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2022 Lockinge Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Apr 30, 6:47pm Last Updated: May 16, 11:30am Horse Racing 0 Comments 175 Views

2022 Lockinge Stakes Preview

The Lockinge Stakes is a Group 1 race that is open to runners aged four or older and is scheduled to take place in May of each year at Newbury. The race is run over the straight mile and is part of the British Champions Series, the race is in the middle distance series which concludes on Champions Day with the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes. To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card which includes this race, head over to the Newbury Betting Picks on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Michael Jarvis trained Rakti ridden by Philip Robinson who has set the fastest winning time in the Lockinge Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:33.59 which was set when winning the race in 2005. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Sir Michael Stoute and jockey Kieren Fallon with Medicean who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:45.39 in the 2001 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Lockinge Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2005 - Rakti (1:33.59)
  • 2018 - Rhododendron (1:35.07)
  • 2013 - Farhh (1:35.43)

How competitive is the Lockinge Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2003 when the race had an over-round of 104%. The race in 2015 was a race which was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Lockinge Stakes, the over-round has been 117% which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Lockinge Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 6 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -1.17. Whilst we wait for the 2022 Lockinge Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

Lockinge Stakes Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Lockinge Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Lockinge Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Race Notes: There was no renewal in 2020.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:40.96
Palace Pier
4yo 9-0 (8 of 11) 1/2F
Frankie Dettori
John & Thady Gosden
2019
1:35.80
Mustashry
6yo 9-0 (5 of 14) 9/1
Jim Crowley
Sir Michael Stoute
2018
1:35.07
Rhododendron
4yo 8-11 (2 of 14) 100/30F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2017
1:43.00
Ribchester
4yo 9-0 (5 of 8) 7/4F
William Buick
Richard Fahey
2016
1:38.18
Belardo
4yo 9-0 (6 of 12) 8/1
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Varian
2015
1:38.09
Night Of Thunder
4yo 9-0 (3 of 16) 11/4F
James Doyle
Richard Hannon
2014
1:36.98
Olympic Glory
4yo 9-0 (3 of 8) 11/8F
Frankie Dettori
Richard Hannon
2013
1:35.43
Farhh
5yo 9-0 (5 of 12) 100/30
Silvestre De Sousa
Saeed bin Suroor
2012
1:38.14
Frankel
4yo 9-0 (6 of 6) 2/7F
Tom Queally
Sir Henry Cecil
2011
1:36.52
Canford Cliffs
4yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 4/5F
Richard Hughes
Richard Hannon Snr

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Lockinge Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 30 placings from 169 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 4 placings from 25 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • ITY: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Lockinge Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Lockinge Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Medicean (2001), Russian Rhythm (2004), Peeress (2006) & Mustashry (2019). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Lockinge Stakes are A P O'Brien (2 wins), Saeed bin Suroor (2 wins) & Richard Hannon (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Lockinge Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Sir Michael Stoute 12-4-4 +11.00 +3.48
A P O'Brien 19-2-5 -11.67 -10.13
Saeed bin Suroor 10-2-5 -1.67 -0.62
Richard Hannon 6-2-3 +0.13 -1.29
John Gosden 8-1-1 -1.00 -3.40
Roger Varian 7-1-2 +2.00 +0.90
Richard Fahey 3-1-1 -0.25 -0.95
Michael Bell 2-1-2 +7.00 +12.30
John & Thady Gosden 1-1-1 +0.50 +0.30
Andrew Balding 6-0-1 -6.00 -5.05

Lockinge Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Lockinge Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Creachadoir (2008), Olympic Glory (2014) & Palace Pier (2021).

Here are some of the top Lockinge Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 13-3-6 -5.12 -3.12
Ryan Moore 12-1-3 -7.67 -6.35
Jamie Spencer 11-1-2 -2.00 -4.62
Andrea Atzeni 6-1-3 +3.00 +3.30
James Doyle 6-1-1 -2.25 -3.62
Tom Queally 5-1-3 -3.71 -1.17
Silvestre De Sousa 4-1-1 +0.33 -1.00
Jim Crowley 3-1-1 +7.00 +3.40
William Buick 3-1-1 -0.25 -0.95
Daniel Tudhope 5-0-0 -5.00 -5.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,3,2,1,1,1,4,6,1,4,1,1,1,5,1,(1,4),4,1,1,(2,11),1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (40%) - No bigger than 9/1
  • 20 / 20 (58%) - 2-6 Placings (Trip)
  • 20 / 20 (66%) - Last win over 1m - 1m2f
  • 20 / 20 (70%) - 5-14 Placing (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (71%) - Within first 7 of market
  • 20 / 20 (75%) - 2-5 Placing (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - 6-21 Starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - 2-12 Starts (Trip)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Furthest won 1m - 1m2f
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - 6-21 Starts (Non-Hcp)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 10/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - 4-14 Placings (Non-Hcp)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - 3-8 Starts (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - 3-10 Wins (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Ran over 6f - 1m (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Placed within last 3 starts

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newbury racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Lockinge Stakes. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races which are you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different type of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you a member on OLBG? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Lockinge Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Lockinge Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +13.04 is when runners last place was 2 starts ago. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran over 7f when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-52.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 8 (3,5) [11 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 5 (12,3) [14 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 2 (7,5) [14 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 5 (4,9) [8 Runners]
  • 2016: Winner in 6 (7,2) [12 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Lockinge Stakes are Sandown and Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 185 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 4 winners from a total of 17 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Lockinge Stakes:

  • Pivotal (3 Wins)
  • Galileo (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Lockinge Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Danehill Dancer (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Arakan (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Mustashry in 2019 when winning for Sir Michael Stoute at odds of 9/1 under the guidance of Jim Crowley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 12 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Lockinge Stakes see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today.

Other Principal races at Newbury racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Newbury racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in February

Races in March

Races in April

Races in July

Races in November

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