Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (St Leger Festival)

Updated: 735 Horse Racing

We look at the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 6½f at Doncaster during the St Leger Festival to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery.

Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (St Leger Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Preview

The Carrie Red Fillies Nursery is run at Doncaster racecourse during the St Leger Festival, the race is run on the second day (Thursday) and is a Nursery (Handicap) open to two-year-old fillies only with the race being run over six and a half furlongs (111y).

Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Information:

We also have a dedicated Doncaster tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2017 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2015 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.

Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -2.75. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:17.42 was set by Royal Confidence in 2007, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by B W Hills and ridden by William Buick. The slowest winning time was set in 2006 when Ronaldsay won in a time of 1:25.69, booked to ride was Franny Norton on this Richard Hannon Snr trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Carrie Red Fillies Nursery over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2007 - Royal Confidence (1:17.42)
  • 2015 - Nemoralia (1:17.59)
  • 2009 - In The Slips (1:17.92)

Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Past Winners

Here are the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:22.34
Chic Colombine (FR)
2yo 9-2 (5 of 10) 9/4F
William Buick
George Boughey (GB)
2022
1:18.19
Bonny Angel (GB)
2yo 8-9 (5 of 10) 4/1F
John Fahy
Clive Cox (GB)
2021
1:18.91
Allayaali (IRE)
2yo 9-5 (3 of 11) 9/1
Dane O'Neill
Charles Hills (GB)
2020
1:18.63
Spright (GB)
2yo 9-3 (3 of 15) 10/1
Clifford Lee
K R Burke (GB)
2019
1:20.36
Graceful Magic (GB)
2yo 8-11 (10 of 13) 5/1F
Charles Bishop
Eve Johnson Houghton (GB)
2018
1:19.64
Stay Classy (IRE)
2yo 8-7 (7 of 13) 6/1
David Egan
Richard Spencer (GB)
2017
1:19.89
Ellthea (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (2 of 6) 8/1
Clifford Lee (3lbs)
K R Burke (GB)
2016
1:20.93
Glitter Girl (GB)
2yo 9-7 (3 of 12) 9/2F
Ryan Moore
William Haggas (GB)
2015
1:17.59
Nemoralia (USA)
2yo 9-7 (20 of 19) 7/4F
Frankie Dettori
Jeremy Noseda (GB)
2014
1:18.10
Home Cummins (IRE)
2yo 9-2 (11 of 17) 12/1
Jack Garritty (5lbs)
Richard Fahey (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 46 placings from 285 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery over the last 20 renewals with both Richard Fahey and K R Burke who have both won the race two times. Richard Fahey winners have been with Jamesbos Girl (2012) and Home Cummins (2014). K R Burke winners have been with Ellthea (2017) and Spright (2020). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery, Tim Easterby has sent a total of 22 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Carrie Red Fillies Nursery trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Richard Fahey 13-2-4 +9.00 +3.85
K R Burke 9-2-5 +11.00 +9.20
William Haggas 6-1-1 -0.50 -2.19
Charles Hills 5-1-1 +5.00 +1.40
Clive Cox 5-1-2 +0.00 -0.45
Eve Johnson Houghton 4-1-2 +2.00 +1.38
Richard Spencer 3-1-1 +4.00 +1.75
Saeed bin Suroor 3-1-2 +3.00 +2.07
David Elsworth 1-1-1 +6.50 +3.90
Sir Mark Prescott Bt 1-1-1 +5.50 +3.44

Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery over the last 20 renewals is William Buick who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Royal Confidence (2007), Aqlaam Vision (2013) and Chic Colombine (2023). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery are Frankie Dettori (2 wins) and Clifford Lee (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Carrie Red Fillies Nursery jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
William Buick 9-3-3 +10.25 +3.48
Frankie Dettori 5-2-3 +3.75 +2.16
Clifford Lee 4-2-3 +16.00 +10.95
Paul Hanagan 13-1-3 -4.00 -4.65
Franny Norton 9-1-3 +4.00 +1.83
Ryan Moore 9-1-2 -3.50 -3.94
Jamie Spencer 6-1-2 +1.50 +0.28
David Egan 5-1-3 +2.00 +2.98
Dane O'Neill 4-1-2 +6.00 +3.84
John Fahy 3-1-3 +2.00 +2.80

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 13, 3, 6, 1, 6, (2, 3), 3, (3, 7), 9, 8, 14, 1, 1, 2, 5, (1, 2), 3, 7, 1, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (77%) - Not on HY/SFT/FM/STD (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Carried 121 - 134lbs (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Held an OR of 74+
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Highest Run is not G2/Cl3/Cl5
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 28/1
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 61+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Within the first 13 of the market
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Not on HY/SFT/FM/STD-SLW (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Break of 7 - 98 days (Last Place)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Made 2 - 6 starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 70+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 7 starts (Further)
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Placed within last 2 starts
  • 18 / 20 (68%) - Achieved a TS of 63+ (Last 3)
  • 18 / 20 (75%) - Won within last 2 starts

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery by adding a tip on the race here.

Carrie Red Fillies Nursery Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +16.00 is when runners ran on Good To Firm ground last time out. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a biggest odds run of 33/1, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-39.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 5 (9,6) [10 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 5 (10,2) [10 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 3 (10,9) [11 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 3 (9,7) [15 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 10 (7,14) [13 Runners]

The courses that have produced the most winners of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery are Leicester, Newmarket (July), Sandown, Goodwood and Newbury, there has been a total number of 2 winners from each of those courses.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery, that stallion More Than Ready has produced 2 winners (2015,2009).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Carrie Red Fillies Nursery despite multiple attempts:

  • Bahamian Bounty (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Iffraaj (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Compton Place (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Fast Company (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was In The Slips in 2009, winning for Paul Cole at odds of 28/1 under the guidance of Greg Fairley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Carrie Red Fillies Nursery head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

Other Principal races during the Doncaster St Leger Festival

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Thursday 12th September 2024

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Friday 13th September 2024

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Saturday 14th September 2024

Doncaster St Leger Festival races for Sunday 15th September 2024

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