2023 Eider Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Eider Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Eider Chase Preview

Established back in 1952, the Eider Chase is a very demanding handicap chase that is run at the Newcastle Racecourse in February. The race is run over four miles and half a furlong in which the runners face a total of twenty-five fences.

The race is very much seen as a trial for the Grand National with the demanding trip giving clues about stamina. Comply Or Die who won the race back in 2008 went on to Grand National success but it is also worth considering the runners for other Nationals too. The 2017 winner Mysteree went on to finish runner up in the Midlands National and the 2020 winner Crosspark went on to finish runner up in the Scottish National.

Eider Chase Content:

We also have a dedicated Newcastle Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

Over the last 18 renewals, it was the Caroline Bailey trained Crosspark ridden by Jamie Moore who has set the fastest winning time in the Eider Chase, the runner won the race in a time of 8:28.10 that was set when winning the race in 2019. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Howard Johnson and jockey Peter Buchanan with Companero who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 9:30.90 in the 2011 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Eider Chase over the last 18 renewals:

  • 2019 - Crosspark (8:28.10)
  • 2008 - Comply Or Die (8:37.00)
  • 2022 - Win My Wings (8:38.73)

How competitive is the Eider Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 18 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 116%. The race in 2000 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 130%, whilst on average over the last 18 renewals of the Eider Chase, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £123 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 18 if you had followed the winner of the Eider Chase next time out then you would have back a total of 1 winner. Backing all 16 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -8.00. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Eider Chase Past Winners

Here are the Eider Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Eider Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
Win My Wings (IRE)
9yo 11-0 11/2F
Ryan Mania
Christian Williams (GB)
Sams Adventure (GB)
9yo 11-1 15/2
Henry Brooke
Brian Ellison (GB)
Crosspark (GB)
9yo 10-13 12/1
Jamie Moore
Caroline Bailey (GB)
Baywing (IRE)
9yo 11-0 8/1
Ryan Day (3lbs)
Nicky Richards (GB)
Mysteree (IRE)
9yo 11-0 10/1
Robert Dunne
Michael Scudamore (GB)
Rocking Blues (FR)
11yo 9-12 8/1
Lorcan Murtagh (10lbs)
Rose Dobbin (GB)
Milborough (IRE)
9yo 10-8 18/1
Graham Watters (5lbs)
Ian Duncan (GB)
Wyck Hill (IRE)
10yo 11-0 9/1
Tom Scudamore
David Bridgwater (GB)
Portrait King (IRE)
7yo 11-8 11/4F
Denis O'Regan
M Phelan (IRE)
Companero (IRE)
11yo 11-0 16/1
Peter Buchanan
Howard Johnson (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Eider Chase have been based:

  • GB: 15 winners with an additional 40 placings from 250 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 4 placings from 19 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 4 placings from 11 runners

Eider Chase Trainer Statistics

There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Eider Chase, Sue Smith has sent a total of 16 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Eider Chase trainer statistics over the last 18 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Venetia Williams 10-1-2 -3.00 -2.25
David Pipe 8-1-1 +4.00 -0.12
Nicky Richards 8-1-1 +1.00 -2.00
Ian Duncan 6-1-1 +13.00 +6.25
Michael Scudamore 4-1-3 +7.00 +7.63
David Bridgwater 4-1-2 +6.00 +3.69
Tim Easterby 4-1-2 +5.00 +2.81
Nick Williams 3-1-1 +8.00 +4.25
Brian Ellison 3-1-1 +5.50 +2.69
Christian Williams 3-1-1 +3.50 +1.44

Eider Chase Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Eider Chase over the last 18 renewals is Tom Scudamore who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Nil Desperandum (2007) & Wyck Hill (2014).

Here are some of the top Eider Chase jockey statistics over the last 18 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Tom Scudamore 5-2-2 +12.00 +6.38
Graham Lee 7-1-3 +4.00 +4.38
Denis O'Regan 4-1-2 -0.25 -0.29
Jamie Moore 3-1-2 +10.00 +7.00
Ryan Day 2-1-1 +7.00 +4.00
Henry Brooke 2-1-1 +6.50 +3.69
Robert Dunne 1-1-1 +10.00 +6.25
Lorcan Murtagh 1-1-1 +8.00 +5.00
Ryan Mania 1-1-1 +5.50 +3.44
Brian Hughes 8-0-2 -8.00 -4.60

2023 Eider Chase Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,REF,2,1,PU,3,PU,4,PU,(2,PU),1,2,UR,F,3,PU,(5,F),3,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 18 / 18 (76%) - Had 1-4 wins (Fences)
  • 18 / 18 (82%) - In at least a Cl3 (Last Win)
  • 18 / 18 (83%) - Made 4-32 starts (Career)
  • 18 / 18 (84%) - Fewer than 7 starts (Class)
  • 18 / 18 (86%) - Fewer than 25 starts (Hcps)
  • 18 / 18 (88%) - Made 2-7 starts (Season)
  • 18 / 18 (88%) - Ran over 2m7f - 3m6f (LTO)
  • 18 / 18 (89%) - Fewer than 12 placings (Hcps)
  • 18 / 18 (89%) - Had 1-7 wins (Career)
  • 17 / 18 (67%) - Made 4-17 starts (Fences)
  • 17 / 18 (68%) - No bigger than 18/1
  • 17 / 18 (68%) - Held an OR of 123+
  • 17 / 18 (68%) - Never placed over 3m6½f+
  • 17 / 18 (71%) - Fewer than 5 DNFs (Career)
  • 17 / 18 (79%) - Aged between 8yo & 11yo
  • 17 / 18 (85%) - Fewer than 5 placings (Jockey)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newcastle racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Eider Chase. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races which are you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Eider Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

Eider Chase Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 9+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +45.00 is when runners were aged 9yo. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a biggest odds run of 50/1, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-42.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Eider Chase is Haydock, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Haydock last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 266 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 14 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Eider Chase:

  • Gold Well (2 Wins)
  • Un Desperado (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Eider Chase despite multiple attempts:

  • Roselier (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Westerner (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Alderbrook (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Dom Alco (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Overbury (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Presenting (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 18 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Tyneandthyneagain in 2004 when winning for Richard Guest at odds of 28/1 under the guidance of Henry Oliver. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 18 renewals there has been a total of 3 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2023 Eider Chase why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today.

Other Principal races at Newcastle racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Newcastle racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in July

Races in November

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