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Welcome to Louth and Horncastle's electoral battleground from a betting perspective. Whether you have used a betting site to place bets on political markets before or not, you'll gain invaluable insights into past general election results, voter turnout, and betting options. Discover how to leverage this information at top political betting sites to make informed decisions on Louth and Horncastle Constituency betting and general election betting..
Bet Smart on Louth and Horncastle Elections: Your Ultimate Guide!
Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK
Current Betting Odds
Betting odds for the constituency of Louth and Horncastle may not always be available, but as and when a market is active the odds will be displayed below.
Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook have come out top in our Best Political Betting Sites analysis of over 60 different betting sites, and are usually the top destination to find the markets
Things to Consider
When betting on local elections in Louth and Horncastle, consider the political climate, candidate popularity, historical voting patterns, local issues, and recent polls. Understanding these factors can provide insights into potential outcomes, guiding more informed betting decisions.
👤 Candidate Profiles: Research the backgrounds, policies, and popularity of the candidates.
📊 Historical Voting Patterns: Analyze past election results in Louth and Horncastle for trends.
🏘️ Local Issues: Understand the key issues affecting Louth and Horncastle residents.
📈 Polling Data: Look at the latest polls for insights into potential outcomes.
🌍 Political Climate: Consider the national and local political environment.
📢 Campaign Strategies: Evaluate the effectiveness of candidates' campaign strategies.
👥 Voter Turnout: Consider how Louth and Horncastle turnout could impact the election results.
💸 Bookmakers' Odds: Compare odds from different political betting sites for value.
💬 Social Media Sentiment: Gauge public opinion and sentiment towards candidates on social media.
🤝 Endorsements: Note any significant endorsements or support from influential figures or organizations.
🎤 Debates and Public Appearances: Assess candidates' performances in debates and public appearances.
📜 Election Regulations: Be aware of any changes to election laws or voting procedures that could affect the outcome.
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- Min Odds -
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Constituency Information
Louth and Horncastle, a constituency in Lincolnshire, UK, has been represented by Conservative Victoria Atkins since 2015.
By Richard Townshend - https://members-api.parliament.uk/api/Members/4399/Portrait?cropType=ThreeTwoGallery: https://members.parliament.uk/member/4399/portrait, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=86620845
This area covers a large part of the Lincolnshire coastline, including seaside resorts Mablethorpe and Sutton-on-Sea, which have faced deprivation with the decline of tourism, unlike the more popular Skegness. The inland towns of Louth and Horncastle, situated in a rural region of the Lincolnshire Wolds, are known for their farming industries, with the majority of residents earning modest to mid-level incomes amidst low unemployment.
🇬🇧 Louth & Horncastle, Lincolnshire:
Formed in 1997, this seat has seen Conservative dominance, with the closest competition coming from Labour in 1997. Victoria Atkins succeeded Peter Tapsell, who had been the constituency’s MP since 1966, following his representation of East Lindsey and Horncastle, and earlier Nottingham West. Tapsell, who had a break in service, was the longest-serving Conservative MP until his retirement, when he was also the Father of the House, a title passed to Sir Gerald Kaufman in 2015.
General Election Betting
The Louth and Horncastle seat was created in 1997 from the previous East Lindsay seat.
Wereon, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons
2019 Election Results
Explore the pivotal data and highlights from Louth and Horncastle's 2019 General Election, revealing voter trends and key outcomes that shaped the constituency.
Voting Data
- The Conservatives held on to the seat after Victoria Atkins earned 72.7% of the vote
- In doing so, it meant that Louth and Horncastle was the party's eighth-safest seat in the 2019 General Election
- Atkins would pick up a majority of 28,868 with Labour trailing way behind in second with just 9,153 votes by comparison.
- The Conservatives 72.7% vote share was up 8.7% on the previous election, with Labour having to make do with a 9.2% decrease
- The Liberal Democrats would finish third, with Ross Pepper earning 4.1% of the total vote.
- The turnout for the seat was 65.7% - down 1.1% on 2017
| Candidate Data | Party | Gender | Number of votes | Share (%) | Change vs. 2017 (% points) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Atkins | Conservative | Female | 38,021 | 72.70% | 8.7 |
| Ellie Green | Labour | Female | 9,153 | 17.50% | -9.2 |
| Ross Pepper | Liberal Democrat | Male | 4,114 | 7.90% | 4.1 |
| Peter Hill | Monster Raving Loony Party | Male | 1,044 | 2.00% | 1.1 |
Statistics & Turnout Information
With a votes majority of 28,868 from the 52,332 cast, the majority in percentage terms was 55.2%, making Louth and Horncastle the 29th-safest seat in the 2019 election.
| Louth and Horncastle Majority Data | ||
|---|---|---|
| Votes | 28,868 | |
| Percent | 55.20% | |
| Rank (1 = highest %) | 29 |
Voter turnout for the Louth and Horncastle seat was at 65.7%. This figure was down 1.5% on the region as a whole and down 1.1% when compared to the same seat in 2017. From a UK-wide perspective it was down 1.6% when compared to the average turnout for 2019
| Louth and Horncastle Turnout Data | |
|---|---|
| Constituency | 65.70% |
| Region | 67.20% |
| UK | 67.30% |
| Constituency in 2017 | 66.80% |
| Size of electorate | 79,634 |
| Valid votes cast | 52,332 |
Louth and Horncastle By Election Betting and Wards
The wards within the Constituency are currently:
- Alford
- Binbrook
- Chapel St Leonards
- Coningsby & Mareham
- Friskney
- Fulstow
- Grimoldby
- Hagworthingham
- Halton Holegate
- Holton-le-Clay & North Thoresby
- Horncastle
- Legbourne
- Mablethorpe
- Marshchapel & Somercotes
- North Holme
- Priory & St James'
- Roughton
- Spilsby
- St Margaret's
- St Mary's
- St Michael's
- Sutton on Sea
- Tetford & Donington
- Tetney
- Trinity
- Willoughby with Sloothby
- Withern & Theddlethorpe
- Woodhall Spa
How To Bet
Betting on local constituency markets during general elections offers a unique way to engage with political events. To navigate this, the best political betting sites such as Smarkets and SBK Sportsbook provide platforms tailored for such activities. Here's a concise guide to placing a bet on these markets:
- Min Deposit £10
- Min Odds 2
- Offer amount £30
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Register and Verify: Sign up on a reputable political betting site like Smarkets or SBK Sportsbook. Complete any necessary verification processes.
Deposit Funds: Add funds to your account using the available payment methods.
Find the Market: Navigate to the political betting section and locate the local constituency markets for the general election.
Research: Conduct thorough research on the constituency you wish to bet on, considering recent polls, historical outcomes, and current political climate.
Place Your Bet: Select the market, choose your bet type, and decide on the stake. Confirm your bet.
Monitor the Election: Keep an eye on election updates and news that might affect the outcome of your chosen market.
Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and it's important to be informed about the political landscape to make educated decisions.
Editorial Team and Resources
OLBG has assembled a crack political betting team to bring you the very best in political betting insight, including our in-house politics betting expert Nigel Skinner and our Data Scientist Dan Tracey.
Political Editor
Data Collection and Fact Checking
Edited and Published by
Data Sources:
A range of data sources were consulted for this article, pertaining to our editorial guide and they include, the Commons Library, Wikipedia and various betting sites.
Further Resources
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