Northumberland Plate Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Delve into the Northumberland Plate at Newcastle Racecourse with a detailed preview covering past winners, successful trainers, top jockeys, and key race trends. Uncover patterns and insights that could help identify contenders in this prestigious staying handicap contest.
Northumberland Plate Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2026 Northumberland Plate Preview

Established in 1833, the Northumberland Plate was, for the majority of its history, run on turf, that was until 2016 when the turf course at Newcastle was scrapped and replaced with an all-weather (Tapeta) track, which is now the home of the Northumberland Plate.

Tomboy won the inaugural running, which was staged at Killingworth. The race was moved to its current home at Gosforth Park in 1882, and the race was very popular amongst local miners who gave it the name of the Pitmen's Derby.

The race is one of the richest handicaps in the world, run over the two-mile trip and is open to runners aged three or older.

Northumberland Plate Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Newcastle, then head over to the Newcastle tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at Newcastle Racecourse section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Northumberland Plate market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009 when the race had an over-round of 124%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 138%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Northumberland Plate, the over-round has been 131%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £131 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2026 Northumberland Plate Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Northumberland Plate Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Northumberland Plate races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Quest For More (3:26.53) in 2015
  2. Toldo (3:27.48) in 2006
  3. Onesmoothoperator (3:27.59) in 2024

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Northumberland Plate next time out, then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -10.00. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 3:26.53 was set by Quest For More in 2015, which is the quickest time over that period. The runner was trained by Roger Charlton and ridden by George Baker. The slowest winning time was set in 2012 when Ile De Re won in a time of 3:53.94, booked to ride was Jim Crowley by trainer Donald McCain.

What the expert says...
<p>Seven of the last nineteen winners ran in either the Ascot Stakes (x3) or the Chester Cup (x4) last time out, including the 2023 winner, Calling The Wind, who finished runner-up in the Ascot Stakes.</p>

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Northumberland Plate Past Winners

Here are the Northumberland Plate past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Northumberland Plate are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2025
3:31.28
Spirit Mixer (GB)
7yo 8-10 (9 of 20) 25/1
Rob Hornby
Andrew Balding (GB)
2024
3:27.59
Onesmoothoperator (USA)
6yo 8-9 (12 of 20) 12/1
Connor Beasley
Brian Ellison (GB)
2023
3:31.40
Calling The Wind (IRE)
7yo 9-4 (14 of 19) 14/1
Neil Callan
Richard Hughes (GB)
2022
3:39.75
Trueshan (FR)
6yo 10-8 (10 of 20) 3/1F
Hollie Doyle
Alan King (GB)
2021
3:31.88
Nicholas T (GB)
9yo 8-10 (17 of 20) 33/1
Ben Robinson
Jim Goldie (GB)
2020
3:33.21
Caravan Of Hope (IRE)
4yo 8-5 (17 of 18) 9/2F
Harry Bentley
Hugo Palmer (GB)
2019
3:33.14
Who Dares Wins (IRE)
7yo 9-1 (7 of 19) 12/1
Tom Marquand
Alan King (GB)
2018
3:33.56
Withhold (GB)
5yo 9-1 (11 of 20) 5/1F
Robert Winston
Roger Charlton (GB)
2017
3:35.37
Higher Power (GB)
5yo 9-9 (13 of 20) 11/2
Tom Queally
James Fanshawe (GB)
2016
3:30.91
Antiquarium (IRE)
4yo 9-5 (3 of 20) 16/1
James McDonald
Charlie Appleby (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Northumberland Plate have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 57 placings from 364 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 3 placings from 16 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

2025 Northumberland Plate Replay


Northumberland Plate Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Northumberland Plate over the last 20 renewals, with Alan King, Donald McCain, and Roger Charlton having all won the race two times. Alan King winners have been with Who Dares Wins (2019) and Trueshan (2022). Donald McCain winners have been with Overturn (2010) and Ile De Re (2012). Roger Charlton winners have been with Quest For More (2015) and Withhold (2018). Two trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Northumberland Plate. Tim Easterby has sent a total of 12 runners to the race without recording any wins, whilst Ian Williams has sent out 12 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Northumberland Plate trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Alan King12-2-2+5.00-0.62
Donald McCain5-2-2+13.50+7.31
Roger Charlton3-2-3+11.50+8.26
Brian Ellison21-1-3-8.00-9.19
Richard Fahey19-1-4-14.00-9.94
Jim Goldie12-1-3+22.00+14.63
Andrew Balding12-1-3+14.00+9.63
Hugo Palmer10-1-4-4.50+0.94
Michael Bell7-1-2-1.00-0.87
James Fanshawe5-1-2+1.50+1.00

Northumberland Plate Jockey Statistics

Multiple jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Northumberland Plate. Joe Fanning (0-12), Tom Eaves (0-12) and Paul Mulrennan (0-11) have all failed to produce a single winner despite having multiple rides in the race.

Here are some of the top Northumberland Plate jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Luke Morris11-1-4-5.00-1.53
Jim Crowley8-1-2-4.50+0.06
Neil Callan4-1-4+11.00+11.44
Connor Beasley4-1-2+9.00+8.50
Tom Queally4-1-1+2.50+0.44
Ben Robinson3-1-1+31.00+18.63
Tom Marquand3-1-1+10.00+5.50
Hollie Doyle3-1-1+1.00-0.12
Rob Hornby1-1-1+25.00+15.63
James McDonald1-1-1+16.00+10.00

Northumberland Plate Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +70.00, is when runners finished in 2nd last time out.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners carried 126lbs on debut, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-56.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2025: Winner in 9 (3,4,6) [20 Runners]
  • 2024: Winner in 12 (19,20,8) [20 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 14 (10,18,11) [19 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 10 (8,6,16) [20 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 17 (15,19,14) [20 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Northumberland Plate is Chester; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Chester last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are Ascot and Haydock; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 362 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 19 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Northumberland Plate; that stallion, Generous, has produced 2 winners (2013,2011).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Northumberland Plate despite multiple attempts:

  • Montjeu (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Dubawi (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Galileo (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Golden Horn (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Dalakhani (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Nicholas T in 2021, winning for Jim Goldie at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Ben Robinson. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2026 Northumberland Plate.

Route to the Northumberland Plate

Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Northumberland Plate. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2025 - Spirit Mixer
Goodwood - 2nd of 9 (3/1)
Rod Gaskin Garden Machinery Handicap
2024 - Onesmoothoperator
Southwell (AW) - 2nd of 9 (10/1)
Liz And Izzys Hoap Podcast Handicap
2023 - Calling The Wind
Ascot - 2nd of 19 (15/2)
Ascot Stakes
2022 - Trueshan
Nottingham - 1st of 4 (4/9)
Barry Hills Further Flight Stakes
2021 - Nicholas T
York - 1st of 6 (10/3)
Queen Mothers Cup Handicap
2020 - Caravan Of Hope
Wolverhampton (AW) - 2nd of 11 (7/4)
Watch Royal Ascot On Sky Sports Racing Handicap
2019 - Who Dares Wins
Chester - 2nd of 15 (6/1)
Chester Cup
2018 - Withhold
Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 34 (5/1)
Cesarewitch
2017 - Higher Power
Sandown - 2nd of 7 (7/1)
Matchbook VIP Henry II Stakes
2016 - Antiquarium
Newmarket (Rowley) - 4th of 7 (11/4)
Galicuix Handicap

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Northumberland Plate Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Club provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

Other Principal races at Newcastle Racecourse

Here are some other notable races at the Newcastle racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in February

Races in April (AWC Finals Day)

Races in November

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