You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 UAE Derby Preview
Established in 2000, the Group 2 UAE Derby is scheduled to take place in March of each year during the Dubai World Cup Night at the Meydan racecourse. The race is run over a trip of one mile, one and a half furlongs on the dirt and is open to runners aged 3yo+ (southern hemisphere) and 4yo+ (northern hemisphere).
For sponsorship purposes, the 2026 renewal of the UAE Derby will hold the title of 'UAE Derby Sponsored By Jumeirah'.
UAE Derby Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Meydan tips on the day of the race. Do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist, or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered at Dubai World Cup Night section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the UAE Derby market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2016, when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the UAE Derby, the over-round has been 122%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 UAE Derby Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the UAE Derby Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the UAE Derby Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.
These are the top three quickest-run UAE Derby races over the last 20 renewals:
- Discreet Cat (1:48.59) in 2006
- Asiatic Boy (1:48.82) in 2007
- Honour Devil (1:49.60) in 2008
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the UAE Derby next time out, then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -17.60. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2013 renewal when Helene Super Star from A P O'Brien under the guidance of Ryan Moore, won in a time of 2:02.05, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Discreet Cat, trained by Saeed bin Suroor and ridden by Frankie Dettori set the quickest time of 1:48.59 in the 2006 renewal.
UAE Derby Past Winners
Here are the UAE Derby past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse that won, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the UAE Derby are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 1:59.13 | Admire Daytona (JPN) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 9) 11/1 | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire Yukihiro Kato (JPN) |
| 2024 1:57.89 | Forever Young (JPN) 3yo 8-9 (11 of 11) 8/11F | Ryusei Sakai Yoshito Yahagi (JPN) |
| 2023 1:55.81 | Derma Sotogake (JPN) 3yo 8-9 (1 of 13) 9/2 | Christophe-Patrice Lemaire Hidetaka Otonashi (JPN) |
| 2022 1:59.76 | Crown Pride (JPN) 3yo 8-9 (10 of 16) 12/1 | Damian Lane Koichi Shintani (JPN) |
| 2021 1:56.28 | Rebels Romance (IRE) 3yo 8-9 (11 of 14) 8/1 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2019 1:58.41 | Plus Que Parfait (USA) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 14) 25/1 | Jose L Ortiz Brendan P Walsh (USA) |
| 2018 1:55.18 | Mendelssohn (USA) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 9) 7/4 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2017 1:57.76 | Thunder Snow (IRE) 3yo 8-9 (13 of 16) 11/4F | Christophe Soumillon Saeed bin Suroor (GB) |
| 2016 1:58.41 | Lani (USA) 3yo 8-9 (3 of 7) 12/1 | Yutaka Take Mikio Matsunaga (JPN) |
| 2015 1:58.35 | Mubtaahij (IRE) 3yo 8-9 (1 of 10) 9/4F | Christophe Soumillon M F De Kock (SAF) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the UAE Derby have been based:
- GB: 7 winners with an additional 11 placings from 66 runners
- JPN: 5 winners with an additional 6 placings from 37 runners
- SAF: 4 winners with an additional 3 placings from 25 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 3 placings from 17 runners
- USA: 1 winner with an additional 5 placings from 26 runners
- UAE: 0 winners with an additional 8 placings from 36 runners
- KSA: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 13 runners
- BRZ: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 8 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
- BHR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
- URU: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- SWE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- RUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- SIN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- ARG: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2025 UAE Derby Replay
UAE Derby Trainer Statistics
Here are the UAE Derby trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2026 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Appleby | 7-1-1 | +2.00 | -1.20 |
| Jamie Osborne | 2-1-2 | +10.00 | +6.40 |
| B Seemar | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -4.50 |
| A bin Harmash | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
| M Al Mheiri | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| R Chotard | 1-0-1 | -1.00 | +1.10 |
| S bin Ghadayer | 1-0-1 | -1.00 | -0.05 |
| Bhupat Seemar | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Daisuke Takayanagi | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
UAE Derby Jockey Statistics
Here are the UAE Derby jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2026 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Buick (Devon Island) | 10-1-1 | -1.00 | -4.20 |
| Mickael Barzalona (Six Speed) | 9-1-4 | -4.00 | -1.15 |
| Richard Mullen (Lino Padrino) | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
| Silvestre De Sousa (Duke Of Immatin) | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -2.33 |
| Adrie de Vries (Rammaas) | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
| Cristian Demuro (Wonder Dean) | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | +0.10 |
| Tadhg O'Shea (Salloom) | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| Saffie Osborne (Brotherly Love) | 1-0-1 | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| Connor Beasley (Union Security) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
