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2023 Thyestes Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Jan 13, 8:15pm Last Updated: Jan 28, 10:36am Horse Racing 0 Comments 433 Views

2023 Thyestes Chase Preview

Scheduled to take place in January of each year at the Gowran Park racecourse is the Thyestes Handicap Chase, a race which is open to runners aged five or older with it being run over a distance of three miles and one furlong in which seventeen fences have to be jumped.

This is a race that can work as a warmup for the Aintree Grand National with plenty of runners from this race going on to run at Aintree with both Hedgehunter and Numbersixvalverde winning this race and the Grand National.

Thyestes Chase Content:

We also have a dedicated Gowran Park Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the A J Martin trained Dun Doire ridden by Paul Carberry who has set the fastest winning time in the Thyestes Chase, the runner won the race in a time of 6:10.70 that was set when winning the race in 2006. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Gordon Elliott and jockey Jack Kennedy with Coko Beach who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 7:11.80 in the 2021 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Thyestes Chase over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2006 - Dun Doire (6:10.70)
  • 2011 - Siegemaster (6:15.70)
  • 2004 - Hedgehunter (6:17.10)

How competitive is the Thyestes Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2007 when the race had an over-round of 124%. The race in 2005 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 144%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Thyestes Chase, the over-round has been 135%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £135 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Thyestes Chase next time out then you would have back a total of 6 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +6.38. Ahead of the 2023 Thyestes Chase why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today.

Thyestes Chase Past Winners

Here are the Thyestes Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Thyestes Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
6:33.90
Longhouse Poet (IRE)
8yo 10-9 9/1
Darragh O'Keeffe
Martin Brassil (IRE)
2021
7:11.80
Coko Beach (FR)
6yo 10-6 8/1
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2020
6:42.70
Total Recall (IRE)
11yo 11-4 16/1
Danny Mullins
W P Mullins (IRE)
2019
6:29.20
Invitation Only (IRE)
8yo 11-6 4/1F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2018
6:54.80
Monbeg Notorious (IRE)
7yo 10-2 7/2F
Jack Kennedy
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2017
6:29.50
Champagne West (IRE)
9yo 11-7 7/1
David Mullins
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2016
7:11.70
My Murphy (IRE)
10yo 10-5 16/1
Robbie Power
W J Burke (IRE)
2015
6:46.20
Djakadam (FR)
6yo 11-10 9/2
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2014
6:36.70
On His Own (IRE)
10yo 11-6 12/1
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2013
6:48.00
Jadanli (IRE)
11yo 10-7 25/1
A E Lynch
Paul John Gilligan (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Thyestes Chase have been based:

  • IRE: 20 winners with an additional 56 placings from 337 runners
  • GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner

Thyestes Chase Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Thyestes Chase over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race 7 times. Those 7 winners came from Hedgehunter (2004), Homer Wells (2007), On His Own (2012), On His Own (2014), Djakadam (2015), Invitation Only (2019) & Total Recall (2020). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Thyestes Chase are Gordon Elliott (2 wins) & Martin Brassil (2 wins). There are multiple trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Thyestes Chase, Noel Meade (0-22), Paul Nolan (0-11) & M F Morris (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top Thyestes Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
W P Mullins 62-7-20 +10.83 +15.66
Gordon Elliott 42-2-10 -28.50 -14.85
Martin Brassil 2-2-2 +17.00 +10.63
Henry De Bromhead 7-1-1 +1.00 -1.62
James Joseph Mangan 7-1-1 -1.00 -2.87
W J Burke 6-1-2 +11.00 +7.00
A J Martin 6-1-4 -2.75 -0.40
Paul John Gilligan 3-1-2 +23.00 +20.38
S J Treacy 3-1-1 +2.00 +0.50
Noel Meade 22-0-4 -22.00 -13.37

Thyestes Chase Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Thyestes Chase over the last twenty renewals with both Phillip Enright & Jack Kennedy who have both won the race 2 times. Phillip Enright winners have been with Preists Leap (2008) & Preists Leap (2009). Jack Kennedy winners have been with Monbeg Notorious (2018) & Coko Beach (2021).

Here are some of the top Thyestes Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Phillip Enright 8-2-4 +34.00 +23.00
Jack Kennedy 6-2-2 +7.50 +3.19
Davy Russell 14-1-5 +3.00 +3.46
Paul Townend 11-1-3 +2.00 +0.69
Robbie Power 9-1-3 +8.00 +8.63
Sean Flanagan 8-1-4 -2.00 +1.13
Niall P Madden 7-1-1 +2.00 -1.00
Danny Mullins 6-1-2 +11.00 +9.63
David Mullins 4-1-1 +4.00 +1.38
Darragh O'Keeffe 2-1-1 +8.00 +4.63

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,2,1,3,1,F,3,PU,8,4,(4,PU),(6,F),2,4,2,(3,PU,PU),1,1,9,(5,PU),10

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Made 8-31 starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Contested at least a Grade 3
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran over 2m - 2m5f (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Ran within past 55 days
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Made 1-6 starts (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (90%) - Ran on Heavy or Soft (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (91%) - Had 2-7 wins (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 19 / 20 (75%) - Top 3 finish within last five
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - Not wearing a tongue-tie
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Never off bigger than 50/1
  • 19 / 20 (91%) - Fewer than 3 falls over fences
  • 18 / 20 (80%) - Had 1-3 wins (Fences)
  • 18 / 20 (82%) - Won at least a Class 2

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Gowran Park racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Thyestes Chase. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works? No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles too in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Thyestes Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

Thyestes Chase Trend Analysis

The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career places over the trip, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-46.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Thyestes Chase is Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Leopardstown last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 318 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 22 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Thyestes Chase:

  • Presenting (3 Wins)
  • Luso (2 Wins)
  • Westerner (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Thyestes Chase despite multiple attempts:

  • Oscar (0 Wins from 13 runners)
  • Beneficial (0 Wins from 11 runners)
  • Old Vic (0 Wins from 11 runners)
  • Witness Box (0 Wins from 11 runners)
  • Gold Well (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Poliglote (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Jadanli in 2013 when winning for Paul John Gilligan at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of A E Lynch. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 4 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2023 Thyestes Chase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

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