Lockinge Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Updated: 976 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Lockinge Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Newbury with the race being run over a distance of 1m, see which trends the past winners of the Lockinge Stakes have set for this year.

Lockinge Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Lockinge Stakes Preview

The Lockinge Stakes is a Group 1 race that is open to runners aged four or older and is scheduled to take place in May of each year at Newbury. The race is run over the straight mile and is part of the British Champions Series, the race is in the middle distance series which concludes on Champions Day with the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes.

Lockinge Stakes Information:

We also have a dedicated Newbury tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newbury Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Lockinge Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2003 when the race had an over-round of 104%. The race in 2015 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Lockinge Stakes, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.

Lockinge Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Lockinge Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -6.21. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Michael Jarvis trained Rakti ridden by Philip Robinson who set the fastest winning time in the Lockinge Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:33.59 was set when winning the race in 2005. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Sir Michael Stoute and jockey Kieren Fallon with Peeress who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:44.57 in the 2006 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Lockinge Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2005 - Rakti (1:33.59)
  • 2018 - Rhododendron (1:35.07)
  • 2013 - Farhh (1:35.43)

Lockinge Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Lockinge Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Lockinge Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Race Notes: There was no renewal in 2020.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:36.09
Modern Games (IRE)
4yo 9-2 (13 of 12) 3/1F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2022
1:35.71
Baaeed (GB)
4yo 9-0 (3 of 9) 4/9F
Jim Crowley
William Haggas (GB)
2021
1:40.96
Palace Pier (GB)
4yo 9-0 (8 of 11) 1/2F
Frankie Dettori
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2019
1:35.80
Mustashry (GB)
6yo 9-0 (5 of 14) 9/1
Jim Crowley
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2018
1:35.07
Rhododendron (IRE)
4yo 8-11 (2 of 14) 100/30F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2017
1:43.00
Ribchester (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (5 of 8) 7/4F
William Buick
Richard Fahey (GB)
2016
1:38.18
Belardo (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (6 of 12) 8/1
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Varian (GB)
2015
1:38.09
Night Of Thunder (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (3 of 16) 11/4F
James Doyle
Richard Hannon (GB)
2014
1:36.98
Olympic Glory (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (3 of 8) 11/8F
Frankie Dettori
Richard Hannon (GB)
2013
1:35.43
Farhh (GB)
5yo 9-0 (5 of 12) 100/30
Silvestre De Sousa
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Lockinge Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 18 winners with an additional 31 placings from 173 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 4 placings from 26 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • ITY: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Lockinge Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Lockinge Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Russian Rhythm (2004), Peeress (2006) and Mustashry (2019). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Lockinge Stakes are A P O'Brien (2 wins), Richard Hannon (2 wins) and Saeed bin Suroor (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Lockinge Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Sir Michael Stoute 10-3-3 +9.00 +2.60
A P O'Brien 20-2-5 -12.67 -11.13
Richard Hannon 10-2-5 -3.87 -0.09
Saeed bin Suroor 9-2-5 -0.67 +0.80
John Gosden 8-1-1 -1.00 -3.40
Roger Varian 7-1-2 +2.00 +0.90
William Haggas 6-1-1 -4.56 -4.74
Richard Fahey 3-1-1 -0.25 -0.95
John & Thady Gosden 3-1-1 -1.50 -1.70
Michael Bell 2-1-2 +7.00 +12.30

Lockinge Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Lockinge Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Creachadoir (2008), Olympic Glory (2014) and Palace Pier (2021). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Lockinge Stakes are Jim Crowley (2 wins) and William Buick (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Lockinge Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 14-3-6 -6.12 -4.12
Jim Crowley 5-2-2 +6.44 +2.66
William Buick 4-2-2 +2.75 +0.85
Ryan Moore 14-1-3 -9.67 -8.35
Jamie Spencer 10-1-1 -1.00 -4.20
Andrea Atzeni 7-1-3 +2.00 +2.30
James Doyle 7-1-1 -3.25 -4.62
Tom Queally 5-1-3 -3.71 -1.17
Silvestre De Sousa 4-1-1 +0.33 -1.00
Daniel Tudhope 6-0-1 -6.00 -5.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 1, 4, 6, 1, 4, 1, 1, 1, 5, 1, (1, 4), 4, 1, 1, (2, 11), 1, 1, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (37%) - No bigger than 9/1
  • 20 / 20 (61%) - Had 6 - 14 placings (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (62%) - Had 2 - 7 placings (Trip)
  • 20 / 20 (65%) - Achieved an RPR of 115+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (67%) - Ran over 1mf - 1m2f (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (69%) - Within the first 7 of market
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Had 2 - 6 placings (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Made 6 - 21 starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Made 2 - 12 starts (Trip)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - No bigger than 10/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Furthest Won 1mf - 1m4f
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Had 3 - 10 wins (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Had 4 - 14 placings (Non-Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Made 3 - 8 starts (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved a TS of 88+ (Last 5)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newbury racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Lockinge Stakes. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Lockinge Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Lockinge Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +16.72 is when runners were 1st in the betting market. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran over 7f when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-53.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 13 (6,7) [12 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 3 (8,1) [9 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 8 (3,5) [11 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 5 (12,3) [14 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 2 (7,5) [14 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Lockinge Stakes are Newmarket (Rowley) and Sandown, there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 187 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 4 winners from a total of 19 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Lockinge Stakes:

  • Pivotal (3 Wins)
  • Dubawi (2 Wins)
  • Galileo (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Lockinge Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Danehill Dancer (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Dark Angel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Arakan (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Mustashry in 2019, winning for Sir Michael Stoute at odds of 9/1 under the guidance of Jim Crowley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 14 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2024 Lockinge Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

Other Principal races at Newbury racecourse

Here are some other notable races at the Newbury racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in February

Races in March

Races in April (Spring Trials)

Races in May

Races in July

Races in November

Races in December

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