2026 UAE Derby Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 9, 6, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 3, 3, (4, 6), (1, 3), 2, 1, 4, 13, (2, 6, 14), (11, 16), 10, 1, (2, 9)
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Post in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Is not BRZ/CAN/CHI/FR/GB/ITY/KSA/NZ/PER/SAF/URU bred
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Within the first 9 of the market
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Highest Placed is not LST/Cl4
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved an RPR of 96+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 33/1
- 20 / 20 (82%) - In a field of 4 - 14 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Had 2 - 5 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not on HY/SFT/GS/SLW/STD-FS (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Furthest ran 7f - 1m1½f
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not on SFT/GD/SLW/STD-SLW (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Furthest Placed 7f - 1m1½f
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Ran in 2 - 7 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 120 - 134lbs (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 83/10 (Career Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Meydan racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the UAE Derby. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the UAE Derby by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
UAE Derby Trend Shortlist
Meydan will host the 2026 renewal of the UAE Derby, which will be run at 1:30 pm on Saturday, 28th March 2026, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer, jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Wonder Dean (12/1)
- Daisuke Takayanagi (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)
- Cristian Demuro (2-0-1 -2.00 / +0.10)
Others: Six Speed (14/15), Labwah (13/15), Devon Island (13/15), Lino Padrino (13/15), Pyromancer (13/15), Rammaas (13/15), Brotherly Love (12/15), Go Man (11/15), Salloom (11/15), Union Security (11/15) and Duke Of Immatin (9/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (10:54 am Tuesday 24th March 2026), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.
UAE Derby Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +36.36, is when runners had 0 starts in the past 30 days.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 1 (L), when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-50.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 3 (6,1) [9 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 11 (9,8) [11 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 1 (8,12) [13 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 10 (8,3) [16 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 11 (6,13) [14 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the UAE Derby are Meydan and Nad Al Sheba; there have been a total of 4 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 216 runners, while female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 29 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the UAE Derby:
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
- Honour And Glory (2 Wins)
- Scat Daddy (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the UAE Derby despite multiple attempts:
- Street Cry (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Hard Spun (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Blues And Royals in 2005, winning for Saeed bin Suroor at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Kerrin McEvoy. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Route to the UAE Derby
Many trainers target races as preparation for the UAE Derby. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Admire Daytona Tokyo - 4th of 10 (91/10) | Hyacinth Stakes |
| 2024 - Forever Young Janadriyah - 1st of 12 (8/13) | Boutique Group Saudi Derby |
| 2023 - Derma Sotogake Janadriyah - 3rd of 13 (9/2) | Saudi Derby presented by Boutique Group |
| 2022 - Crown Pride Tokyo - 6th of 14 (7/2) | Hyacinth Stakes |
| 2021 - Rebels Romance Janadriyah - 4th of 12 (9/4) | Saudi Derby sponsored by Al Rahji Bank |
| 2019 - Plus Que Parfait Fair Grounds - 13th of 14 (37/5) | Risen Star Stakes Presented By Lamarque Ford |
| 2018 - Mendelssohn Dundalk (AW) - 1st of 6 (1/1) | 32Red Patton Stakes |
| 2017 - Thunder Snow Meydan - 1st of 9 (6/4) | UAE 2000 Guineas Sponsored By District One Mohammed Bin Rashid Al Maktoum City |
| 2016 - Lani Tokyo - 5th of 14 (13/5) | Hyacinth Stakes |
| 2015 - Mubtaahij Meydan - 1st of 6 (1/2) | Al Bastakiya Sponsored By Emirates Skywards |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this UAE Derby Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Races Covered at Dubai World Cup Night
Remember to head over to the Meydan predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the UAE Derby, and don't forget we also cover the following races at Dubai World Cup Night.
| Dubai World Cup Night Races | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Al Quoz Sprint | Believing (IRE) 5yo - 3/1 | George Boughey William Buick |
| Dubai Gold Cup | Dubai Future (GB) 9yo - 17/2 | Saeed bin Suroor Silvestre De Sousa |
| Dubai Golden Shaheen | Dark Saffron (USA) 3yo - 40/1 | A bin Harmash Connor Beasley |
| Dubai Sheema Classic | Danon Decile (JPN) 4yo - 14/1 | Shogo Yasuda Keita Tosaki |
| Dubai Turf | Soul Rush (JPN) 7yo - 14/1 | Yasutoshi Ikee Cristian Demuro |
| Dubai World Cup | Hit Show (USA) 5yo - 66/1 | Brad H Cox Florent Geroux |
| Godolphin Mile | Raging Torrent (USA) 4yo - 3/1 | Doug O'Neill Frankie Dettori |
| UAE Derby | Admire Daytona (JPN) 3yo - 11/1 | Yukihiro Kato Christophe-Patrice Lemaire |
