Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds

Updated: 3253 Politics & Current Affairs

Bet on the next Conservative leader after Labour's win. Top contenders include Kemi Badenoch, Robert Jenrick, and Tom Tugendhat. Explore odds and insights at leading betting sites.

Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds
Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds

With Labour's victory in the July 2024 General Election, Rishi Sunak is no longer Prime Minister, putting the Conservative leadership up for grabs. Political betting sites are abuzz with potential successors.

Consider candidates like Kemi Badenoch, Robert Jenrick, and Tom Tugendhat when betting on the next Conservative leader. Penny Mordaunt, having lost her seat, is out of the race.

Expect betting sites to feature competitive odds and detailed candidate profiles. Stay informed on party dynamics and political trends to make savvy bets in this niche market.

Tap on the graph for more comparative odds data

Next Permanent Leader of the Conservative Party - After R Sunak - Next Party Leader Betting
Odds History over the last 15 days
Kemi Badenoch

Kemi Badenoch who impressed many TV viewers in the previous Conservative Leadership race has been supported to become the next Tory leader.

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK
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Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK

Next Conservative Leader Betting Markets

The most popular betting market available for this would be to predict the winner of the Conservative leadership race.

There may also be other betting markets as the race draws closer or gets underway. 

Betting sites can be quite creative when coming up with markets for these betting specials and may even open a market if they have enough requests from customers for a market they hadn't already considered.

  • Gender Betting 
  • Final Two Candidates Betting
  • Percentage of Victory
  • Will Kemi Badenoch Win The 1st Ballot
  • Will James Cleverley Be Knocked Out In Round 1

How To Bet On The Next Conservative Leader

There is nothing complicated about betting on the next Conservative leader, it is a betting market just like the Grand National or an English Premier League game.  

You simply need to go to your favourite betting app, then head to the political section in the bookmakers index, and select the next conservative leader market. 

If you do not have an active online betting account you can view all the best bookies with the leading welcome offers on our best betting site pages.  

Ready To Place Your Next Conservative Leader Bet

Here you will see the option to look at the list of candidates being offered as options to bet on.

  • All you need do is click on your selection.
  • This will open up the bet slip, at which point you will see confirmation of the betting odds being offered
  • Now you choose your stake - most betting sites will show you how much you can expect to have returned if your prediction is correct.
  • If you are happy, simple hit, PLACE BET, to confirm your selection, stake, and bet.
  • You will be given a receipt for your bet and it will appear in your open bets in your account details.
  • Then it's just a matter of waiting to see who is finally chosen as the new Conservative leader. 

 

Conservative Leadership Contenders - To Succeed Rishi Sunak

Kemi Badenoch

The former equalities minister is the candidate to watch. 

Appointed by Liz Truss as  Secretary of State for British Trade, the bookies like her chances of succeeding Sunak

Suella Braverman

The former Home Secretary under Liz Truss, is known to be a tough cookie, she said she wanted to stand up to "woke rubbish"

Was in favour of cutting taxes which could harm her chances in light of the furore over the Chancellor's tax policy. 

Suella Braverman: David Woolfall, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons

James Cleverly

Foreign Secretary who was an early supporter of Liz Truss in her leadership campaign.

He may need to forge his own path if he wants to be a  future Conservative leader. 


Next Conservative Leader Betting News Diary Timeline

The betting odds for The Next Conservative leader are always on the move as one rumour or scandal shakes up the odds. It would also that seem every week, a new name is put forward, or an MP leaves a role and bets are placed on them becoming the New Tory Leader. 

Here is a round-up of the Next Conservative leader Betting News from our OLBG News feed

4th July 2024

Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds: Kemi Badenoch favourite to replace Rishi Sunak as Tory leader with General Election defeat expected to see change!
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Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds: Kemi Badenoch favourite to replace Rishi Sunak as Tory leader with General Election defeat expected to see change!

22nd May 2024

Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds: Kemi Badenoch remains CLEAR FAVOURITE to lead the Conservative Party next after Rishi Sunak!
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Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds: Kemi Badenoch remains CLEAR FAVOURITE to lead the Conservative Party next after Rishi Sunak!

15th May 2024

Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds: Kemi Badenoch remains CLEAR FAVOURITE to lead the Conservative Party next after Rishi Sunak!
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Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds: Kemi Badenoch remains CLEAR FAVOURITE to lead the Conservative Party next after Rishi Sunak!

31st January 2024

Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds: Kemi Badenoch now moves into 9/4 to be the next leader of the Conservatives after Rishi Sunak!
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Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds: Kemi Badenoch now moves into 9/4 to be the next leader of the Conservatives after Rishi Sunak!

2nd November 2022

Next Conservative Party Leader Betting Odds: Boris Johnson is the 7/2 favourite with bookmakers to be the next Tory Party leader after Rishi Sunak!
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Next Conservative Party Leader Betting Odds: Boris Johnson is the 7/2 favourite with bookmakers to be the next Tory Party leader after Rishi Sunak!

26th October 2022

Rishi Sunak Betting Specials: Sunak struggles expected at Number 10 with bookmakers giving him an 11% chance of increasing Conservative Majority at next General Election!
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Rishi Sunak Betting Specials: Sunak struggles expected at Number 10 with bookmakers giving him an 11% chance of increasing Conservative Majority at next General Election!

