2022 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Preview, Trends & Analysis (St Leger Festival)

2022 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Preview, Trends & Analysis (St Leger Festival)

2022 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Preview

The Carrie Red Fillies Nursery is run at Doncaster racecourse during the St Leger Festival, the race is run on the second day (Thursday) and is a Nursery (Handicap) open to two-year-old fillies only with the race being run over six and a half furlongs (111y).

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Doncaster Betting Picks page to see which of those runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the B W Hills trained Royal Confidence ridden by William Buick who has set the fastest winning time in the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery, the runner won the race in a time of 1:17.42 that was set when winning the race in 2007. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Richard Hannon Snr and jockey Franny Norton with Ronaldsay who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:25.69 in the 2006 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Carrie Red Fillies Nursery over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2007 - Royal Confidence (1:17.42)
  • 2015 - Nemoralia (1:17.59)
  • 2009 - In The Slips (1:17.92)

How competitive is the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2017 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2015 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery, the over-round has been 121% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £121 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery next time out then you would have back a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -2.75. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery.

Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:18.91
Allayaali
2yo 9-5 (3 of 11) 9/1
Dane O'Neill
Charles Hills
2020
1:18.63
Spright
2yo 9-3 (3 of 15) 10/1
Clifford Lee
K R Burke
2019
1:20.36
Graceful Magic
2yo 8-11 (10 of 13) 5/1F
Charles Bishop
Eve Johnson Houghton
2018
1:19.64
Stay Classy
2yo 8-7 (7 of 13) 6/1
David Egan
Richard Spencer
2017
1:19.89
Ellthea
2yo 9-0 (2 of 6) 8/1
Clifford Lee (3lbs)
K R Burke
2016
1:20.93
Glitter Girl
2yo 9-7 (3 of 12) 9/2F
Ryan Moore
William Haggas
2015
1:17.59
Nemoralia
2yo 9-7 (20 of 19) 7/4F
Frankie Dettori
Jeremy Noseda
2014
1:18.10
Home Cummins
2yo 9-2 (11 of 17) 12/1
Jack Garritty (5lbs)
Richard Fahey
2013
1:20.50
Aqlaam Vision
2yo 8-8 (10 of 14) 9/1
William Buick
Clive Brittain
2012
1:19.47
Jamesbos Girl
2yo 9-3 (17 of 18) 8/1
Paul Hanagan
Richard Fahey

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 48 placings from 304 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery over the last 20 renewals with both Richard Fahey & K R Burke who have both won the race 2 times. Richard Fahey winners have been with Jamesbos Girl (2012) & Home Cummins (2014). K R Burke winners have been with Ellthea (2017) & Spright (2020). There are two trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery, Mark Johnston has sent a total of 15 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst Mick Channon has sent out 13 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Carrie Red Fillies Nursery trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Richard Fahey 13-2-4 +9.00 +3.85
K R Burke 8-2-5 +12.00 +10.20
Tim Easterby 23-1-5 -10.00 -3.62
William Haggas 6-1-2 -0.50 -0.44
Charles Hills 5-1-1 +5.00 +1.40
Jamie Osborne 5-1-1 +1.50 -0.56
Eve Johnson Houghton 4-1-2 +2.00 +1.38
Richard Spencer 3-1-1 +4.00 +1.75
Saeed bin Suroor 3-1-2 +3.00 +2.07
David Elsworth 1-1-1 +6.50 +3.90

Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery over the last 20 renewals with all of William Buick, Frankie Dettori & Clifford Lee having all won the race 2 times. William Buick winners have been with Royal Confidence (2007) & Aqlaam Vision (2013). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Swan Nebula (2004) & Nemoralia (2015). Clifford Lee winners have been with Ellthea (2017) & Spright (2020).

Here are some of the top Carrie Red Fillies Nursery jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
William Buick 8-2-2 +8.00 +2.13
Frankie Dettori 5-2-3 +3.75 +2.16
Clifford Lee 4-2-3 +16.00 +10.95
Paul Hanagan 15-1-4 -6.00 -4.90
Ryan Moore 11-1-2 -5.50 -5.94
Franny Norton 10-1-3 +3.00 +0.83
Jamie Spencer 8-1-2 -0.50 -1.72
Dane O'Neill 4-1-2 +6.00 +3.84
David Egan 4-1-3 +3.00 +3.98
Jack Garritty 2-1-1 +11.00 +6.50

2022 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,5,1,13,3,6,1,6,(2,3),3,(3,7),9,8,14,1,1,2,5,(1,2),3,7

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Handicap rating of 73+
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Top 3 finish within last 3
  • 19 / 20 (55%) - No bigger than 16/1
  • 19 / 20 (76%) - Ran on GS, GD or GF (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (86%) - Had placed over at least 6f
  • 19 / 20 (86%) - Fewer than 14 runners (Debut)
  • 18 / 20 (64%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Debut)
  • 18 / 20 (83%) - 3-6 Career starts
  • 18 / 20 (86%) - Ran in a Class 2-5 (LTO)
  • 16 / 17 (80%) - Not within 1lb of average OR

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works? No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles too in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery by adding a tip on the race here.

Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +3.00 is when runners ran on Good To Firm ground last time out. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a biggest odds run of 33/1, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-40.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 3 (10,9) [11 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 3 (9,7) [15 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 10 (7,14) [13 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 7 (9,2) [13 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 2 (4) [6 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery:

  • More Than Ready (2 Wins)
  • Royal Applause (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery despite multiple attempts:

  • Bahamian Bounty (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Iffraaj (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Compton Place (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Fast Company (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was In The Slips in 2009 when winning for Paul Cole at odds of 28/1 under the guidance of Greg Fairley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 5 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2022 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today.

Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Wednesday 7th September 2022

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Thursday 8th September 2022

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Friday 9th September 2022

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Saturday 10th September 2022

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