You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youāre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Classic Chase Preview
The Classic Chase is scheduled to take place in January of each year at the Warwick Racecourse. The race was originally known as the Warwickshire Gold Cup and is a race in which plenty of the runners will go on to compete in the Aintree Grand National. One For Arthur, who won this race in 2017, went on to win the Grand National.
The race is a Premier Handicap chase which is open to runners who are aged five or older, the race is run over a distance of three miles, five furlongs and fifty-four years in which a total of twenty-two fences will have to be jumped, because of the time of the year, this is a demanding race and you certainly need a runner with plenty of stamina.
Classic Chase Information:
We also have a dedicated Warwick tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Classic Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2016 when the race had an over-round of 117%. The race in 2017 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Classic Chase, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out Ā£100 for every Ā£120 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Classic Chase Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Classic Chase Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Classic Chase races over the last 20 renewals:
- The Last Fling (6:48.40) in 2002
- Impulsive Star (7:16.10) in 2019
- Southern Star (7:16.20) in 2004
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Classic Chase next time out, then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -5.00. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Classic Chase, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 6:48.40 was set by The Last Fling in 2002, trained by Sue Smith and ridden by Warren Marston, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2016 when Russe Blanc won in a time of 8:03.10 for trainer Kerry Lee, who booked Charlie Poste in the saddle.
Classic Chase Past Winners
Here are the Classic Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Classic Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
Race Notes: The 2009, 2010, 2025 & 2026 renewals were abandoned due to frost and snow.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 7:45.80 | My Silver Lining (IRE) 8yo 10-4 17/2 | James Best Emma Lavelle (GB) |
| 2023 7:55.60 | Iwilldoit (GB) 10yo 11-10 12/1 | Stan Sheppard Sam Thomas (GB) |
| 2022 7:40.56 | Eclair Surf (FR) 8yo 11-3 11/1 | Tom Bellamy Emma Lavelle (GB) |
| 2021 7:44.20 | Notachance (IRE) 7yo 10-5 7/2F | Tom Cannon Alan King (GB) |
| 2020 7:43.20 | Kimberlite Candy (IRE) 8yo 11-4 9/2 | Richie McLernon Tom Lacey (GB) |
| 2019 7:16.10 | Impulsive Star (IRE) 9yo 9-12 8/1 | Mr Sam Waley-Cohen (3lbs) Neil Mulholland (GB) |
| 2018 7:40.90 | Milansbar (IRE) 11yo 11-2 12/1 | Bryony Frost (5lbs) Neil King (GB) |
| 2017 7:47.40 | One For Arthur (IRE) 8yo 10-11 14/1 | Derek Fox Lucinda Russell (GB) |
| 2016 8:03.10 | Russe Blanc (FR) 9yo 10-7 20/1 | Charlie Poste Kerry Lee (GB) |
| 2015 8:02.00 | Hawkes Point (GB) 10yo 10-12 15/2 | Sam Twiston-Davies Paul Nicholls (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Classic Chase have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 38 placings from 266 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 3 placings from 5 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
2024 Classic Chase Replay
Classic Chase Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the Classic Chase over the last 20 renewals, with Alan King, Paul Nicholls, and Emma Lavelle having all won the race three times. Alan King winners have been with DArgent (2008), West End Rocker (2011) and Notachance (2021). Paul Nicholls' winners have been with Eurotrek (2006), Ladalko (2007) and Hawkes Point (2015). Emma Lavelle winners have been with Shotgun Paddy (2014), Eclair Surf (2022) and My Silver Lining (2024). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Classic Chase; David Pipe has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording a single win.
