🗳️ Bootle Elections Betting Guide

Updated: 7 Politics & Current Affairs

Your ultimate guide on Bootle Elections: uncover historical outcomes, analyse voting trends, and discover how and where to place your bets for what was a safe seat in 2019 but may have changed now.

🗳️ Bootle Elections Betting Guide

By Chris McAndrew, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=61323602

Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Welcome to Bootle's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Bootle Constituency betting and general election betting..

Bet Smart on Bootle Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!

📊🎲 Ready to place a bet on the Bootle Elections? Dive into our guide for all you need to know about previous results and where to bet!

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Current Betting Odds

Betting odds for the constituency of Bootle may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.

Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets

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Things to Consider

When betting on local elections in Bootle, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.

  • 👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.

  • 📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Bootle for trends.

  • 🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Bootle residents.

  • 📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.

  • 🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.

  • 📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.

  • 👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how Bootle turnout could impact the election results.

  • 💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.

  • 💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.

  • 🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.

  • 🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.

  • 📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.

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Constituency Information

Since 2015, Bootle, a UK parliamentary constituency, has been represented by Labour's Peter Dowd.

By Chris McAndrew, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=61323602

Historically a Conservative stronghold from 1885 to 1935, with notable Conservative MP Bonar Law serving 1911-1918 before becoming UK Prime Minister, it shifted towards Labour, holding the seat continuously since 1945 despite economic downturns affecting local industries. 

Bootle's Political Journey: From Conservative Past to Labour Fortress 🌹🏰

🚀 Since 2015, Bootle under Labour’s Peter Dowd! From a Conservative past 🐘 to a Labour stronghold 💪 since 1945. 1990 brought historic by-elections and odd contenders 🎩🚀. Today, it's Labour’s fortress, hitting a record 84% vote share in 2017! 🏰🌹

Notoriously, in 1990, Bootle had two by-elections, the first leading to Screaming Lord Sutch of the Official Monster Raving Loony Party beating the Social Democratic Party candidate, and the second securing Labour’s Joe Benton, who maintained the seat until 2015. Bootle has been one of Labour’s safest seats, achieving record vote shares, particularly under Peter Dowd in 2017 with 84%. It’s characterized by lower-than-average incomes and a high proportion of social housing.


General Election Betting

The Bootle seat was created in 1885 from the previous South West Lancashire seat. As of the 2011 census, the population is 39,942.

Wereon, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

2019 Election Results

Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Liverpool, Walton's 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.

Voting Data

  • Labour held on to the seat after Peter Dowd earned 79.4% of the vote
  • In doing so, it meant that Bootle was Labour's third-safest seat in the 2019 General Election
  • Howarth would pick up a majority of 39,066 with the Conservatives trailing way behind in second with just 4,510 votes by comparison.
  • Labour's 79.4% vote share was down 4.6% on the previous election, with the Conservatives having to make do with a 2.9% decrease themselves
  • The Brexit Party would finish third, with Kim Knight earning 5.3% of the total vote.
  • The turnout for the seat was 65.7% - down 3.3% on 2017
Candidate Data Party Gender Number of votes Share (%) Change vs. 2017 (% points)
Peter Dowd Labour Male 39,066 79.40% -4.6
Tarsilo Onuluk Conservative Male 4,510 9.20% -2.9
Kim Knight Brexit Party Female 2,610 5.30% 0
Rebecca Hanson Liberal Democrat Female 1,822 3.70% 2
Mike Carter Green Male 1,166 2.40% 1
Share

Statistics & Turnout Information

With a votes majority of 34,556 from the 49,174 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 70.3%, making Bootle the third-safest seat in the 2019 election.

Bootle Majority Data
Votes 34,556
Percent 70.30%
Rank (1 = highest %) 3
Share

Voter turnout for the Bootle seat was at 65.7%. This figure was up 0.1% on the region as a whole and down 3.3% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was down 1.6% when compared to the average turnout for 2019

Bootle Turnout Data
Constituency 65.70%
Region 65.60%
UK 67.30%
Constituency in 2017 69.00%
Size of electorate 74,832
Valid votes cast 49,174
Share

By Election Betting and Wards

The wards within the Constituency are currently:

  • Church
  • Derby
  • Ford
  • Linacre
  • Litherland
  • Netherton and Orrell
  • St Oswald
  • Victoria


How To Bet

Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:

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  1. Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.

  2. Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.

  3. Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.

  4. Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.

  5. Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.

  6. Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.

Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.

Editorial Team and Resources

OLBG have assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.

Nigel Skinner

Political Editor

When he is not following Arsenal or trading the markets on horse racing, Nigel has a keen eye on all things politics as our political content editor

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Dan Tracey

Data Collection and Fact Checking

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to.

- Dan Tracey, Data scientist and football editor

Steve Madgwick

Edited and Published by

Steve is our Editor-In-Chief with over 20 years of experience creating and managing high-quality sports betting content for OLBG & multiple other publications.

- Steve Madgwick, Editor-in-chief

Data Sources:

A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.


Further Resources

We have a considerable library of political betting information for both the UK, the US and the wider global political sphere, here are some suggestions we think you would enjoy.

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