🗳️ Cheltenham Elections Betting Guide

Updated: 15 Politics & Current Affairs

Your ultimate guide on Cheltenham Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets.

🗳️ Cheltenham Elections Betting Guide
Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to Cheltenham's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Cheltenham Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on Cheltenham Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the Cheltenham Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!

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Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of Cheltenham may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

3.9 / 5 74 Ratings

Best for Politics Betting

Smarkets beat 63 other betting sites in our research to finish #1 for political betting options

Smarkets Review

  • UK Politics
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  • Better Odds

Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in Cheltenham, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Cheltenham for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Cheltenham residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how Cheltenham turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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Constituency Information

Cheltenham, a UK Parliament constituency in Gloucestershire since 1832, appoints one MP through first-past-the-post elections. Alex Chalk has represented it since 2015 and became Secretary of State for Justice in 2023.

Alex Chalk, Conservative Candidate
David Woolfall, CC BY 3.0 , via Wikimedia Commons

Known for its Cheltenham Gold Cup racecourse, prestigious girls' school, proximity to the Cotswolds, significant tourism, and major employers like GE Aviation and GCHQ, Cheltenham boasts a highly skilled workforce. It's considered an upscale town, though Hester's Way shows medium levels of deprivation. The University of Gloucestershire near the town center contributes to the student population. 

🎩 Cheltenham: Where History, Politics & Prestige Meet!

🏇 Since 1832, home to MPs, the famous Gold Cup 🏆, top schools, and GCHQ 🕵️. Alex Chalk's the current MP since 2015, and Justice Secretary '23! 🌟

Political history includes a balanced mix of nine Liberals (or Liberal Democrats), nine Conservatives, and one independent since 1832. Controversial moments include racial remarks in the 1992 election and a 2000 attack on Liberal Democrat Nigel Jones and his assistant by a samurai sword-wielding man, resulting in Andrew Pennington's death. Conservatives regained the seat in 2015 after Liberal Democrats held it from 1992.

General Election Betting

The Cheltenham seat was created in 1832 from the previous Gloucestershire seat. As of 2011, the population was measured at 104,867.

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Cheltenham's 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • The Conservatives retained possession of the Cheltenham seat as Alex Chalk collected 28,486 votes.
  • The Liberal Democrats finishes second with Max Wilkinson collecting 27,505 votes.
  • Both the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats gained vote share when compared to the 2017 General Election - 1.3% and 4.2% respectively
  • Labour finished third with just 2,921 votes collected by George Penny and the party also saw a 4.6% decrease in vote share.
  • The majority of 985 equated to 1.7% of the total vote. This also meant it was the 24th smallest of the 2019 General Election
  • The turnout for the seat was 73.2% - up 0.9% on 2017
Candidate Data Party Gender Number of votes Share (%) Change vs. 2017 (% points)
Alex Chalk Conservative Male 28,486 48.00% 1.3
Max Wilkinson Liberal Democrat Male 27,505 46.30% 4.2
George Penny Labour Male 2,921 4.90% -4.6
George Ridgeon Monster Raving Loony Party Male 445 0.70% 0
Share

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 981 from the 59,357 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 1.7%, making Cheltenham the 24th closest run constituency in the 2019 election.

Cheltenham Majority Data
Votes 981
Percent 1.70%
Rank (1 = highest %) 627
Share

Voter turnout for the Cheltenham seat was at 73.2%. This figure was up 1.2% on the region as a whole and up 0.9% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was up 5.9% when compared to the average turnout for 2019

Cheltenham Turnout Data
Constituency 73.20%
Region 72.00%
UK 67.30%
Constituency in 2017 72.30%
Size of electorate 81,044
Valid votes cast 59,357
Share

Cheltenham By Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • All Saints
  • Battledown
  • Benhall and The Reddings
  • Charlton Kings
  • Charlton Park
  • College
  • Hesters Way
  • Lansdown
  • Leckhampton
  • Oakley
  • Park
  • Pittville
  • Springbank
  • St Mark's
  • St Paul's
  • St Peter's
  • Up Hatherley
  • Warden Hill


How To Bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG have assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data scientist and football editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-in-chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.


Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

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