-3 | +2.00 | +2.98 |
| Oisin Murphy | 4-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.13 |
| Frankie Dettori | 4-1-2 | -1.25 | -0.97 |
| Dane O'Neill | 3-1-2 | +7.00 | +4.84 |
| John Fahy | 3-1-3 | +2.00 | +2.80 |
2025 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 6, 1, 6, (2, 3), 3, (3, 7), 9, 8, 14, 1, 1, 2, 5, (1, 2), 3, 7, 1, 1, 13
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Not on HY/SFT/FM/STD (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Held an OR of 74+
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Carried 121 - 134lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Highest Run is not G2/Cl3/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 28/1
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 61+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not on HY/SFT/FM/STD-SLW (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Break of 7 - 98 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran in 2 - 6 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 70+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Within the first 13 of the market
- 18 / 20 (67%) - Achieved a TS of 63+ (Last 3)
- 17 / 20 (86%) - Carried no more than 129lbs
- 16 / 20 (56%) - Achieved a TS of 56+ (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery. You may want to do your research into the race, there are times when there are several runners who pass the trends so you need to do your research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery by adding a tip on the race here.
Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +17.00 is when runners ran on Good To Firm ground last time out. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a biggest odds run of 33/1, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-34.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 12 (2,10) [15 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 5 (9,6) [10 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 5 (10,2) [10 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 3 (10,9) [11 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 3 (9,7) [15 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery are Newmarket (July), Goodwood, Leicester and Sandown, there has been a total number of 2 winners from each of those courses.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery, that stallion More Than Ready has produced 2 winners (2015,2009).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery despite multiple attempts:
- Bahamian Bounty (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Iffraaj (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Fast Company (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was In The Slips in 2009, winning for Paul Cole at odds of 28/1 under the guidance of Greg Fairley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival
Here is the schedule for the four-day St Leger Festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Thursday at St Leger Festival
There are a couple of Group 2's which take centre-stage on the opening day of the St Leger Festival, the £120k May Hill Stakes where the two-year-olds feature and then the £150k Park Hill Fillies Stakes where the older fillies compete.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Carrie Red Fillies Nursery | Ghost Run (GB) 2yo - 5/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| Doncaster 2yo Stakes | Hallasan (GB) 2yo - 15/2 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| May Hill Stakes | Desert Flower (IRE) 2yo - 1/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| Park Hill Stakes | Nakheel (FR) 3yo - 10/1 | Owen Burrows Jim Crowley |
| St Leger Festival Class 3 1m4f Handicap | Kildare Legend (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | James Ferguson Daniel Muscutt |
Friday at St Leger Festival
On Friday, the feature race of the day is the Group 2 Doncaster Cup which is part of the British Champion Series and carries a £140k purse. The Flying Childers Stakes is another race on Friday which carries a decent purse, £130k on offer for the two-year-olds.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Mallard Handicap | Faylaq (GB) 8yo - 18/1 | Jim Goldie Amie Waugh |
| Flying Scotsman Stakes | Benevento (IRE) 2yo - 7/1 | Raphael E Freire David Egan |
| Flying Childers Stakes | Aesterius (IRE) 2yo - 7/2 | Archie Watson James Doyle |
| Doncaster Cup | Sweet William (IRE) 5yo - 7/4 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
Saturday at St Leger Festival
The feature race of the festival, the St Leger takes place on Saturday, another race which is part of the British Champion Series, this Group 1 carries a purse of £700k. The three races before the St Leger all carry decent purses too, the Champagne Stakes (£150k), the Portland (£100k) and the Park Stakes (£140k).
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Champagne Stakes | Bay City Roller (IRE) 2yo - 9/2 | George Scott Callum Shepherd |
| Portland Heritage Handicap | American Affair (GB) 4yo - 4/1 | Jim Goldie Paul Mulrennan |
| Park Stakes | Kinross (GB) 7yo - 11/4 | Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan |
| St Leger | Jan Brueghel (IRE) 3yo - 11/4 | A P O'Brien Sean Levey |
| PJ Towey Construction Handicap | Daysofourlives (IRE) 4yo - 100/30 | Marco Botti Jack Mitchell |
| St Leger Festival Class 2 Mile Handicap | Johan (GB) 7yo - 18/1 | Jack Channon Rossa Ryan |
Sunday at St Leger Festival
Sunday is a bit more low-key, only one class one race which is the £85k Sceptre Stakes for the fillies over 7f and there are also a couple of decent handicaps carrying good purses of £70k and £65k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| City of Doncaster Handicap | Telemark (IRE) 3yo - 12/1 | Simon & Ed Crisford Harry Davies |
| Sceptre Stakes | Great Generation (IRE) 3yo - 8/1 | Marco Botti Marco Ghiani |
| St Leger Festival Class 2 Sprint Handicap | Baldomero (IRE) 6yo - 10/1 | Michael Appleby Silvestre De Sousa |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
Other Principal Races at Doncaster Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Doncaster racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
