Futurity Trophy Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

2024 Futurity Trophy Preview

Established in 1961 and run at the Doncaster Racecourse is the Futurity Trophy, a Group 1 race that is run towards the end of the flat season. The race is restricted to two-year-old colts and fillies and is run over a distance of one mile, it's one of the final big one-milers of the flat season.

The race was known originally as the Timeform Gold Cup before the Observer picked up sponsorship in 1965, in 1976 the race picked up the name the Futurity Stakes when William Hill sponsored the race but it is probably best known as the Racing Post Trophy, a title it held between 1989 to 2017.

Futurity Trophy Information:

• Futurity Trophy Past Winners
• Futurity Trophy Trainer Statistics
• Futurity Trophy Jockey Statistics

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Doncaster tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Doncaster Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Futurity Trophy market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2012 when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Futurity Trophy, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.

Futurity Trophy Trends:

• 2024 Futurity Trophy Trends
• Futurity Trophy Trend Analysis

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Futurity Trophy next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +9.29. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Futurity Trophy remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2023 renewal when Ancient Wisdom from Charlie Appleby under the guidance of William Buick, won in a time of 1:46.45, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Kameko, trained by Andrew Balding and ridden by Oisin Murphy set the quickest time of 1:36.26 in the 2019 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Futurity Trophy over the last 20 renewals:

• 2019 - Kameko (1:36.26)
• 2010 - Casamento (1:37.03)
• 2016 - Rivet Delight (1:37.08)

Futurity Trophy Past Winners

Here are the Futurity Trophy past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Futurity Trophy as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Futurity Trophy have been based:

• GB: 11 winners with an additional 20 placings from 124 runners
• IRE: 9 winners with an additional 14 placings from 65 runners
• FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner

Futurity Trophy Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Futurity Trophy over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race seven times with those seven winners coming from St Nicholas Abbey (2009), Camelot (2011), Kingsbarns (2012), Saxon Warrior (2017), Magna Grecia (2018), Luxembourg (2021) and Auguste Rodin (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Futurity Trophy are Peter Chapple-Hyam (2 wins) and Andrew Balding (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Futurity Trophy, John Gosden has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Futurity Trophy trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Futurity Trophy Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Futurity Trophy over the last 20 renewals is Andrea Atzeni who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Kingston Hill (2013), Elm Park (2014), Marcel (2015) and Rivet Delight (2016). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Futurity Trophy are Ryan Moore (3 wins) and Frankie Dettori (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Futurity Trophy jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

2024 Futurity Trophy Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 3, 4, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 3, 2, 1, 1, 5, 2, 1, 1, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

• 20 / 20 (75%) - Within the first 7 of the market
• 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 33/1
• 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 86+ (LTO)
• 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 50+ (LTO)
• 20 / 20 (88%) - Carried 124 - 131lbs (LTO)
• 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved a TS of 63+ (Non-Hcps)
• 19 / 20 (74%) - Break of 14 - 100 days (Last Win)
• 19 / 20 (76%) - In a field of 5 - 13 (Last Win)
• 19 / 20 (77%) - Carried 125 - 131lbs (Last Win)
• 19 / 20 (78%) - Ran over 7f - 1mf (Last Win)
• 19 / 20 (78%) - Furthest Won 7f - 1mf
• 19 / 20 (82%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW (Last Win)
• 19 / 20 (84%) - Highest Won is not G1/Cl5
• 19 / 20 (85%) - Highest Placed is not LST/Cl5
• 19 / 20 (85%) - Not in FRA/SCO/WAL (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Doncaster racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Futurity Trophy. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Futurity Trophy by adding a tip on the race here.

Futurity Trophy Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +16.60 is when runners were 1st in the betting market. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 5th in the betting market, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-20.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

• 2023: Winner in 4 (8) [7 Runners]
• 2022: Winner in 6 (7,5) [8 Runners]
• 2021: Winner in 2 (1,6) [8 Runners]
• 2020: Winner in 7 (8,1) [8 Runners]
• 2019: Winner in 6 (4,7) [11 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Futurity Trophy is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Curragh, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Futurity Trophy:

• Montjeu (4 Wins)
• Deep Impact (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Futurity Trophy despite multiple attempts:

• Danehill Dancer (0 Wins from 5 runners)
• Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Marcel in 2015, winning for Peter Chapple-Hyam at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Andrea Atzeni. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 13 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Futurity Trophy head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

Other Principal races at Doncaster racecourse

Here are some other notable races at the Doncaster racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in January

• Sky Bet Handicap Chase

Races in March

• Grimthorpe Handicap Chase
• Lincoln Handicap
• Spring Mile

Races in September (St Leger Festival)

• Carrie Red Fillies Nursery
• Doncaster 2yo Stakes
• May Hill Stakes
• Park Hill Stakes
• Winners Wear Skopes Menswear Handicap
• Doncaster Cup
• Doncaster Groundworks Reinforcements Handicap
• Flying Childers Stakes
• Flying Scotsman Stakes
• Mallard Handicap
• Champagne Stakes
• Hippo Pro 3 Sealant Handicap
• Park Stakes
• PJ Towey Construction Handicap
• Portland Heritage Handicap
• St Leger
• City of Doncaster Handicap
• Scarbrough Stakes
• Sceptre Stakes

Races in October

• Doncaster Stakes
• Futurity Trophy Weekend 5f Handicap
• Futurity Trophy Weekend 6f Handicap