Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Northumberland Plate Preview
Established in 1833, the Northumberland Plate was for the majority of its history run on turf, that was until 2016 when the turf course at Newcastle was scrapped and replaced with an all-weather (Tapeta) track which is now the home of the Northumberland Plate.
Tomboy won the inaugural running which was staged at Killingworth, the race was moved to its current home at Gosforth Park in 1882, and the race was very popular amongst local miners who gave it the name of the Pitmen's Derby.
The race is one of the richest handicaps in the world run over the two-mile trip and is currently sponsored by Betfair with the race being open to runners aged three or older.
Northumberland Plate Information:
- Northumberland Plate Past Winners
- Northumberland Plate Trainer Statistics
- Northumberland Plate Jockey Statistics
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Newcastle tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newcastle Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Northumberland Plate market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009 when the race had an over-round of 124%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 138%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Northumberland Plate, the over-round has been 130%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £130 which is bet.
Northumberland Plate Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Northumberland Plate next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -10.00. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to easily access the OLBG racing picks daily.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2012 renewal when Ile De Re from Donald McCain under the guidance of Jim Crowley, won in a time of 3:53.94, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Quest For More, trained by Roger Charlton and ridden by George Baker set the quickest time of 3:26.53 in the 2015 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Northumberland Plate over the last 20 renewals:
- Quest For More (3:26.53) in 2015
- Toldo (3:27.48) in 2006
- Onesmoothoperator (3:27.59) in 2024
What the expert says...
Seven of the last eighteen winners ran in either the Ascot Stakes (x3) or the Chester Cup (x4) last time out including the 2023 winner, Calling The Wind who finished runner-up in the Ascot Stakes.Northumberland Plate Past Winners
Here are the Northumberland Plate's past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Northumberland Plate and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 3:27.59 | Onesmoothoperator (USA) 6yo 8-9 (12 of 20) 12/1 | Connor Beasley Brian Ellison (GB) |
| 2023 3:31.40 | Calling The Wind (IRE) 7yo 9-4 (14 of 19) 14/1 | Neil Callan Richard Hughes (GB) |
| 2022 3:39.75 | Trueshan (FR) 6yo 10-8 (10 of 20) 3/1F | Hollie Doyle Alan King (GB) |
| 2021 3:31.88 | Nicholas T (GB) 9yo 8-10 (17 of 20) 33/1 | Ben Robinson Jim Goldie (GB) |
| 2020 3:33.21 | Caravan Of Hope (IRE) 4yo 8-5 (17 of 18) 9/2F | Harry Bentley Hugo Palmer (GB) |
| 2019 3:33.14 | Who Dares Wins (IRE) 7yo 9-1 (7 of 19) 12/1 | Tom Marquand Alan King (GB) |
| 2018 3:33.56 | Withhold (GB) 5yo 9-1 (11 of 20) 5/1F | Robert Winston Roger Charlton (GB) |
| 2017 3:35.37 | Higher Power (GB) 5yo 9-9 (13 of 20) 11/2 | Tom Queally James Fanshawe (GB) |
| 2016 3:30.91 | Antiquarium (IRE) 4yo 9-5 (3 of 20) 16/1 | James McDonald Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2015 3:26.53 | Quest For More (IRE) 5yo 9-4 (3 of 19) 15/2 | George Baker Roger Charlton (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Northumberland Plate have been based:
- GB: 19 winners with an additional 58 placings from 366 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 14 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Northumberland Plate Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the Northumberland Plate over the last 20 renewals with Alan King, Donald McCain and Roger Charlton having all won the race two times. Alan King winners have been with Who Dares Wins (2019) and Trueshan (2022). Donald McCain's winners have been with Overturn (2010) and Ile De Re (2012). Roger Charlton winners have been with Quest For More (2015) and Withhold (2018). Multiple trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Northumberland Plate, Ian Williams (0-13), Tim Easterby (0-12) and Andrew Balding (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.
