🗳️ Ashfield Elections Betting Guide

Updated: 62 Politics & Current Affairs

Your ultimate guide on Ashfield Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets for what was one of the closest three-way marginals in 2019 but may have changed now.

🗳️ Ashfield Elections Betting Guide
Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to Ashfield's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Ashfield Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on Ashfield Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the Ashfield Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK

Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of Ashfield may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in Ashfield, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Ashfield for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Ashfield residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how Ashfield turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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Constituency Information

Ashfield is a UK parliamentary constituency in Nottinghamshire, East Midlands. It is represented in the House of Commons by Lee Anderson, a former member of the Conservative Party. After having the whip suspended in February 2024, Anderson joined Reform UK, becoming their first MP. Ashfield, part of the Red Wall, predominantly voted Conservative in the 2019 election and 70% in favor of Brexit in the 2016 referendum. The constituency includes towns such as Kirkby-in-Ashfield, Sutton-in-Ashfield, Huthwaite, and Eastwood and was traditionally reliant on coal mining.

By David Woolfall - https://members-api.parliament.uk/api/Members/4743/Portrait?cropType=ThreeFourGallery: https://members.parliament.uk/member/4743/portrait, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=86619289

Historically, Ashfield was a Labour Party seat since its establishment in 1955 until the 2019 election, apart from a brief period (1977-1979) under Conservative Tim Smith. In the 2010 election, Labour held the seat by a narrow margin, but in 2015, the majority increased after a decline in the Liberal Democrat vote. In 2019, despite fewer votes and a smaller vote share than in 2017, the Conservatives finally gained the seat.

General Election Betting

The Ashfield seat was created in 1955. The seat was created from the previous Broxtowe seat. As of 2011, the population stood at 101,914.

By Wereon - Own work, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=4418003

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Ashfield 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • The Conservatives took the seat from Labour after Lee Anderson earned 39.3% of the vote
  • Anderson would pick up 19,231 votes and by comparison Jason Zadrozny of the Ashfield Independents would collect 13,498.
  • This meant a majority of 5,733 votes and a difference of 11.7% in percentage terms.
  • Even though the Conservatives would hold onto their seat, their vote share would decrease by 2.4%
  • The seat was keenly contested by three parties and Labour would finish third, with Natalie Fleet earning 11,971 votes
  • The turnout for the seat was 62.6% - down 1.4% on 2017
Candidate Data Party Gender Number of votes Share (%) Change vs. 2017 (% points)
Lee Anderson Conservative Male 19,231 39.30% -2.4
Jason Zadrozny Ashfield Independents Male 13,498 27.60% 18.3
Natalie Fleet Labour Female 11,971 24.40% -18.1
Martin Daubney Brexit Party Male 2,501 5.10% 0
Rebecca Wain Liberal Democrat Female 1,105 2.30% 0.3
Rose Woods Green Female 674 1.40% 0.6

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 5,733 from the 48,980 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 11.7%, making Ashfield the 478th safest seat in the 2019 General Election.

Ashfield Majority Data
Votes 5,733
Percent 11.70%
Rank (1 = highest %) 478

Voter turnout for the Ashfield seat was at 62.6%. This figure was down 4.6% on the region as a whole and down 1.4% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was down 4.7% when compared to the average turnout for 2017.

Ashfield Turnout Data
Constituency 62.60%
Region 67.20%
UK 67.30%
Constituency in 2017 64.00%
Size of electorate 78,204
Valid votes cast 48,980

By Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • Abbey Hill
  • Annesley & Kirkby Woodhouse
  • Ashfields
  • Brinsley
  • Carsic
  • Eastwood Hall
  • Eastwood Hilltop
  • Eastwood St Mary's
  • Greasley
  • Greenwood & Summit
  • Huthwaite & Brierley
  • Jacksdale & Westwood
  • Kingsway
  • Kirkby Cross & Portland
  • Larwood
  • Leamington
  • Selston
  • Skegby
  • Stanton Hill & Teversal
  • Sutton Central & New Cross
  • Sutton Junction & Harlow Wood
  • Sutton St Mary's
  • The Dales
  • Underwood

How To Bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG has assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data scientist and football editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-in-chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.

Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

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UK General Election Betting Odds

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