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2022 Ayr Silver Cup Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Sep 16, 12:13pm Last Updated: Sep 19, 10:46am Horse Racing 0 Comments 64 Views

2022 Ayr Silver Cup Preview

Scheduled to take place in September of each year at the Ayr racecourse on the same day as the Ayr Gold Cup, the Ayr Silver Cup acts as a consolation race for the big one, you can also find runners who fail to get into this race running in the Ayr Bronze Cup on the Friday prior to this race. This class two race is open to runners who are aged three or older with it being run over six furlongs, watch out for those who just fail to make it into the main race, these will be at the top of the weights!

If you are interested in other predictions at Ayr then head over to the Ayr Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:09.63 was set by Golden Apollo in 2019, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Tim Easterby and ridden by David Allan. The slowest winning time was set in 2011 when Cheveton won in a time of 1:16.17, booked to ride was Dale Swift on this Richard Price trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Ayr Silver Cup over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2019 - Golden Apollo (1:09.63)
  • 2014 - Huntsmans Close (1:10.01)
  • 2003 - Native Title (1:10.74)

How competitive is the Ayr Silver Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2004 when the race had an over-round of 125%. The race in 2013 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 141%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ayr Silver Cup, the over-round has been 134% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £134 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Ayr Silver Cup next time out then you would have back a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -9.25. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Ayr Silver Cup Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Ayr Silver Cup. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Ayr Silver Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:10.91
Staxton
6yo 9-6 (2 of 24) 25/1
Duran Fentiman
Tim Easterby
2020
1:11.96
Magical Spirit
4yo 9-4 (4 of 24) 18/1
Kevin Stott
Kevin Ryan
2019
1:09.63
Golden Apollo
5yo 9-4 (5 of 24) 12/1
David Allan
Tim Easterby
2018
1:15.98
Snazzy Jazzy
3yo 9-8 (23 of 23) 11/1
Hector Crouch
Clive Cox
2016
1:13.63
Roudee
4yo 9-9 (8 of 25) 20/1
Richard Kingscote
Tom Dascombe
2015
1:11.06
Tatlisu
5yo 9-5 (4 of 25) 18/1
Jack Garritty (3lbs)
Richard Fahey
2014
1:10.01
Huntsmans Close
4yo 9-2 (27 of 26) 9/1
James Doyle
Roger Charlton
2013
1:13.45
Ancient Cross
9yo 9-10 (26 of 27) 33/1
Pat Cosgrave
Michael Easterby
2012
1:14.15
Mass Rally
5yo 9-9 (20 of 23) 16/1
Paul Mulrennan
Michael Dods
2011
1:16.17
Cheveton
7yo 8-11 (21 of 24) 12/1
Dale Swift (3lbs)
Richard Price

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ayr Silver Cup have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 58 placings from 498 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 3 placings from 7 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners

Ayr Silver Cup Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Ayr Silver Cup over the last 20 renewals is Richard Fahey who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Utmost Respect (2007), Kaldoun Kingdom (2009) & Tatlisu (2015). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Ayr Silver Cup are Tim Easterby (2 wins) & Michael Dods (2 wins). There are multiple trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Ayr Silver Cup, David O'Meara (0-14), K R Burke (0-12) & Alan Berry (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top Ayr Silver Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Richard Fahey 53-3-8 -21.25 -21.97
Tim Easterby 25-2-4 +14.00 +7.39
Michael Dods 23-2-8 +9.00 +9.50
Kevin Ryan 40-1-7 -21.00 -15.18
Jim Goldie 20-1-1 +1.00 -6.50
David Barron 16-1-2 +18.00 +7.38
Michael Easterby 9-1-2 +25.00 +14.51
Clive Cox 7-1-1 +5.00 +0.88
Roger Charlton 3-1-1 +7.00 +3.63
Tom Dascombe 2-1-2 +19.00 +13.75

Ayr Silver Cup Jockey Statistics

There are multiple jockeys who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Ayr Silver Cup, Daniel Tudhope (0-14), Tony Hamilton (0-14) & Tom Eaves (0-13) have all failed to produce a single winner despite having multiple rides to the race.

Here are some of the top Ayr Silver Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Paul Hanagan 17-1-4 -13.25 -8.47
David Allan 16-1-2 -3.00 -3.87
Paul Mulrennan 11-1-2 +6.00 +1.56
Joe Fanning 9-1-2 +8.00 +5.63
Barry McHugh 8-1-1 +1.00 -2.00
Richard Kingscote 6-1-2 +15.00 +9.50
Jack Garritty 4-1-2 +15.00 +10.25
Kevin Stott 4-1-2 +15.00 +9.56
Duran Fentiman 3-1-1 +23.00 +13.63
Hector Crouch 3-1-1 +9.00 +4.88

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,4,2,(18,19),12,15,23,1,16,1,17,7,2,7,3,2,11,2,7,12,3

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (77%) - Not drawn in stalls 9-14
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Furthest won of 6f-7f
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Not in a field of 14-16 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Dam is either GB or IRE bred
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Not just visor or blinkers
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Not ridden just once by jockey
  • 20 / 20 (91%) - Either a colt or gelding
  • 19 / 20 (78%) - Avoid those placed in a Cl1
  • 19 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 33/1
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - Fewer than 46 starts (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - Fewer than 14 starts (1 Year)
  • 19 / 20 (91%) - Carrying 123lbs+
  • 18 / 20 (69%) - 2-5 Wins (Career)
  • 18 / 20 (77%) - Within first 10 (LTO)
  • 17 / 20 (65%) - No older than a 5yo
  • 17 / 20 (68%) - Avoid previous group runners

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Ayr racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Ayr Silver Cup. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there is plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Ayr Silver Cup by adding a tip on the race here.

Ayr Silver Cup Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +28.75 is when runners had an Irish bred dam. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 season places, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-95.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 2 (6,10,4) [24 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 4 (5,7,11) [24 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 5 (2,20,23) [24 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 23 (4,5,12) [23 Runners]
  • 2016: Winner in 8 (9,12,5) [25 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Ayr Silver Cup is Doncaster, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Doncaster last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Haydock, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Haydock last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 472 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 36 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Ayr Silver Cup:

  • Pivotal (3 Wins)
  • Machiavellian (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Ayr Silver Cup despite multiple attempts:

  • Kyllachy (0 Wins from 15 runners)
  • Bahamian Bounty (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Namid (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Royal Applause (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Acclamation (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Tagula (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Pastoral Pursuits (0 Wins from 8 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Native Title in 2003 when winning for David Nicholls at odds of 66/1 under the guidance of Joanna Badger. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 2 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Ayr Silver Cup see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today.

Other Principal races at Ayr racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Ayr racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in April

Races in September

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