14th October 2022

Liz Truss Betting Odds: Bookmakers now go ODDS ON at 4/7 that Truss is NOT the Conservative Leader by the next General Election!
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Liz Truss Betting Odds: Bookmakers now go ODDS ON at 4/7 that Truss is NOT the Conservative Leader by the next General Election!

11th August 2022

Liz Truss run-off vote share - Truss 7/4 to win the Conservative leadership ballot with 60-65% of the vote!
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Liz Truss run-off vote share - Truss 7/4 to win the Conservative leadership ballot with 60-65% of the vote!

4th July 2022

Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds: Penny Mordaunt into 5/1 FAVOURITE to be the next Party leader to replace Boris Johnson!
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Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds: Penny Mordaunt into 5/1 FAVOURITE to be the next Party leader to replace Boris Johnson!

6th June 2022

Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds: Jeremy Hunt 4/1 favourite to be the next party leader after NO CONFIDENCE vote set for Boris Johnson!
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Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds: Jeremy Hunt 4/1 favourite to be the next party leader after NO CONFIDENCE vote set for Boris Johnson!

2nd May 2022

Odds Smashed into 7/1 for Ben Wallace in Next Conservative Leader Betting
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Odds Smashed into 7/1 for Ben Wallace in Next Conservative Leader Betting

5th January 2022

2022 Political Betting - New Leaders for Both Conservatives and Labour?
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2022 Political Betting - New Leaders for Both Conservatives and Labour?

3rd December 2021

Next Conservative Leader Betting: Liz Truss Takes to Tank as odds plummet from 25/1 to 4/1
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Next Conservative Leader Betting: Liz Truss Takes to Tank as odds plummet from 25/1 to 4/1

1st October 2021

Punters are betting at 5/2 that the Conservatives win the Next General Election with Boris in Charge in 2024
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Punters are betting at 5/2 that the Conservatives win the Next General Election with Boris in Charge in 2024

10th August 2021

Rishi Sunak is the Clear Favourite to be the Next Conservative Leader with Betting Sites in 2022
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Rishi Sunak is the Clear Favourite to be the Next Conservative Leader with Betting Sites in 2022

Conservative Party Leaders

Conservative LeaderTenureMP For 
Rishi Sunak2022-Richmond & Northallerton
Liz Truss2022- 2022South West Norfolk
Boris Johnson2019 - 2022Uxbridge & Ruislip, Middlesex
Theresa May2016-2019Maidenhead, Berkshire
David Cameron2005-2016Witney, Oxford
Michael Howard2003-2005Folkestone.Kent
Iain Duncan Smith2001-2003Chingford, Essex
William Hague1997-2001Richmond, Yorkshire
John Major1990-1997Huntingdon, Cambridgeshire
Margaret Thatcher1975-1990Finchley, London
Edward Heath1965-1975Bexley & Sidcup. Kent
Alec Douglas - Home 1963-1965Kinross, Scotland

Conservative Leadership Contests

You normally get a few MP's throwing their hat into the ring for leadership contests.

There is a number of ballots and then the two main contenders with the most votes go head-to-head. 

In 2022 despite most thinking Truss was a sure thing she only polled 57%. 

Tory Leadership Final 2 CandidatesPercentage of Votes
Liz Truss57%
Rishi Sunak43%


In 2019 the following received the percentage of votes in the final ballot. 

Tory Leadership Final 2 CandidatesPercentage of Votes
Boris Johnson66.4%
Jeremy Hunt33.6%


In 2016 Theresa May beat off Andrea Leadsom and Michael Gove and secured the leadership without the need of a final ballot when Andrea Leadsom withdrew. 

Tory Leadership CandidatesPercentage of Votes
Theresa May60.5%
Andrea Leadsom25.5%
Michael Gove14%


In 2005 David Cameron started the Conservative leadership process as an outsider but secured victory after David Davis was less than impressive during the race. 

Tory Leadership Final 2 CandidatesPercentage of Votes
David Cameron67.6%
David Davies32.4%


After the US Election 2020 proved there was a huge appetite for betting on politics we can expect to see a host of new markets springing up in this field.

The online bookmakers will be supplying political betting odds from a range of countries, we will of course cover everything that is relevant on the OLBG Blogs.  


Author Infomation

Nigel Skinner

Nigel Skinner

Blog content manager

Nigel is one of OLBG's senior editors with 19 years of industry experience. Today he specialises in researching and writing about the betting angles to political and mainstream news stories and being the OLBG in-house expert on 'next football manager' betting markets.

Specialist Subjects🔬📚

⚽️👨‍💼 Nigel is an Arsenal fan first and foremost but has an unrivalled knowledge of English football managers at every level. Meticulously putting together our Next Manager articles, Nigel can quite possibly name you every manager of every club in the land, not to mention a pretty good eye for predicting replacements when changes happen. 

📈📊📉 A long-time exchange trader and spread betting fan, Nigel is our go-to for advice on the subjects and uses them daily in his own betting activity. 

🗳️💼 Finally, Nigel loves his politics and [some would say] has an unhealthy interest in the day-to-day events in the UK's political landscape, contributing to all our Political betting content and new pieces.

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