Nottinghamshire Oaks Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

The Nottinghamshire Oaks, held annually at Nottingham over a distance of 1m2f, is a race rich with history. In this preview, we uncover winning formulas by highlighting notable records and the key trends formed across past renewals.
Nottinghamshire Oaks Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2027 Nottinghamshire Oaks Preview

Scheduled to take place in late April or early May of each year at the Nottingham Racecourse is the Nottinghamshire Oaks, a race that is open to fillies and mares who are aged four or older. The race is run over a trip of one mile, two furlongs and fifty yards.

Nottinghamshire Oaks Information:

Our dedicated Nottingham tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Nottinghamshire Oaks, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Nottingham throughout the season, so be sure to head over there.

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How competitive is the Nottinghamshire Oaks market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 19 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022, when the race had an over-round of 104%. The race in 2014 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 19 renewals of the Nottinghamshire Oaks, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2027 Nottinghamshire Oaks Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Nottinghamshire Oaks Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Nottinghamshire Oaks races over the last 19 renewals:

  1. Mutatis Mutandis (2:09.07) in 2015
  2. Ambiente Amigo (2:09.38) in 2025
  3. Wilamina (2:09.67) in 2017

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 19 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Nottinghamshire Oaks next time out, then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +4.88. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2027 Nottinghamshire Oaks.

When looking over the past 19 renewals, a time of 2:09.07 was set by Mutatis Mutandis in 2015, trained by Ed Walker and ridden by Luke Morris, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2012 when Set To Music won in a time of 2:22.34 for trainer Michael Bell, who booked Jamie Spencer in the saddle.

What the expert says...
Five of the six winners between 2018 & 2025 went on to run in either of two races, three went to the Hoppings Fillies Stakes at Newcastle and two to the Middleton Stakes at York, although only Sun Maiden (2019) went on to success.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Nottinghamshire Oaks Past Winners

Here are the Nottinghamshire Oaks past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Nottinghamshire Oaks are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

Race Notes: The 2024 renewal was abandoned due to a waterlogged track.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2026
2:12.24
See The Fire (GB)
5yo 9-2 (6 of 6) 1/3F
Rob Hornby
Andrew Balding (GB)
2025
2:09.38
Ambiente Amigo (GB)
4yo 9-2 (1 of 6) 4/1
Harry Davies
James Owen (GB)
2023
2:15.89
One For Bobby (IRE)
4yo 9-2 (9 of 10) 17/2
Rob Hornby
Hughie Morrison (GB)
2022
2:13.21
Noon Star (USA)
4yo 9-0 (5 of 4) 8/11F
Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2021
2:11.10
La Lune (GB)
5yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 9/1
David Probert
Henry Candy (GB)
2019
2:11.86
Sun Maiden (GB)
4yo 9-0 (7 of 7) 4/5F
Jim Crowley
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2018
2:10.38
Mia Tesoro (IRE)
5yo 9-0 (1 of 7) 6/1
Stevie Donohoe
Charlie Fellowes (GB)
2017
2:09.67
Wilamina (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (10 of 8) 11/1
Andrea Atzeni
Martyn Meade (GB)
2016
2:11.99
Elbereth (GB)
5yo 9-0 (6 of 9) 8/1
Oisin Murphy
Andrew Balding (GB)
2015
2:09.07
Mutatis Mutandis (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (13 of 13) 12/1
Luke Morris
Ed Walker (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Nottinghamshire Oaks have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 25 placings from 145 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 3 placings from 6 runners

Nottinghamshire Oaks Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Nottinghamshire Oaks over the last 19 renewals, with both Sir Michael Stoute and Andrew Balding, who have both won the race twice. Sir Michael Stoute winners have been with Sun Maiden (2019) and Noon Star (2022). Andrew Balding winners have been with Elbereth (2016) and See The Fire (2026).

Here are some of the top Nottinghamshire Oaks trainer statistics over the last 19 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Sir Michael Stoute6-2-3-2.47-2.40
Andrew Balding5-2-3+5.33+3.39
Ralph Beckett6-1-2-4.43-2.56
James Fanshawe5-1-1+29.00+15.80
Saeed bin Suroor4-1-2+4.00+2.15
Ed Walker3-1-1+10.00+5.20
Charlie Fellowes3-1-2+4.00+5.75
Lucy Wadham3-1-2+1.00+2.18
Martyn Meade2-1-1+10.00+6.60
Henry Candy2-1-1+8.00+4.40

Nottinghamshire Oaks Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Nottinghamshire Oaks over the last 19 renewals is Jamie Spencer, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Power Girl (2006), Set To Music (2012) and Secret Gesture (2014). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Nottinghamshire Oaks is Rob Hornby (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Nottinghamshire Oaks jockey statistics over the last 19 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Jamie Spencer7-3-4+12.07+8.13
Rob Hornby4-2-2+6.83+4.31
Jim Crowley6-1-2-4.20-2.40
Andrea Atzeni4-1-2+8.00+4.50
Oisin Murphy4-1-1+5.00+1.80
Luke Morris3-1-1+10.00+5.20
Ryan Moore3-1-1-1.27-2.00
David Probert2-1-1+8.00+4.40
Harry Bentley2-1-1+6.00+3.20
Stevie Donohoe2-1-1+5.00+2.75

Nottinghamshire Oaks Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +40.31, is when runners had a different jockey than when they last won.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career place in Non-Handicap, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-29.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2026: Winner in 6 (2) [6 Runners]
  • 2025: Winner in 1 (5) [6 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 9 (4,1) [10 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 5 [4 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 4 (8,5) [8 Runners]

The courses that have produced the most winners of the Nottinghamshire Oaks are York, Newmarket (Rowley), Doncaster and Haydock; there have been a total of 2 winners from each of those courses.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Nottinghamshire Oaks:

  • Danehill Dancer (2 Wins)
  • Frankel (2 Wins)
  • Galileo (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 19 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Dash To The Front in 2007, winning for James Fanshawe at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Oscar Urbina. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 19 renewals, there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2027 Nottinghamshire Oaks.

Route to the Nottinghamshire Oaks

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Nottinghamshire Oaks. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2026 - See The Fire
Del Mar - 9th of 13 (69/10)
Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf
2025 - Ambiente Amigo
Kempton (AW) - 2nd of 14 (33/1)
Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Rosebery Handicap
2023 - One For Bobby
Naas - 3rd of 12 (11/1)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Bluebell Stakes
2022 - Noon Star
Ascot - 6th of 13 (2/1)
Ribblesdale Stakes
2021 - La Lune
Doncaster - 11th of 13 (29/1)
Betfair Exchange British EBF Gillies Fillies Stakes
2019 - Sun Maiden
York - 3rd of 6 (16/1)
Middleton Stakes
2018 - Mia Tesoro
Newmarket (Rowley) - 4th of 8 (66/1)
Dahlia Stakes
2017 - Wilamina
Newmarket (Rowley) - 15th of 15 (9/1)
Rosemary Stakes
2016 - Elbereth
Ayr - 4th of 10 (16/1)
British Stallion Studs EBF Tennents Rothesay Stakes
2015 - Mutatis Mutandis
Windsor - 1st of 7 (6/1)
Keith Harte Bloodstock Handicap

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Nottinghamshire Oaks Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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