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- Jacob Rees-Mogg is now 10/3 to win the North East Somerset and Hanham Constituency next month
- Labour are heavy favourites to win in North East Somerset and Hanham at 1/5
- North East Somerset and Hanham Constituency newly formed for the upcoming election
Jacob Rees-Mogg is now 10/3 to win the North East Somerset and Hanham Constituency next month is now 10/3 to win the North East Somerset and Hanham Constituency next month
Conservative MP Jacob Rees-Mogg is now out to 10/3 with UK Betting Sites to win the North East Somerset and Hanham Constituency at next month's General Election.
Bookies expect Rees-Mogg to be beaten in the new constituency in North East Somerset and Hanham after 14 years of being MP for North East Somerset.
Labour MP Dan Norris is the heavy favourite at 1/5 to win back his seat that Rees-Mogg took from him all the way back in 2010 after it was changed to North East Somerset from Wansdyke.
The latest odds from William Hill say there's just a 23.1% chance that Rees-Mogg is voted in at next month's polls, with Norris' implied probability of winning now at 83.3%.
| North East Somerset and Hanham Constituency Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 1/5 | 83.3% |
| Conservatives (Jacob Rees-Mogg) | 10/3 | 23.1% |
| Liberal Democrats | 28/1 | 3.4% |
| Reform UK | 40/1 | 2.4% |
| Green Party | 250/1 | 0.4% |
What the expert says...
Labour are heavy favourites to win in North East Somerset and Hanham at 1/5
Labour's Dan Norris is the current West of England Metro Mayor after being voted in for the role back in the Mayoral election in May 2021.
Norris was the former MP for Wansdyke which was a constituency that was replaced by North East Somerset back in 2010, where he lost at the polls to Jacob Rees-Mogg.
Fast forward 14 years later and Norris is battling against Rees-Mogg once again, with bookmakers this time expecting him to have the upper hand with the odds saying he's the clear favourite to win.
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North East Somerset and Hanham Constituency newly formed for the upcoming election
North East Somerset and Hanham will be a newly formed constituency for the upcoming General Election after being formed following the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies.
The North East Somerset and Hanham seat will be made up of the following:
- The District of Bath and North East Somerset wards of: Chew Valley; Clutton & Farmborough; High Littleton; Keynsham East; Keynsham North; Keynsham South; Mendip; Paulton; Publow & Whitchurch; Saltford; Timsbury.
- The District of South Gloucestershire wards of: Bitton & Oldland Common; Hanham; Longwell Green; Parkwall & Warmley
Political Betting Author Information
Political Betting Expert
Jake Ashton
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