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2025 Mill Reef Stakes Preview
Named in honour of the 1971 Derby, Eclipse and Arc winner, Mill Reef, this race was established in 1972 and holds Group 2 status. Contested over six furlongs at the Newbury Racecourse, it takes place in September of each year.
Mill Reef Stakes Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Newbury, then head over to the Newbury tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at Newbury Racecourse section for links to these.
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How competitive is the Mill Reef Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2005 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Mill Reef Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Mill Reef Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Mill Reef Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Mill Reef Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Alkumait (1:09.70) in 2020
- James Garfield (1:10.64) in 2017
- Pierre Lapin (1:10.90) in 2019
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Mill Reef Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -6.00. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Mill Reef Stakes.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2023 renewal when Array from Andrew Balding under the guidance of Oisin Murphy, won in a time of 1:17.29, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Alkumait, trained by Marcus Tregoning and ridden by Jim Crowley set the quickest time of 1:09.70 in the 2020 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Mill Reef Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Mill Reef Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Mill Reef Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:13.89 | Powerful Glory (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (8 of 6) 5/2 | Oisin Orr Richard Fahey (GB) |
| 2023 1:17.29 | Array (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (2 of 6) 7/4F | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2022 1:13.53 | Sakheer (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (2 of 7) 4/5F | David Egan Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2021 1:12.40 | Wings Of War (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (8 of 9) 17/2 | Adam Kirby Clive Cox (GB) |
| 2020 1:09.70 | Alkumait (GB) 2yo 9-1 (1 of 8) 8/1 | Jim Crowley Marcus Tregoning (GB) |
| 2019 1:10.90 | Pierre Lapin (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (6 of 8) 9/4F | Andrea Atzeni Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2018 1:14.23 | Kessaar (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (2 of 7) 100/30 | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2017 1:10.64 | James Garfield (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (3 of 9) 100/30 | Frankie Dettori George Scott (GB) |
| 2016 1:13.18 | Harry Angel (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (1 of 7) 2/1F | Adam Kirby Clive Cox (GB) |
| 2015 1:14.39 | Ribchester (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (3 of 6) 13/8F | James Doyle Richard Fahey (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Mill Reef Stakes have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 28 placings from 148 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Mill Reef Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Mill Reef Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Richard Fahey, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Supplicant (2013), Ribchester (2015) and Powerful Glory (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Mill Reef Stakes are Clive Cox (2 wins), K R Burke (2 wins) and Roger Varian (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Mill Reef Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Fahey | 8-3-6 | +2.63 | +6.57 |
| Clive Cox | 8-2-2 | +4.50 | +0.35 |
| K R Burke | 5-2-3 | +11.00 | +6.50 |
| Roger Varian | 4-2-2 | +1.05 | -0.15 |
| Andrew Balding | 10-1-4 | -7.25 | -4.48 |
| John Gosden | 3-1-2 | +1.33 | +1.58 |
| Marco Botti | 3-1-1 | +0.50 | -0.50 |
| Marcus Tregoning | 2-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.80 |
| George Scott | 2-1-1 | +2.33 | +1.00 |
| Richard Hannon | 8-0-2 | -8.00 | -6.22 |
Mill Reef Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Mill Reef Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Adam Kirby, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Moohaajim (2012), Harry Angel (2016) and Wings Of War (2021). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Mill Reef Stakes are Frankie Dettori (2 wins) and Jim Crowley (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Mill Reef Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Kirby | 8-3-4 | +8.00 | +5.85 |
| Frankie Dettori | 7-2-2 | +1.66 | -0.92 |
| Jim Crowley | 5-2-3 | +15.00 | +9.10 |
| Ryan Moore | 8-1-4 | -2.00 | -0.53 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 4-1-2 | -0.75 | -0.59 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 3-1-2 | +2.00 | +1.25 |
| Oisin Murphy | 3-1-2 | -0.25 | +1.39 |
| James Doyle | 3-1-1 | -0.37 | -0.98 |
| Richard Mullen | 2-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.50 |
| David Egan | 2-1-1 | -0.20 | -0.50 |
2025 Mill Reef Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 2, 1, 2, 4, 5, 1, 1, (1, 5), 4, 1, 1, 2, 3, (1, 2), 2, 4, 1, 1, 5
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (66%) - No bigger than 10/1
- 20 / 20 (67%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Achieved an RPR of 89+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Achieved a TS of 64+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - In a field of 5 - 12 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Beaten no more -5¾l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Not on HY/SFT/FM/STD-SLW/STD (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Beaten no more -4¾l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 18 / 20 (81%) - Not on SFT/FM/STD (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (83%) - Break of 14 - 128 days (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 9/1 (Career Win)
- 18 / 20 (84%) - Won within last 3 starts
- 18 / 20 (85%) - Not in FRA/DEU/IRL/ITA/SCO/WAL (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (87%) - Not in a Handicap (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Newbury racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Mill Reef Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Mill Reef Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Mill Reef Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +11.56, is when runners were 1st in the betting market.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 6th in the betting market, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-20.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 8 (10) [6 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 2 (3) [6 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (1) [7 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 8 (7,10) [9 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 1 (4,6) [8 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Mill Reef Stakes are York and Doncaster; there have been a total of 4 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 147 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 4 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Mill Reef Stakes:
- Dark Angel (2 Wins)
- Showcasing (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Mill Reef Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Mehmas (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Lord Shanakill in 2008, winning for K R Burke at odds of 10/1 under the guidance of Jim Crowley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 10 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Mill Reef Stakes, head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters.
Route to the Mill Reef Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Mill Reef Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Powerful Glory Pontefract - 1st of 7 (10/11) | Cure Leukaemia EBF "Newcomers" Maiden Stakes |
| 2023 - Array Kempton (AW) - 3rd of 8 (11/8) | Unibet Zero% Mission Sirenia Stakes |
| 2022 - Sakheer Haydock - 1st of 12 (1/2) | Auction Finance EBF Novice Stakes |
| 2021 - Wings Of War Kempton (AW) - 2nd of 7 (15/8) | Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Sirenia Stakes |
| 2020 - Alkumait Goodwood - 1st of 9 (5/4) | British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes |
| 2019 - Pierre Lapin Haydock - 1st of 7 (1/1) | British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes |
| 2018 - Kessaar Kempton (AW) - 1st of 5 (9/1) | 188Bet Casino Sirenia Stakes |
| 2017 - James Garfield York - 2nd of 11 (10/1) | Acomb Stakes |
| 2016 - Harry Angel Ascot - 2nd of 6 (7/2) | totepoolliveinfo.com Novice Stakes |
| 2015 - Ribchester York - 2nd of 8 (25/1) | Gimcrack Stakes |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Mill Reef Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
