You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Northumberland Plate Preview
Established in 1833, the Northumberland Plate was, for the majority of its history, run on turf, that was until 2016 when the turf course at Newcastle was scrapped and replaced with an all-weather (Tapeta) track, which is now the home of the Northumberland Plate.
Tomboy won the inaugural running, held at Killingworth. The race was moved to its current home at Gosforth Park in 1882, and it was very popular amongst local miners, who gave it the name the Pitmen's Derby.
The race was originally run over two but, following the switch to the all-weather track in 2016, it is now run over a two-mile and a half-furlong trip and is open to runners aged three or older.
Northumberland Plate Information:
- Northumberland Plate Past Winners
- Northumberland Plate Trainer Statistics
- Northumberland Plate Jockey Statistics
We also have a dedicated Newcastle tips page that will cover this race, as well as all the other races on the day. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at Newcastle Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Northumberland Plate market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009, when the race had an over-round of 124%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 138%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Northumberland Plate, the over-round has been 131%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £131 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Northumberland Plate Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Northumberland Plate Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Northumberland Plate races over the last 20 renewals:
- Quest For More (3:26.53) in 2015
- Onesmoothoperator (3:27.59) in 2024
- Overturn (3:28.05) in 2010
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Northumberland Plate next time out, then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -10.00. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Quest For More, trained by Roger Charlton and ridden by George Baker, who set the fastest winning time in the Northumberland Plate. That runner won the race in a time of 3:26.53 in 2015. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Donald McCain and jockey Jim Crowley with Ile De Re who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 3:53.94 in the 2012 renewal.
Northumberland Plate Past Winners
Here are the Northumberland Plate past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Northumberland Plate are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 3:33.75 | Align The Stars (IRE) 5yo 9-6 (14 of 20) 10/1 | Daniel Muscutt Charlie Johnston (GB) |
| 2025 3:31.28 | Spirit Mixer (GB) 7yo 8-10 (9 of 20) 25/1 | Rob Hornby Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2024 3:27.59 | Onesmoothoperator (USA) 6yo 8-9 (12 of 20) 12/1 | Connor Beasley Brian Ellison (GB) |
| 2023 3:31.40 | Calling The Wind (IRE) 7yo 9-4 (14 of 19) 14/1 | Neil Callan Richard Hughes (GB) |
| 2022 3:39.75 | Trueshan (FR) 6yo 10-8 (10 of 20) 3/1F | Hollie Doyle Alan King (GB) |
| 2021 3:31.88 | Nicholas T (GB) 9yo 8-10 (17 of 20) 33/1 | Ben Robinson Jim Goldie (GB) |
| 2020 3:33.21 | Caravan Of Hope (IRE) 4yo 8-5 (17 of 18) 9/2F | Harry Bentley Hugo Palmer (GB) |
| 2019 3:33.14 | Who Dares Wins (IRE) 7yo 9-1 (7 of 19) 12/1 | Tom Marquand Alan King (GB) |
| 2018 3:33.56 | Withhold (GB) 5yo 9-1 (11 of 20) 5/1F | Robert Winston Roger Charlton (GB) |
| 2017 3:35.37 | Higher Power (GB) 5yo 9-9 (13 of 20) 11/2 | Tom Queally James Fanshawe (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Northumberland Plate have been based:
- GB: 19 winners with an additional 57 placings from 361 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 3 placings from 18 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2026 Northumberland Plate Replay
Northumberland Plate Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the Northumberland Plate over the last 20 renewals, with Alan King, Donald McCain, and Roger Charlton having all won the race twice. Alan King winners have been with Who Dares Wins (2019) and Trueshan (2022). Donald McCain winners have been with Overturn (2010) and Ile De Re (2012). Roger Charlton winners have been with Quest For More (2015) and Withhold (2018). Two trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Northumberland Plate. Ian Williams has sent a total of 14 runners to the race without recording any wins, whilst Tim Easterby has sent out 10 without a winner.