Here are some of the top Northumberland Plate trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alan King | 12-2-2 | +5.00 | -0.62 |
| Donald McCain | 5-2-2 | +13.50 | +7.31 |
| Roger Charlton | 3-2-3 | +11.50 | +8.26 |
| Brian Ellison | 20-1-3 | -7.00 | -8.19 |
| Richard Fahey | 19-1-4 | -14.00 | -9.94 |
| Jim Goldie | 11-1-3 | +23.00 | +15.63 |
| Hugo Palmer | 9-1-4 | -3.50 | +1.94 |
| Michael Bell | 6-1-2 | +0.00 | +0.13 |
| James Fanshawe | 5-1-2 | +1.50 | +1.00 |
| Charlie Appleby | 3-1-1 | +14.00 | +8.00 |
Northumberland Plate Jockey Statistics
Multiple jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Northumberland Plate, Joe Fanning (0-13), Tom Eaves (0-12), David Allan (0-10) and Paul Mulrennan (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple rides to the race.
Here are some of the top Northumberland Plate jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Morris | 10-1-4 | -4.00 | -0.53 |
| Graham Lee | 9-1-2 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Jim Crowley | 7-1-2 | -3.50 | +1.06 |
| Neil Callan | 4-1-4 | +11.00 | +11.44 |
| Tom Queally | 4-1-1 | +2.50 | +0.44 |
| Ben Robinson | 3-1-1 | +31.00 | +18.63 |
| Connor Beasley | 3-1-2 | +10.00 | +9.50 |
| Tom Marquand | 3-1-1 | +10.00 | +5.50 |
| Hollie Doyle | 3-1-1 | +1.00 | -0.12 |
| James McDonald | 1-1-1 | +16.00 | +10.00 |
2025 Northumberland Plate Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 11, (3, 9), 1, 18, 7, 5, 15, 1, (17, 3), 1, 6, 2, 3, 1, 10, 1, 6, 1, (2, 4), 12
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Beaten no more -9½l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Within the first 13 of the market
- 20 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 16/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Had 6 - 22 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Highest Won is not G2-3/Cl4-6
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 33/1
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 37+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved a TS of 63+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Highest Run is not G2/Cl4
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Sex is not Colt/Horse/Mare
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Off a break of 11 - 259 days
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 77+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 95+ (Career)
- 19 / 20 (85%) - No more than -5yrs (Vs Max Age)
- 19 / 20 (86%) - Won by at least a neck (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newcastle racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Northumberland Plate. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please leave a comment or head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Northumberland Plate by adding a tip on the race here.
Northumberland Plate Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +53.00 is when runners ran in a race restricted to 3yo+ when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class won of Class 4, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-54.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 12 (19,20,8) [20 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 14 (10,18,11) [19 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 10 (8,6,16) [20 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 17 (15,19,14) [20 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 17 (12,19,16) [18 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Northumberland Plate is Chester, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Chester last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Haydock and Ascot, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 361 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 20 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Northumberland Plate, that stallion Generous has produced 2 winners (2013,2011).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Northumberland Plate despite multiple attempts:
- Montjeu (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Halling (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Dubawi (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Galileo (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 7 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Nicholas T in 2021, winning for Jim Goldie at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Ben Robinson. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Northumberland Plate remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Northumberland Plate Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Other Principal races at Newcastle racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newcastle racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in February
Races in November
No Comments
There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...
Keep Reading
English Top Flight Goals
After a record breaking season of goals scored throughout the 2023/24 Premier League season, we look at the trends of attack and defence over the past 100 years and more.
Continue Reading🎤 Push Gaming Slots Q&A with Amit Samji
OLBG discusses all things Push Gaming with Head of Studio, Amit Samji, including how they create slot games, what are their most popular titles and what to expect in the future.
Continue Reading🎤 Sweet Bonanza 1000 Q&A with Pragmatic Play
OLBG discuss the Sweet Bonanza slot with Anastasios Ioannidis from Pragmatic Play, where it all began and what to expect from the 1000 series in future.
Continue Reading