Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Preview
The Carrie Red Fillies Nursery is run at Doncaster racecourse during the St Leger Festival, the race is run on the opening day (Thursday) and is a Nursery (Handicap) open to two-year-old fillies only with the race being run over six and a half furlongs (111y).
Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Information:
- Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Past Winners
- Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trainer Statistics
- Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at Doncaster then head over to the Doncaster tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival section for links to these.
How competitive is the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2017 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2015 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.
Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trends:
- 2024 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trends
- Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trend Analysis
- Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trend Shortlist
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +0.58. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Royal Confidence, trained by B W Hills and ridden by William Buick who set the fastest winning time in the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery, the runner won the race in a time of 1:17.42 when winning the race in 2007. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Richard Hannon Snr and jockey Franny Norton with Ronaldsay who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:25.69 in the 2006 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Carrie Red Fillies Nursery over the last 20 renewals:
- Royal Confidence (1:17.42) in 2007
- Nemoralia (1:17.59) in 2015
- In The Slips (1:17.92) in 2009
Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Past Winners
Here are the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 1:22.34 | Chic Colombine (FR) 2yo 9-2 (5 of 10) 9/4F | William Buick George Boughey (GB) |
| 2022 1:18.19 | Bonny Angel (GB) 2yo 8-9 (5 of 10) 4/1F | John Fahy Clive Cox (GB) |
| 2021 1:18.91 | Allayaali (IRE) 2yo 9-5 (3 of 11) 9/1 | Dane O'Neill Charles Hills (GB) |
| 2020 1:18.63 | Spright (GB) 2yo 9-3 (3 of 15) 10/1 | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2019 1:20.36 | Graceful Magic (GB) 2yo 8-11 (10 of 13) 5/1F | Charles Bishop Eve Johnson Houghton (GB) |
| 2018 1:19.64 | Stay Classy (IRE) 2yo 8-7 (7 of 13) 6/1 | David Egan Richard Spencer (GB) |
| 2017 1:19.89 | Ellthea (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (2 of 6) 8/1 | Clifford Lee (3lbs) K R Burke (GB) |
| 2016 1:20.93 | Glitter Girl (GB) 2yo 9-7 (3 of 12) 9/2F | Ryan Moore William Haggas (GB) |
| 2015 1:17.59 | Nemoralia (USA) 2yo 9-7 (20 of 19) 7/4F | Frankie Dettori Jeremy Noseda (GB) |
| 2014 1:18.10 | Home Cummins (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (11 of 17) 12/1 | Jack Garritty (5lbs) Richard Fahey (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 46 placings from 285 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
- AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery over the last 20 renewals with both Richard Fahey and K R Burke who have both won the race two times. Richard Fahey winners have been with Jamesbos Girl (2012) and Home Cummins (2014). K R Burke winners have been with Ellthea (2017) and Spright (2020).
Here are the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Fahey | 13-2-4 | +9.00 | +3.85 |
| K R Burke | 9-2-5 | +11.00 | +9.20 |
| William Haggas | 6-1-1 | -0.50 | -2.19 |
| Richard Spencer | 3-1-1 | +4.00 | +1.75 |
| George Boughey | 1-1-1 | +2.25 | +1.35 |
| Kevin Ryan | 8-0-1 | -8.00 | -4.37 |
| Brian Meehan | 3-0-2 | -3.00 | +2.50 |
| Andrew Balding | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | -0.37 |
| George Scott | 1-0-1 | -1.00 | +0.05 |
| Charlie Johnston | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Jockey Statistics
Here are the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Bishop | 1-1-1 | +5.00 | +3.13 |
| Joe Fanning | 9-0-1 | -9.00 | -7.75 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 7-0-1 | -7.00 | -5.75 |
| Tom Marquand | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| Tom Eaves | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
| Oisin Murphy | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
| Sean Levey | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
| Hayley Turner | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| P J McDonald | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
2024 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 13, 3, 6, 1, 6, (2, 3), 3, (3, 7), 9, 8, 14, 1, 1, 2, 5, (1, 2), 3, 7, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Not on HY/SFT/FM/STD (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Carried 121 - 134lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Held an OR of 74+
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Highest Run is not G2/Cl3/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 28/1
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 61+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Within the first 13 of the market
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not on HY/SFT/FM/STD-SLW (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Break of 7 - 98 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran in 2 - 6 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 70+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 7 races (Further)
- 19 / 20 (85%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 18 / 20 (68%) - Achieved a TS of 63+ (Last 3)
- 18 / 20 (75%) - Won within last 2 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery. You may want to do your research into the race, there are times when there are several runners who pass the trends so you need to do your research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery by adding a tip on the race here.
Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +16.00 is when runners ran on Good To Firm ground last time out. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a biggest odds run of 33/1, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-39.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 5 (9,6) [10 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 5 (10,2) [10 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 3 (10,9) [11 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 3 (9,7) [15 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 10 (7,14) [13 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery are Leicester, Newmarket (July), Sandown, Goodwood and Newbury, there has been a total number of 2 winners from each of those courses.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery, that stallion More Than Ready has produced 2 winners (2015,2009).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery despite multiple attempts:
- Bahamian Bounty (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Iffraaj (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Compton Place (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Fast Company (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was In The Slips in 2009, winning for Paul Cole at odds of 28/1 under the guidance of Greg Fairley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trend Shortlist
Doncaster will host the 2024 renewal of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery which will be run at 1:50 pm on Thursday 12th September 2024 and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Dear Cat (9/1)
- Warren Greatrex (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- Edward Greatrex (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- 15/15 Silver Ghost (10/1)
- Emma Lavelle (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- Charles Bishop (1-1-1 +5.00 / +3.13)
Others: Scatter Penny (14/15), Skellig Isle (14/15), Art Design (14/15), Eartha (14/15), Ghost Run (13/15), Hackney Diamonds (13/15), Toomuchforme (13/15), Alice Fairfax (12/15), Substitute (11/15), Beauty Nation (11/15), Griselda (10/15), Hot Like Me (10/15), Oolong Poobong (10/15) and Stage Effect (5/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (10:52 am Wednesday 11th September 2024), if no odds were available at the time of posting then forecasted odds are used.
Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival
Here is the schedule for the four-day St Leger Festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Thursday at St Leger Festival
There are a couple of Group 2's which take centre-stage on the opening day of the St Leger Festival, the £120k May Hill Stakes where the two-year-olds feature and then the £150k Park Hill Fillies Stakes where the older fillies compete.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery | Chic Colombine (FR) 2yo - 9/4 | George Boughey William Buick |
| 14:25 Doncaster 2yo Stakes | Room Service (IRE) 2yo - 10/1 | Kevin Ryan Tom Eaves |
| 15:00 May Hill Stakes | Darnation (IRE) 2yo - 11/10 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 15:35 Park Hill Stakes | Sumo Sam (GB) 3yo - 4/1 | Paul & Oliver Cole Rossa Ryan |
| 17:50 St Leger Festival Class 3 1m4f Handicap | In The Breeze (IRE) 5yo - 15/2 | Michael Appleby Tom Marquand |
Friday at St Leger Festival
On Friday, the feature race of the day is the Group 2 Doncaster Cup which is part of the British Champion Series and carries a £140k purse. The Flying Childers Stakes is another race on Friday which carries a decent purse, £130k on offer for the two-year-olds.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Mallard Handicap | Legendary Day (GB) 5yo - 12/1 | Adrian Paul Keatley Mark Winn |
| 14:25 Flying Scotsman Stakes | Dancing Gemini (IRE) 2yo - 5/1 | Roger Teal Lewis Edmunds |
| 15:00 Flying Childers Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Michael Appleby Tom Marquand |
| 15:35 Doncaster Cup | Trueshan (FR) 7yo - 100/30 | Alan King Hollie Doyle |
Saturday at St Leger Festival
The feature race of the festival, the St Leger takes place on Saturday, another race which is part of the British Champion Series, this Group 1 carries a purse of £700k. The three races before the St Leger all carry decent purses too, the Champagne Stakes (£150k), the Portland (£100k) and the Park Stakes (£140k).
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Champagne Stakes | Iberian (IRE) 2yo - 3/1 | Charles Hills Tom Marquand |
| 14:25 Portland Heritage Handicap | Annaf (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | Michael Appleby Rossa Ryan |
| 15:00 Park Stakes | Sandrine (GB) 4yo - 11/2 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 15:40 St Leger | Continuous (JPN) 3yo - 3/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:15 PJ Towey Construction Handicap | La Yakel (GB) 4yo - 13/8 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 17:25 St Leger Festival Class 2 Mile Handicap | Liberty Lane (IRE) 3yo - 11/2 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
Sunday at St Leger Festival
Sunday is a bit more low-key, only one class one race which is the £85k Sceptre Stakes for the fillies over 7f and there are also a couple of decent handicaps carrying good purses of £70k and £65k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:40 City of Doncaster Handicap | Poet Master (IRE) 3yo - 9/2 | K R Burke Sam James |
| 15:15 Sceptre Stakes | Matilda Picotte (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | Kieran P Cotter Oisin Murphy |
| 16:15 St Leger Festival Class 2 Sprint Handicap | Baradar (IRE) 5yo - 100/30 | George Boughey William Buick |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Other Principal Races at Doncaster Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Doncaster racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in January
Races in March
Races in October
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