Here are some of the top Northumberland Plate trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alan King | 13-2-2 | +4.00 | -1.62 |
| Donald McCain | 5-2-2 | +13.50 | +7.31 |
| Roger Charlton | 2-2-2 | +12.50 | +7.82 |
| Brian Ellison | 21-1-4 | -8.00 | -6.44 |
| Richard Fahey | 18-1-3 | -13.00 | -10.00 |
| Andrew Balding | 13-1-3 | +13.00 | +8.63 |
| Jim Goldie | 12-1-3 | +22.00 | +14.63 |
| Hugo Palmer | 10-1-4 | -4.50 | +0.94 |
| Michael Bell | 7-1-2 | -1.00 | -0.87 |
| A J Martin | 5-1-1 | +10.00 | +4.75 |
Northumberland Plate Jockey Statistics
Multiple jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Northumberland Plate; Paul Mulrennan (0-12), Joe Fanning (0-12) and Tom Eaves (0-11) have all failed to produce a single winner despite having multiple rides in the race.
Here are some of the top Northumberland Plate jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Morris | 12-1-5 | -6.00 | -0.90 |
| Jim Crowley | 8-1-2 | -4.50 | +0.06 |
| Daniel Muscutt | 6-1-1 | +5.00 | +1.25 |
| Connor Beasley | 5-1-3 | +8.00 | +10.25 |
| Neil Callan | 4-1-4 | +11.00 | +11.44 |
| Tom Queally | 4-1-1 | +2.50 | +0.44 |
| Ben Robinson | 3-1-1 | +31.00 | +18.63 |
| Tom Marquand | 3-1-1 | +10.00 | +5.50 |
| Hollie Doyle | 3-1-1 | +1.00 | -0.12 |
| Rob Hornby | 2-1-1 | +24.00 | +14.63 |
2027 Northumberland Plate Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 18, 7, 5, 15, 1, (17, 3), 1, 6, 2, 3, 1, 10, 1, 6, 1, (2, 4), 12, 6, 6
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Beaten no more -9¾l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - No bigger than 16/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Within the first 14 of the market
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Highest Won is not G2-3/Cl4-6
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Had 6 - 22 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 33/1
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 37+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved a TS of 63+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Beaten no more -14l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - No more than -5yrs (Vs Max Age)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 77+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Highest Run is not G2/Cl4
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Had 1 - 9 wins (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Sex is not Colt/Horse/Mare
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 95+ (Career)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Newcastle racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Northumberland Plate. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Northumberland Plate by adding a tip on the race here.
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2027 Northumberland Plate Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Northumberland Plate will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.
Northumberland Plate Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +70.00, is when runners finished in 2nd last time out.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last place was 3 starts ago, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-53.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 14 (12,9,8) [20 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 9 (3,4,6) [20 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 12 (19,20,8) [20 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 14 (10,18,11) [19 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 10 (8,6,16) [20 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Northumberland Plate is Chester; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Chester last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are Goodwood and Ascot; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 363 runners, while female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 18 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Northumberland Plate; that stallion, Generous, has produced 2 winners (2013,2011).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Northumberland Plate despite multiple attempts:
- Dubawi (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Montjeu (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Galileo (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Golden Horn (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Dalakhani (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Nicholas T in 2021, winning for Jim Goldie at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Ben Robinson. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2027 Northumberland Plate.
Route to the Northumberland Plate
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Northumberland Plate. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Align The Stars Goodwood - 6th of 7 (10/3) | Avastra Funds Handicap |
| 2025 - Spirit Mixer Goodwood - 2nd of 9 (3/1) | Rod Gaskin Garden Machinery Handicap |
| 2024 - Onesmoothoperator Southwell (AW) - 2nd of 9 (10/1) | Liz And Izzys Hoap Podcast Handicap |
| 2023 - Calling The Wind Ascot - 2nd of 19 (15/2) | Ascot Stakes |
| 2022 - Trueshan Nottingham - 1st of 4 (4/9) | Barry Hills Further Flight Stakes |
| 2021 - Nicholas T York - 1st of 6 (10/3) | Queen Mothers Cup Handicap |
| 2020 - Caravan Of Hope Wolverhampton (AW) - 2nd of 11 (7/4) | Watch Royal Ascot On Sky Sports Racing Handicap |
| 2019 - Who Dares Wins Chester - 2nd of 15 (6/1) | Chester Cup |
| 2018 - Withhold Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 34 (5/1) | Cesarewitch Handicap |
| 2017 - Higher Power Sandown - 2nd of 7 (7/1) | Matchbook VIP Henry II Stakes |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Northumberland Plate Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal races at Newcastle Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newcastle racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in February
Races in April (AWC Finals Day)
- All-Weather 3yo Championships
- All-Weather Easter Classic
- All-Weather Easter Plate
- All-Weather Fillies & Mares Championships
- All-Weather Mile Championships
- All-Weather Sprint Championships
- Burradon Stakes
