🗳️ Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Elections Betting Guide

Updated: 34 Politics & Current Affairs

Your ultimate guide on Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets for what was one of the closest three-way marginals in 2019 but may have changed now.

🗳️ Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Elections Betting Guide
Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to Carmarthen East and Dinefwr's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK

Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of Carmarthen East and Dinefwr may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Carmarthen East and Dinefwr for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Carmarthen East and Dinefwr residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how Carmarthen East and Dinefwr turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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Constituency Information

Carmarthen East and Dinefwr is a UK Parliament constituency represented by Jonathan Edwards of Plaid Cymru since 2010.

By Richard Townshend - https://members-api.parliament.uk/api/Members/3943/Portrait?cropType=ThreeTwoGallery: https://members.parliament.uk/member/3943/portrait, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=86634873

Created in 1997, it elects one MP via the first past the post system. A Senedd constituency with the same boundaries was formed in 1999. The constituency is due to be abolished as part of the 2023 Periodic Review, with its wards splitting between Caerfyrddin (Carmarthen) and Llanelli.

General Election Betting

The Carmarthen East and Dinefwr seat was created in 1997. The seat was created from the previous Carmathen and Llanelli seats. As of 2011, the population stood at 71.046.

By Wereon - Own work, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=4459737

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Carmarthen East and Dinefwr 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • Plaid Cymru held the seat after Jonathan Edwards earned 38.9% of the vote
  • Edwards would pick up 15,939 votes and by comparison Havard Hughes of the Conservatives would collect 14,130.
  • This meant a majority of 1,809 votes and a difference of 4.4% in percentage terms.
  • Even though Plaid Cymru would hold onto their seat, their vote share would decrease by 0.4%
  • The seat was keenly contested by three parties and Labour would finish third, with Maria Carroll earning 8,622 votes 
  • The turnout for the seat was 71.4% - down 1.9% on 2017
Candidate Data Party Gender Number of votes Share (%) Change vs. 2017 (% points)
Jonathan Edwards Plaid Cymru Male 15,939 38.90% -0.4
Havard Hughes Conservative Male 14,130 34.50% 8.2
Maria Carroll Labour Female 8,622 21.00% -8.8
Pete Prosser Brexit Party Male 2,311 5.60% 0

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 1,809 from the 41,002 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 4.4%, making Carmarthen East and Dinefwr the 588th safest seat in the 2019 General Election.

Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Majority Data
Votes 1,809
Percent 4.40%
Rank (1 = highest %) 588

Voter turnout for the Carmarthen East and Dinefwr seat was at 71.4%. This figure was up 4.8% on the region as a whole and down 1.9% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was up 4.1% when compared to the average turnout for 2017.

Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Turnout Data
Constituency 71.40%
Region 66.60%
UK 67.30%
Constituency in 2017 73.30%
Size of electorate 57,419
Valid votes cast 41,002

By Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • Abergwili
  • Ammanford
  • Betws
  • Cenarth and Llangeler
  • Cilycwm
  • Cwarter Bach
  • Garnant
  • Glanamman
  • Gorslas
  • Kidwelly and St Ishmael
  • Llanddarog
  • Llandeilo
  • Llandovery
  • Llandybie
  • Llanegwad
  • Llanfihangel Aberbythych
  • Llanfihangel-ar-Arth
  • Llangadog
  • Llangunnor
  • Llangyndeyrn
  • Llanybydder
  • Manordeilo and Salem
  • Penygroes
  • Saron

How To Bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG has assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data scientist and football editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-in-chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.

Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

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UK General Election Betting Odds

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