Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Ayr Gold Cup Preview
The Ayr Gold Cup has plenty of history with the inaugural running in 1804, staged over six furlongs and open to three-year-olds and upwards and quickly follows on usually a week or so after the six-furlong Portland Handicap at Doncaster's St Leger meeting.
There is a consolation race for those who do not make it into the Gold Cup, the Ayr Silver Cup is run on the day whilst on the day prior there is also the Ayr Bronze Cup for those who don't even make it into the Silver Cup!
Funfair Wane won the Ayr Gold Cup in 2002 and 2004 but to find the last back-to-back winner we have to go back to Heronslea in 1930/31. The 2018 renewal saw the first dead heat in its history with Baron Bolt and Son Of Rest sharing the spoils, whilst the 2017 renewal was staged at Haydock due to the track at Ayr being waterlogged.
Ayr Gold Cup Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Ayr then head over to the Ayr tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Ayr Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Ayr Gold Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2006 when the race had an over-round of 122%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 145%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ayr Gold Cup, the over-round has been 137%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £137 which is bet.
Ayr Gold Cup Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Ayr Gold Cup next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -3.50. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Ayr Gold Cup remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Lethal Levi, trained by K R Burke and ridden by Clifford Lee who set the fastest winning time in the Ayr Gold Cup, the runner won the race in a time of 1:07.75 when winning the race in 2024. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Andrew Balding and jockey P J McDonald with Donjuan Triumphant who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:17.10 in the 2017 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Ayr Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals:
- Lethal Levi (1:07.75) in 2024
- Angel Alexander (1:09.26) in 2019
- Louis The Pious (1:09.53) in 2014
Ayr Gold Cup Past Winners
Here are the Ayr Gold Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Ayr Gold Cup are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:07.75 | Lethal Levi (GB) 5yo 9-7 (20 of 25) 20/1 | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2023 1:10.77 | Significantly (GB) 5yo 9-2 (14 of 24) 8/1F | Joe Fanning Julie Camacho (GB) |
| 2022 1:10.82 | Summerghand (IRE) 8yo 9-5 (12 of 24) 12/1 | Daniel Tudhope David O'Meara (GB) |
| 2021 1:10.03 | Bielsa (IRE) 6yo 9-1 (25 of 24) 15/2 | Kevin Stott Kevin Ryan (GB) |
| 2020 1:11.65 | Nahaarr (IRE) 4yo 9-5 (13 of 24) 7/2F | Tom Marquand William Haggas (GB) |
| 2019 1:09.26 | Angel Alexander (IRE) 3yo 8-13 (24 of 24) 28/1 | Richard Kingscote Tom Dascombe (GB) |
| 2018 1:14.77 | Son Of Rest (GB) 4yo 9-3 (17 of 25) 5/1F | Chris Hayes J A Stack (IRE) |
| 2018 1:14.77 | Baron Bolt (GB) 5yo 8-12 (21 of 25) 28/1 | Cameron Noble (5lbs) Paul Cole (GB) |
| 2017 1:17.10 | Donjuan Triumphant (IRE) 4yo 9-10 (4 of 17) 13/2 | P J McDonald Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2016 1:13.12 | Brando (GB) 4yo 9-10 (8 of 23) 11/1 | Tom Eaves Kevin Ryan (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ayr Gold Cup have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 56 placings from 483 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 3 placings from 12 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Ayr Gold Cup Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Ayr Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals is Kevin Ryan who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Advanced (2007), Our Jonathan (2011), Captain Ramius (2012), Brando (2016) and Bielsa (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Ayr Gold Cup are Richard Fahey (2 wins), David O'Meara (2 wins) and Andrew Balding (2 wins). Multiple trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Ayr Gold Cup, David Barron (0-21), Jim Goldie (0-19) and Michael Dods (0-18) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.