Here are some of the top Classic Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alan King | 16-3-7 | +18.50 | +12.83 |
| Paul Nicholls | 16-3-4 | +5.00 | +0.50 |
| Emma Lavelle | 7-3-5 | +24.50 | +16.51 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 25-1-5 | -13.00 | -8.49 |
| Venetia Williams | 20-1-5 | -14.00 | -9.62 |
| Kerry Lee | 8-1-2 | +13.00 | +9.13 |
| Sue Smith | 4-1-1 | +22.00 | +12.63 |
| Neil Mulholland | 4-1-2 | +5.00 | +6.63 |
| Lucinda Russell | 3-1-1 | +12.00 | +6.75 |
| Neil King | 3-1-1 | +10.00 | +5.50 |
Classic Chase Jockey Statistics
Here are some of the top Classic Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 10-1-1 | -1.50 | -4.31 |
| Robert Dunne | 9-1-1 | -3.00 | -4.87 |
| Tom Bellamy | 5-1-2 | +7.00 | +4.32 |
| Tom Cannon | 5-1-2 | -0.50 | -0.37 |
| Richie McLernon | 4-1-3 | +1.50 | +6.44 |
| Derek Fox | 2-1-1 | +13.00 | +7.75 |
| Bryony Frost | 2-1-1 | +11.00 | +6.50 |
| James Best | 2-1-1 | +7.50 | +4.31 |
| Stan Sheppard | 1-1-1 | +12.00 | +7.50 |
| Harry Skelton | 8-0-4 | -8.00 | +0.14 |
2027 Classic Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, PU, 6, BD, 1, F, 2, (3, 12), 3, PU, PU, F, 3, 3, 10, 4, (1, 3), 2, 4, 7
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Break of 31 - 801 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Fewer than 6 placings (Going)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Furthest Won 2m5f - 3m6Ā½f
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Within the first 12 of the market
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 137 - 161lbs (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Ran over 2m5f - 3m6Ā½f (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in a G2-3/LST/Cl2/Cl7 (Debut)
- 19 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Debut)
- 19 / 20 (78%) - Placed within last 3 starts
- 18 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 14/1 (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (82%) - Beaten no more -22l (Debut)
- 18 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 123+ (Going)
- 18 / 20 (84%) - Carried no more than 161lbs
- 17 / 20 (66%) - Achieved an RPR of 137+ (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Warwick racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Classic Chase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over Ā£6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Classic Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
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Classic Chase Trend Analysis
ā The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +34.50, is when runners had the Same jockey as when they last won.
ā The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career places in Handicap, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-33.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Classic Chase is Chepstow; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Chepstow last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are Newbury and Cheltenham; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 259 runners, while female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 17 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Classic Chase; that stallion, Milan, has produced 2 winners (2018,2017).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Classic Chase despite multiple attempts:
- Kings Theatre (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Midnight Legend (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Dom Alco (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Old Vic (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Presenting (0 Wins from 7 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was The Last Fling in 2002, winning for Sue Smith at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Warren Marston. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 2 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2027 Classic Chase, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Route to the Classic Chase
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Classic Chase. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - My Silver Lining Sandown - 2nd of 10 (5/1) | Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase |
| 2023 - Iwilldoit Chepstow - 1st of 20 (13/2) | Welsh Grand National |
| 2022 - Eclair Surf Chepstow - 3rd of 10 (7/1) | Welsh Grand National Trial |
| 2021 - Notachance Bangor - 1st of 13 (6/1) | Sir Charles Lowther Plate |
| 2020 - Kimberlite Candy Aintree - 2nd of 18 (11/1) | Becher Chase |
| 2019 - Impulsive Star Plumpton - 2nd of 4 (3/1) | Mayfield Sussex Hop Gin Novices Chase |
| 2018 - Milansbar Chepstow - UR of 20 (14/1) | Welsh Grand National |
| 2017 - One For Arthur Aintree - 5th of 22 (14/1) | Becher Chase |
| 2016 - Russe Blanc Bangor - 5th of 5 (3/1) | Proactive Personnel Handicap Chase |
| 2015 - Hawkes Point Chepstow - PU of 19 (10/1) | Welsh Grand National |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Classic Chase Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
