Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Futurity Trophy Preview
Established in 1961 and run at the Doncaster Racecourse is the Futurity Trophy, a Group 1 race that is run towards the end of the flat season. The race is restricted to two-year-old colts and fillies and is run over a distance of one mile, it's one of the final big one-milers of the flat season.
The race was known originally as the Timeform Gold Cup before the Observer picked up sponsorship in 1965, in 1976 the race picked up the name the Futurity Stakes when William Hill sponsored the race but it is probably best known as the Racing Post Trophy, a title it held between 1989 to 2017.
Futurity Trophy Information:
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Doncaster tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Doncaster Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Futurity Trophy market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2012 when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Futurity Trophy, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.
Futurity Trophy Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Futurity Trophy next time out then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +7.29. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2023 renewal when Ancient Wisdom from Charlie Appleby under the guidance of William Buick, won in a time of 1:46.45, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Kameko, trained by Andrew Balding and ridden by Oisin Murphy set the quickest time of 1:36.26 in the 2019 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Futurity Trophy over the last 20 renewals:
- Kameko (1:36.26) in 2019
- Casamento (1:37.03) in 2010
- Rivet Delight (1:37.08) in 2016
Futurity Trophy Past Winners
Here are the Futurity Trophy past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Futurity Trophy are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:41.95 | Hotazhell (GB) 2yo 9-3 (7 of 8) 11/1 | Shane Foley Mrs John Harrington (IRE) |
| 2023 1:46.45 | Ancient Wisdom (FR) 2yo 9-3 (4 of 7) 5/4F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2022 1:44.76 | Auguste Rodin (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (6 of 8) 9/4F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2021 1:43.61 | Luxembourg (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (2 of 8) 4/6F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2020 1:41.98 | Mac Swiney (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (7 of 8) 12/1 | Kevin Manning J S Bolger (IRE) |
| 2019 1:36.26 | Kameko (USA) 2yo 9-1 (6 of 11) 11/2 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2018 1:37.72 | Magna Grecia (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (11 of 11) 2/1F | Donnacha O'Brien A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2017 1:40.12 | Saxon Warrior (JPN) 2yo 9-1 (9 of 12) 13/8F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 1:37.08 | Rivet Delight (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (5 of 10) 11/4 | Andrea Atzeni William Haggas (GB) |
| 2015 1:42.19 | Marcel (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (4 of 7) 33/1 | Andrea Atzeni Peter Chapple-Hyam (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Futurity Trophy have been based:
- GB: 10 winners with an additional 20 placings from 124 runners
- IRE: 10 winners with an additional 14 placings from 65 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
Futurity Trophy Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Futurity Trophy over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race seven times with those seven winners coming from St Nicholas Abbey (2009), Camelot (2011), Kingsbarns (2012), Saxon Warrior (2017), Magna Grecia (2018), Luxembourg (2021) and Auguste Rodin (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Futurity Trophy are Andrew Balding (2 wins) and Peter Chapple-Hyam (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Futurity Trophy, John Gosden has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Futurity Trophy trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 46-7-18 | -28.03 | -13.48 |
| Andrew Balding | 7-2-2 | +2.13 | -0.72 |
| Peter Chapple-Hyam | 6-2-2 | +54.00 | +31.63 |
| Brian Meehan | 9-1-4 | -1.00 | +3.40 |
| J S Bolger | 7-1-2 | +6.00 | +2.70 |
| Charlie Appleby | 6-1-2 | -3.75 | -3.57 |
| Kevin Ryan | 4-1-1 | +17.00 | +9.50 |
| Roger Varian | 3-1-3 | +1.50 | +2.45 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 3-1-2 | +0.75 | +0.60 |
| Mrs John Harrington | 2-1-1 | +10.00 | +5.60 |
Futurity Trophy Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Futurity Trophy over the last 20 renewals is Andrea Atzeni who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Kingston Hill (2013), Elm Park (2014), Marcel (2015) and Rivet Delight (2016). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Futurity Trophy are Ryan Moore (3 wins) and Frankie Dettori (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Futurity Trophy jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Atzeni | 7-4-4 | +37.88 | +22.36 |
| Ryan Moore | 7-3-7 | +0.55 | +5.26 |
| Frankie Dettori | 6-2-4 | +23.00 | +13.95 |
| William Buick | 7-1-3 | -4.75 | -3.07 |
| Neil Callan | 5-1-1 | +16.00 | +8.50 |
| Jamie Spencer | 5-1-2 | +3.00 | +1.25 |
| Oisin Murphy | 5-1-3 | +1.50 | +3.10 |
| Shane Foley | 1-1-1 | +11.00 | +6.60 |
| Kerrin McEvoy | 1-1-1 | +2.75 | +1.65 |
| Seamie Heffernan | 7-0-3 | -7.00 | -2.52 |
2025 Futurity Trophy Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 4, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 3, 2, 1, 1, 5, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 33/1
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 86+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved a TS of 50+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 124 - 131lbs (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (75%) - Break of 14 - 100 days (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (76%) - Carried 125 - 131lbs (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (78%) - In a field of 5 - 13 (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (80%) - Ran over 7f - 1m (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (81%) - Furthest Won 7f - 1m
- 19 / 20 (83%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (84%) - Not in a G1/Cl5 (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (84%) - Won within last 2 starts
- 17 / 20 (66%) - Achieved a TS of 81+ (Non-Hcps)
- 17 / 20 (67%) - No bigger than 8/1 (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Futurity Trophy. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Futurity Trophy by adding a tip on the race here.
Futurity Trophy Trend Analysis
The trend factor that produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +26.06 is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 1 (G2). The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners carried 128 lbs when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-20.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 7 (2,4) [8 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 4 (8) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (7,5) [8 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 (1,6) [8 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 7 (8,1) [8 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Futurity Trophy is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Curragh, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Futurity Trophy:
- Montjeu (3 Wins)
- Deep Impact (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Futurity Trophy despite multiple attempts:
- Danehill Dancer (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Lope De Vega (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Marcel in 2015, winning for Peter Chapple-Hyam at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Andrea Atzeni. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 12 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Futurity Trophy why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Futurity Trophy Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
Other Principal races at Doncaster Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Doncaster racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in January
Races in March
Races in September (St Leger Festival)
- Carrie Red Fillies Nursery
- Doncaster 2yo Stakes
- May Hill Stakes
- Park Hill Stakes
- St Leger Festival Class 3 1m4f Handicap
- Doncaster Cup
- Flying Childers Stakes
- Flying Scotsman Stakes
- Mallard Handicap
- Champagne Stakes
- Park Stakes
- PJ Towey Construction Handicap
- Portland Heritage Handicap
- St Leger
- St Leger Festival Class 2 Mile Handicap
- City of Doncaster Handicap
- Sceptre Stakes
- St Leger Festival Class 2 Sprint Handicap