Here are some of the top Ayr Gold Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Ryan | 58-5-8 | +12.50 | -1.54 |
| Richard Fahey | 55-2-12 | -31.00 | -15.24 |
| David O'Meara | 27-2-5 | -3.00 | -4.24 |
| Andrew Balding | 13-2-2 | +15.50 | +5.56 |
| K R Burke | 11-1-4 | +10.00 | +18.25 |
| Clive Cox | 10-1-1 | +5.00 | -0.25 |
| William Haggas | 7-1-2 | -2.50 | -1.31 |
| Tom Dascombe | 5-1-1 | +24.00 | +13.50 |
| Julie Camacho | 1-1-1 | +8.00 | +5.00 |
| J A Stack | 1-1-1 | +5.00 | +3.13 |
Ayr Gold Cup Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Ayr Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Jimmy Styles (2009) and Redford (2010). Two jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Ayr Gold Cup, Paul Mulrennan has ridden 13 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst David Allan has ridden 12 without a winner.
Here are some of the top Ayr Gold Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Dettori | 4-2-2 | +26.00 | +15.50 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 18-1-2 | -5.00 | -5.87 |
| Tom Eaves | 16-1-2 | -4.00 | -5.12 |
| Tony Hamilton | 10-1-3 | -3.00 | +1.25 |
| P J McDonald | 9-1-2 | -1.50 | -1.19 |
| Joe Fanning | 7-1-1 | +2.00 | -1.00 |
| Kevin Stott | 7-1-1 | +1.50 | -1.31 |
| Richard Kingscote | 6-1-2 | +23.00 | +13.37 |
| Franny Norton | 6-1-1 | +6.00 | +1.88 |
| Clifford Lee | 4-1-1 | +17.00 | +9.50 |
2025 Ayr Gold Cup Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 14, 13, 19, 13, 4, 5, 2, 3, 23, 3, 1, 2, 12, 1, 17, 1, 2, 20, (1, 11), 16
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 21 / 21 (69%) - No bigger than 28/1
- 21 / 21 (76%) - Achieved a TS of 87+ (Season)
- 21 / 21 (77%) - Achieved a TS of 60+ (LTO)
- 21 / 21 (78%) - Achieved an RPR of 104+ (Hcps)
- 21 / 21 (82%) - Within the first 19 of the market
- 21 / 21 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 77+ (Last 3)
- 21 / 21 (84%) - Ran in 4 - 12 races (1 Year)
- 21 / 21 (85%) - Placed within last 5 starts
- 21 / 21 (85%) - Ran in 4 - 11 races (Season)
- 21 / 21 (85%) - Not in a G1-2/LST/Cl5 (Last Win)
- 21 / 21 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 88+ (Hcps)
- 21 / 21 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 101+ (Class)
- 21 / 21 (87%) - Not in a G3/Cl2-3/Cl6-7 (Debut)
- 21 / 21 (87%) - Off a break of 6 - 50 days
- 21 / 21 (89%) - Carried 123 - 131lbs (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Ayr racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Ayr Gold Cup. If you are looking to place a bet on this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Ayr Gold Cup by adding a tip on the race here.
Ayr Gold Cup Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +52.50 is when runners had 1 place in the past 30 days. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 5 career wins in Flat (AW) races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-71.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 20 (19,24,13) [25 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 14 (12,8,13) [24 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 12 (9,18,13) [24 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 25 (1,16,15) [24 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 13 (9,11,3) [24 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Ayr Gold Cup is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Ripon and Haydock, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 21 winners from a total of 476 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 21 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Ayr Gold Cup:
- Pivotal (3 Wins)
- Dark Angel (2 Wins)
- Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
- Kheleyf (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Ayr Gold Cup despite multiple attempts:
- Oasis Dream (0 Wins from 17 runners)
- Acclamation (0 Wins from 15 runners)
- Indian Ridge (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Clodovil (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Monsieur Bond (0 Wins from 7 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Baron Bolt in 2018, winning for Paul Cole at odds of 28/1 under the guidance of Cameron Noble. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Ayr Gold Cup remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Ayr Gold Cup Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Other Principal races at Ayr racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Ayr racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in April
Races in September
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