Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Clonmel Oil Chase Preview
Scheduled to take place in November of each year at the Clonmel racecourse is the Clonmel Oil Chase, a Grade 2 Chase which is run over a trip of two miles and four furlongs, the race is open to runners who are aged four or older. The race was originally run over three miles but was cut to the current trip in 1994, the following year in 1995 the race was given Grade 3 status which was upgraded to Grade 2 a year later.
Clonmel Oil Chase Information:
- Clonmel Oil Chase Past Winners
- Clonmel Oil Chase Trainer Statistics
- Clonmel Oil Chase Jockey Statistics
We also have a dedicated Clonmel tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.
How competitive is the Clonmel Oil Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2006 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Clonmel Oil Chase, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Clonmel Oil Chase Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Clonmel Oil Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +2.70. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2023 renewal when Allaho from W P Mullins under the guidance of Paul Townend, won in a time of 6:05.90, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Arvika Ligeonniere, trained by W P Mullins and ridden by R Walsh set the quickest time of 4:54.80 in the 2013 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Clonmel Oil Chase over the last 20 renewals:
- 2013 - Arvika Ligeonniere (4:54.80)
- 2016 - Alelchi Inois (4:57.40)
- 2007 - Mossbank (5:00.80)
Clonmel Oil Chase Past Winners
Here are the Clonmel Oil Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Clonmel Oil Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
Year | Horse | Info |
---|---|---|
2023 6:05.90 | Allaho (FR) 9yo 11-3 1/4F | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
2022 5:56.00 | Blue Lord (FR) 7yo 11-8 5/6F | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
2021 5:38.10 | Fakir Doudairies (FR) 6yo 12-0 5/4F | Mark Walsh Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
2020 5:46.10 | Bachasson (FR) 9yo 11-7 9/4 | David Mullins W P Mullins (IRE) |
2019 5:33.50 | Douvan (FR) 9yo 11-5 4/5F | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
2018 5:01.30 | Kemboy (FR) 6yo 11-4 11/8F | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
2017 5:37.40 | Alpha Des Obeaux (FR) 7yo 11-4 7/1 | Sean Flanagan M F Morris (IRE) |
2016 4:57.40 | Alelchi Inois (FR) 8yo 11-5 2/1F | R Walsh W P Mullins (IRE) |
2015 5:16.40 | Road To Riches (IRE) 8yo 11-12 8/13F | B J Cooper Noel Meade (IRE) |
2014 5:06.80 | Champagne Fever (IRE) 7yo 11-1 8/11F | Paul Townend W P Mullins (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Clonmel Oil Chase have been based:
- IRE: 20 winners with an additional 17 placings from 112 runners
- GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Clonmel Oil Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Clonmel Oil Chase over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race eight times with those eight winners coming from Arvika Ligeonniere (2013), Champagne Fever (2014), Alelchi Inois (2016), Kemboy (2018), Douvan (2019), Bachasson (2020), Blue Lord (2022) and Allaho (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Clonmel Oil Chase are Noel Meade (3 wins), M F Morris (2 wins) and E J O'Grady (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Clonmel Oil Chase, Gordon Elliott has sent a total of 17 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Clonmel Oil Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
W P Mullins | 20-8-9 | -2.96 | -1.43 |
Noel Meade | 9-3-3 | +2.50 | -1.55 |
M F Morris | 9-2-3 | +0.50 | +0.69 |
E J O'Grady | 4-2-2 | +0.16 | -1.43 |
Henry De Bromhead | 6-1-1 | -4.86 | -4.91 |
E Sheehy | 3-1-2 | +2.00 | +1.15 |
Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 3-1-1 | -0.75 | -1.00 |
T J Taaffe | 2-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.56 |
Michael Hourigan | 1-1-1 | +3.50 | +2.10 |
Gordon Elliott | 17-0-5 | -17.00 | -7.63 |
Clonmel Oil Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Clonmel Oil Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Townend who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Champagne Fever (2014), Kemboy (2018), Douvan (2019), Blue Lord (2022) and Allaho (2023).
Here are some of the top Clonmel Oil Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Paul Townend | 8-5-6 | +0.99 | -0.59 |
Mark Walsh | 7-1-2 | -4.75 | -2.12 |
Sean Flanagan | 5-1-1 | +3.00 | +0.38 |
Robbie Power | 3-0-2 | -3.00 | +1.20 |
Jack Kennedy | 3-0-3 | -3.00 | +0.56 |
Danny Mullins | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -1.00 |
Keith Donoghue | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -1.50 |
Rachael Blackmore | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -1.00 |
Mark Enright | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
Robbie Colgan | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
2024 Clonmel Oil Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (1, 4, 5), 1, 1, 8, 5, 4, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 3, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (54%) - No bigger than 7/1
- 20 / 20 (71%) - Within the first 4 of the market
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Not in a G3/Cl2/Cl4 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Placed within last 3 starts
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Achieved a TS of 115+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - First 6 or UR (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Beaten no more -18½l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Achieved a TS of 129+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Fewer than 2 starts (Course)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 14/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Fewer than 3 starts (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 138+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 142+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not CH in colour
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Furthest Won 2m1f - 3mf
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Clonmel racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Clonmel Oil Chase. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works, No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Clonmel Oil Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
Clonmel Oil Chase Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +9.84 is when runners were 1st in the betting market. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 3rd in the betting market, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-21.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Clonmel Oil Chase is Punchestown, there has been a total number of 11 winners of this race who ran at Punchestown last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 111 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 2 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Clonmel Oil Chase:
- Be My Native (2 Wins)
- Sea Raven (2 Wins)
- Voix Du Nord (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Clonmel Oil Chase, that stallion is Oscar who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Alpha Des Obeaux in 2017, winning for M F Morris at odds of 7/1 under the guidance of Sean Flanagan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 15 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Clonmel Oil Chase.
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