You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Futurity Trophy Preview
Established in 1961 and run at the Doncaster Racecourse, the Futurity Trophy, a Group 1 race that is run towards the end of the flat season. The race is restricted to two-year-old colts and fillies and is run over a distance of one mile; it's one of the final big one-milers of the flat season.
The race was known originally as the Timeform Gold Cup before the Observer picked up sponsorship in 1965. In 1976, the race picked up the name the Futurity Stakes when William Hill sponsored the race, but it is probably best known as the Racing Post Trophy, a title it held between 1989 to 2017.
For sponsorship purposes, the 2025 renewal of the Futurity Trophy will hold the title of 'William Hill Futurity Trophy Stakes'.
Futurity Trophy Information:
We also have a dedicated Doncaster tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at Doncaster Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Futurity Trophy market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2012 when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Futurity Trophy, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ117 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Futurity Trophy Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Futurity Trophy Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the Futurity Trophy Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.
These are the top three quickest-run Futurity Trophy races over the last 20 renewals:
- Kameko (1:36.26) in 2019
- Casamento (1:37.03) in 2010
- Rivet Delight (1:37.08) in 2016
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Futurity Trophy next time out, then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +6.29. Ahead of the 2025 Futurity Trophy, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:36.26 was set by Kameko in 2019, trained by Andrew Balding and ridden by Oisin Murphy, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Ancient Wisdom won in a time of 1:46.45 for trainer Charlie Appleby, who booked William Buick in the saddle.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Futurity Trophy Past Winners
Here are the Futurity Trophy past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Futurity Trophy are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:41.95 | Hotazhell (GB) 2yo 9-3 (7 of 8) 11/1 | Shane Foley Mrs John Harrington (IRE) |
| 2023 1:46.45 | Ancient Wisdom (FR) 2yo 9-3 (4 of 7) 5/4F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2022 1:44.76 | Auguste Rodin (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (6 of 8) 9/4F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2021 1:43.61 | Luxembourg (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (2 of 8) 4/6F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2020 1:41.98 | Mac Swiney (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (7 of 8) 12/1 | Kevin Manning J S Bolger (IRE) |
| 2019 1:36.26 | Kameko (USA) 2yo 9-1 (6 of 11) 11/2 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2018 1:37.72 | Magna Grecia (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (11 of 11) 2/1F | Donnacha O'Brien A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2017 1:40.12 | Saxon Warrior (JPN) 2yo 9-1 (9 of 12) 13/8F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 1:37.08 | Rivet Delight (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (5 of 10) 11/4 | Andrea Atzeni William Haggas (GB) |
| 2015 1:42.19 | Marcel (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (4 of 7) 33/1 | Andrea Atzeni Peter Chapple-Hyam (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Futurity Trophy have been based:
- GB: 10 winners with an additional 20 placings from 124 runners
- IRE: 10 winners with an additional 14 placings from 65 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
2024 Futurity Trophy Replay
Futurity Trophy Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Futurity Trophy over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race seven times, with those seven winners coming from St Nicholas Abbey (2009), Camelot (2011), Kingsbarns (2012), Saxon Warrior (2017), Magna Grecia (2018), Luxembourg (2021) and Auguste Rodin (2022). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Futurity Trophy is Andrew Balding (2 wins).
Here are the Futurity Trophy trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 46-7-18 | -28.03 | -13.48 |
| Andrew Balding | 7-2-2 | +2.13 | -0.72 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -3.20 |
Futurity Trophy Jockey Statistics
Here are the Futurity Trophy jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oisin Murphy (Oxagon) | 5-1-3 | +1.50 | +3.10 |
| Wayne Lordan (Action) | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -3.60 |
| Colin Keane (Item) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Ronan Whelan (Hawk Mountain) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
2025 Futurity Trophy Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 4, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 3, 2, 1, 1, 5, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 33/1
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 86+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved a TS of 50+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 124 - 131lbs (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (75%) - Break of 14 - 100 days (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (76%) - Carried 125 - 131lbs (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (78%) - In a field of 5 - 13 (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (80%) - Ran over 7f - 1m (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (81%) - Furthest Won 7f - 1m
- 19 / 20 (83%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (84%) - Not in a G1/Cl5 (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (84%) - Won within last 2 starts
- 17 / 20 (66%) - Achieved a TS of 81+ (Non-Hcps)
- 17 / 20 (67%) - No bigger than 8/1 (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Doncaster racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Futurity Trophy. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over ÂŁ6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Futurity Trophy by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Futurity Trophy Trend Shortlist
Doncaster will host the 2025 renewal of the Futurity Trophy, which will be run at 2:05 pm on Saturday, 25th October 2025, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Hawk Mountain (5/4)
- A P O'Brien (46-7-18 -28.03 / -13.48)
- Ronan Whelan (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)
Others: Oxagon (14/15), Benvenuto Cellini (13/15), Action (12/15), Item (11/15) and Rochfortbridge (10/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (11:43 am Thursday 23rd October 2025), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.
Benvenuto Cellini won the Champions Juvenile Stakes last time out, and a total of 3 previous winners of that race from a total of 18 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of -12.17.
Futurity Trophy Trend Analysis
â The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +26.06, is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 1 (G2).
â The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners carried 128lbs when last winning, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-20.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 7 (2,4) [8 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 4 (8) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (7,5) [8 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 (1,6) [8 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 7 (8,1) [8 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Futurity Trophy is Newmarket (Rowley); there have been a total of 8 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Curragh; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Futurity Trophy:
- Montjeu (3 Wins)
- Deep Impact (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Futurity Trophy despite multiple attempts:
- Danehill Dancer (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Lope De Vega (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Marcel in 2015, winning for Peter Chapple-Hyam at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Andrea Atzeni. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 12 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Futurity Trophy.
Route to the Futurity Trophy
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Futurity Trophy. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Hotazhell Curragh - 1st of 5 (2/1) | Montane Developments Beresford Stakes |
| 2023 - Ancient Wisdom Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 7 (2/1) | Emirates Autumn Stakes |
| 2022 - Auguste Rodin Leopardstown - 1st of 5 (11/10) | Champions Juvenile Stakes |
| 2021 - Luxembourg Curragh - 1st of 5 (8/13) | Alan Smurfit Memorial Beresford Stakes |
| 2020 - Mac Swiney Curragh - 8th of 10 (23/1) | National Stakes |
| 2019 - Kameko Newmarket (Rowley) - 2nd of 7 (6/5) | Royal Lodge Stakes |
| 2018 - Magna Grecia Newmarket (Rowley) - 2nd of 8 (3/1) | Masar Godolphin Autumn Stakes |
| 2017 - Saxon Warrior Naas - 1st of 5 (5/6) | Juddmonte Beresford Stakes |
| 2016 - Rivet Delight Newmarket (Rowley) - 5th of 7 (11/1) | Dewhurst Stakes |
| 2015 - Marcel Newcastle - 1st of 8 (7/4) | vertem.co.uk/EBF Maiden Stakes |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Futurity Trophy Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
